# Inflation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Inflation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Bitcoin dips below $78K as stocks, gold fall on higher US PCE Inflation data

Bitcoin fell below $78,000 after the release of higher-than-expected US PCE inflation data for July, which showed a 3.7% year-on-year increase versus a forecast of 3.6%. The data pressured risk assets, with US stocks and gold also declining. Markets now await Nvidia's Q2 earnings report as a potential short-term volatility catalyst. Analysis warns that Bitcoin's recent weekly gains of over 25% could constitute a bear market relief rally. Trader Rekt Capital highlighted the importance of Bitcoin's upcoming monthly close, noting that a failure to break a pattern of lower highs since October 2025 would confirm the downtrend. Key resistance to watch is the 50-week exponential moving average around $77,251.

cointelegraph2 days ago 16:10

Bitcoin dips below $78K as stocks, gold fall on higher US PCE Inflation data

cointelegraph2 days ago 16:10

Analysts Have Identified Three Key Signals for Bitcoin's Next Move

Analysts have identified three key macroeconomic signals that could determine Bitcoin's direction this week. The first is the upcoming July PCE inflation report in the US. A reading higher than expected (forecast at 3.2% year-over-year) could fuel fears of a Federal Reserve rate hike, putting pressure on Bitcoin, which is already showing signs of being overbought after retreating below $79,000. Markets currently price in a 40% chance of a September rate increase. The second signal is Nvidia's Q2 earnings. Strong results could bolster risk appetite, which is relevant for Bitcoin given its positive correlation with Nvidia's stock. Bitcoin recently had its largest weekly dollar gain ever, rising from ~$63k to ~$79k. The third catalyst is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. Investors will watch for clues on future policy, especially regarding Treasury yields. For the bullish trend to continue, analysts say Bitcoin needs to hold above its 365-day moving average near $83,000. Some forecasts remain optimistic, with Bernstein predicting a rise to $125,000 by end-2026 and a cycle peak near $300,000 in 2029.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 16:01

Analysts Have Identified Three Key Signals for Bitcoin's Next Move

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 16:01

Is Bitcoin Price Lagging? Record Global M2 Money Supply Could Be a Springboard for BTC's Rise

Bitcoin Price Lagging? Record Global Money Supply M2 Could Springboard BTC Growth The global money supply (M2) is expanding rapidly, similar to global debt. The US M2, representing all money circulating in its economy, has reached a record $23.16 trillion. Combined with figures from major economies like the Eurozone, China, and Japan, the global M2 is approximately $103 trillion. Some estimates, however, place it closer to $195 trillion. This surge in liquidity is significant because excess capital often seeks higher returns in assets like precious metals, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's recent price surge above $81,000 has brought the global M2 metric back into focus. Following a sharp rise in early August after a US Treasury bond buyback announcement, BTC still trades about 37% below its October 2025 all-time high exceeding $126,000. This gap presents a potential "catch-up" trade thesis. Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million contrasts with governments' ability to print fiat currency, making scarce assets like BTC attractive if monetary expansion continues. Historically, Bitcoin's bull cycles in 2017-2018 and 2020-2021 coincided with M2 expansion and increased liquidity. Over the past year, the correlation seemed broken as M2 grew while Bitcoin's price fell sharply from its peak. Observers believe fresh dollars may have remained locked in cash-favorable investments. Some, like Ash Crypto, now suggest a long-awaited alignment between Bitcoin and M2 may be starting, especially as a weakening US Dollar Index this month has seen assets like gold and Bitcoin surge. A softer dollar pressures cash havens and prompts holders to act. While record M2 doesn't guarantee higher Bitcoin prices, a sustained influx of liquidity, a weak dollar, and capital flowing into alternative assets could trigger a catch-up rally sooner than expected. However, changes in these conditions could lead to the opposite outcome.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 13:16

Is Bitcoin Price Lagging? Record Global M2 Money Supply Could Be a Springboard for BTC's Rise

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 13:16

LATEST NEWS: Federal Reserve Consumer Price Index (PCE) Data, Used to Measure Inflation, Released! Here's Bitcoin's (BTC) First Reaction!

Bitcoin maintained high levels ahead of the U.S. inflation data release, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key metric for the Federal Reserve. BTC recently surged from around $62,000 to over $80,000, briefly surpassing $81,000 for a three-month high before a slight pullback. Market focus was intensely on the PCE report, as lower-than-expected figures could strengthen the case for looser Fed monetary policy, while higher figures could dampen rate cut expectations and pressure Bitcoin. The July PCE data was released as follows: Core PCE (YoY) at 3.3% (matching expectations), Core PCE (MoM) at 0.2% (matching expectations), Headline PCE (YoY) at 3.7% (slightly above 3.6% expected), and Headline PCE (MoM) at 0.2% (above the 0.1% expected).

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 12:50

LATEST NEWS: Federal Reserve Consumer Price Index (PCE) Data, Used to Measure Inflation, Released! Here's Bitcoin's (BTC) First Reaction!

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 12:50

U.S. Bonds, AI, Inflation: You Can't Have All Three – What's Bitcoin Betting On?

