# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

Fed holds rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% as projections signal slower path to easing

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.5%–3.75% on 18 March, signaling that inflation remains too high to justify near-term cuts. Policymakers emphasized that inflation is still above the 2% target despite a solid economy and stable labor market. The Fed's updated economic projections indicate a delayed easing cycle, with PCE inflation expected at 2.7% in 2026 and the federal funds rate around 3.4% the same year. This reinforces a "higher-for-longer" narrative. Geopolitical risks were also noted as a potential source of uncertainty. For crypto markets, the lack of immediate rate cuts may limit liquidity, but the soft-landing narrative remains supportive over the medium term. Markets will now focus on incoming data to gauge the timing of policy easing.

ambcrypto03/18 19:09

Fed holds rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% as projections signal slower path to easing

ambcrypto03/18 19:09

Bitcoin longs stack above $73K ahead of FOMC – Is short squeeze coming?

Bitcoin is seeing significant long positions stacked above $73K ahead of the March 18 FOMC meeting, amid expectations of continued upward momentum. Despite broader risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, nearly $400 billion has flowed into crypto in three weeks, driving a 25% BTC rally from its $60K floor. With $1.3 billion in shorts near $80K, a short squeeze could catalyze a breakout. Key factors include the Fed’s likely unchanged rates, Bitcoin’s low MVRV ratio suggesting long-term upside, and renewed buying pressure on major exchanges. Volatility is expected post-FOMC, but strong bid support may help bulls trigger a bear trap and push BTC past $80K.

ambcrypto03/18 18:32

Bitcoin longs stack above $73K ahead of FOMC – Is short squeeze coming?

ambcrypto03/18 18:32

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting

Cryptocurrency markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, with expectations nearly unanimous for interest rates to remain unchanged. Bitcoin is experiencing high volatility, trading between $74,000 and $76,000, with analysts divided on its short-term trajectory. Bearish voices warn of a potential drop to $68,000, citing macro liquidity concerns and a pattern of post-FOMC sell-offs. Bullish analysts, however, see a path to $80,000 or higher if key resistance levels are broken and ETF inflows continue. In a major regulatory development, the SEC and CFTC issued new guidance classifying most digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, and XRP, as non-security digital commodities, providing clearer regulatory boundaries. Key data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $199 million and $138 million respectively, while the market fear and greed index sits at 26 (Fear). Over $131 million was liquidated in 24 hours. Solana (SOL) is showing a bullish technical pattern, with analysts targeting $120-$145 if it holds support. Upcoming events include the Fed's rate decision, Chairman Powell's press conference, and token unlocks for projects like Lombard (BARD).

marsbit03/18 08:58

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting

marsbit03/18 08:58

AI Agent Got Its ID and Wallet on the Same Day｜Rewire Morning News

AI Agent Economy Accelerates with Key Infrastructure Launches. In a significant week for AI agents, Sam Altman's Worldcoin launched AgentKit, enabling AI agents to carry cryptographic proof of human identity, with 17.9 million users verified. On the same day, the protocol integrated with the x402 system from Coinbase and Cloudflare, allowing agents to perform micro-payments using stablecoins autonomously. Nvidia further solidified the infrastructure by releasing its Retail Agentic Commerce Blueprint, a full implementation of OpenAI's commerce protocol, enabling AI models like ChatGPT to handle entire shopping journeys. Industry projections suggest agent-driven commerce could reach $3-5 trillion by 2030. In other news, major tech industry associations filed a legal brief supporting Anthropic in its dispute with the Pentagon over the right to restrict government use of its AI. The Fed's March meeting concluded with rates held steady, while rising energy prices from the Iran conflict cloud the inflation outlook. Nvidia also unveiled its AI Grid, aiming to repurpose telecom networks into distributed推理 grids, and announced DLSS 5, a major graphics leap for 2026. The ongoing Iran war continues to strain global budgets and supply chains, with costs estimated between $40-95 billion.

marsbit03/18 04:55

AI Agent Got Its ID and Wallet on the Same Day｜Rewire Morning News

marsbit03/18 04:55

Bitcoin Buyers Return After February Selloff – Is the Downtrend Losing Momentum?

