# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Analyzing if crypto can hold despite ‘5% chance’ of a Fed rate cut

Markets are pricing only a 5% probability of a Fed rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with concerns over persistent inflation outweighing recent data showing a drop to 2.7% and a weaker December jobs report. This high-rate environment continues to pressure risk assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies by increasing the opportunity cost of non-yielding investments. The Fed maintains a cautious, "wait-and-see" stance, indicating that a significant and sustained drop in inflation, particularly in housing and services, would be necessary to justify a policy shift. Until then, minimal rate changes are expected, keeping uncertainty high for crypto markets.

ambcrypto01/17 07:02

Analyzing if crypto can hold despite ‘5% chance’ of a Fed rate cut

ambcrypto01/17 07:02

Is Ethereum at risk as $3B in leverage builds before the FOMC?

Ethereum experiences a 3% pullback from its weekly high of $3.4k but remains 7% up from the week's open, indicating a potential healthy reset rather than weakness. Speculative interest is high, with $3 billion added to ETH's Open Interest and a 60% long skew on Binance. Despite market uncertainty ahead of the FOMC meeting, Ethereum shows strong fundamentals: record daily transactions of 2.8 million and an all-time high of 393k new wallets, suggesting growing network activity and fresh capital inflow. This underlying strength provides support amid current market conditions.

ambcrypto01/16 09:01

Is Ethereum at risk as $3B in leverage builds before the FOMC?

ambcrypto01/16 09:01

Bitcoin reclaims $97K – Why this BTC breakout still looks fragile

Bitcoin briefly reclaimed the $97,000 level, a key resistance point not seen in two months, following a delayed Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and a hotter-than-expected PPI report. The rally triggered a $275 million short squeeze and boosted market sentiment. However, the breakout is considered fragile, driven by a temporary alignment of macro stability and strong ETF inflows. With the FOMC meeting approaching and fading rate-cut expectations, the sustainability of the move is uncertain, leaving open the possibility of a sharp reversal.

ambcrypto01/15 09:02

Bitcoin reclaims $97K – Why this BTC breakout still looks fragile

ambcrypto01/15 09:02

Crypto ticks higher after Powell’s warning, but THIS favors Bitcoin

Cryptocurrency markets saw modest gains following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks defending the central bank’s independence amid political pressure from the Trump administration. Powell warned that threats of criminal indictment over interest rate decisions could undermine evidence-based monetary policy. Investors interpreted his stance as a potential signal that rate cuts remain possible, boosting risk assets like Bitcoin. However, the rally was uneven—Bitcoin captured the majority of inflows, with its market cap rising to $1.82 trillion, while altcoins struggled. The Altcoin Season Index fell sharply, indicating a shift toward "Bitcoin season." Sustained momentum depends on Bitcoin breaking key resistance at $94,000, which may further deepen its dominance rather than broadly lifting altcoins.

ambcrypto01/12 20:02

Crypto ticks higher after Powell’s warning, but THIS favors Bitcoin

ambcrypto01/12 20:02

94,500 May Become the Pivot Point for Bitcoin Bulls and Bears, Daily Chart Structure Enters Critical Observation Zone | Guest Analysis

**Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Key $94,500 Level as Market Enters Critical Phase** This analysis, authored by Cody Feng, reviews Bitcoin's performance from January 5-11 and provides a forward-looking outlook. Last week, the market precisely followed the predicted range-bound movement between $84,000 and $94,500, with a high of $94,789 and a low of $89,311. A successful short trade was executed at the $94,500 resistance level, yielding a 3.4% return. **Key Technical Observations:** * **Weekly Chart:** Indicators suggest a bearish trend is still in place, with the market remaining in an "air pocket" below a key multi-week moving average. A recent rejection at this level confirms sellers are still in control. * **Daily Chart:** The market is at a critical juncture. Momentum indicators show a struggle between bulls and bears, with no clear directional bias confirmed yet. **This Week's Forecast (Jan 12-18):** The primary expectation is for Bitcoin to continue consolidating within the $84,000-$94,500 range. A decisive break above $94,500 could trigger a stronger technical rebound towards $97,500. Conversely, a break below $84,000 would likely target the $80,000 support level. **Trading Strategy:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain a 65% short position as long as price remains below $94,500. * **Short-term:** Use 30% of capital for tactical trades based on range-bound (Plan A), breakdown (Plan B), or breakout (Plan C) scenarios, using the defined support/resistance levels and a strict 1.5% stop-loss. **Macro Focus:** A series of speeches from various Federal Reserve officials this week will be crucial for recalibrating market expectations on monetary policy. Their commentary on inflation and the economic outlook will significantly influence medium-term liquidity expectations and risk asset valuations, including Bitcoin. **Risk Management is emphasized:** Always set an initial stop-loss immediately upon opening a position and use a dynamic trailing stop to protect capital and lock in gains as the trade moves favorably.

marsbit01/12 07:15

94,500 May Become the Pivot Point for Bitcoin Bulls and Bears, Daily Chart Structure Enters Critical Observation Zone | Guest Analysis

marsbit01/12 07:15

94,500 May Become the Bull-Bear Battle Line for Bitcoin, Daily Chart Structure Enters Key Observation Zone | Guest Analysis

Bitcoin Price Analysis: $94,500 as Key Pivot Level, Weekly Outlook and Trading Strategies In this weekly analysis, crypto market analyst Cody Feng reviews Bitcoin's performance and outlines key levels and strategies for the coming week. Last week, BTC traded within the predicted range of $84,000–$94,500, hitting a high of $94,789 and a low of $89,311. A short trade executed at the $94,500 resistance level yielded a 3.4% gain using a 1x leverage. The trade was based on a "short at resistance" strategy, supported by proprietary quantitative models for momentum and spread trading. Current model readings suggest mixed signals: - Weekly charts indicate a bearish trend with momentum below zero, though selling pressure is slowing. - Daily charts show consolidation near the zero line, indicating a battle between bulls and bears. This week (Jan 12–18), BTC is expected to continue trading between $84,000–$94,500. A break below $84,000 could lead to a test of $80,000, while a sustained move above $94,500 may signal a stronger rebound. Key resistance levels are $92k–$93k, $94.5k–$95k, and $97.5k–$99.5k. Support levels are $89.5k–$91k, $86k–$86.5k, $83.5k–$84.5k, and $80k. Trading strategies include: - Maintaining a 65% mid-term short position unless $94,500 is broken. - Using 30% capital for short-term trades based on range-bound (A), breakdown (B), or breakout (C) scenarios. Macro focus this week features multiple Fed speakers whose comments may influence liquidity expectations and medium-term market sentiment. Risk management is emphasized: set stop-losses at entry, move to breakeven at +1% profit, and trail stops thereafter. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Trade with caution.

Odaily星球日报01/12 07:01

94,500 May Become the Bull-Bear Battle Line for Bitcoin, Daily Chart Structure Enters Key Observation Zone | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报01/12 07:01

Bitcoin eyes $100K amid market caution – Here’s why it makes sense!

Bitcoin is positioned for a potential move toward $100,000 despite a cautious market environment. Key macro events, including a Supreme Court tariff ruling and U.S. employment data, are creating volatility. Bitcoin’s 30-day Open Interest has fallen to its lowest since 2022, indicating a lack of "blind optimism" and reducing the risk of a sharp market crash. Although institutional demand remains soft with ETF outflows and a negative Coinbase Premium Index, weakening labor market data suggests a potential rate cut may be increasingly likely. With Bitcoin holding above $85,000, these conditions could support a more sustainable rally toward six figures by early February.

ambcrypto01/10 03:02

Bitcoin eyes $100K amid market caution – Here’s why it makes sense!

ambcrypto01/10 03:02

Long-Short Showdown Imminent, Three Strategies to Help You Profit in the Short Term | Invited Analysis

