# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May Bring Directional Decision The crypto market is currently in a critical transition phase. After months of a downtrend, Bitcoin has seen a minor rebound, retesting a key support level it had previously lost. However, the overall foundation for recovery remains fragile. Mounting macro pressures, weakening liquidity, and upcoming key policy events are shifting market pricing logic. Historically, Bitcoin has tested this key support range three times since October 2025. A break below the $65,000–$66,000 level could trigger another accelerated decline. While April is seasonally considered a stronger month, historical performance is mixed. This cycle, the market is driven more by liquidity conditions, macro catalysts, and shifting investor positioning rather than simple seasonal patterns. Factors like rising oil prices boosting inflation expectations and a stronger dollar are historically negative for Bitcoin. The market's rhythm in April will be crucial: thin liquidity and heightened volatility early in the month, followed by a focus on macro data and policy expectations mid-month, with a potential for clearer direction only after the FOMC meeting toward the month's end. The baseline scenario suggests continued weakness in the first half of April. If key support holds, a potential rebound is more likely to gain momentum in the latter part of the month as tax-related selling pressures subside and policy expectations stabilize. Investors are advised to focus on liquidity and macro variables rather than seasonal patterns, managing risk while awaiting clearer signals for a sustained recovery.

marsbit04/04 11:08

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

marsbit04/04 11:08

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

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