# Liquidity Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Liquidity", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Luke Gromen: Why I Sold Most of My Bitcoin by the End of 2025

Luke Gromen, a long-term Bitcoin and gold bull, sold the majority of his Bitcoin holdings in late November 2025. He clarifies that this was not a full exit but a strategic reduction based on a shift in his macro outlook. Gromen remains a long-term Bitcoin supporter but now sees it behaving like a high-beta tech stock during deflationary periods—not as a neutral reserve asset as he once expected. He argues that in a highly leveraged global system, Bitcoin acts as the "equity layer" of the capital structure, making it highly vulnerable during liquidity tightening. A key reason for his caution is the rise of AI and robotics, which he believes are driving an exponential, technology-driven deflation. This deflation is structurally different—it’s efficiency-led, fast-spreading, and damaging to employment. In such an environment, he argues, anything short of "nuclear-level money printing" effectively acts as monetary tightening, and risk assets like Bitcoin suffer first. He also emphasizes a broader macro shift: the world is moving from a "finance-first" era to one where "realpolitik" returns—geopolitics, industrial capacity, and supply chain security are becoming hard constraints. This new world is less stable, less friendly to financial assets, and more volatile. Despite reducing Bitcoin exposure, Gromen remains bullish on silver due to strong industrial demand and inelastic supply. He expects that a future crisis will eventually force massive monetary intervention, but until then, he prefers to step back, preserve capital, and re-enter when the macro landscape becomes clearer.

marsbit12/27 16:23

Luke Gromen: Why I Sold Most of My Bitcoin by the End of 2025

marsbit12/27 16:23

Bitcoin’s fractal says $45K by 2026, but the charts aren’t buying it!

Bitcoin is experiencing a significant correction, having fallen from its all-time high of $126,000 to around $87,000. A fractal analysis by João Wedson suggests the bearish phase could extend until October 2026, with a potential bottom between $40,000 and $45,000. However, this projection is debated, as the current 32% decline falls within Bitcoin's typical range for minor corrections, unlike the 77% drop in 2021. Key on-chain metrics, such as stable trading volume and a less bearish MACD histogram, indicate limited selling pressure. Additionally, growing institutional adoption via Bitcoin ETFs and expanded global liquidity may counter the bearish outlook and support a recovery.

ambcrypto12/27 15:01

$Bitcoin’s fractal says $45K by 2026, but the charts aren’t buying it!$

ambcrypto12/27 15:01

Bitcoin – All about the liquidity signals that are hinting at a price recovery in 2026

Bitcoin's recent decline, driven by significant liquidations and a hawkish Fed outlook, shows signs of structural exhaustion, suggesting a potential bullish inflection point. Analysis indicates that a breakout above the descending resistance trendline could initiate a multi-week recovery. Liquidity conditions are expected to improve as inflation cools through the first half of 2026, potentially allowing the Fed to cut rates and inject liquidity into risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite recent outflows, spot investors have continued accumulating BTC, with $3.72 billion in purchases over four weeks. These factors, combined with possible quantitative easing, strengthen the outlook for a rebound toward previous all-time highs near $126,000.

ambcrypto12/27 07:02

Bitcoin – All about the liquidity signals that are hinting at a price recovery in 2026

ambcrypto12/27 07:02

When Crypto Assets Generate Yields and Stocks Become Collectibles: A Great Migration in Valuation Logic

The article explores the evolving valuation logic of markets, distinguishing between "cash flow markets" (driven by discounted future earnings) and "sentiment markets" (driven by collective belief and speculation). It observes a convergence: traditional assets like stocks are becoming more narrative-driven (e.g., meme stocks), while crypto assets, once purely speculative, are increasingly generating measurable cash flows (e.g., staking yields). This shift is facilitated by changes in the three layers of any market: the underlying asset, the ownership token, and the trading infrastructure. The author argues that liquidity acts as a double-edged sword—beneficial in cash flow markets but potentially destabilizing in sentiment-driven ones. Ultimately, markets are blending into a spectrum from pure cash flow to pure sentiment, driven by technology and new financial instruments, requiring systems that balance measurable value and narrative-driven appeal.

marsbit12/27 03:37

When Crypto Assets Generate Yields and Stocks Become Collectibles: A Great Migration in Valuation Logic

marsbit12/27 03:37

Are bubble fears warranted as AI tokens slide deeper after a ‘key divergence?’

