# Сопутствующие статьи по теме IPO

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "IPO", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The Largest IPO in History Ignites Heated Debate: Is SpaceX Worth $1.77 Trillion?

SpaceX's potential IPO is priced at $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and valuing the company at approximately $1.77 trillion, which would make it the largest IPO in history. This valuation has sparked intense debate among investors. Bullish analysts, including major underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, argue the valuation is justified by SpaceX's long-term potential. They see it not just as a rocket company but as a future leader in space infrastructure, with key growth drivers being Starlink satellite internet, low-cost rocket launches, and future AI-related ventures. They project revenues reaching hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars by 2030-2040. ARK Invest's model suggests a 2030 enterprise value could reach $2.5 trillion. Bearish analysts from independent research firms like Morningstar, PitchBook, and New Constructs contend the IPO price is excessively high, already pricing in unrealistic future growth. Using DCF and sum-of-the-parts models, they estimate fair value between $780 billion and $1.7 trillion, significantly below the IPO target. They highlight risks such as the speculative nature of AI projections, over-dependence on Elon Musk, high growth expectations, and corporate governance concerns. Trefis set a target price of just $79 per share. While both sides acknowledge SpaceX's unique position in commercial space, the core disagreement centers on whether the $135 share price offers a reasonable margin of safety or is overly optimistic. Despite the valuation controversy, reported strong demand for the IPO indicates significant market interest.

marsbit2 дня назад 12:07

The Largest IPO in History Ignites Heated Debate: Is SpaceX Worth $1.77 Trillion?

marsbit2 дня назад 12:07

Promised Year of Crypto IPOs? Only One Went Public in Six Months, Down 70%

The much-anticipated wave of crypto IPOs in 2026 has failed to materialize, with market conditions worsening dramatically. While SpaceX prepares for the largest IPO in history, raising $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, the crypto sector faces a frozen pipeline. The sole crypto IPO success this year, BitGo, serves as a cautionary tale. After launching on the NYSE in January at $18, its stock has plummeted approximately 70%. Other major contenders have stalled or delayed. Kraken, which secretly filed in late 2025, has put its plans on ice, seeing its valuation drop 33% to $13.3 billion. Consensys has postponed its filing until autumn at the earliest, and Bitpanda is poised to miss its self-imposed H1 deadline for a Frankfurt listing. This widespread retreat is driven by a severe liquidity crunch. Bitcoin has fallen below $60,000, with capital being diverted to AI stocks and the massive SpaceX offering. The poor performance of earlier crypto listings like Gemini and the stagnant price of Coinbase further dampen investor appetite. A key underlying pressure is the impending US midterm elections in November, which could alter the currently favorable regulatory landscape. Companies had hoped to go public during this window of policy certainty, but challenging market dynamics have overridden those plans. The transparency that comes with being a public company is now seen as a potential liability rather than a benefit in a down market. The industry's fate now hinges on a few critical watchpoints: whether Kraken restarts its process in H2, if Consensys files in the fall, and if SpaceX's debut can revitalize market liquidity. Otherwise, the promised "crypto IPO year" will likely be pushed beyond the election.

marsbit2 дня назад 06:09

Promised Year of Crypto IPOs? Only One Went Public in Six Months, Down 70%

marsbit2 дня назад 06:09

Partner at Pantera Capital: How Tokenization Can Restructure the Private Equity and Early-Stage Investment Ecosystem?

"Tokenized Startups: Rebalancing Access to High-Growth Companies" by Jay Yu, compiled by Jiahuan, ChainCatcher The article explores how tokenization could democratize access to high-growth private companies, addressing a market gap created as firms like Stripe and SpaceX stay private for over a decade, depriving public investors of early growth returns. It identifies three converging trends enabling this shift: the explosive growth of Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) as makeshift liquidity tools, the rise of tokenized real-world assets (RWA), and the breakdown of the "token vs. equity" consensus where project tokens often fail to capture value. The landscape of tokenized startup platforms is analyzed across two dimensions: investment mechanisms (from equity-holding SPVs like PreStocks to perpetual futures like TradeXYZ) and company stage (early-stage to pre-IPO giants). A key finding is a strong power-law concentration, with most platform volume driven by a few high-profile pre-IPO names like SpaceX and Anthropic. Platforms providing direct equity exposure (e.g., Robinhood Ventures) currently see higher volumes than pure synthetic/perpetual platforms. The discussion highlights major challenges and opportunities: 1. **Founder/Team Alignment:** Gaining company consent for tokenization is critical, as seen when Anthropic and OpenAI objected. Proposed solutions include tokenized startup baskets, accelerator models (e.g., Street, MetaDAO helping startups grow), and community token distributions to align incentives. 2. **Non-U.S. Jurisdictions:** Tokenization offers significant potential in regions with less efficient capital markets (e.g., South Korea), providing global liquidity and better valuations for local champions. 3. **Price Discovery for Perpetuals:** Synthetic/perpetual platforms avoid consent issues but face price discovery challenges for illiquid private assets. TradeXYZ's success with Cerebras Systems' pre-IPO perpetual, which accurately predicted the IPO price, showcases potential but scalability remains unproven. 4. **Legal & Regulatory Structure:** Regulatory treatment varies. Issuer-sponsored tokens are treated as traditional securities. Third-party tokens face complex classifications—custodial tokens represent claims on held shares, while synthetic tokens (perpetuals, linked notes) are separate securities subject to strict rules, often restricting U.S. retail access. In conclusion, tokenized startup mechanisms represent an attempt to restore the public market's historical function of providing early, liquid exposure to high-growth companies. For crypto tokens, successfully capturing real economic upside in startups could resolve their current identity crisis and fulfill their original promise.

