# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Cycle

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Cycle", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Why The 2025 Close Below $100,000 Is Terrible For The Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin closed 2025 below $100,000 at $88,750, failing to sustain a push above $90,000. Analyst Greeny highlights a significant bearish engulfing candle on the 3-month chart, indicating a shift from buyers to sellers after BTC failed to hold its 2025 highs above $120,000. Key resistance levels are now at $106,700 and $108,000; reclaiming them is crucial to avoid further downside. The stochastic indicator reached the 80th percentile for the first time, signaling potential cycle exhaustion and a local top. This setup suggests continued bearish pressure into Q1 2026 unless Bitcoin closes above $108,000 by March.

bitcoinist01/02 17:38

Why The 2025 Close Below $100,000 Is Terrible For The Bitcoin Price

bitcoinist01/02 17:38

Bitcoin Records First-Ever Negative Post-Halving Year — Is the 4-Year Cycle Over?

Bitcoin closed 2025 with a 6% decline, marking the first negative post-halving year in its history. This breaks the long-standing four-year cycle where Bitcoin historically saw significant gains following halving events. The trend shift is attributed to increased institutional dominance through ETFs, which tied Bitcoin closer to traditional markets and macro factors like interest rates and equity sentiment. The 2024 halving’s supply reduction had a diminished impact due to the maturity of the market and the fact that most Bitcoin has already been mined. While some declare the four-year cycle "dead," others see it as evolution toward longer, less volatile cycles aligned with macroeconomic trends. Despite the downturn, Bitcoin's network strength and adoption continue to grow.

ccn.com01/01 15:16

Bitcoin Records First-Ever Negative Post-Halving Year — Is the 4-Year Cycle Over?

ccn.com01/01 15:16

‘On the bullish side of liquidity cycle’ – What does that mean for Bitcoin?

The "crypto winter" narrative is fading as global dollar liquidity begins to rise again, marking a potential structural shift for risk assets like Bitcoin. According to analysts including BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, liquidity contraction bottomed in November 2025, with a projected $8.165 billion Fed injection expected in early January 2026. This shift to a "bullish side of the liquidity cycle" has already impacted markets: U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a losing streak with $355 million in inflows, led by BlackRock and Ark 21Shares. Despite December’s outflows and price stagnation, Bitcoin remains in a "deep value" zone, suggesting a long-term bottom. However, BTC has yet to fully react to expanding global liquidity, trading 30% below its all-time high as traders remain cautious. The reversal in ETF flows signals early institutional positioning amid improving macro conditions.

ambcrypto01/01 06:03

‘On the bullish side of liquidity cycle’ – What does that mean for Bitcoin?

ambcrypto01/01 06:03

Can crypto overtake gold and stocks in 2026? THESE numbers say…

The crypto market underperformed in comparison to traditional assets like gold and stocks in recent months. Since November, gold rose by 9% and the S&P 500 saw gains, while Bitcoin fell roughly 20%. This divergence is attributed to capital flowing toward safer assets like metals and selective optimism in equities, rather than a loss of faith in crypto. Despite the downturn, long-term holders (LTHs) have shown strong confidence, with little selling activity even as prices declined. This suggests that major players are holding out for a market turnaround rather than exiting. Some analysts, like former BitForex CEO Garrett Jin, note that capital may already be starting to flow back into crypto as metals slow down. However, historical patterns indicate potential challenges ahead. Bitcoin’s worst years—2014, 2018, and 2022—were all midterm years with significant declines. This suggests 2026 could be another stress test for the market. In summary, while crypto has lagged behind traditional assets, underlying confidence among long-term holders and potential capital rotation could support a recovery. Yet, cyclical trends may play a decisive role in the coming months.

ambcrypto12/31 17:02

Can crypto overtake gold and stocks in 2026? THESE numbers say…

ambcrypto12/31 17:02

Bitcoin Officially Enters Bear Market: On-Chain Evidence, Capital Flows, and How Investors Can Profit

Bitcoin has officially entered a bear market as 2025 concludes, marked by deteriorating demand, weakening capital inflows, and broken market structure. Key indicators confirm this shift: price has decisively broken below long-term moving averages, on-chain activity shows declining new addresses and transaction volumes, and institutional capital is reversing with Bitcoin ETFs seeing net outflows. The network exhibits reduced utility with empty mempools, lower fees, and declining active addresses, signaling a exodus of retail speculators. Miner profitability is under severe pressure, increasing sell-side risk. Macroeconomic factors, like high interest rates, make yield-bearing assets more attractive than non-yielding Bitcoin, driving a rotation into cash and stablecoins. Technically, the market structure shows a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, and key psychological support levels have turned into resistance. However, bear markets present strategic opportunities. They offer asymmetric risk-reward for accumulation, enabling dollar-cost averaging and the identification of strong projects building during the downturn. History shows that bear markets eventually give way to new bull cycles, making this a period for patient investors to build positions for future gains.

marsbit12/31 04:39

Bitcoin Officially Enters Bear Market: On-Chain Evidence, Capital Flows, and How Investors Can Profit

marsbit12/31 04:39

Traders Warn Bitcoin Price Could Fall to $40,000 — Even as Strategy Adds Another $100M

Bitcoin's price declined to $87,403 amid trader warnings of a potential sharp correction to $40,000 in early 2025, despite ongoing institutional accumulation. Some analysts compared the current market structure to the 2021 peak, suggesting the four-year cycle could lead to a significant downturn. However, industry leaders like Tom Lee and Cathie Wood argue that increased institutional involvement, including ETFs and corporate buyers, may disrupt this historical pattern. Meanwhile, Strategy purchased an additional 1,229 Bitcoin for $108.8 million, demonstrating continued long-term confidence. Technical analysis shows the Pi Cycle Top does not yet signal a market peak, but near-term volatility persists.

ccn.com12/30 08:35

Traders Warn Bitcoin Price Could Fall to $40,000 — Even as Strategy Adds Another $100M

ccn.com12/30 08:35

WEEX Space Recap｜Hoarding Coins in the Cold Winter: The Silent Battle of Whales—Who Is Positioning for the Next Cycle?