The article examines the recent downturn in AI tokens and growing concerns of a potential AI bubble. It highlights a key divergence between declining employment data, with labor participation rate dropping to 59.4%, and the continued rise of the S&P 500, up 17.81% year-to-date. This divergence is attributed to AI-driven assets pushing equities higher despite deteriorating labor conditions, a dynamic reminiscent of past market bubbles. Analysts suggest a major signal of weakness may emerge by 2026, potentially characterizing an AI bubble. The decline is reflected in crypto markets, where AI tokens fell 24.9% in a month and 74.6% year-to-date, tracking losses in AI-related stocks. This correlation between equities and crypto is a long-standing trend. Current market momentum offers little support for a rebound, with trading volume down 20% to $3.48 billion, signaling weakening investor conviction. The pressure on AI tokens is part of a broader altcoin decline, with the total market cap falling to $1.16 trillion from a peak of $1.77 trillion. If downward pressure persists, the market could fall further toward the $1 trillion mark.

ambcrypto12/27 03:07

Are bubble fears warranted as AI tokens slide deeper after a ‘key divergence?’

ambcrypto12/27 03:07

Cross-Chain, Copy Trading, Lightning Orders... Six Aggregators to Keep You Ahead in the Prediction Market

In 2025, prediction markets are rapidly growing, led by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. A key development is the rise of prediction market aggregators—advanced tools that integrate DeFi features like whale tracking, copy trading, lightning-fast orders, cross-chain liquidity, and stop-loss mechanisms. These platforms enhance trading efficiency and strategic options. Six notable aggregators are highlighted: - **TradeFox** (formerly factCheck): Acts as a professional terminal integrating Polymarket, Kalshi, and SxBet. It offers easy access with BTC/SOL deposits, copy trading, and instant order execution while preserving native platform benefits. - **Converge**: A data-focused aggregator and trading terminal offering real-time odds comparison, liquidity analysis, and low-slippage trading across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless. - **Predictefy**: A comprehensive terminal (not a bot) providing deep data aggregation, arbitrage opportunities, and visual tools to compare markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. - **Synthesis**: A full-featured terminal with a unified self-custody account system using dflow protocol for seamless multi-chain USDC transactions. It includes advanced tools like limit orders and arbitrage detection. - **Verso Trading**: A minimalist, data-oriented tool for filtering and tracking markets on Kalshi and Polymarket based on odds, volume, and timeframes. - **Rocket**: An innovative, yet-to-launch platform using a unique model of 5-second settlement rounds and a unified margin account to reduce risk and improve capital efficiency. These aggregators address market fragmentation by connecting isolated liquidity pools, serving as both arbitrage tools for professionals and accessibility bridges for casual users. They are evolving into essential infrastructure, driving prediction markets from speculative betting toward efficient, financialized global information markets.

Odaily星球日报12/27 02:35

Cross-Chain, Copy Trading, Lightning Orders... Six Aggregators to Keep You Ahead in the Prediction Market

Odaily星球日报12/27 02:35

Uniswap’s fee switch goes live – Will UNI’s price head to $8.4 or $4.5?