Bitcoin is trading firmly above $70,000 and recently tested $76,000, signaling renewed buyer momentum after a volatile February. Despite geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, Bitcoin has shown resilience compared to traditional assets. A CryptoQuant report indicates that buyer activity is returning to major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, with the 30-day net volume delta turning positive—a reversal from the deeply negative figures seen in February. While the shift remains modest and requires confirmation due to thin liquidity, it suggests buyers are gradually regaining influence. If sustained, this could support a breakout from Bitcoin’s current consolidation range.

bitcoinist03/17 21:01

Bitcoin Buyers Return After February Selloff – Is the Downtrend Losing Momentum?

bitcoinist03/17 21:01

Crypto Market Holds Breath Ahead Of FOMC Meeting, Will The Fed Ease Interest Rates?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on March 18, 2026, is expected to significantly impact the crypto market, as it determines U.S. interest rates. Current predictions from the CME FedWatch Tool indicate a 98.1% probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates at the current 3.50-3.75% range, with only a 1.90% chance of a rate cut and a 0% chance of a hike. If rates remain unchanged, the crypto market is likely to experience sideways movement, continuing its current slow trend as investors await more definitive signals. A rate hike typically causes market decline due to conservative investing, while a rate cut often leads to a rally as lower rates encourage risk-taking and increased liquidity. The crypto market, currently valued above $2.49 trillion, remains in a holding pattern ahead of the Fed's decision.

bitcoinist03/16 11:21

Crypto Market Holds Breath Ahead Of FOMC Meeting, Will The Fed Ease Interest Rates?

bitcoinist03/16 11:21

Hormuz Strait Sparks Oil War, Will the Fed Cut Rates in June First?

U.S. February CPI data showed inflation remained at 2.4% year-on-year, with core CPI at 2.5%, indicating persistent price pressures. The report, collected before U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iran, did not fully reflect potential energy price impacts from recent geopolitical tensions. Morgan Stanley maintains expectations for two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts in June and September, though rising oil prices could delay this timeline. Market probabilities currently favor a 64% chance of a June cut. Escalating military conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran has heightened risks of a major oil supply shock. Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for 20% of global oil shipments, has already driven Brent crude above $100 per barrel. A prolonged closure could push prices to $150 or higher, reminiscent of 1970s-style energy crises, potentially forcing the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer. Bitcoin continues to trade between $54,000 and $78,400, showing relative resilience compared to traditional assets like stocks and bonds. While short-term holders are selling at a loss—a typical bearish signal—crypto market leverage has significantly reduced, decreasing forced selling pressure. The upcoming FOMC meeting remains a key catalyst for both traditional and crypto markets.

marsbit03/12 06:00

Hormuz Strait Sparks Oil War, Will the Fed Cut Rates in June First?

marsbit03/12 06:00

PA Infographic | A Glance at Major Web3 Events in March 2026

PA Graphic | Key Web3 Events to Watch in March 2026 March 2026 is set to be a critical month for the crypto market, shaped by policy, macroeconomic trends, and liquidity dynamics. Major events include: - The FOMC interest rate decision and subsequent press conference by Jerome Powell, a key moment for global risk assets. - The upcoming vote on the Clarity Act, which could define US regulatory frameworks for stablecoins and digital assets. - The release of US February non-farm payroll and CPI data, influencing ongoing macro liquidity expectations. - Hong Kong issuing its first batch of stablecoin licenses. - Major token unlocks, including SUI and HYPE, totaling billions of dollars, potentially increasing selling pressure. - Metaplanet’s shareholder meeting, focusing on its Bitcoin strategy and capital market moves. - FTX’s new round of fund distributions, which may impact market sentiment and liquidity. With policy updates, economic data, token unlocks, and industry events unfolding simultaneously, market volatility is expected to intensify in March. For a concise overview of the core Web3 developments in March 2026, this graphic has you covered.

marsbit03/01 02:13

PA Infographic | A Glance at Major Web3 Events in March 2026

marsbit03/01 02:13

More Accurate Than Polls, More Dangerous Than Imagined: Prediction Markets in the Eyes of the Fed

The Federal Reserve is exploring the use of prediction markets, particularly Kalshi, as a real-time tool for policy insights. A Fed-affiliated working paper found that Kalshi’s predictions for core CPI and unemployment are statistically comparable to—and sometimes more accurate than—Bloomberg consensus estimates. Prediction markets aggregate real-money, belief-backed trading, offering frequent updates and capturing nuanced shifts that traditional surveys miss. For instance, Kalshi priced inflation uncertainty in real time during a trade policy scare—a dynamic monthly surveys couldn’t reflect. While these markets provide valuable signals, they also carry risks. Prices reflect both expectations and risk preferences, and heavy reliance on sports betting for liquidity makes macroeconomic markets vulnerable to regulatory changes. If sports betting is restricted, liquidity could dry up, increasing manipulation risks. Moreover, if the Fed openly uses prediction markets, it could create a feedback loop where traders manipulate smaller markets like Kalshi to influence broader policy communication and traditional financial instruments. Despite these concerns, prediction markets offer a uniquely timely and distributed form of expectation aggregation—especially for events like FOMC meetings, where informed participants trade with real stakes. The Fed should require open data transparency to mitigate manipulation and carefully weigh the signal against the noise.

比推02/24 18:33

More Accurate Than Polls, More Dangerous Than Imagined: Prediction Markets in the Eyes of the Fed