# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Peter Schiff believes Michael Saylor may sell even more Bitcoin

Peter Schiff believes that Michael Saylor may need to sell even more Bitcoin. He argues that if Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, aims to return its STRZ preferred shares to a $100 target (currently trading below $95), it will require further sales of Bitcoin and MSTR stock. To support its share buyback program, MicroStrategy recently sold 1,637 BTC for $102 million and 6.59 million MSTR shares for $653.1 million, boosting its dollar reserves to $4.65 billion. Schiff contends that continued selling of these assets to prop up STRZ shares will add downward pressure on Bitcoin's price, causing it to underperform gold. He links Bitcoin's current weakness—trading around $62,000—to gold's recent strength, with prices surpassing $4,300. Schiff predicts further gold appreciation will intensify pressure on Bitcoin. However, he acknowledges that weak U.S. labor market data has fueled expectations of Federal Reserve policy easing, which could provide a positive boost to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

cryptonews.ru12h ago

Peter Schiff believes Michael Saylor may sell even more Bitcoin

cryptonews.ru12h ago

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Talk is Cheap

This monthly market analysis extends its timeline to incorporate critical July comments from the Fed Chair, noting that bond markets have already priced in perceived policy shortcomings. The report observes a growing divergence: equity markets, after some deleveraging, continue a "trust-based" rally, while bond and currency markets signal persistent distrust. Precious metals bottoming suggests a central bank consensus that the era of "competitive currency devaluation" is ending, with verbal interventions losing power. Looking forward to Q3-Q4, the analysis remains bullish on supply-constrained global resources like copper and power, as well as gold, which prices ongoing monetary失信. It argues that digital assets are unlikely to see major outperformance until excess liquidity is released and AI growth rates are fully priced. Key market views include: 1. Commodities like gold remain primary liquidity absorbers over Bitcoin, with recent consolidation seen as healthy. 2. The bull trend for RMB-denominated assets (e.g., STAR 50 Index) is firmly established. 3. Key resource country indices and currencies are near inflection points, with spot copper already at new highs. The report suggests resource equities, particularly in China's market, are at the end of their consolidation phase, offering attractive valuations with embedded optionality on rising metal prices. It highlights the predictive significance of recent US-Japan FX interventions and Treasury-Fed dynamics, suggesting a shift towards less communication and data management to maintain stability. A long position in resource assets is presented as a positive expected-value strategy over a multi-year horizon.

marsbit19h ago

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Talk is Cheap

marsbit19h ago

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: When 'Currency Race to the Bottom' Becomes the Norm, How Should One Choose Safe-Haven Assets?

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: With "currency devaluation competition" becoming the norm, how should one choose safe-haven assets? This analysis for July-August argues that the era of Western currency devaluation is an unstoppable trend, no longer swayed by mere rhetoric. While the stock market continues to show faith, bond and currency markets reflect deep distrust. Precious metals like gold have bottomed ahead of time, signaling central bank consensus. Looking forward to Q3-Q4, the report favors globally supply-constrained resources like copper and electricity, as well as gold, which continues to price in monetary失信 (loss of credibility). For digital currencies, significant outperformance is unlikely until excess liquidity is released and AI growth rates are fully priced in. Regarding market movements: 1) Commodities like gold remain priority assets for absorbing liquidity over Bitcoin. 2) The bullish trend for RMB-denominated assets (e.g., STAR 50 Index) remains intact. 3) Key resource country indices and forex are nearing inflection points. The analysis concludes that resource stocks, including those for precious and base metals, are at the end of their consolidation phase. Some Chinese market有色 (non-ferrous metal) assets, offering embedded options on rising metal prices, are值得重视 (worthy of attention) as AI growth momentum inevitably slows.

marsbit22h ago

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: When 'Currency Race to the Bottom' Becomes the Norm, How Should One Choose Safe-Haven Assets?

marsbit22h ago

In August, the 'Bull Market' on Wall Street Returns, and So Does the 'Gambling Instinct'