Title: U.S. Treasury Bonds, AI, and Inflation: A Trilemma Facing Washington, and Where BTC Fits In Core Thesis: The U.S. government faces a trilemma: stabilizing the Treasury market, sustaining the AI investment cycle, and controlling inflation. The likely political choice is to prioritize the first two, accepting higher inflation for longer. This creates a sustained tailwind for both gold and Bitcoin by injecting liquidity and shifting duration risk away from the private sector. Key Pressures on Treasuries: * Long-term yields (e.g., 10-year ~4.70%) are near multi-decade highs due to persistent inflation risks, high fiscal supply, weaker demand for long duration, and new competition from AI infrastructure financing. * AI investment, requiring massive capital (estimated ~$300B in investment-grade bond issuance), is now competing directly with the Treasury in long-duration debt markets. * Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran conflict) add upward pressure on oil prices and defense spending. Policy Response: The Treasury, under Secretary Besant, is focusing on market stability through measures like supporting the Yen (to prevent forced Japanese Treasury sales), increasing repo operations for long-dated bonds, and potentially shifting issuance toward the short end. This "aggressive Treasury issuance" can function like "stealth QE," easing financial conditions. Impact on Assets: * **Gold** has already benefited (up ~90% from Aug 2024 to Aug 2026), driven by declining trust in the USD, inflation fears, and a "monetary debasement" narrative. * **Bitcoin** is now showing stronger correlation with this theme. Recent outperformance vs. gold (BTC +22.2% vs. Gold +5.9% in late Aug) coincided with Treasury's enhanced repo actions, suggesting the market may be pricing it as a liquidity/ debasement hedge, not just a speculative tech asset. Conclusion: If high inflation, large deficits, and AI capital demands persist, the cost of stabilizing bonds and growth will be shorter debt maturity, constant liquidity support, and tolerance for higher inflation—a favorable environment for gold and BTC. This view would be challenged only by a return to ~2% inflation, credible fiscal consolidation, or AI becoming self-funding.

marsbit2 days ago 11:11

U.S. Bonds, AI, Inflation: You Can't Have All Three – What's Bitcoin Betting On?

marsbit2 days ago 11:11

Iranian Rial Plunges to Record Low Amid New Sanctions Targeting Its "Lifeline" — Bitcoin Mining

The Iranian rial hit a record low, falling to approximately 2.02 million rials per dollar following new U.S. sanctions under Operation 'Economic Outcast.' The sanctions target over 60 entities, including Iran's digital assets sector for the first time, alongside gold and shipping. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent aims to cripple Iran's central bank, warning of secondary sanctions. The IMF projects Iran's 2026 inflation at 68.9% and a 5.4% economic contraction. Iran has leveraged Bitcoin mining since 2019, with state-linked entities controlling an estimated 65% of its mining capacity. This sector, along with Iran's broader crypto ecosystem valued at $7.78 billion last year, has been a lifeline for the regime and its currency. The U.S. has been systematically disrupting this network, sanctioning key exchanges like Nobitex and seizing nearly $500 million in crypto assets. Despite these pressures, Iran has historically adapted to sanctions. However, its mining operations are now vulnerable due to strain on the national power grid and potential secondary sanctions against trading partners, threatening its ability to convert crypto assets into cash. The fall of the rial marks the latest chapter in this ongoing financial conflict.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 09:21

Iranian Rial Plunges to Record Low Amid New Sanctions Targeting Its "Lifeline" — Bitcoin Mining

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 09:21

Bitcoin Holds $79,000, Ethereum and Solana Decline as Traders Lock in Weekly Gains

Bitcoin held around $79,000, down nearly 1%, as traders took profits after a 23% weekly surge. Other major cryptocurrencies declined, with XRP falling over 4% but still leading weekly gains at nearly 45%. Zcash dropped nearly 6%, keeping a 55% weekly increase. Ethereum and Solana fell over 1% and 3%, respectively, but retained strong weekly advances of 29% and nearly 16%. CryptoQuant's Bull Score jumped from 30 to 80, its highest since October 2025, with 8 of 10 indicators now signaling a bull trend. Visible spot demand is growing at the fastest monthly pace since late December, with spot and futures demand rising simultaneously for the first time since early October 2025. In contrast, equities moved higher. The MSCI Asia Pacific index rose 1%, supported by Samsung and SK Hynix, while Nvidia snapped a 7-day losing streak ahead of earnings. Market focus shifts to Q2 GDP data, July PCE inflation figures, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's keynote at Jackson Hole. Markets price about a 60% chance the Fed holds rates steady in September.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 07:57

Bitcoin Holds $79,000, Ethereum and Solana Decline as Traders Lock in Weekly Gains

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 07:57

Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: Tonight's PCE to Set the Discount Rate, Nvidia to Test Earnings Tomorrow Morning

"Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: PCE to Set the Discount Rate Tonight, NVIDIA to Test Profits Tomorrow Morning" Risk asset prices hinge on two variables: the numerator (earnings expectations) and the denominator (the discount rate). Both will be recalibrated within eight hours. First, at 20:30 Beijing time, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis releases July PCE inflation data and the second estimate of Q2 GDP. Consensus expects mild core PCE growth, but a surge in key PPI components poses an upside risk. A hotter-than-expected print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher, threatening the recent rally in Bitcoin (BTC) above $80K, which was fueled by falling yields. A benign reading would support risk assets. Market sentiment is already "greedy" (Fear & Greed Index at 74), making it vulnerable to disappointment. Second, around 04:20, NVIDIA reports its Q2 FY27 earnings. While consensus revenue of ~$91.85B slightly exceeds company guidance, the market has priced in a beat. The key will be the magnitude of the beat and, crucially, the Q3 guidance. As a bellwether for tech and AI narratives, NVIDIA's results will significantly impact overall risk appetite and AI-related crypto tokens. The combination creates four scenarios: 1) Benign PCE & strong NVIDIA guidance confirms the bullish trend. 2) Hot PCE & strong NVIDIA leads to conflicted signals and likely volatility for BTC. 3) Benign PCE & weak NVIDIA guidance pressures tech but offers some macro support for BTC. 4) Hot PCE & weak NVIDIA guidance presents a "double whammy," risking a sharp pullback in BTC toward the $75K-$76K support zone. The outcomes will set the tone for markets ahead of the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium.

marsbit2 days ago 05:23

Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: Tonight's PCE to Set the Discount Rate, Nvidia to Test Earnings Tomorrow Morning

marsbit2 days ago 05:23

U.S. Stock AI Concept Stocks Experience Collective Pullback as Market Awaits Federal Reserve Statement

U.S. AI-related stocks experienced a collective pullback as the market awaited signals from the Federal Reserve. Nvidia fell 3%, marking its seventh consecutive daily decline since 2022, while other chip and optical communication stocks like Sandisk, Micron, and SK Hynix also dropped significantly. Alibaba's announcement of a new share placement in Hong Kong to raise approximately $10.2 billion for AI infrastructure backfired, causing its Hong Kong shares to plunge 10%. Management had to step in with personal share purchases to stabilize the price. This reaction highlights a major shift in market sentiment: investors are moving away from valuing AI narratives based on future potential and are now demanding tangible results, cash flow, and shareholder returns. Concurrently, efforts by the U.S. Treasury to calm bond markets by suggesting the use of its Treasury General Account (TGA) to buy long-term bonds failed to impress. Bond yields briefly dipped but quickly rebounded, with the 30-year yield remaining near 5.246%. Market focus has now squarely shifted to Federal Reserve Chairman Wash's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Investors are keenly awaiting guidance on how the Fed plans to address persistent inflation above its 2% target and deteriorating fiscal conditions. The market is undergoing a dual "reassessment of trust": one regarding the profitability of AI investments and another concerning the credibility of U.S. fiscal management. The outcome of Wash's remarks is expected to significantly influence both the valuation anchor for AI stocks and the interest rate anchor for U.S. Treasuries.

marsbit08/26 04:25

U.S. Stock AI Concept Stocks Experience Collective Pullback as Market Awaits Federal Reserve Statement

marsbit08/26 04:25

Jackson Hole Speech Preview: Is the Fed Seeking Justification for a Rate Hike?

"Jackson Hole Speech Preview: Is the Fed Looking for Reasons to Raise Rates?" Ahead of the key Jackson Hole symposium, Federal Reserve officials and the IMF are signaling heightened concern over persistent inflation, with some advocating for tighter policy. Boston Fed President Susan Collins, in a recent article, supported holding rates steady only if evidence of falling inflation continues. Otherwise, she argues for prompt tightening, noting inflation has been above target for over five years and warning that prolonged deviation could entrench consumer expectations. Although not a voting member this year, her stance aligns with several officials; three FOMC voters dissented in July, favoring a rate hike. Richmond Fed's Tom Barkin warned of a future "reckoning" regarding the $40 trillion public debt, while IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva urged central banks to maintain a laser focus on price stability. The core dilemma lies in the sources of inflation: Trump-era tariffs, Middle East conflict-driven oil prices, and surging AI investment. Collins believes the first two factors are fading, but identifies AI infrastructure spending as exerting "upward pressure" on core goods inflation. The problem is that interest rate hikes primarily curb demand, not these supply-side shocks. Georgieva framed it as a "tug of war" between negative supply shocks from the Middle East and positive demand shocks from AI. Meanwhile, economic data shows strain. The August Consumer Confidence Index fell to a seven-month low of 89.4. While the present situation index improved, future expectations plummeted. Consumers expect higher inflation (5.8% vs. 5.6% last month), likely influenced by high gas prices. Other data points are weak: July retail sales saw the largest drop in over a year, and job growth stalled. Key upcoming events include the July PCE inflation data (expected to remain well above the 2% target) and new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first major speech at Jackson Hole. Market pricing remains conflicted, showing a high probability of a December hike but expecting no move in September. Gold prices, however, have surged over 7% to near three-month highs, signaling market anxiety.

marsbit08/26 02:45

Jackson Hole Speech Preview: Is the Fed Seeking Justification for a Rate Hike?