Cody Feng, a quantitative trading analyst, provides a weekly Bitcoin market analysis and strategy report. Last week's short-term trades (1x leverage) yielded a net 0.62% return, successfully validating the forecast that BTC would consolidate between $86,500 and $91,000 if it held the $86,000-$86,500 support. The price action, with a high of $91,764 and a low of $86,675, matched this prediction. Technical analysis indicates the weekly chart remains in a downtrend with bearish momentum, while the daily chart shows the market is at a critical juncture, with momentum indicators approaching a key equilibrium point, suggesting a potential directional breakout. For the coming week (Jan 5-11), the primary trading range is projected to be $84,000 to $94,500. A breakdown below $84,000 could trigger a move toward $80,000, while a decisive break above $94,500 may signal the start of a stronger technical rebound. Three short-term trading plans are outlined: - **Plan A (Range-bound: $84k-$94.5k)**: Short 30% of capital at resistance ($93k-$94.5k), stop-loss above $95.5k, take profit near support levels. - **Plan B (Breakdown below $84k)**: Short on the break, stop-loss above $85k, target $80k. - **Plan C (Breakout above $94.5k)**: Go long on the break, stop-loss below $93k, target $97.5k. Key US macroeconomic events this week, including speeches from FOMC officials and critical employment data (ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, Non-Farm Payrolls), could significantly impact market expectations for Fed policy and influence Bitcoin's medium-term valuation. All strategies include strict risk management rules for dynamic stop-loss placement to protect capital and lock in profits. *Disclaimer: This is a personal trading log for educational purposes, not investment advice. DYOR.*

marsbit01/05 07:45

Long-Short Showdown Imminent, Three Strategies to Help You Profit in the Short Term | Invited Analysis

marsbit01/05 07:45

Fed Meeting Minutes: 'Most' Officials Expect Further Rate Cuts Appropriate After December, Some Advocate Holding Steady 'For Some Time'

Federal Reserve December meeting minutes revealed a significant internal divide on interest rate policy. While a majority of officials supported the recent 25-basis-point rate cut and believed further cuts would be appropriate if inflation continues to decline as expected, a substantial faction advocated for pausing rate reductions "for some time." This group expressed concerns that progress on inflation had stalled and emphasized the need for greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward the 2% target before easing policy further. The discussion highlighted a careful balancing of risks. Most participants viewed the shift to a more neutral policy stance as necessary to prevent a potential severe deterioration in the labor market, with many noting that tariff-related inflationary pressures had diminished. Conversely, several officials warned of the risk that high inflation could become entrenched, cautioning that additional rate reductions amid elevated price data might be misinterpreted as a weakened commitment to the inflation target. All participants agreed that future policy decisions will not be predetermined and will remain highly dependent on incoming data, the evolving economic outlook, and the balance of risks. The minutes also noted that reserve balances have declined to ample levels, and the Committee will conduct purchases of Treasury bills as necessary to maintain an ample supply of reserves.

marsbit12/31 03:23

Fed Meeting Minutes: 'Most' Officials Expect Further Rate Cuts Appropriate After December, Some Advocate Holding Steady 'For Some Time'

marsbit12/31 03:23

Why is crypto up today? Bitcoin’s bounce, New Year buzz, and more

Bitcoin surged 2% to $90K on December 29th, driven by a hunt for liquidity targeting leveraged shorts above that level. Despite missing the earlier Santa rally, BTC remained range-bound between $85K and $90K. Analysts suggest further upside is possible with liquidity pools near $90.9K. Futures market data shows increased bullish sentiment, with rising Bitcoin funding rates and speculative bets on a New Year rally. Altcoins like Canton, Midnight, and Solana also gained 3-10%, with accumulation trends noted in tokens like Chainlink and FET. However, the altcoin season index remains low at 18. Market attention now turns to the upcoming FOMC minutes release, which may influence rate cut expectations and trigger volatility.

ambcrypto12/29 16:01

Why is crypto up today? Bitcoin’s bounce, New Year buzz, and more