# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Valuation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Valuation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

ARK's SpaceX IPO Investment Guide: $1.75 Trillion Valuation, 95x Price-to-Sales Ratio, Where Is the Money Going?

ARK Invest, a major investor in SpaceX, provides an analysis following SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion in funding for a Nasdaq listing around June 2026. This would be the largest IPO in history. The valuation implies a price-to-sales ratio of ~95x based on ~$18.5B in projected 2025 revenue. ARK argues this reflects future potential, not current reality. Key drivers include Starlink, with over 10M users and $20B+ in 2026 revenue, launch services which have reduced costs by ~95% since 2008, and the strategic merger with xAI in February 2026, enabling vertically integrated AI and orbital computing. ARK’s investment thesis is based on SpaceX's proven execution of ambitious goals, like reusable rockets and global satellite internet. The firm notes that significant value creation often occurs pre-IPO, and its Venture Fund offers exposure to SpaceX’s earlier private stages. Post-IPO, the fund will manage the position per standard lock-up and rebalancing processes, maintaining flexibility to reinvest in other private innovations. The analysis is based on public estimates and ARK research; the S-1 filing is not yet public. This is not investment advice.

marsbit04/21 06:59

ARK's SpaceX IPO Investment Guide: $1.75 Trillion Valuation, 95x Price-to-Sales Ratio, Where Is the Money Going?

marsbit04/21 06:59

DeepSeek Funding: Liang Wenfeng's 'Realist' Pivot

DeepSeek, a leading Chinese AI company, has initiated its first external funding round, aiming to raise at least $300 million at a valuation of no less than $10 billion. This move marks a significant shift from its founder Liang Wenfeng’s previous idealistic stance of rejecting external capital to maintain independence. Despite strong financial backing from its parent company, quantitative trading firm幻方量化 (Huanfang Quant), which provided an estimated $700 million in revenue in 2025 alone, DeepSeek faces mounting challenges. Key issues include a 15-month gap in major model updates, delays in its flagship V4 release, and the loss of several core researchers to competitors offering significantly higher compensation. The company is also undergoing a strategic pivot by migrating its infrastructure from NVIDIA’s CUDA to Huawei’s Ascend platform, a move aligned with China’s push for technological self-reliance amid U.S. export controls. However, DeepSeek lags behind rivals like智谱AI and MiniMax—both now publicly listed—in areas such as product ecosystem, multimodal capabilities, and commercialization. The funding round, though relatively small in scale, is seen as a way to establish a market-validated valuation anchor, making employee stock options more competitive and facilitating talent retention. It also signals DeepSeek’s transition from a pure research-oriented organization to a commercially-driven player in the global AI ecosystem.

marsbit04/20 11:19

DeepSeek Funding: Liang Wenfeng's 'Realist' Pivot

marsbit04/20 11:19

Anthropic's One Trillion vs. DeepSeek's 10 Billion

In April 2026, Anthropic's implied valuation briefly surpassed $1 trillion in secondary markets, despite its last official valuation being $380 billion. Its annualized revenue surged to $30 billion, largely driven by enterprise adoption of Claude Code. However, OpenAI accused Anthropic of inflating revenue by $80 billion through gross accounting. Anthropic is not expected to be profitable until 2027. Meanwhile, DeepSeek, after three years of rejecting external funding, announced its first fundraising round targeting a valuation over $10 billion. Founder Liang Wenfeng had prioritized independence and research over capital, citing chip shortages as a bigger constraint than funding. The move aims to address talent retention challenges and potential shifts toward commercialization. Both companies represent different AI philosophies: Anthropic’s closed-source, enterprise-focused model contrasts with DeepSeek’s open-source, research-driven approach. Each faces core challenges—Anthropic must justify its valuation with eventual profits, while DeepSeek must balance growth with its founding vision amid new investors.

