Ethereum Cruised Past $1500, Is There A Possibility To Retrace To $1200?

newsbtc发布于2022-07-21更新于2022-07-21

文章摘要

Ethereum has rallied considerably over the last week securing close to 53% appreciation. At the moment ETH has managed to break past an important resistance mark of $1500 and flipped...

Ethereum has rallied considerably over the last week securing close to 53% appreciation. At the moment ETH has managed to break past an important resistance mark of $1500 and flipped it into a support level. The coin maintained a rally after it crossed the $1000 mark, chance of correction still remains on the horizon.
Bullish strength has regained vigour as buying strength also shot up. The invalidation of bearish thesis started once ETH managed to cruise past $1200. If the coin remains above the $1500 mark then the bulls could propel the price higher.
The rally was also caused by the bullish sentiments revolving around the Merge that is anticipated in the month of September. There are chances for the coin to shoot up to $2000 but there are other resistances that ETH has to break past for that to happen.
The coin has been trading on an ascending trendline and it could soon revisit $1660 on its chart. The global cryptocurrency market cap today is $1.12 Trillion with 4.6% positive change in the last 24 hours.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Four Hour Chart

Ethereum

Ethereum was priced at $1600 on the four hour chart | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView ETH was trading at $1600 at the time of writing. The king altcoin has broken past the $1500 mark. The overhead resistance for the coin was at $1660, strength from buyers could push ETH to touch $1660. Other important price ceilings were at $1745 and $1800 respectively.
Once the coin moves past the $1800 mark, $2000 can be on the chart for Ethereum. If the coin witnesses a correction then, the first support level would stand at $1300 and then at $1200. Volume of Ethereum traded in the last session grew signifying that buying strength remained high.
Technical Analysis

Ethereum

Ethereum displayed increased buying strength on the four hour chart | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView ETH’s bulls have caused buyers to re-enter the market.  The altcoin has visited the overbought zone a couple of times in the past weeks. The Relative Strength Index portrayed an uptick and was near the 70-mark which meant that buyers heavily outnumbered sellers in the market.
Ethereum was above the 20-SMA signalling the same thing that buyers were driving the price momentum in the market. Ethereum was parked above both the 50-SMA and 200-SMA lines which are signs of excessive bullish force in the market.

Ethereum

Ethereum flashed sell signal on the four hour chart | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView Increased buying strength was reflected on the other indicators however, there has been mixed signals on the indicators. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence depicts the price momentum and trend reversals. MACD underwent a bearish crossover and flashed red histograms.
These red histograms are an indication of a change in the price trend and also sell signal for the altcoin. Bollinger Bands that indicate volatility remained wide. Wide Bollinger Bands signal at chances of increased price volatility which means that Ethereum might undergo price fluctuations.

热门币种推荐

你可能也喜欢

SpaceX、OpenAI、Anthropic连续上市,市场真的吃得下吗?

## 摘要 本文探讨了SpaceX、OpenAI和Anthropic三家科技巨头在短期内接连寻求上市,市场能否消化其巨额融资需求的问题。 **核心数据与现状:** - **SpaceX**:已以每股135美元上市,募资750亿美元,估值达1.77万亿美元。招股获超额认购,首日市值突破2.1万亿美元,显示强劲需求。 - **OpenAI**:目标估值约1万亿美元,但财务状况面临挑战,据分析处于亏损状态,市场对其短期内完成IPO持谨慎态度。 - **Anthropic**:财务表现相对最佳,增长迅猛,并预计在上市前实现首次季度运营盈利,估值近万亿美元。 三家IPO总计可能从市场抽资超过2000亿美元,相当于2025年全年美国IPO募资总额的四倍多。 **市场态度分歧:** - **多头**认为市场流动性充裕(货币市场基金约8万亿美元),且存在对纯AI标的的直接投资需求。 - **空头**警告这可能导致流动性虹吸,迫使机构抛售其他资产(如芯片股)来筹集现金,并指出IPO本质是早期投资者向公开市场转移风险。 - 还有一种“投降式看多”心态,即因职业风险而不得不参与,被视为市场泡沫后期的特征。 **上市时机与深层动因:** - 资本擅长为远期愿景(如火星殖民、通用人工智能)定价,且这些公司拥有真实的收入增长。 - 创始人控制力强(如马斯克),并通过关联交易网络扩大影响力。 - 此轮IPO提高了散户配售比例,意在让用户成为股东,但也可能让其承担尾部风险。 - 行业内资金循环(如英伟达投资、OpenAI采购)推高了各方估值,但新价值创造与否存疑。 **结论:市场能否消化?** 1. **单笔消化**:有能力,SpaceX的成功已证明。 2. **连续冲击**:是主要风险,可能导致需求分流或定价不及预期。因此三家公司有意错峰上市。 3. **基本面支撑**:这是最大悬念。SpaceX有实体业务现金流;若Anthropic实现盈利,将增强板块信心;而财务状况不明的OpenAI最为脆弱,其公开的财务数据可能引发估值重估。 **最终判断**:市场有容量承接这些IPO,但真正的考验在于OpenAI等公司公开财务底牌后,其万亿美元估值是否能被真实的盈利能力和客户投资回报率所支撑。当前市场弥漫着一种“清醒的赌博”心态。

marsbit15分钟前

SpaceX、OpenAI、Anthropic连续上市,市场真的吃得下吗?

marsbit15分钟前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:美国“加密货币周”来袭,ETH开启机构军备赛高潮

本周,加密市场迎来两股重磅催化——华盛顿“加密货币周”的立法攻势与以太坊机构布局的密集爆发,共同构成加密行业2025年下半年的“政策拐点”与“资金拐点”。这一轮加密周期的深层逻辑,正从比特币转向以太坊、稳定币及链上金融基础设施。我们认为:美国的政策明朗化+以太坊的机构化扩展,标志着加密行业正进入结构性转正阶段,市场配置的重心亦应逐步从“价格博弈”过渡至“规则+基础设施的制度红利捕捉”。

1.8k人学过发布于 2025.07.17更新于 2025.07.17

加密市场宏观研报:美国“加密货币周”来袭,ETH开启机构军备赛高潮

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对ETH(ETH)币价的意见。

活动图片