比特币和加密货币市场:这是多么美好的一周啊!

币界网Published on 2024-08-10Last updated on 2024-08-10

币界网报道:

加密货币市场以剧烈波动而闻名,但本周是一个全新的疯狂水平。比特币、以太坊和Solana遭受了自2022年夏天以来最严重的打击。但这一次,这不仅仅是加密货币自己的事情。

对科技公司盈利的担忧、美国可能出现的经济衰退以及杠杆交易的解除,在全球市场引发了冲击波。股票、债券和货币都受到了冲击,加密货币也被拖了后腿。

7月将成为加密货币的好月份。Mt Gox和Genesis的债权人终于得到了他们一直在等待的消息,并且有关于潜在的“特朗普交易”的传言

这个想法是,唐纳德·特朗普担任总统可能会为数字资产带来更好的日子。比特币永久期货蓬勃发展,利息攀升至110亿美元以上,接近历史最高水平。

泡沫即将破裂

但随着市场升温,一些裂缝开始显现。尽管散户投资者一直在大肆宣传,但大宗商品交易顾问等动量交易员一直在悄悄撤退。

摩根大通指出,这些交易员一直在套现他们的多头头寸,甚至开始做空市场。这表明麻烦可能正在酝酿。

几周前,特朗普在比特币会议上发表演讲后,比特币价格飙升至7万美元。反映整体市场情绪的融资率仍然为正。

每个人都在打赌比特币会继续攀升。但在幕后,反弹的动力正在发生变化。大玩家们开始紧张起来,开始对冲赌注。

当市场最终转向时,人们疯狂地冲向出口。交易员们争先恐后地尽快抛售所持股票,使集中交易所充斥着交易活动。

CCData报道称,这是自2021年5月中国比特币挖矿禁令以来现货交易第二繁忙的一天。此外,Coinglass的数据显示,在短短24小时内,价值超过10亿美元的头寸被清算,为3月初以来的最高水平。

加密货币交易的混乱

但这就是事情变得有趣的地方。一旦清算开始放缓,市场情绪就会一飞冲天。

加密货币经纪商FalconX表示,几乎所有的客户,包括自营交易台、对冲基金、风险基金和零售聚合商,都加入了下跌的行列。

在抛售狂潮平息后的第二天,随着交易员将资金转回交易所,币安净流入12亿美元。

与传统金融市场不同,在传统金融市场中,有像短期期货ETF这样的产品来帮助抑制波动,加密市场则是另一种野兽。

自动清算可能会使情况变得更糟,将糟糕的局面变成全面的崩溃。但对于一些交易者来说,一个人的损失就是另一个人的收益。

随着清算速度的放缓,这成为其他人介入并再次开始购买的信号。

尽管存在混乱,但美国的现货比特币ETF在每日交易量方面一直在改变游戏规则。但是,尽管这些ETF增加了活动,但它们并没有为平息市场的剧烈波动做太多工作。

真正的行动始于周一美国股市开盘,导致现货比特币ETF自推出以来最大的净流出。

科技股因未能达到极高的盈利预期而遭受重创,日元套息交易开始瓦解。加密货币和其他东西一起被拆除了。

如果比特币的价格与其他资产类别的情况挂钩,那么市场其他地方的情况就很重要。Vix波动率指数通常被视为衡量市场恐惧的指标,全年都相当平静。

但在周一达到新冠肺炎疫情早期以来的最高水平后,Vix尚未恢复到正常水平。一些比特币投资者可能过于安逸,认为最糟糕的时期已经过去。

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