marsbit04/20 05:40

Anthropic's One Trillion vs. DeepSeek's 10 Billion

marsbit04/20 05:40

Trading Volume Soars 80-Fold: How Kalshi is Reshaping the Sports Prediction Market

Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market platform, has experienced explosive growth, with monthly trading volume surging 80x to $14.4 billion by March 2026. Sports markets drive this expansion, representing 68% of total activity. Analysis shows Kalshi's prices are highly efficient, with pre-game probabilities deviating only 5.5% from actual outcomes. While its peer-to-peer exchange model offers advantages over traditional sportsbooks—including nationwide availability and no betting limits—Kalshi faces challenges with higher effective fees (2.8-4.2%) and limited in-play liquidity. The platform's $22 billion valuation reflects its positioning as an exchange rather than a bookmaker, but maintaining this premium requires improving liquidity depth and managing competition from rivals like Polymarket and potential entrants from traditional sports betting.

marsbit04/19 06:26

Trading Volume Soars 80-Fold: How Kalshi is Reshaping the Sports Prediction Market

marsbit04/19 06:26

Pundit Says Stop Analyzing XRP On A Chart, Do This Instead

Market analyst Luke Suther argues that traditional chart-based analysis fails to capture XRP's true long-term value. Instead, he emphasizes evaluating XRP's underlying utility as a settlement layer within the global financial infrastructure, estimated at $5.53 quadrillion. This includes systems like SWIFT, DTCC, major banks, and payment processors. Suther contends that XRP's price should be assessed based on its capacity to facilitate fast, low-cost, large-scale value transfers. He explains that a higher XRP price is functionally necessary to support efficient institutional liquidity and minimize slippage, rather than being measured by market cap alone.

bitcoinist04/16 07:24

Pundit Says Stop Analyzing XRP On A Chart, Do This Instead

bitcoinist04/16 07:24

Is the Rebound an Illusion? The Bond Market Has Already Given the Answer

Is the stock market's rapid rebound to pre-war levels a sign of recovery or a misleading rally driven by momentum rather than fundamentals? While the S&P 500 has fully recovered its losses from the U.S.-Iran conflict and nears all-time highs, bond and oil markets tell a different story. Key data reveals contradictions: 10-year Treasury yields have risen 30 basis points, signaling persistent inflation concerns and constrained Fed policy space. WTI crude is up 37%, indicating that geopolitical risks are not priced to resolve soon. The 2-year Treasury yield, a sensitive gauge of rate expectations, has increased nearly 40 bps, challenging the narrative of imminent Fed rate cuts. The equity market appears to be pricing in a "perfect scenario": subdued oil impact on consumption, Fed rate cuts despite hot inflation, stable corporate margins, and near-term conflict resolution. However, bonds and oil reflect a reality of sticky inflation, limited Fed flexibility, and ongoing geopolitical tension. This divergence suggests the rally may be momentum-driven rather than fundamentally justified. If upcoming CPI data exceeds expectations (e.g., above 3.5%), the 2026 rate-cut narrative could collapse. Investors chasing the rally are betting on an ideal outcome—swift conflict resolution, controlled inflation, Fed easing, and resilient earnings—while ignoring signals from more cautious asset classes. The gap will likely close either through a fundamental improvement validating stocks or a market correction aligning with bond and oil realities.

marsbit04/16 07:05

Is the Rebound an Illusion? The Bond Market Has Already Given the Answer

marsbit04/16 07:05

US Stocks in the 'Largest Bubble in History' Zone? Four Major Valuation Indicators Flash Red Simultaneously

