# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Valuation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Valuation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

From High Growth to Hard Reality: The Q4 Stress Test for Coinbase and Robinhood

Coinbase and Robinhood faced significant challenges in Q4 2025, revealing their continued heavy dependence on cryptocurrency market cycles despite efforts to diversify. Robinhood reported record annual revenue of $4.5 billion and a net profit of $1.9 billion, with strong growth in traditional trading and options. However, its crypto transaction revenue plummeted 38% year-over-year to $221 million, and app trading volume fell 57% in January 2026. Despite its broader financial offerings, the market still views Robinhood as a Bitcoin-dependent asset, causing its stock to drop 50% from recent highs. Coinbase experienced a steeper decline, with revenue falling 21.6% to $1.78 billion and a net loss of $667 million due to crypto asset depreciation. Retail trading volume collapsed to $59 billion, far below institutional volume of $237 billion. While stablecoin revenue and institutional services provided some support, the sharp drop in high-fee retail activity exposed Coinbase’s vulnerability to crypto market downturns. Both companies illustrate the broader industry issue: declining active users and over-reliance on crypto volatility. Their valuations remain tightly correlated to Bitcoin’s performance. Key takeaways include the necessity of stable revenue streams (like interest and stablecoins), excess infrastructure amid shrinking user demand, and the urgent need for sustainable business models beyond pure crypto speculation. Survival in 2026 will depend on financial resilience rather than growth.

比推02/13 05:43

From High Growth to Hard Reality: The Q4 Stress Test for Coinbase and Robinhood

比推02/13 05:43

Software Stocks Plunge 20%, But I'm Heavily Invested in Adobe and Salesforce

Last week, the software sector lost $1 trillion in market value, with stocks like Shopify, Atlassian, Salesforce, and Adobe plunging. The sell-off was triggered by Anthropic's release of Claude Cowork and OpenAI's similar tools, sparking fears that AI would disrupt traditional software companies. However, the author argues this reaction is irrational panic, drawing parallels to past overreactions: Google’s 40% drop after ChatGPT, Meta’s 70% decline due to TikTok, and Nvidia’s 30% fall after DeepSeek—all of which later rebounded significantly. The author believes established software firms have strong defenses: high switching costs, deep AI integration capabilities, and entrenched trust with enterprise clients. On Thursday, they bought Adobe, Salesforce, ServiceNow, and Microsoft, citing low valuations and robust fundamentals. Adobe trades at half its historical P/E, with $5B in AI revenue. Salesforce’s AI products grew rapidly, and ServiceNow’s subscriptions rose 21% last quarter. Microsoft, despite its OpenAI stake, is undervalued with the lowest P/E among Magnificent Seven stocks. The author views this as a market overreaction and a buying opportunity for high-quality companies.

marsbit02/12 07:18

Software Stocks Plunge 20%, But I'm Heavily Invested in Adobe and Salesforce

marsbit02/12 07:18

Here’s The Mistake Most People Are Making With XRP; Pundit Reveals

A prominent XRP supporter, BarriC, argues that the biggest mistake in evaluating the token is using a retail trading framework to predict its future value. He contends that XRP has only existed in a speculative environment shaped by typical crypto market cycles, which doesn't account for its potential integration into global financial infrastructure. Critics often cite unrealistic market capitalization requirements for high price targets like $1,000 or $10,000. However, BarriC dismisses market cap as a limiting factor, stating that if XRP becomes a necessity for global payments—potentially replacing SWIFT and handling trillions in transactions—its valuation would be driven by utility and demand, not speculation. This shift would fundamentally change how the asset is priced.