Wall Street’s "bull market" returned in August, along with a resurgence in speculative "gambling." U.S. stocks rebounded strongly, with the S&P 500 hitting a new record high. Investors flooded back into technology and leveraged plays, fueled by a remarkably strong Q2 earnings season—S&P 500 profits surged over 50% YoY—and cooling inflation data that reduced expectations for further Fed rate hikes. Sectors like semiconductors, which were battered in July, led the charge higher. Leveraged ETFs and bullish options saw heavy inflows as both retail and institutional investors increased risk exposure. However, analysts warn that the rally leaves little room for error. Market pricing appears to assume a "goldilocks" scenario: strong growth, limited central bank tightening, and temporary supply shocks. Yet contradictory signals are emerging: oil prices are spiking, long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, and the yield curve is steepening—suggesting bond markets are not convinced inflation is truly defeated. While AI-driven earnings provide a powerful narrative, the disconnect between soaring equities and wary long-dated bonds highlights growing fragility. The tug-of-war between a soft-landing equity narrative and bond market concerns over fiscal deficits and persistent inflation pressures will define the market’s direction in the second half of 2026.

marsbit23h ago

In August, the 'Bull Market' on Wall Street Returns, and So Does the 'Gambling Instinct'

marsbit23h ago

85% of the Cryptocurrency Market's Bear Cycle is Already Behind — DeFi Report

According to DeFi Report, the price action of Bitcoin and altcoins strongly resembles previous periods of market bottom formation. Trading volumes in both spot and futures markets have fallen to their lowest levels since late 2019. Additional negative pressure is coming from Bitcoin miners selling their holdings, with some repurposing their energy infrastructure for artificial intelligence. Broader risk assets are also facing headwinds from the rise in 30-year US Treasury yields above 5.2% (a 20-year high) and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. However, experts note a 15% rise in gold prices amid persistent inflation risks, indicating investor demand for safe-haven assets. DeFi Report suggests that a further increase in global liquidity could drive some of this capital into Bitcoin, boosting its price. Earlier analysis from Wintermute also pointed to signs of the crypto bear phase concluding, as major cryptocurrencies have shown resilience despite economic turbulence. The report concludes that approximately 85% of the crypto bear market cycle is now behind us.

cryptonews.ruYesterday 11:26

85% of the Cryptocurrency Market's Bear Cycle is Already Behind — DeFi Report

cryptonews.ruYesterday 11:26

Gold Sachs Issues Statement on Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decisions! 'In September...'

Goldman Sachs analyst Robert Kaplan stated that the Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates unchanged in July was "absolutely correct." He emphasized that policymakers should analyze incoming data with transparency leading up to the September meeting, avoiding rigid policy guidance due to the growing complexity of inflation factors. Kaplan highlighted that various forces currently exert both upward and downward pressure on inflation. While significant AI infrastructure investment, tariffs, labor supply constraints, and rising oil prices could increase inflationary pressure, the application of AI could also boost productivity, lower costs, and accelerate disinflation. Therefore, the Fed must assess economic developments comprehensively. He also commented on Fed Chair Warsh's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, suggesting that a clear explanation of the July rate decision would help markets better understand the Fed's policy approach. Kaplan added that the recent rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields is primarily driven by structural supply-demand imbalances from persistent U.S. budget deficits, not directly by Fed policy.

cryptonews.ruYesterday 06:06

Gold Sachs Issues Statement on Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decisions! 'In September...'

cryptonews.ruYesterday 06:06

U.S. Stock Market Trend (August 14th): Cooling PPI Pushes S&P to New High, Rotation into Storage and Software Takes Over