U.S. stock market valuations are flashing multiple warning signs, with key indicators reaching historic highs. The S&P 500's CAPE ratio has hit 39, a level only surpassed during the 2000 dot-com bubble. The "Buffett Indicator" (market cap to GDP) has soared past 230%, an all-time high. Furthermore, market concentration is extreme, with the top 10 stocks comprising over 35% of the index's weight and the "Magnificent 7" alone accounting for over 30%. Wall Street is deeply divided on the implications. The bearish camp, including figures like Jeremy Grantham, warns this is an AI-driven bubble, pointing to massive losses at companies like OpenAI and classic late-cycle signals. They caution that high valuations historically lead to poor future returns and significant corrections. The bullish camp argues that strong earnings justify the premiums. Analysts project 17.6% profit growth for the S&P 500 in 2026. Firms like BlackRock contend the rally is earnings-driven, and historical patterns suggest bull markets can continue. Geopolitical risks, such as the Iran conflict pushing oil above $100, and a hesitant Fed add further uncertainty. The market is at a crossroads: whether AI-driven profits will validate high valuations or if a major correction is imminent.

marsbit04/16 02:38

US Stocks in the 'Largest Bubble in History' Zone? Four Major Valuation Indicators Flash Red Simultaneously

marsbit04/16 02:38

Kraken IPO Still Alive Despite Market Rumors

Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi confirmed the cryptocurrency exchange has confidentially filed for an IPO, despite earlier rumors of a delay due to market conditions. Speaking at the Semafor World Economy 2026 conference, Sethi stated the decision to go public is not driven by a need for funds but will depend on market conditions and regulatory confidence. This follows a $200 million investment from Deutsche Börse Group in Kraken’s parent company, which valued Kraken at $13.3 billion. Sethi emphasized a long-term vision, downplaying short-term regulatory or market fluctuations as significant factors in the IPO timeline.

TheNewsCrypto04/15 09:12

Kraken IPO Still Alive Despite Market Rumors

TheNewsCrypto04/15 09:12

Deutsche Börse Invests $200 Million in Kraken, Valuation Drops 30% from Last Year

Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi confirmed at the Semafor World Economy Conference that the crypto exchange has confidentially filed for an IPO. The announcement came alongside a $200 million investment from Deutsche Börse, which acquired a 1.5% stake in Kraken’s parent company Payward, implying a valuation of $13.3 billion — a 33% decrease from its $20 billion valuation in November 2025. Kraken initially submitted its draft S-1 to the SEC a day after its previous funding round, which included backing from Citadel Securities, Jane Street, and DRW Venture Capital. The exchange has not disclosed IPO size or pricing, stating it will finalize terms after regulatory review and market stabilization. The investment deepens a commercial collaboration announced in December 2025, focusing on integrating Kraken’s xStocks tokenized stock platform into Deutsche Börse’s digital asset infrastructure. Kraken has expanded aggressively, launching CME futures trading in October 2025 and reaching over $10 billion in xStocks trading volume by November. Regulatory conditions have also improved, with the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Kraken in March 2025.

marsbit04/15 06:52

Deutsche Börse Invests $200 Million in Kraken, Valuation Drops 30% from Last Year

marsbit04/15 06:52

Hormuz Blockade, Oil Prices Surpass $100, Why Aren't U.S. Stocks Falling?

Amidst the U.S.-Iran negotiation breakdown and the subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel, the S&P 500 surprisingly rose by 1% on April 13, erasing all losses since the outbreak of the Iran conflict and reaching 6,886 points. Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock concurrently expressed bullish outlooks, emphasizing that corporate earnings resilience far outweighs geopolitical shocks. Data from LSEG I/B/E/S showed Q1 2026 earnings growth expectations for the S&P 500 increased to 13.9%, up from 12.7% pre-conflict. The "Magnificent Seven" tech giants saw their valuation premium narrow, making equities more attractive. Historical analysis from UBS and LPL Research indicates that geopolitical shocks typically see markets recover within six weeks. Meanwhile, retail investors on Reddit expressed confusion, questioning why negative news didn’t trigger declines, highlighting a disconnect between headline risks and market pricing. The consensus among institutions is that strong earnings and limited conflict impact justify buying the dip.

marsbit04/14 03:36

Hormuz Blockade, Oil Prices Surpass $100, Why Aren't U.S. Stocks Falling?