bitcoinist02/12 03:32

Here’s The Mistake Most People Are Making With XRP; Pundit Reveals

bitcoinist02/12 03:32

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

Amidst a declining broader market, the prediction market sector has shown remarkable resilience, with trading activity hitting record highs. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the U.S., reached over $9.5 billion in trading volume in January, ranking first in the sector and setting a new monthly record. This has sparked renewed discussions about the fair pre-IPO share price of Kalshi, which is poised to become the "first prediction market stock." Currently, significant price discrepancies exist on crypto-based pre-IPO trading platforms: PreStocks lists Kalshi shares between $364 and $369, while Jarsy shows a price of around $504. In traditional markets, Nasdaq Private Market prices shares at approximately $320, and Hiive at $358. Kalshi completed a Series E funding round last year at a $11 billion valuation. Based on this, the reasonable pre-IPO share price range is estimated to be between $320 and $358. However, considering Kalshi's dominant market share and January volume nearing the entire prediction market's size from October last year, its implied valuation could be at least $15 billion. This would adjust the reasonable share price range to approximately $320–$423. Thus, Jarsy's current pricing appears high, while PreStocks may present arbitrage opportunities. With 2026 being a major year for global sporting events, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is significant, likely exceeding earlier estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could further drive up its pre-IPO valuation in the future.

比推02/11 15:25

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

比推02/11 15:25

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Amidst a declining crypto market, prediction markets have emerged as a standout sector. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the U.S., reached a record monthly trading volume exceeding $9.5 billion in January, sparking renewed interest in its pre-IPO stock pricing. Current pre-IPO share prices for Kalshi show significant discrepancies across platforms. On PreStocks, prices are around $369 (implied market cap) and $364 (capitalization-based). In contrast, Jarsy lists a price of approximately $504 per share. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets like Nasdaq Private Market and Hiive show prices around $320 and $358, respectively. Kalshi completed a Series E funding round last year at an $11 billion valuation. Based on this, a reasonable pre-IPO share price range is estimated to be $320–$358. However, considering its surging trading volume and a projected market capitalization of at least $15 billion, a more optimistic price range of $358–$423 is plausible. This suggests Jarsy's current pricing may be high, while PreStocks might present an arbitrage opportunity. With major sporting events in 6 expected to boost activity, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is significant, potentially exceeding earlier estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could further drive up its pre-IPO valuation.

marsbit02/11 10:57

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

marsbit02/11 10:57

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Amidst a recent market downturn, the prediction market sector has shown remarkable resilience. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the US, reached a record single-month trading volume exceeding $9.5 billion in January, making it the sector leader. This surge has sparked renewed interest in pricing its pre-IPO shares. Significant price discrepancies exist across different pre-IPO trading platforms. On PreStocks, Kalshi shares are priced between $364 and $369. On Jarsy, the price is notably higher at around $504. In contrast, traditional private markets like Nasdaq Private Market and Hiive list shares at approximately $320 and $358, respectively. The analysis suggests a reasonable pre-IPO share price range for Kalshi is between $320 and $423. This is based on its last private funding round valuation of $11 billion and an estimated implied valuation of at least $15 billion, supported by its surging trading volume which now nearly equals the entire prediction market's size from October of the previous year. The article concludes that Jarsy's current price appears high, while PreStocks may present a potential arbitrage opportunity. Furthermore, with 2026 being a major year for global sporting events, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is seen as substantial, potentially exceeding estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could lead to further increases in its pre-IPO valuation.

Odaily星球日报02/11 10:44

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Odaily星球日报02/11 10:44

Ripple Joins Top 10 Global Private Companies With A $50B Valuation

Ripple has been ranked among the top 10 most valuable private companies globally, with an estimated valuation of $50 billion, according to a widely shared "unicorn companies" list on X. This positions Ripple alongside major AI and fintech firms like OpenAI, ByteDance, and SpaceX. The valuation marks a significant increase from its $40 billion late-2025 financing, suggesting a sharp upward revaluation. Unlike public companies, Ripple's value is shaped by private transactions, including share buybacks at lower valuations in 2022 and 2024. The ranking reframes Ripple as a large-scale payments infrastructure business rather than a crypto-focused narrative. However, with no imminent IPO plans, its valuation remains subject to periodic private market activity. At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at $1.40.

