# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Macro

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Macro", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Arthur Hayes' Latest Article: After Trump 'Colonizes' Venezuela, the Money Printing Press Will Go Wild, Last Year's Biggest Loss Was PUMP

Arthur Hayes analyzes the geopolitical and economic implications of the U.S. intervention in Venezuela under a hypothetical Trump administration, framing it as a strategic move to control oil resources and influence domestic politics. The core argument is that elected politicians prioritize reelection above all else. For Trump, winning the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election requires stimulating the economy through money printing and deficit spending to boost nominal GDP and financial assets. However, rising inflation, especially in gasoline prices, could anger voters and cost elections. Thus, controlling Venezuela’s oil is crucial to suppress energy inflation. Hayes posits that if GDP grows while oil prices remain stable or fall, Republicans will likely win. If both GDP and oil prices rise sharply, Democrats may gain power due to voter discontent. Oil prices act as a trigger: if they spike, it could force policymakers to tighten monetary policy, increasing volatility (as measured by the MOVE index) and Treasury yields, potentially causing a market sell-off. The baseline scenario expects subdued oil prices and aggressive money printing, which would be bullish for Bitcoin and crypto assets. Hayes advises monitoring oil and bond yields for signs of policy change. His trading strategy involves macro-driven positions in crypto, with a focus on privacy tokens like ZEC for alpha, while reducing exposure to meme coins. He plans to take profits if oil inflation accelerates and credit expansion slows.

marsbit01/06 12:08

Arthur Hayes' Latest Article: After Trump 'Colonizes' Venezuela, the Money Printing Press Will Go Wild, Last Year's Biggest Loss Was PUMP

marsbit01/06 12:08

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