Цена Bitcoin(BTC)

Bitcoin has lost over half its value since its October 2025 peak, currently trading in a $58,000-$63,000 range. The decline was driven by geopolitical tensions causing capital outflows. Despite this, on-chain data shows quiet accumulation, with apparent demand improving from -275,000 to -75,000 BTC over 30 days, though it remains negative. Technical analysis indicates limited downside, with price finding support at the Bollinger Bands lower band, but the MACD suggests further consolidation is likely. The Bitcoin Season Index reads 52, indicating no euphoric rally, and exchange reserves are declining, pointing to reduced selling pressure. Overall, the market shows signs of accumulation but not a confirmed bullish reversal, warranting a cautious outlook.

On July 6, 2026, Bitcoin mining company TeraWulf (NASDAQ: WULF) saw its stock surge 15% pre-market following the announcement of a landmark 20-year agreement with AI giant Anthropic. The deal grants Anthropic 401 MW of IT load capacity at TeraWulf's "Justified Data" campus in Kentucky and is projected to generate approximately $19 billion in contracted revenue for the miner over its duration. On the same day, TeraWulf also sold its 50.1% stake in a Texas joint venture for about $530 million. This dual move signals a strategic pivot: divesting non-core assets to fund its fully-owned Kentucky project and shifting focus from cryptocurrency mining to becoming a specialized infrastructure provider for AI. The agreement highlights a key advantage for Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI: their pre-existing access to land and critical power grid capacity, which is becoming a major bottleneck for data center expansion. Unlike peers who operate AI clouds, TeraWulf is adopting a "landlord" model, leasing only the physical space and power for clients' own servers. However, a significant gap exists between the deal's announcement and revenue generation, with the first phase of the Kentucky site not operational until late 2027. The $19 billion figure represents a long-term bet on both TeraWulf's execution and Anthropic's financial durability in the capital-intensive AI race. The market's positive reaction reflects the growing value of fundamental infrastructure—secured land and reliable electricity—in the era of AI compute scarcity.

Bitcoin has rebounded 11% from its 21-month low, but the sustainability of this rally hinges entirely on the Federal Reserve's release of the June FOMC meeting minutes. The bounce was triggered by a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, which showed only 57,000 jobs added in June—about half of economists' forecasts. This data prompted traders to scale back bets on further Fed rate hikes, fueling a rally in Bitcoin alongside gold and stocks. The upcoming minutes are critical. They will reveal whether Fed officials, in their mid-June meeting, were already expressing concerns about a weakening labor market, tight credit conditions, or the risks of overtightening—factors that would support the market's recent dovish shift. Conversely, if the discussion focused on persistent inflation and the conditions for more rate hikes, the rally's foundational narrative would crumble. Market indicators show the rebound's fragility. While US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant single-day inflow, it followed a prolonged period of outflows. On-chain data indicates a substantial increase in Bitcoin being moved to exchanges, creating potential sell pressure. Options market positioning suggests key price levels around $60,000 and $62,000 that could either stabilize or accelerate price movement. In essence, Bitcoin's 11% gain is built on speculation about the Fed's private deliberations three weeks ago. The FOMC minutes will replace that speculation with concrete details, and the discrepancy between market expectations and the actual record will determine whether Bitcoin holds above $64,000 or falls back toward $58,000.

Bitcoin's potential path toward $80,000 is influenced by conflicting market signals. Data shows the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has recorded its longest-ever streak of consecutive negative premiums, indicating muted institutional demand or net selling from U.S. institutions. While such a trend often signals short-term weakness, it doesn't necessarily forecast a long-term bear market. Additionally, a bearish crossover occurred in Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), with its short-term average falling below the longer-term average, suggesting declining investor profitability and waning market momentum. Historically, major bear market bottoms saw the 100-day NUPL drop below zero, but this cycle it remains positive, implying either an unprecedented bottom or a further decline is needed. Currently trading around $63,148, Bitcoin has seen weekly gains but remains below its May peak. Technical indicators present a mixed picture: the MACD shows bullish momentum, while the RSI signals bearish pressure. A positive development is the return of inflows to Bitcoin ETFs after eight weeks of outflows. Analysts hold divergent views; some highlight a key liquidity zone between $48,000-$50,000 where a market bottom could form, while others maintain a more optimistic long-term outlook. Ultimately, while some bullish signs exist, a strong push from institutional investors appears crucial for Bitcoin to challenge the $80,000 level.

MicroStrategy, once the largest corporate buyer of Bitcoin, sold 3,588 BTC for approximately $216 million to fund its preferred stock dividends, marking a significant shift from buyer to seller. This move occurred after its market-to-NAV premium vanished, breaking its "print stock to buy Bitcoin" financial model. A roundtable discussion featuring Austin Campbell, Ram Ahluwalia, and Chris Perkins analyzed the implications. They noted that MicroStrategy's dominance has become a narrative bottleneck for the broader crypto market, with some speculating that Bitcoin's price might only surge significantly after the company's influence wanes. The conversation expanded to examine the capital structure conflict between traditional equity and crypto tokens, arguing that most current tokens will fail as they don't fit neatly into existing debt/equity frameworks. A "stablecoin war" was identified as a major trend, with entities like Tether, Robinhood, and the OUSD alliance competing. Tether's decision to abandon the European MiCA market highlights strategic divergences. The panelists argued that bank-issued stablecoins could revolutionize global finance by allowing US banks to capture net interest margins from international transactions, potentially making JPMorgan the first trillion-dollar bank. They concluded that while capital is currently being siphoned by AI/semiconductors, markets will eventually refocus on fundamentals and cash flow, which could benefit cryptocurrencies with real utility.