以太坊第 1 层网络收入骤减,原因何在?

marsbitОпубликовано 2024-09-02Обновлено 2024-09-02

尽管第 2 层的月度用户和每日交易成本急剧增加,但自 2024 年 3 月以来,以太坊第 1 层网络收入却暴跌了 99%。

根据Token Terminal 的数据,网络费用在 2024 年 3 月 5 日达到年度最高水平,为 3550 万美元。Dencun 升级于 2024 年 3 月 13 日上线,该升级大大降低了以太坊第 2 层交易的费用。

以太坊

2024 年以太坊网络费用。资料来源:Token Terminal

升级后,网络费用稳步下降,于 8 月 31 日触及 566,000 美元的低点,并于 2024 年 9 月 2 日小幅上涨至 578,000 美元。

L2 太多?

Dencun 升级后,以太坊 L2 费用大幅下降,引发了 L2 扩容解决方案的竞争。第 2 层数据资源 L2Beat 目前列出了74 个以太坊 L2 扩容项目和 21 个第 3 层项目。

Anoma 首席执行官 Adrian Brink 认为,目前在以太坊网络上构建的 L2 解决方案的数量远远超过市场需求。Brink 估计,第 2 层扩展解决方案的数量大约是行业需求的 10 倍。

以太坊

以太坊第 2 层 L2 网络平均网络费用。资料来源:Token Terminal

这种高度竞争的环境鼓励了一场逐底竞争,竞争对手的 L2 竞相向客户提供最低的交易费用。由此产生的竞争吸引了用户不再直接在以太坊基础层上结算,并充当了一种自我强化的机制,进一步降低了网络费用。

低费用造成通胀供给压力

Dencun降低的交易成本抵消了 EIP-1559(一项以太坊改进提案,引入了一种在网络上销毁部分费用的机制)带来的通货紧缩压力。

以太坊

以太坊供应量。资料来源:Y Charts

费用的大幅降低意味着对以太币的需求下降,即支付网络交易费用所需的货币。因此,自 Dencun 升级上线以来,ETH 的供应量一直在稳步增长。以太坊历史上较低的交易成本,以及相应的需求不足,导致 ETH 的价格跌破 3,000 美元

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