# Inflation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Inflation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

UAE Halts Trade with Iran Amidst Straits of Hormuz Crisis, Shaking Global Markets

U.S. stock market weakness persisted into Tuesday, hitting the tech sector hard. The Nasdaq fell over 1.2%, led by a ~5% drop in the semiconductor index as investors reassessed lofty AI valuations amid rising long-term Treasury yields. The 30-year yield briefly hit levels not seen since 2007, pressuring assets with distant cash flows. Oil prices remained high, with Brent crude above $90. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil chokepoint, continued to strain global energy supplies. The expired U.S.-Iran temporary understanding failed to bring a long-term shipping solution, keeping a geopolitical risk premium in the market. Diesel crack spreads hit record highs, signaling severe physical market tightness. Further escalating regional tensions, the UAE announced a suspension of all trade and financial transactions with Iran, citing threats to peace and security. This move could restrict Iran's access to hard currency and imports. Traditional safe havens like gold struggled as higher bond yields increased their opportunity cost. Bitcoin traded around $64-65K, failing to stage a sustained geopolitical rally and remaining well below its 2025 highs. Markets now face a complex mix of high oil prices, rising yields, and heightened Middle East tensions, moving beyond the "cheap money" narrative to confront the costs of concurrent financial and geopolitical stress.

cryptonews.ru08/19 05:16

UAE Halts Trade with Iran Amidst Straits of Hormuz Crisis, Shaking Global Markets

cryptonews.ru08/19 05:16

Overnight Global Shock: Why Did AI Stocks Plunge Across the Board?

Overnight, U.S. AI-related stocks fell sharply, with the Nasdaq down 1.33% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunging nearly 5%. Panic spread globally, dragging down Asia-Pacific markets. Key negative drivers included: 1. **Geopolitical Tension & Macro Pressure:** Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions pushed oil prices higher, fueling inflation fears and expectations of prolonged high interest rates. Rising bond yields pressured high-valuation, capital-intensive AI stocks, especially as soaring AI infrastructure financing costs became evident. 2. **AI Commercialization Concerns:** OpenAI's Q2 results showed slowing revenue growth and widening losses, dampening market optimism about near-term AI application profitability. This shifted investor focus from pure capital expenditure narratives to actual commercial returns. 3. **Supply Chain Uncertainty:** U.S.-South Korea semiconductor investment disputes intensified. Market fears that Korean memory giants (Samsung, SK Hynix) face a dilemma—either divert capital to costly U.S. production or risk trade barriers—disrupted the critical HBM memory sector, amplifying sell-offs via leveraged ETFs. While long-term AI demand remains, the market is now scrutinizing real profitability, financing costs, and supply chain stability rather than paying premiums for unchecked growth stories. For markets like China's A-shares, the impact is primarily sentiment-driven, requiring distinction between short-term panic and fundamental deterioration.

marsbit08/19 03:46

Overnight Global Shock: Why Did AI Stocks Plunge Across the Board?

marsbit08/19 03:46

"Bond Market Storm" Sweeps Across US, Europe, and Japan, Long-term Bond Yields Approach Decades-high

A severe bond market selloff is sweeping the US, Europe, and Japan, driving long-term government bond yields to multi-decade highs. The US 30-year yield hit 5.33%, its highest since 2007, while yields in France, Germany, the UK, and Japan have also surged to levels not seen in over a decade. The Bloomberg global investment-grade sovereign bond index yield has risen to a record 4.5%. This global selloff is driven by structural forces: persistent geopolitical tensions fueling inflation risks, loosening fiscal discipline from governments, and a systematic withdrawal of traditional long-term bond buyers like pension funds. Crucially, the yield surge is primarily driven by rising real yields, not inflation expectations, indicating investors demand higher compensation for holding long-dated debt. The spike in borrowing costs is creating significant political pressure, particularly for the US administration ahead of the midterm elections, as high public debt interest payments exacerbate budget deficits. While some investors see value emerging in long-duration bonds, others remain cautious, noting that only an economic downturn or external shock might alter the current trajectory of rising yields.

marsbit08/19 03:06

"Bond Market Storm" Sweeps Across US, Europe, and Japan, Long-term Bond Yields Approach Decades-high

marsbit08/19 03:06

U.S. Stock Market Trends (August 19th): AI Hardware Rally Loosens, Long-Term Bond Yields Challenge Tech Valuations

