# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Macro

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Macro", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin’s 2026 prediction: What’s ahead for BTC as fear grips global markets?

The article analyzes Bitcoin's market dynamics amid global economic uncertainty, noting that macroeconomic pressures have driven fear across crypto and equity markets. Despite a recent rally from $64k lows, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds. A Polymarket prediction suggested a crash below $45k was more likely than a $100k recovery, though the article argues this overlooks institutional buy support at $55k. Key metrics indicate strong profit-taking activity, with the net realized profit/loss reaching $23.4 million per hour, suppressing price rallies. The Coinbase Premium Index turned negative, reflecting weakened U.S. investor demand. While $65k remains a critical short-term support zone, demand exhaustion and seller dominance are currently capping Bitcoin's upward potential.

ambcrypto13 ч. назад

Bitcoin’s 2026 prediction: What’s ahead for BTC as fear grips global markets?

ambcrypto13 ч. назад

What ‘extreme fear’ across Bitcoin and S&P means for markets

Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are both experiencing extreme fear, signaling a synchronized macro-driven risk-off sentiment as liquidity tightens. After a prolonged period of negative correlation since 2020, both markets are now converging, indicating broader economic pressures are influencing investor behavior. This shift follows a major Bitcoin liquidation event in October, where approximately 70,000 BTC in open interest was wiped out, resetting market positioning to levels last seen in April 2025. Bitcoin’s price, which had shown resilience during geopolitical stress, has since trended downward, while the S&P 500 recently rolled over from its highs. The alignment in fear gauges—Bitcoin’s at 12 and the S&P 500’s at 16—is rare, as these markets typically price fear at different stages. The decline reflects a broad de-risking by investors, with both asset classes now more dependent on real capital flows rather than leverage-driven demand. Bitcoin’s open interest has dropped significantly, reducing cascade risk but also weakening trend strength, making prices more sensitive to actual inflows. This transition from speculative expansion to capital preservation highlights the dominance of macro conditions over both crypto and equities.

ambcryptoВчера 15:02

What ‘extreme fear’ across Bitcoin and S&P means for markets

ambcryptoВчера 15:02

2008-style crisis ahead? – How crypto investors are reacting to ‘zero rate cuts’

With expectations of zero rate cuts and persistent inflation risks, crypto market dynamics are shifting toward capital preservation. While the total crypto market cap remains stable near $2.4 trillion, defensive positioning is evident as stablecoin supply hits a new all-time high of $316 billion. USDT outflows and declining exchange reserves indicate investors are moving liquidity into on-chain stablecoins, preparing to redeploy when risk appetite improves. Analysts warn that sustained high yields and borrowing costs could heighten systemic risks, echoing pre-crisis conditions. This cautious stance suggests stablecoins are becoming a key hedging tool amid deteriorating macro conditions.

ambcrypto2 дня назад 11:07

2008-style crisis ahead? – How crypto investors are reacting to ‘zero rate cuts’

ambcrypto2 дня назад 11:07

Will Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF filing add pressure on BTC in H2?

Recent Bitcoin ETF outflows, triggered by macro events like inflation reports, are directly impacting BTC's price movements, making ETFs a key short-term indicator. Despite initial resilience, ETFs recorded $250 million in outflows, causing a 5.5% BTC drop to $70k. Institutional investors have withdrawn nearly $15 billion since January amid ongoing inflation and rate-cut uncertainties, reinforcing risk-off behavior. Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF filing could face similar headwinds in H2 if macro conditions remain unstable, potentially adding bearish pressure to BTC during risk-off periods.

ambcrypto03/21 01:01

Will Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF filing add pressure on BTC in H2?

ambcrypto03/21 01:01

Dialogue with Fundstrat Research Director: After Accurately Predicting the Plunge, Bitcoin's $115,000 Target Remains Unchanged, Hyperliquid Aims for $100

In a recent interview, Fundstrat's Head of Crypto Research Sean Farrell maintains a cautious short-term outlook on crypto markets despite his unchanged long-term Bitcoin target of $115,000 by year-end. He accurately predicted the February crash, citing extreme positioning, miner selling, and low cash reserves. Farrell describes the current environment as a "trader's market," advising caution and holding dry powder. He highlights risks from private credit stress, potential lack of follow-through buying after large institutional purchases (like MicroStrategy's), and geopolitical uncertainty. Farrell remains highly bullish on Hyperliquid (HYPE), with a $100 price target. He notes its low 90-day correlation (0.4) to Bitcoin and its massive growth in perpetual futures volume for assets like gold and oil, seeing it as a key portfolio diversifier. Key catalysts for a more bullish stance would be a market capitulation event, a break above key moving averages, or positive regulatory developments, though the Clarity Act's passage faces significant banking lobby opposition. For the upcoming Fed meeting, he advises watching for any shift in the dot plot pushing rate cuts to 2027, which would negatively impact risk assets.

marsbit03/20 05:19

Dialogue with Fundstrat Research Director: After Accurately Predicting the Plunge, Bitcoin's $115,000 Target Remains Unchanged, Hyperliquid Aims for $100

marsbit03/20 05:19

Crypto market extends losses as Bitcoin struggles below $70K after Fed-driven sell-off

