# Пов'язані статті щодо Inflation

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "Inflation", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

The Stronger the Consensus, the Greater the Risk: The Market Is 'Eerily Quiet' Amid Rate Cut Expectations

In the context of the upcoming Fed rate decision, market consensus strongly expects a 25 basis point cut, with over 85% probability priced in. However, this high level of agreement means the actual rate cut may not significantly move markets, as it has already been anticipated. The real focus is on the Fed’s forward guidance, particularly the "dot plot" showing policymakers' interest rate projections for 2026. The Fed faces unusual uncertainty due to a recent government shutdown, which delayed key inflation data (CPI) for October and November. This lack of recent data may lead to more ambiguous signals from the Fed, increasing potential market volatility. Three scenarios are outlined: 1. **Baseline (most likely)**: The Fed cuts rates as expected and maintains previous guidance, resulting in minimal market reaction. 2. **Dovish**: The Fed signals more rate cuts in 2026 than previously indicated, potentially boosting risk assets like Bitcoin and equities. 3. **Hawkish**: The Fed emphasizes persistent inflation and limited future cuts, which could strengthen the dollar and pressure crypto and other risk assets. The article’s key argument is that high consensus often implies higher risk, as markets are driven by surprises relative to expectations. Investors are advised to focus on managing position risks amid elevated uncertainty rather than betting on specific outcomes.

比推2 дні тому 05:58

The Stronger the Consensus, the Greater the Risk: The Market Is 'Eerily Quiet' Amid Rate Cut Expectations

比推2 дні тому 05:58

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

The Federal Reserve lowered the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%-3.75% on December 10, 2025, marking the third consecutive rate cut. The decision was approved by a 9-3 vote. The policy statement removed the description of unemployment as "low," and the latest dot plot maintained the projection of an additional 25 basis point rate cut in 2026. Additionally, the Fed will purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills over 30 days starting December 12 to maintain ample reserve levels. The policy stance reflects concerns over moderating economic activity, a rise in unemployment, and inflation that remains elevated. The committee emphasized its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a 2% inflation target, noting increased downside risks to employment. Voting against the decision were Stephen Miran, who preferred a 50 basis point cut, and Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid, who favored no change. The Board also unanimously approved a reduction in the primary credit rate to 3.75%.

比推Вчора 19:28

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

比推Вчора 19:28

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on 10 December, shifting its policy stance toward easing amid rising employment risks and moderating inflation. The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range to 3.50–3.75%, emphasizing growing uncertainty and increased downside risks to the labor market. While inflation remains elevated, the Fed signaled that recession concerns now outweigh price pressures. The rate cut is expected to lower funding costs, weaken the dollar, and boost risk assets like Bitcoin. Crypto markets may benefit from improved liquidity if this marks the start of a sustained easing cycle. Further guidance from Chair Powell and upcoming economic data will determine the policy trajectory.

ambcryptoВчора 19:33

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

ambcryptoВчора 19:33

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

The Federal Reserve approved a 25-basis-point rate cut amid internal divisions, but Bitcoin remains stuck below $100,000 due to structural weaknesses and persistent selling pressure. Despite a pre-FOMC rally to $94,000, the "hawkish" tone of the rate cut and concerns over inflation and economic slowdown limited upward momentum. According to Glassnode, BTC is trapped in a fragile range between $81,300 and $102,700, with unrealized losses rising and realized losses hitting $555 million daily—levels last seen during the FTX collapse. Long-term holders are realizing over $1 billion in profits daily, while new buyers face capitulation. The rally has been driven by spot demand rather than leveraged speculation, but sustained growth may require renewed derivatives activity. The Fed's rate cut is unlikely to provide significant short-term bullish momentum for Bitcoin.

marsbitВчора 20:08

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

marsbitВчора 20:08

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third consecutive time in 2024, lowering the target range to 3.50%-3.75%. The decision revealed the largest internal dissent in six years, with three officials opposing the move. The updated dot plot continues to project only one more rate cut in 2025, signaling a significant slowdown in the pace of easing. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current policy stance allows the Fed to be patient and data-dependent, noting that no one is assuming the next move will be a hike. Simultaneously, the Fed announced it would begin purchasing short-term Treasury bills to maintain ample reserves in the banking system, with an initial $40 billion in purchases planned for the next month. Powell stressed that these operations are for reserve management purposes and do not represent a change in monetary policy stance. The economic projections were slightly revised, with upgrades to GDP growth and minor downgrades to inflation expectations. The labor market is showing signs of cooling, with the unemployment rate rising and job growth slowing.

深潮Вчора 02:51

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

深潮Вчора 02:51

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

In his latest address, Federal Reserve Chair Powell highlighted a noticeable cooling in the U.S. labor market, marked by slower hiring and reduced layoffs, declining challenges in recruitment, and diminished household expectations for job opportunities. The unemployment rate has risen to approximately 4.4%, with employment gains significantly weaker than at the start of the year. This slowdown stems partly from reduced labor supply—due to decreased immigration and lower participation rates—but also reflects weakening labor demand itself. On inflation, core PCE remains at 2.8% year-on-year, above the long-term 2% target. While goods inflation has edged up due to tariffs, service inflation continues to moderate. Although overall inflation has declined substantially from its 2022 peak, it has not yet reached a level that fully assures the Fed. The FOMC responded by cutting rates by 25 basis points and initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain ample reserves and ensure effective policy transmission. Powell emphasized that, with rising employment risks and persistently elevated inflation, there is no "risk-free" policy path. The Fed must carefully balance its dual mandate constraints. He noted that interest rates are nearing a neutral range, and future policy decisions will be data-dependent, avoiding preset directions and instead being assessed meeting by meeting based on economic conditions and risks.

