Bitcoin

Focuses on news, price analysis, technological evolution, and market trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. It explores its role and influence in the global financial system.

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport Research confirms that the crypto market has entered a bear phase, with Bitcoin's recent break below a key support level signaling a confirmed downtrend. Historical cycle analysis suggests this correction aligns with typical bear market patterns in both scale and rhythm. The focus has now shifted from whether the trend has reversed to identifying the next optimal accumulation window. Key observations indicate that Bitcoin's break below its one-year moving average often marks the start of a bear market, which historically lasts about 12 months. This suggests the next bull cycle may not begin until Q4 2026, with a potential cycle low likely in Q3 2026. The report also posits that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle correlates more strongly with U.S. midterm election cycles than with halving events, citing heightened regulatory and political uncertainty as key drivers of market tops and bottoms. From a technical perspective, neither the monthly Stochastic oscillator (currently at ~39%) nor the monthly RSI (near 50) has yet reached key oversold thresholds that historically signaled major bottoms. A clear reversal confirmation—typically occurring after a break below extreme levels—has not appeared. The report concludes that the final market low has likely not been reached and emphasizes the need for patience. A sustainable recovery should be confirmed by clear signals of exhausted selling momentum, not just proximity to perceived low prices.

Matrixport4h ago

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport4h ago

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