The crypto market extended losses on 19 March, with total market capitalization declining 1.70% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin fell 2.9% and struggled to hold above the key $70,000 level, trading near $69,254. Other major cryptocurrencies also declined, including Ethereum (-3.2%), XRP (-1.0%), Solana (-1.5%), and BNB (-1.7%). The sell-off was driven by the Federal Reserve's signal that persistent inflation risks may delay interest rate cuts, leading to tighter liquidity and reduced risk appetite. While the pace of decline has slowed, indicating potential consolidation, Bitcoin's failure to reclaim $70,000 and its pattern of lower highs suggest a short-term downtrend remains intact. A sustained move below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and keep market sentiment fragile.

ambcrypto03/19 15:58

Crypto market extends losses as Bitcoin struggles below $70K after Fed-driven sell-off

ambcrypto03/19 15:58

Bitcoin’s price bottom in limbo: Why BTC–gold correlation matters now

The market is currently driven by investor psychology, with Bitcoin's price bottom remaining uncertain. Despite recent macro pressures from inflation and West Asian tensions, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience compared to gold. Key indicators like the Coinbase Premium Index (-0.002) and Crypto Fear and Greed Index reflect weakening U.S. buying pressure and a shift to "fear" sentiment. A notable $150 million long liquidation occurred, the largest since early March. However, Bitcoin’s inverse correlation with gold (-0.88, the lowest since November 2022) acts as a critical bullish signal. While gold and silver faced trillion-dollar losses, Bitcoin’s $50 billion market cap drop was contained, reinforcing its role as a hedge. This BTC-gold dynamic is pivotal for sentiment and potential bottom formation amid ongoing macro uncertainty.

ambcrypto03/19 11:02

Bitcoin’s price bottom in limbo: Why BTC–gold correlation matters now

ambcrypto03/19 11:02

Crypto markets slide after Fed decision as Powell warns inflation risks persist

Crypto markets declined sharply following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, driven by Chair Jerome Powell's cautious tone on inflation. Bitcoin fell over 5%, Ethereum dropped more than 6%, and other major cryptocurrencies like XRP, Solana, and BNB also posted significant losses. Powell emphasized that inflation remains elevated, with PCE at 2.8% and core inflation at 3.0%, both above the Fed’s 2% target. He reinforced a data-dependent approach, indicating rate cuts are not imminent. This strengthened the "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative, which negatively impacts risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The broad sell-off underscores crypto’s continued sensitivity to macroeconomic signals and U.S. monetary policy expectations. Markets are likely remain volatile and reactive to incoming economic data and geopolitical developments.

ambcrypto03/18 22:02

Crypto markets slide after Fed decision as Powell warns inflation risks persist

ambcrypto03/18 22:02

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting

Cryptocurrency markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, with expectations nearly unanimous for interest rates to remain unchanged. Bitcoin is experiencing high volatility, trading between $74,000 and $76,000, with analysts divided on its short-term trajectory. Bearish voices warn of a potential drop to $68,000, citing macro liquidity concerns and a pattern of post-FOMC sell-offs. Bullish analysts, however, see a path to $80,000 or higher if key resistance levels are broken and ETF inflows continue. In a major regulatory development, the SEC and CFTC issued new guidance classifying most digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, and XRP, as non-security digital commodities, providing clearer regulatory boundaries. Key data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $199 million and $138 million respectively, while the market fear and greed index sits at 26 (Fear). Over $131 million was liquidated in 24 hours. Solana (SOL) is showing a bullish technical pattern, with analysts targeting $120-$145 if it holds support. Upcoming events include the Fed's rate decision, Chairman Powell's press conference, and token unlocks for projects like Lombard (BARD).

marsbit03/18 08:58

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting

marsbit03/18 08:58

Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move

The altcoin market has been a source of deep frustration for investors, failing to experience a sustained breakout despite numerous analyst predictions. According to crypto analyst Sykodelic, this stagnation is not due to the asset class being finished, but because the necessary macro backdrop for altcoin expansion never materialized. Altcoins are highly dependent on excess liquidity, performing best when money is loose, economic activity is strong, and investors are willing to move beyond Bitcoin. Sykodelic's analysis compares the OTHERS index (tracking cryptocurrencies outside the top ten) with two macro indicators: Federal Reserve Net Liquidity and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). Historically, these three have moved in tandem. During the 2020/2021 cycle, all rose together, with the OTHERS index surging from below $100 billion to nearly $600 billion. However, in the current cycle, Fed Net Liquidity has oscillated without a clear trend, and the PMI spent 26 consecutive months in contraction until returning to expansion in January 2026. Consequently, the OTHERS index has chopped sideways. Now, conditions may be improving. Fed net liquidity appears to have bottomed and reversed upward, while the PMI has moved into expansion territory (registering 52.6% in January 2026). These changes could finally build the foundation for an altcoin season, with Sykodelic’s chart projecting a potential rise in the OTHERS index market cap to the $560 billion range.

bitcoinist03/17 02:02

Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move