U.S. stocks weakened further on Tuesday, with major indices hitting two-week lows for a third consecutive session. Pressure centered on the AI hardware sector, as the previously rebounding Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell sharply. Meanwhile, persistently high long-term Treasury yields and rising oil prices fueled by Middle East tensions prompted a cautious reassessment of high-valuation tech assets. Key closing data: The S&P 500 fell 0.69%, the Dow Jones dropped 0.22%, and the Nasdaq declined 1.33%. The 10-year Treasury yield hovered near 4.70%, while the 30-year yield briefly touched a new high since 2007 before settling around 5.28%. WTI crude rose to $84.94. The chip sector led the decline, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping about 5%. Losses spread across memory, optical communication, and AI infrastructure stocks. This shift indicates investor focus is moving from chasing AI demand momentum to evaluating valuations and earnings timing. The "Magnificent Seven" stocks showed mixed performance, with pressure more concentrated on AI hardware than software giants. The market is observing whether capital will rotate back to large-cap tech, sustaining the internal AI sector rotation, or if the broader AI trade is entering a cooling phase. Chinese stocks were mostly weaker, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down about 1%. Baidu's stock fell sharply post-earnings due to profit pressure from AI investments, while Alibaba gained. Persistently high long-term bond yields and rising oil prices are re-emerging as key anchors for U.S. stock pricing, constraining valuation multiples for AI-related companies. Corporate events, including earnings from Home Depot and AI financing news like Anthropic's reported credit line expansion, continue to highlight cost and capital expenditure pressures. Focus for the coming sessions: 1) Whether the 30-year Treasury yield stabilizes below 5.30%, and 2) The market's ability to absorb the chip sector sell-off, determining if it's a pre-earnings consolidation or the start of a broader AI hardware cool-down.

marsbit08/19 01:41

U.S. Stock Market Trends (August 19th): AI Hardware Rally Loosens, Long-Term Bond Yields Challenge Tech Valuations

marsbit08/19 01:41

Will This Trigger Panic in the $1.8 Trillion Bitcoin Market? A Prominent CEO Voices Opinion, Urges Preparation!

Amid Bitcoin's recent sideways trend, rising global bond yields are capturing crypto investors' attention. Sean Farrell, Fundstrat's Head of Digital Asset Strategy, notes Bitcoin's current volatility is historically low, suggesting sharper price swings could occur in the coming months. Historically, after similar low-volatility periods, Bitcoin's price has experienced median absolute moves of around 30% over 60-day periods. A key market concern is the rapid surge in global bond yields, with US Treasury yields reaching multi-decade highs. Farrell attributes this to factors like the growing US budget deficit, high AI infrastructure investment, elevated oil prices, and monetary policy uncertainty. This bond market turbulence has sparked discussions about a potential "panic" scenario affecting roughly $1.8 trillion in the global financial system, which could trigger significant volatility in high-risk assets like Bitcoin. Analysts note the focus is shifting beyond just Fed rate cuts to factors like long-term yields, energy prices, inflation risks, and the global risk premium for pricing assets like Bitcoin. While no true panic is currently observed, markets are watching bond investors closely. Koinly CEO Robin Singh warns not to ignore the possibility of another sharp Bitcoin drop in coming months, suggesting it could fall to around $50,000 in a negative scenario. He indicates that if historical cycles repeat, investors may need to endure a final wave of panic selling before Bitcoin potentially bottoms in the current cycle.

cryptonews.ru08/18 19:00

Will This Trigger Panic in the $1.8 Trillion Bitcoin Market? A Prominent CEO Voices Opinion, Urges Preparation!

cryptonews.ru08/18 19:00

Miners' Sales and Expensive Oil: Experts Name the Causes of Crypto Market Stagnation

"Sales of Miners and Expensive Oil: Experts Name Reasons for Crypto Market Stagnation" The crypto market currently lacks sufficient internal drivers for growth, and escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could further worsen prospects for crypto assets, according to analysts at Wintermute. Key pressures include a significant $390 million net outflow from US spot Bitcoin ETFs from August 10-14, suggesting recent demand was speculative. While some altcoin ETFs saw inflows, Bitcoin's inability to rally on positive news indicates sellers have returned. Another factor is selling pressure from miners, exemplified by Riot Platforms selling 4,300 BTC last quarter while its mining costs exceeded Bitcoin's market price. With a record hash rate, many miners face unprofitable conditions, potentially forcing further sell-offs from their reserves. The primary external risk is macroeconomics, particularly rising energy prices. Brent crude surged nearly 8% due to the Strait of Hormuz situation, threatening to boost US inflation and potentially delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Wintermute maintains a neutral stance, noting market positions are moderate, but requires stabilization in ETF flows or sustained capital return for a more positive outlook. Upcoming Fed minutes, PMI data, and the Jackson Hole symposium are key events, while the Strait of Hormuz remains a major external risk.