bitcoinist02/10 01:32

Ripple Joins Top 10 Global Private Companies With A $50B Valuation

bitcoinist02/10 01:32

CZ's Missed Opportunity: The Cost of a Trillion-Dollar AI Era

In 2014, CZ sold his Shanghai apartment to buy 1,500 BTC—a legendary investment that would have been worth nearly $190 million at its peak. But an even bigger opportunity came years later. In November 2022, amid FTX’s liquidity crisis, Binance signed a non-binding letter of intent to acquire the failing exchange. The deal fell through within days, and FTX collapsed. Unknown to many at the time, FTX held a hidden gem: a 7.84% stake in AI startup Anthropic, acquired in a 2022 funding round. That investment, made before the AI boom, is now worth an estimated $27.44 billion based on Anthropic’s rumored $350 billion valuation. Had the Binance-FTX acquisition proceeded, CZ might have gained control of this stake—potentially the most valuable asset in FTX’s portfolio. Instead, FTX’s bankruptcy estate sold the Anthropic shares to traditional financial firms like Jane Street and Fidelity, netting over $1.3 billion. The article reflects on the missed chance for crypto leaders to influence AI’s top tier and laments what could have been a powerful convergence of crypto and AI.

比推02/09 18:03

CZ's Missed Opportunity: The Cost of a Trillion-Dollar AI Era

比推02/09 18:03

The Day CZ Missed the Best Investment of His Life, Crypto Missed AI

In 2014, CZ sold his Shanghai apartment to buy 1,500 BTC—a legendary investment in crypto history. But years later, he missed an even bigger opportunity: acquiring FTX in 2021. During FTX liquidity crisis negotiations, Binance signed a non-binding LOI to acquire the exchange but backed out within a day, citing issues “beyond control.” Unbeknownst to many, FTX held a hidden gem: a $500 million investment in AI startup Anthropic, acquired in 2021 for a 13.56% stake (later diluted to 7.84%). Post-ChatGPT, Anthropic’s valuation soared. It’s nearing a new funding round at a potential $350 billion valuation. FTX’s stake would now be worth ~$27.4 billion—enough to cover its collapse losses multiple times. Instead, FTX’s bankruptcy estate sold the shares for over $1.3 billion to traditional investors like Jane Street and Fidelity—not crypto firms. This missed chance represents what could have been a powerful intersection of Crypto and AI, with potential innovations lost as the opportunity moved entirely into traditional finance hands.

marsbit02/09 04:22

The Day CZ Missed the Best Investment of His Life, Crypto Missed AI

marsbit02/09 04:22

The Day CZ Missed the Best Investment of His Life, Crypto Missed AI

CZ, the founder of Binance, famously sold his Shanghai apartment in 2014 to buy Bitcoin—a move that would have yielded nearly $190 million at its peak. But an even bigger opportunity came years later, one that he ultimately walked away from. In November 2021, amid a liquidity crisis at FTX, Binance signed a non-binding letter of intent to acquire the rival exchange. The deal fell through within days, accelerating FTX’s collapse. Unbeknownst to many, FTX held a hidden gem in its portfolio: a $500 million lead investment in AI startup Anthropic, acquired in April 2021 for a 13.56% stake (later diluted to 7.84%). At the time, AI had not yet entered its explosive growth phase. But after the launch of ChatGPT and the rise of Anthropic’s Claude models, the company’s valuation soared. Recent reports suggest Anthropic is raising funds at a valuation as high as $350 billion. At that level, FTX’s stake would have been worth approximately $27.44 billion—more than enough to cover the exchange’s infamous shortfall. After FTX’s bankruptcy, its Anthropic shares were sold off in court-approved transactions totaling over $1.3 billion to traditional financial firms and Abu Dhabi-based investors—not to crypto companies. The article reflects on what could have been: had CZ acquired FTX, or had SBF held on, a major crypto-native entity could have held influence in one of AI’s top firms, potentially fostering deeper integration between crypto and AI. Instead, that opportunity slipped into traditional finance’s—a missed chance for both CZ and the crypto industry.

Odaily星球日报02/09 04:17

The Day CZ Missed the Best Investment of His Life, Crypto Missed AI

Odaily星球日报02/09 04:17

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