U.S. Market Trend (Aug 14): PPI Cooldown Lifts S&P 500 to Record High, Rotation into Storage and Software Stocks. The S&P 500 hit a record closing high of 7798.99, rising 0.65%, after July's cooler-than-expected PPI data eased inflation and rate hike fears. The Nasdaq gained 0.81%, and the Dow rose 0.13%. The VIX increased 5.05% to 14.94. Key drivers included: 1) PPI cooling to 4.7% annually, lowering Treasury yields and market expectations for Fed rate hikes, though Fed officials displayed internal policy分歧. 2) A major rally in storage chip stocks, led by Sandisk's ~13% surge after announcing ambitious long-term growth and margin targets. 3) Strength in software/AI application stocks, fueled by M&A speculation, notably a rumored buyout of Workday. 4) Tesla leading the "Magnificent Seven" with a 3.5%+ gain. In contrast, Chinese ADRs underperformed, with the Golden Dragon Index falling 1.84%. 5) Oil prices fell over 2% on profit-taking, while gold declined despite the inflation data. Market focus shifts to the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment index and further Fed commentary to determine if the rally can sustain its momentum post the record high.

marsbitYesterday 01:35

U.S. Stock Market Trend (August 14th): Cooling PPI Pushes S&P to New High, Rotation into Storage and Software Takes Over

marsbitYesterday 01:35

Crypto Industry Backs Custodia in Supreme Court Dispute with Fed

The Blockchain Association has urged the U.S. Supreme Court to consider crypto bank Custodia's lawsuit against the Federal Reserve. The suit stems from the Fed's denial of Custodia's application for a master account, which would grant the crypto-focused, Wyoming-chartered bank direct access to the Fed's payment system. In an amicus brief, the association argued that federal law compels the Fed to provide payment services to eligible non-member banks and that the Fed should not have broad discretion to deny access. It linked the case to alleged "Operation Choke Point 2.0" efforts to cut off crypto firms from banking services. An appeals court previously ruled the Kansas City Fed had the right to reject Custodia's 2020 application. This legal battle occurs as other crypto firms gain greater access to the U.S. banking system. Notably, Kraken Financial recently secured a limited-purpose master account from the same Kansas City Fed, while companies like Coinbase, Circle, Ripple, and others have received or applied for trust bank charters from the OCC. Traditional banking groups have opposed some of these moves, arguing crypto firms seek banking benefits without full regulatory burdens.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 19:46

Crypto Industry Backs Custodia in Supreme Court Dispute with Fed

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 19:46

Bitcoin keeps traders guessing near $64K as stocks gain on cool US PPI data

Bitcoin (BTC) held near $63,900 after cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for July provided a boost to US equities. The PPI showed monthly inflation unchanged at 0.2%, with the yearly increase at 4.7%, below the 4.9% forecast. This data, following on from in-line Consumer Price Index figures, increased market bets that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate hikes in September. However, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack remained hawkish, questioning if recent data is sufficient to bring inflation down to the 2% target. Meanwhile, analysts highlighted key Bitcoin price levels to watch, with $61,000 identified as a potential flashpoint due to a high concentration of long position liquidations that could accelerate a downside move if triggered.

cointelegraph2 days ago 15:16

Bitcoin keeps traders guessing near $64K as stocks gain on cool US PPI data

cointelegraph2 days ago 15:16

LATEST NEWS! US PPI Index Data Released! What Was Bitcoin's (BTC) Initial Reaction?

Latest News: US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for July has been published, a key metric monitored by the Federal Reserve. The market's focus is on these figures following recent US CPI data, despite expert expectations of no Fed rate hike in September. The released data showed mixed results. The monthly Core PPI came in at 0.2% (matching the previous figure but below the 0.3% expectation). The annual Core PPI was 4.2%, matching expectations and down from 4.7% prior. The monthly headline PPI was 0.0% (below the 0.2% forecast), while the annual headline PPI was 4.7%, slightly lower than the 4.9% expected. Analysts note that lower-than-expected PPI data could signal easing inflationary pressure, potentially increasing the likelihood of future Fed rate cuts—a scenario that could positively impact Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, higher data would have weakened rate cut expectations, potentially pressuring Bitcoin. The initial market reaction of Bitcoin to this PPI data release is shown in an accompanying chart.

cryptonews.ru2 days ago 12:51

LATEST NEWS! US PPI Index Data Released! What Was Bitcoin's (BTC) Initial Reaction?