cryptonews.ru08/18 14:06

Miners' Sales and Expensive Oil: Experts Name the Causes of Crypto Market Stagnation

cryptonews.ru08/18 14:06

Why Bitcoin Ignores Bad News from the US? The Answer is in the QCP Report

The Bitcoin market is showing resilience despite weak US economic data and high oil prices, according to a QCP Capital report. While poor retail sales and consumer sentiment figures lowered expectations for an immediate Fed rate hike, persistently high oil prices complicate the inflation outlook. Bitcoin itself is trading in a narrow range just above $63,000, absorbing negative news without a significant breakdown. Similarly, Ethereum remains around $1,900. Market volatility is compressing, with implied volatility exceeding realized volatility, creating conditions for short volatility strategies, though QCP warns of significant risks if volatility spikes unexpectedly. Trader focus is now shifting to key upcoming events: the FOMC meeting minutes, July's PCE inflation data, and the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which could provide a new directional catalyst for the market currently stuck in a wait-and-see pattern.

cryptonews.ru08/18 08:22

Why Bitcoin Ignores Bad News from the US? The Answer is in the QCP Report

cryptonews.ru08/18 08:22

South Korea's Debt Approaches 2,000 Trillion Won, Is the Market Overestimating Rate Hikes?

South Korea's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on July 16, marking its first hike since January 2023. The move, driven by concerns over rising housing prices, household loan growth, and financial stability, comes as total household credit is nearing a critical threshold of 2,000 trillion won. While persistent high loan growth and inflation pressure the Bank of Korea (BOK) to maintain a hawkish stance, some market views, like that of M&G Investments, suggest expectations for further tightening may be overstated. They argue that improved corporate profits and tax revenues from the AI chip boom could reduce government bond issuance, potentially benefiting bond prices. The article highlights the tension between two forces: household debt and housing market risks pushing for continued policy tightening, and strong AI-driven exports offering macroeconomic support. The upcoming preliminary data on Q2 household credit and the BOK's future policy communications will be key in determining whether current market pricing for rate hikes is justified.

marsbit08/18 07:55

South Korea's Debt Approaches 2,000 Trillion Won, Is the Market Overestimating Rate Hikes?

marsbit08/18 07:55

Spot Dollar Index Falls to 99.33, Lowest Level Since June 5th

On Monday, August 17, the US dollar fell to its lowest level in two months. The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped by 0.3% to 99.33, a level last seen on June 5, 2026. The decline followed weaker-than-expected US economic data for July, including a contraction in non-farm payrolls, a 0.6% drop in retail sales, and inflation metrics that merely met forecasts. This combination of data has reduced the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the near term. Analysts now estimate a 70% chance the Fed will hold rates steady at its September meeting, a sharp shift from before the August 7 jobs report when a rate hike probability exceeded 50%. In July, the Fed kept its benchmark rate in the 3.50–3.75% range for the fifth consecutive time. As the dollar weakened, the euro rose to a two-month high of $1.1614, and the British pound reached a three-month peak of $1.3571. The Japanese yen traded around 159 yen per dollar despite weak Japanese GDP data, with prior commentary suggesting yen strength could potentially fuel a Bitcoin rally.

cryptonews.ru08/18 06:31

Spot Dollar Index Falls to 99.33, Lowest Level Since June 5th

cryptonews.ru08/18 06:31

Fidelity Leads Weekly Outflow from Bitcoin ETFs Totaling $389.7 Million, with $153 Million Withdrawn

Demand for crypto ETFs is cooling off rapidly, with Bitcoin-focused funds experiencing their biggest weekly outflow since April. After a strong period of inflows, investors pulled money out for four of the five trading sessions last week. Total weekly net outflows reached $389.7 million. Fidelity's FBTC saw the largest single outflow at $153.2 million. Other major funds like Grayscale's GBTC ($88.3M), BlackRock's IBIT ($78.9M), ARK 21Shares' ARKB ($70.3M), and Bitwise's BITB ($31.6M) also recorded significant withdrawals. A rare bright spot was Grayscale's Bitcoin Mini Trust, which attracted nearly $76 million in new capital. Ether ETFs also ended the week with a small net outflow of approximately $2.26 million. In contrast, smaller altcoin ETFs showed more resilience. Solana ETFs led with $10.26 million in weekly inflows, while products tracking XRP and HYPE also saw positive flows, indicating selective investor interest persists in specific cryptocurrencies. The shift in sentiment occurred as macroeconomic data provided mixed signals. July's CPI and PPI figures largely met or came in below expectations, supporting hopes for interest rate cuts. However, Bitcoin ETFs, often used as a liquid tool for institutional crypto exposure, bore the brunt of the selling pressure as capital rotated away.

cryptonews.ru08/17 18:36

Fidelity Leads Weekly Outflow from Bitcoin ETFs Totaling $389.7 Million, with $153 Million Withdrawn