# Regulation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Regulation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Circle's Three-Dimensional Valuation Framework: Where Is the Bottom, Where Is the Top

"Circle's 3D Valuation Framework: Where is the Bottom, Where is the Top?" - Article Summary The article analyzes Circle's valuation following its Q1 2026 earnings. While its core business generates substantial interest income from USDC reserves ($6.53B in Q1, up 17% YoY), this revenue is highly sensitive to interest rates and shared significantly with Coinbase. The author proposes a three-dimensional valuation framework: 1. **Interest Business (The Floor):** Valued like a bank (8-15x P/E) on net interest income after Coinbase's share. This provides a conservative valuation baseline. 2. **Payment & Platform Business (The Inflection Point):** Includes CPN (Circle Payments Network) and "Other Revenue" (transaction, integration services). This high-growth segment, not shared with Coinbase, is valued on a platform/network model (higher P/S multiples), similar to Visa/Mastercard. It represents Circle's shift beyond pure interest income. 3. **Arc Network & ARC Token (The Future / Optionality):** Arc is an institutional-focused, EVM-compatible L1 blockchain where USDC is the native gas token. A $222M ARC token pre-sale at a $3B FDV attracted major traditional finance players (BlackRock, Apollo, ICE). While Circle holds 25% of ARC tokens, their value is separate from CRCL equity. This dimension represents the long-term, high-upside bet on Circle becoming an "economic operating system." Current market cap (~$30B) prices in significant future growth beyond the sum-of-the-parts valuation derived from current earnings. The investment thesis hinges on believing in Circle's transition from a "stablecoin issuer" to a broader financial infrastructure and network platform. Key variables for the future include USDC adoption growth, CPN network effects, Arc's success, and potential renegotiation of the Coinbase revenue-sharing agreement.

marsbit05/13 13:56

Circle's Three-Dimensional Valuation Framework: Where Is the Bottom, Where Is the Top

marsbit05/13 13:56

Wall Street's 'Compliance Hunt': The Great Stablecoin Reserve Migration

In a concentrated move over the past week, several Wall Street giants have advanced their tokenized money market fund initiatives, signaling a strategic shift driven by impending U.S. stablecoin regulations. JPMorgan Chase launched its second such fund, JLTXX, on Ethereum, explicitly targeting future stablecoin issuer reserve needs. Concurrently, Franklin Templeton partnered with Kraken to integrate its BENJI tokenized funds onto the exchange platform for use as collateral and cash management tools. BlackRock further solidified its position by filing for two new tokenized funds with the SEC, aiming to convert its massive traditional stablecoin custody business into a tokenized model. These parallel developments represent a multi-pronged institutional "compliance hunt" to capture future crypto liquidity. BlackRock and JPMorgan are focusing on the backend, preparing to serve as the core reserve and settlement infrastructure for compliant stablecoins as outlined by the GENIUS Act. This act defines strict "qualified reserve asset" requirements for stablecoin backing while prohibiting interest payments to holders. Franklin Templeton and Kraken, however, are exploiting a potential regulatory gap. By offering a tokenized fund (BENJI) that is not a stablecoin, they aim to provide yield-bearing, collateralizable digital cash instruments, circumventing GENIUS Act's ban on stablecoin yield. The impending CLARITY Act, which will delineate digital asset market structure, is seen as a complementary piece to GENIUS. Its treatment of passive income could solidify the niche for instruments like BENJI. With conservative market size estimates for tokenized money market funds reaching hundreds of billions by 2030, Wall Street institutions are positioning themselves early, using on-chain settlement as a key competitive differentiator to offer superior liquidity and composability for the next generation of dollar reserves.

marsbit05/13 05:15

Wall Street's 'Compliance Hunt': The Great Stablecoin Reserve Migration

marsbit05/13 05:15

UBS Enters the Fray, 20 Swiss Banks Now Offer Crypto Trading, Covering 2.5 Million Accounts

Global wealth management giant UBS has entered the cryptocurrency market, offering Bitcoin and Ethereum trading to select private banking clients in Switzerland as of January 2026. This move is part of a broader trend in Switzerland, where approximately 20 banks now provide crypto services, collectively covering over 2.5 million accounts. Client data from Zurich Cantonal Bank (ZKB) challenges the stereotype of crypto being solely for the young, revealing that the average buyer is aged 30-50 and predominantly male. Notably, over 40% of these clients previously held no investment portfolio, indicating crypto is activating dormant capital. The business case is proving substantial. For several Swiss banks, crypto-related activities already contribute a significant and disproportionate share of profits, with unit economics often outperforming traditional banking services. This institutional adoption in Switzerland reflects a global trend, with a recent survey showing 73% of institutional investors planning to increase crypto allocations in 2026. Switzerland's early regulatory clarity through its DLT Act and established custody infrastructure have provided a foundation for this growth. However, upcoming challenges include the implementation of the OECD's Crypto Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) in 2027 and ongoing reforms by Swiss regulator FINMA. The final shape of these regulations will be crucial in determining whether Switzerland can maintain its leading position in the global banking crypto sector.

marsbit05/13 02:40

UBS Enters the Fray, 20 Swiss Banks Now Offer Crypto Trading, Covering 2.5 Million Accounts

marsbit05/13 02:40

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