marsbit06/10 12:57

Partner at Pantera Capital: How Tokenization Can Restructure the Private Equity and Early-Stage Investment Ecosystem?

marsbit06/10 12:57

SpaceX's Core Window for Listed Trading: July 7th Nasdaq Inclusion Date and Post-Q2 Earnings Lockup Expiration

SpaceX is set for its historic IPO on June 12 at $135 per share, with a paper valuation of $1.75 trillion. A key insight from analyst Alexandra Mertz highlights the IPO's unique structure, where an extremely low initial public float of only 4.3% is expected to create a significant supply vacuum. This scarcity is set to collide with massive forced buying from index funds like Vanguard, CRSP, and FTSE Russell, which are scheduled to start adding SpaceX to their indices as early as June 18/22 and July 7 (NASDAQ 100 inclusion). This could propel the stock price sharply higher, with AI models like Grok predicting a potential doubling from the IPO price around July 7. Another critical date is the post-Q2 earnings call (estimated late July), when early insider shareholders (excluding Elon Musk, who has a 366-day lock-up) become eligible to sell. However, actual selling pressure may be only 10-15% of shares, as major holders like Ron Baron and BlackRock have expressed intentions to hold or buy more. The discussion introduces a compelling "Goldilocks scenario": a potential stock-for-stock merger announcement between SpaceX and Tesla in the window between the July 7 price peak and the late-July unlock period. This timing could help Elon Musk manage a personal $7 billion tax liability related to exercising Tesla stock options by August 15, while leveraging high valuations for both companies. Furthermore, the inclusion of former Tesla adversaries like Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan as SpaceX IPO underwriters is seen as a strategic move to secure their "yes" votes for a potential Tesla merger approval in a November shareholder vote. The rationale for SpaceX acquiring Tesla, rather than the reverse, centers on SpaceX's superior governance structure, which offers Musk stronger control through super-voting shares and mandatory arbitration clauses, protecting the combined entity from activist investors and legal challenges.

marsbit06/10 12:20

SpaceX's Core Window for Listed Trading: July 7th Nasdaq Inclusion Date and Post-Q2 Earnings Lockup Expiration

marsbit06/10 12:20

From ChatGPT to Capital War: What Crypto Opportunities Are Hidden Behind OpenAI's Sprint Toward IPO?

From ChatGPT to Capital Wars: Hidden Crypto Opportunities Behind OpenAI's IPO Push On June 9th, OpenAI confirmed it has confidentially filed for an IPO with the U.S. SEC, alongside revealing a long-term roadmap aiming for AI to handle most of its own R&D by 2028. This move signals a shift in the AI industry from technological competition to a capital-intensive race, potentially evolving into an ecosystem war. For the crypto market, this event could mark the beginning of a new funding narrative. OpenAI's transformation from a non-profit research lab in 2015 to a commercial behemoth was catalyzed by ChatGPT's explosive growth in 2022. Its business now spans consumer AI assistants, enterprise APIs, and critically, massive AI infrastructure requiring trillions in investment by 2030. The core driver for the IPO is the immense cost of the AI arms race, primarily for GPU compute power for training and inference. With rivals like Anthropic also filing to go public and giants like Google and Meta investing heavily, competition is intensifying around capital, compute, and ecosystem scale. The crypto market, whose cycles have often been fueled by external narratives like DeFi and NFTs, may see a refocus towards "AI means of production." Key beneficiaries could include decentralized compute networks (e.g., Render, Akash) addressing GPU scarcity, AI Agent platforms enabling autonomous task execution, and projects tokenizing AI infrastructure/assets (AI x RWA). However, an OpenAI IPO could also create a capital drain from crypto, favoring projects with substantive utility over mere hype. Ultimately, OpenAI's IPO signifies AI's entry into a new era defined by resources. In this coming "gold rush," the biggest winners in crypto may be those providing the essential picks and shovels—the foundational compute, data, and economic layers for the AI age.

marsbit06/10 04:32

From ChatGPT to Capital War: What Crypto Opportunities Are Hidden Behind OpenAI's Sprint Toward IPO?

marsbit06/10 04:32

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