# Inflation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Inflation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?

The Federal Reserve faces its most significant internal division in recent years as Chair Jerome Powell navigates a deeply split FOMC ahead of a key policy meeting. While a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected, the challenge lies in post-meeting communication. Powell is likely to adopt a "hawkish cut" strategy—lowering rates while avoiding strong signals about future easing, particularly for January. He will emphasize data dependency and may signal that rates are approaching neutral to reassure hawkish members concerned about persistent inflation. The decision is complicated by a government shutdown delaying key economic data and external political pressure. Regardless of the outcome, high uncertainty and market volatility are expected to persist, with future policy moves contingent on labor market conditions and inflation data.

marsbitHace 2 días 04:38

The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?

marsbitHace 2 días 04:38

Underground Argentina: Jewish Money Houses, Chinese Supermarkets, Slacking Youth, and the Impoverished Middle Class

Argentina is experiencing a state of hyperinflation and economic collapse, where the official currency, the peso, has become nearly unusable. The black market exchange rate has reached 1 USD to 1,400 pesos, yet prices for basic goods remain shockingly high, even for those holding foreign currency. A significant portion of the population, especially the youth, has adopted a "live for the moment" mentality, spending their wages immediately as savings become worthless. Poverty rates are high, and real wages have plummeted. The country’s real financial system operates underground, dominated by two key players: a network of over 13,000 Chinese-owned supermarkets that act as cash collection points, and Jewish-owned informal exchange houses (cuevas) that manage black market dollar transactions. This shadow economy allows businesses and individuals to bypass strict currency controls, high taxes, and a collapsing official banking system. Cryptocurrency, particularly USDT, is used not as a technological innovation but as a practical tool for wealth preservation and tax avoidance, especially among freelancers and the upper middle class. However, those who remain in the formal economy—the “rule-followers”—suffer the most, as their peso-denominated incomes collapse in value while living costs soar. President Milei’s radical reforms have brought some fiscal stability and reduced inflation, but at a great social cost. Yet, much of the public still supports the changes, hoping to break Argentina’s cycle of economic crises. Through it all, the informal systems—cash transactions, black market exchanges, and a general distrust of the state—continue to sustain daily life.

深潮Hace 2 días 06:16

Underground Argentina: Jewish Money Houses, Chinese Supermarkets, Slacking Youth, and the Impoverished Middle Class

深潮Hace 2 días 06:16

Espresso Co-founder's Decade in Crypto: I Wanted to Disrupt Wall Street's Ills, But Witnessed a Casino-Fication Transformation

Jill Gunter, co-founder of Espresso, reflects on her decade-long journey in crypto, which began with the aim of addressing systemic flaws she witnessed on Wall Street. She identified three core issues: monetary mismanagement (e.g., hyperinflation in Venezuela), financial exclusivity perpetuated by Wall Street’s privileged access to high-risk opportunities, and outdated, opaque financial infrastructure. She saw Bitcoin and blockchain as solutions: a decentralized alternative to state-controlled money, a tool for democratizing finance, and a transparent, efficient system to replace legacy databases. However, the industry evolved unpredictably, cycling through hype cycles, regulatory shifts, and catastrophic failures like FTX. While crypto did democratize speculation—making finance more accessible—it also amplified "casino-like" risk-taking. Despite disillusionment among some pioneers, Gunter argues meaningful progress has been made: Bitcoin offers a censorship-resistant store of value, retail investors gained access to early-stage assets, and traditional finance is adopting blockchain for settlements and payments. The revolution arrived, albeit in a form different from what many envisioned.

深潮Hace 2 días 07:47

Espresso Co-founder's Decade in Crypto: I Wanted to Disrupt Wall Street's Ills, But Witnessed a Casino-Fication Transformation

深潮Hace 2 días 07:47

Mars Morning Post | Trump: Inflation Will Fall Further, But There Will Be No Deflation

Trump states inflation will decline further but deflation is unlikely. The U.S. CFTC approves Bitcoin, ETH, and USDC as collateral in derivatives markets. A judge examines charges against Do Kwon in Korea ahead of his U.S. sentencing. Major U.S. bank CEOs meet with senators to discuss crypto legislation. Airwallex’s CEO reveals rejecting a $1.2 billion acquisition offer from Stripe. The Canada Revenue Agency reports 40% of crypto users may be evading taxes. Paradigm’s founder identifies a data bug causing inflated trading volume reports on Polymarket. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December rises to 87.3%. A senator expresses frustration over slow crypto bill negotiations. The crypto fear and greed index remains at 22, indicating extreme fear. MicroStrategy reaffirms long-term Bitcoin strategy. CZ responds to allegations of insider trading by a Binance employee. Robinhood expands its crypto services with ETH and Solana staking. Traders expect cumulative Fed rate cuts to be less than 75 basis points by 2026.