Amidst a low-volatility market, the true signals lie not in price action but in the behavioral shifts of key players. In a WEEX Space discussion titled "Accumulating in the Bear Market," guests including Wang Duanniao, Linda Zheng Zheng, and Qiurong analyzed structural changes from institutional, miner, and retail perspectives. Institutions like MicroStrategy are not merely "buying the dip" but building long-term financing models around Bitcoin, leveraging tools like convertible bonds to sustain accumulation—a strategy not easily replicable for retail investors. Miners face survival pressures, with some shifting resources to AI data centers, reflecting an industry upgrade rather than a withdrawal from Bitcoin. Their influence on pricing has diminished amid growing institutional ETF participation. For retail users, frequent trading in sideways markets often increases costs and emotional stress. Emphasis was placed on safety, transparency, and using tools like passive yield products to improve capital efficiency during uncertainty. As echoed by WEEX’s ethos, understanding risk sources proves more critical than chasing returns in volatile conditions. Ultimately, institutions build structures, miners adapt to survive, and retail must navigate uncertainty with disciplined, measured choices.

marsbit12/29 09:23

WEEX Space Recap｜Hoarding Coins in the Cold Winter: The Silent Battle of Whales—Who Is Positioning for the Next Cycle?

marsbit12/29 09:23

Why Bitcoin traders stay cautious despite global liquidity boom

Despite a significant expansion in global liquidity, with major economies like the U.S., China, Japan, and the Eurozone reaching record M2 money supply levels, Bitcoin (BTC) has not followed the expected upward trajectory and remains nearly 30% below its all-time high. Traders are exhibiting caution, and capital has not flowed aggressively into speculative markets like cryptocurrencies due to persistent uncertainty and tight financial conditions. Analytical tools such as the Energy Value Oscillator indicate that BTC is at levels comparable to a decade ago, often associated with long-term cycle bottoms rather than market tops. The current cycle has not yet entered the overheated "red zone" typical of past bull market peaks, suggesting that the market is still in a buildup phase. Overall, while liquidity conditions are favorable, risk assets including Bitcoin have not fully responded. The pressure continues to build, but the broader market movement remains pending. Derivatives market activity further confirms this hesitancy among traders.

ambcrypto12/29 04:03

Why Bitcoin traders stay cautious despite global liquidity boom

ambcrypto12/29 04:03

Liquidity Ebb: Decrypting the Christmas Rally and the 2026 Market Structure Shift

Summarizing the article "Liquidity Ebb: Decrypting the Christmas Rally and the 2026 Market Structure Shift" by Hotcoin Research. The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a liquidity drain, with a total market cap of $2.95T. Key indicators show weakness: stablecoin market cap saw a weekly decline, and US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded significant net outflows of $589M and $80.3M, respectively. Major assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL saw weekly price drops, highlighting a fragile market prone to volatility, as evidenced by a Christmas Eve flash crash that liquidated $66M in long positions. The core analysis points to a fundamental market structure shift. Crypto is transitioning from being restricted to gaining legislative acceptance, with dominance moving from miners to Wall Street institutions. The report cautions against blindly applying the old "four-year cycle" theory. Looking ahead to 2026, the market faces a mix of danger from a traditional bearish window and opportunity from expected Fed rate cuts and sustained institutional buying. The prediction is for a cycle bottom in the $50,000-$60,000 range for Bitcoin. The article also reviews key weekly events, including a major Bitcoin options expiry and regulatory push for clearer address display standards. Macroeconomic data showed strong US GDP growth and lowered market expectations for a January Fed rate cut. Upcoming important events for early 2026 include FTX repayments and new crypto tax reporting regulations coming into force in several countries like the UK and Switzerland. The report concludes with scheduled token unlocks for projects like JUP and ENA.

深潮12/28 12:16

Bitcoin – Is it a case of ‘pain today, gains tomorrow’ for BTC’s price?

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently experiencing significant near-term weakness, with a projected 19.15% decline in Q4 2024. Indicators such as the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) and Market Value to Realised Value (MVRV) suggest ongoing capitulation, potentially leading to several more months of sideways movement or further decline. Short-term holders are selling at a loss, ETF outflows continue, and market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." However, analysts like Bitwise predict that Bitcoin could break its traditional four-year cycle and reach new highs in 2026. Key factors driving this optimistic outlook include the halving event, growing institutional adoption, and increasing ETF demand. Additionally, Bitcoin is showing signs of maturation, with lower volatility in 2025 compared to assets like Nvidia, indicating it is behaving more like a stable, established asset. Bitcoin's position as a top-10 global asset, alongside giants like gold and major tech stocks, underscores its growing permanence in the financial landscape. Institutions are increasingly treating it as a core holding, lending it significant credibility. While short-term challenges persist, the long-term trajectory suggests that current weakness may represent a transitional phase toward greater stability and value.

ambcrypto12/28 04:06

Bitcoin – Is it a case of ‘pain today, gains tomorrow’ for BTC’s price?