Uniswap's UNIfication proposal passed with strong governance consensus, activating protocol fees and initiating a burn of 100 million UNI tokens. This shift aims to create sustainable value capture and introduce deflationary tokenomics. Despite these fundamental strengths and Uniswap's dominant DEX trading volume, market reaction remains cautious. Technically, UNI shows signs of potential exhaustion after a multi-year consolidation pattern, with key resistance at $8.4 and downside liquidity clusters near $5.1. While the long-term outlook is reinforced, short-term price risk persists amid subdued momentum.

ambcrypto12/27 02:03

Uniswap’s fee switch goes live – Will UNI’s price head to $8.4 or $4.5?

ambcrypto12/27 02:03

Global Asset Rotation: Why Does Liquidity Drive the Cryptocurrency Cycle? (Part 1)

This article introduces a new series on global asset allocation and rotation, arguing that liquidity—not new narratives—is the primary driver of cryptocurrency market cycles. While narratives like RWA or X-402 can attract attention, they are triggers, not fundamental drivers. The real force is capital flow: ample liquidity amplifies even weak narratives, while liquidity contraction undermains the most compelling ones. The framework begins by mapping global assets not by traditional labels (stocks, bonds, commodities) but by their roles and dependencies within economic and liquidity cycles. Cryptocurrency is reclassified not as a traditional risk asset (like equities, which have cash flows and valuation models) but as a non-cash-flow alternative asset. Its price action is driven primarily by capital inflows and outflows, making it highly sensitive to liquidity and risk appetite. Five key macro indicators are identified as core drivers: interest rates (especially real rates), inflation metrics (CPI, PCE), economic growth indicators (PMI, GDP), systemic liquidity (central bank balance sheets, money supply), and risk appetite (volatility indices, credit spreads). A causal chain is proposed: inflation influences interest rates, which affect liquidity, which then drives risk preference and ultimately asset prices. The U.S. remains the anchor for global capital flows, and understanding its monetary policy cycle is crucial. During loose monetary conditions, risk assets like crypto thrive; during tightening, defensive assets like cash and bonds outperform. The article concludes that a structured framework focusing on macro drivers and cyclical patterns is essential for understanding asset rotation, avoiding emotional decisions, and identifying when liquidity shifts toward high-risk assets like cryptocurrency.

marsbit12/26 23:39

Global Asset Rotation: Why Does Liquidity Drive the Cryptocurrency Cycle? (Part 1)

marsbit12/26 23:39

Solana’s leverage-driven tug of war puts $120 support at risk – How?

Solana's market is currently defined by high leverage and extreme volatility, with its price struggling to hold the critical $120 support level. After failing to break the $150 resistance multiple times, SOL has established a bearish structure. A significant factor is the split among whale investors: while bullish whales are facing substantial unrealized losses on leveraged long positions, bearish whales are profiting from shorting the asset. This dynamic creates a volatile tug-of-war. Despite Circle minting $55 billion in USDC on Solana in 2025, providing ample liquidity, the altcoin continues to face downward pressure. The influx of capital appears to be fueling speculation rather than stabilization. The current conditions, marked by a bearish structure and overexposed long positions, present an ideal setup for a bear trap that could break the key $120 support.

ambcrypto12/26 21:07

Solana’s leverage-driven tug of war puts $120 support at risk – How?

ambcrypto12/26 21:07

USD1 crosses $3B market cap – Here’s why everyone is talking about the timing!

USD1, the stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial, has surpassed a $3 billion market cap, making it the sixth-largest stablecoin and a significant player in DeFi. Its recent growth is largely attributed to Binance’s support, including a 20% APR incentive program and the adoption of USD1 as the primary stablecoin for BUSD-pegged assets. The token is also expanding through partnerships with platforms like Coinbase, FalconX, and Solana-based projects. However, its rapid rise is shadowed by political scrutiny, particularly from Senator Elizabeth Warren, who has raised concerns about potential regulatory favoritism linked to a major transaction involving Binance and a Trump-related pardon. Moving forward, USD1 must demonstrate sustainability beyond high-yield incentives amid evolving regulations.

ambcrypto12/26 19:03

USD1 crosses $3B market cap – Here’s why everyone is talking about the timing!