marsbitAyer 00:57

Mars Morning Post | Trump: Inflation Will Fall Further, But There Will Be No Deflation

marsbitAyer 00:57

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

This week's Federal Reserve policy meeting is set to be one of the most contentious in recent years. With key economic data missing due to a 43-day U.S. government shutdown, the meeting has evolved into a stress test of the Fed’s independence and decision-making process. Market expectations for a rate cut have surged from 30% to 97%, reflecting both data uncertainty and growing political influence. Internally, the Fed is deeply divided, with a 4-4 split among key officials between holding rates and cutting. The dot plot shows a rare "bimodal distribution," with 7 officials favoring no change and 8 supporting a 50-basis-point cut. Doves point to a weakening labor market—unemployment rose to 4.3% in August, a four-year high—while hawks emphasize persistent inflation, with core PCE at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Political pressure has intensified, notably through appointments like Stephen Milan, who voted for a deeper cut just one day into his role, aligning with former President Trump’s public demands. The upcoming Fed leadership transition adds further uncertainty, as officials may be positioning for future roles. Amid data gaps and political interference, the Fed faces a complex risk-management dilemma: balancing concerns over slowing employment against inflation risks and soaring government debt interest costs. Communication challenges are heightened by internal divisions, forcing the Fed to rely more on high-frequency and alternative data. This meeting may mark a shift toward a new monetary policy framework where data scarcity and political pressure become persistent challenges to the Fed’s independence.

marsbitHace 15 hora(s)

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

marsbitHace 15 hora(s)

Trump to Conduct 'Final Interview for Fed Chair', Hassett Not Yet a 'Done Deal'

The selection process for the next Federal Reserve Chair is entering its final stage. Although White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is currently the frontrunner, President Trump has initiated a final round of interviews, indicating the outcome is not yet certain. Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are scheduled to interview former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh this week, among other candidates including Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, and BlackRock executive Rick Rieder. A key concern among some Wall Street investors is that Hassett, perceived as close to the president, might pursue overly aggressive interest rate cuts, potentially unsettling markets. Hassett has recently emphasized the importance of central bank independence and data-driven decisions. The decision is expected in early January. This process occurs against a backdrop of Trump's longstanding criticism of current Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates more quickly. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points this week.

深潮Hace 14 hora(s)

Trump to Conduct 'Final Interview for Fed Chair', Hassett Not Yet a 'Done Deal'

深潮Hace 14 hora(s)

Bitget Daily Morning Brief: Trump to Conduct Final Round of Fed Chair Interviews This Week

Bitget Daily Brief: Key developments in crypto and macro markets. Former President Trump is set to conduct final interviews for the Federal Reserve Chair candidate this week, emphasizing that immediate interest rate cuts would be a key test for the new appointee. Cathie Wood suggests Bitcoin is entering a phase of smaller pullbacks, with institutional adoption potentially reducing severe price declines. The U.S. Senate is expected to release a crypto market structure bill this week, with a hearing and vote scheduled next week. SEC Chair hints at accelerating crypto regulatory agenda in the new year. Market data shows $432M in crypto liquidations in 24 hours, with BTC trading near $92K–93K. Significant long liquidations are concentrated around current levels, while short leverage builds above $95K. BTC saw a net outflow of $19M. Equities were mixed, with the Dow down slightly and Nasdaq up marginally. Notable updates: Corporate Bitcoin holdings exceed 1.08M BTC, up 448% in two years. Trump-themed token announces a mobile game. Ethena Labs withdraws $443M in ENA tokens. Linea unlocks $11.1M worth of tokens. Standard Chartered revises Bitcoin forecast to $100K by 2025, delaying long-term targets to 2030.

深潮Hace 14 hora(s)

Bitget Daily Morning Brief: Trump to Conduct Final Round of Fed Chair Interviews This Week

深潮Hace 14 hora(s)

The Stronger the Consensus, the Greater the Risk: The Market Is 'Eerily Quiet' Amid Rate Cut Expectations

In the context of the upcoming Fed rate decision, market consensus strongly expects a 25 basis point cut, with over 85% probability priced in. However, this high level of agreement means the actual rate cut may not significantly move markets, as it has already been anticipated. The real focus is on the Fed’s forward guidance, particularly the "dot plot" showing policymakers' interest rate projections for 2026. The Fed faces unusual uncertainty due to a recent government shutdown, which delayed key inflation data (CPI) for October and November. This lack of recent data may lead to more ambiguous signals from the Fed, increasing potential market volatility. Three scenarios are outlined: 1. **Baseline (most likely)**: The Fed cuts rates as expected and maintains previous guidance, resulting in minimal market reaction. 2. **Dovish**: The Fed signals more rate cuts in 2026 than previously indicated, potentially boosting risk assets like Bitcoin and equities. 3. **Hawkish**: The Fed emphasizes persistent inflation and limited future cuts, which could strengthen the dollar and pressure crypto and other risk assets. The article’s key argument is that high consensus often implies higher risk, as markets are driven by surprises relative to expectations. Investors are advised to focus on managing position risks amid elevated uncertainty rather than betting on specific outcomes.

比推Hace 12 hora(s)

The Stronger the Consensus, the Greater the Risk: The Market Is 'Eerily Quiet' Amid Rate Cut Expectations

比推Hace 12 hora(s)

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