marsbitВчора 04:02

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

marsbitВчора 04:02

BTC Drops Below $90,000: Rate Cut Realized Equals Exhausted Positive News

Fed Chair Powell announced a 25-basis-point rate reduction, bringing the benchmark rate to 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive cut this year. However, the dot plot revealed significant internal divergence, with seven officials dissenting—six preferring no cut. The median rate projection remained unchanged from September, signaling a likely slowdown in future easing, with only one cut anticipated in 2025 and 2026 each. This mixed, cautious signal failed to boost market confidence. Bitcoin fell below $90,000, Ethereum dropped under $3,200, and Solana declined beneath $130. Most crypto sectors saw losses, with over $468 million in liquidations—$331 million from long positions. Analysts attribute the downturn to year-end liquidity constraints and subdued sentiment. Greeks.live noted that despite the Fed’s dovish move, low holiday liquidity limits bullish momentum. ING expects two 2026 rate cuts if inflation nears 2%, while Goldman Sachs views further easing as contingent on weaker labor data. Short-term, the market is expected to remain defensive amid thin liquidity. Longer-term, the focus shifts to labor market performance—should data weaken, more aggressive rate cuts may follow. Until macro conditions clear and liquidity returns, cautious positioning is advised.

Odaily星球日报Вчора 04:09

BTC Drops Below $90,000: Rate Cut Realized Equals Exhausted Positive News

Odaily星球日报Вчора 04:09

Fed's Wavering Rate Cut Decision, But Bitcoin's 'Fragile Zone' Still Suppresses BTC Price Below $100,000

Despite approving a widely anticipated 0.25% interest rate cut, the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish tone and internal policy divisions have limited Bitcoin's upward momentum, keeping its price below the $100,000 mark. According to Glassnode, BTC remains trapped in a structurally fragile range between the short-term cost basis of $102,700 and the realized price of $81,300. Key factors suppressing a breakout include rising unrealized losses—now at $555 million daily, the highest since the FTX collapse—along with weakening on-chain conditions, declining futures market demand, and persistent selling pressure. Long-term holders continue to realize significant profits, while new buyers exhibit caution, further obstructing BTC's ability to reclaim the $95,000–$102,000 resistance zone. Although the current rebound is spot-driven, the lack of leverage expansion and reduced open interest in derivatives suggest the rally may lack sustainability without renewed institutional or speculative momentum.

cointelegraph_中文Вчора 06:50

Fed's Wavering Rate Cut Decision, But Bitcoin's 'Fragile Zone' Still Suppresses BTC Price Below $100,000

cointelegraph_中文Вчора 06:50

The Evolution of Latin America's Stablecoin Market: From Survival to Growth

Latin America's stablecoin market is evolving from a survival tool into a growth engine, driven by hyperinflation, financial exclusion, and inefficient remittances. With Argentina's 178% inflation and Brazil's $300B crypto trading volume, stablecoins like USDT and USDC are becoming essential for value storage and daily transactions. The region is witnessing the rise of Crypto Neobanks, which leverage zero-fee networks (e.g., Tether’s Plasma) and DeFi yields to offer dollar-based accounts with higher returns, challenging traditional fintech giants like Nubank. Brazil leads in institutional adoption, with 90% of crypto flows in stablecoins, while Argentina shows retail-driven growth. Key trends include the emergence of local currency-pegged stablecoins, integration of yield-bearing assets, and regulatory divergence across countries. The market, valued at $1.5T in trading volume, presents a significant alpha opportunity, with Crypto Neobanks poised to capture market share by offering faster settlements, dollar-denominated accounts, and superior yields. The window for investment and innovation is narrow, with the next 12-18 months critical for dominance.

marsbit11 год тому

The Evolution of Latin America's Stablecoin Market: From Survival to Growth

marsbit11 год тому

When the Fed is Politically Captured, Is Bitcoin's Historic Opportunity Here?

When the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut and a plan to purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills over 30 days on December 10, 2025, the reaction was unexpectedly pessimistic. Instead of falling, long-term bond yields rose—a sign that markets are pricing in a deeper structural risk: the potential loss of Fed independence. Political pressure is at the heart of this shift. Before the decision, a key Trump economic advisor accurately “predicted” the cut, raising suspicions that the move was politically influenced rather than data-driven. This erosion of trust threatens the foundation of U.S. monetary credibility and, by extension, global confidence in the dollar. In this environment, Bitcoin and crypto assets gain relevance. Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million positions it as a hedge against potential uncontrolled money printing if the Fed succumbs to political pressure. Its decentralized nature also makes it immune to government interference—a key advantage as institutional trust declines. Ethereum and DeFi present an alternative financial infrastructure where transactions are governed by code, not central authority. While stablecoins like USDT and USDC remain dollar-pegged and exposed to dollar risk, decentralized alternatives like DAI could benefit from declining faith in traditional systems. Crypto remains highly risky and volatile, but as traditional systems face credibility crises, its role may shift from speculative asset to a legitimate hedge against sovereign risk.

深潮51 хв тому

When the Fed is Politically Captured, Is Bitcoin's Historic Opportunity Here?

深潮51 хв тому

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