Ethena rallies 14.5% in a day, but THIS will limit further gains

ambcrypto发布于2026-04-09更新于2026-04-09

文章摘要

Ethena (ENA) rallied 14.6% in 24 hours, extending gains from earlier in the week, partly driven by a broader crypto market boost following former President Trump's ceasefire announcement. The project's plan to diversify its USDe stablecoin reserves into non-crypto assets has also contributed to positive momentum, aiming to address declining yields and supply since the October 2025 market downturn. Despite the recent surge, ENA's overall trend remains bearish. Technical analysis on the 1-day chart shows lower highs, with the RSI below 50 and declining OBV, indicating sustained selling pressure. The price has struggled to break the key $0.095-$0.10 resistance zone, where a cluster of short liquidations is located. The 4-hour chart structure is also bearish, and a break above $0.095 is needed to shift momentum bullishly. Traders are advised to consider taking profits near current levels, as the relief rally may be over, and a downward move could follow. The resistance band remains a significant barrier to further gains.

Ethena [ENA] has rallied 14.6% over the past 24 hours, extending the gains it made on Monday, the 6th of April. The crypto market saw a bullish boost from the short liquidations that followed President Trump’s ceasefire announcement.

Ethena plans to diversify its USDe reserve assets into non-crypto assets, which is why ENA has been rallying even before the announcement. The crypto rout since October 2025 saw declining USDe supply and yield.

The protocol’s founder, Gary Young, had said that Ethena was poorly positioned since that crash. Including non-crypto reserve assets will boost its falling yield and aid market performance.

ENA’s trend remains bearishly poised

Source: ENA/USDT on TradingView

The lower highs on the 1-day timeframe, highlighted in white, showed that Ethena continued to labor under a bearish trend. The RSI was below neutral 50, and the OBV was in a slump, too.

This showed that the trend, selling pressure, and market structure were all in favor of the sellers. Even the rally in recent days, though it was high-volume, was unable to convincingly smash past the $0.094 local highs.

This was a complication for ENA bulls. Or, in a way, some pessimistic participants would say it makes the picture clearer. The sweep of the $0.095-$0.10 local highs means that the Ethena relief rally is over.

A new leg downward can commence from these liquidity pockets.

Traders’ call to action – Sell

Source: CoinGlass

The past month’s liquidation heatmap showed a cluster of short liquidations from $0.094 to $0.10. This was the same band of resistance that the price has struggled to clear in the past 12 hours of trading.

Source: ENA/USDT on TradingView

The 4-hour timeframe’s structure remained bearish. The $0.095 level must be beaten for the swing structure to shift bullishly. A breakout and retest as support can inform bulls that the momentum might continue.

Until then, traders can maintain a bearish bias and look to take profits from the bounce.


Final Summary

  • Ethena has racked up sizeable gains since the start of the week and was aided by the ceasefire announcement and crypto market bounce.
  • The $0.095-$0.10 resistance level remained in place, and traders should be prepared to take profits in this area as the swing structure remained bearish.

相关问答

QWhat was the main reason behind Ethena's 14.6% price rally in the past 24 hours?

AThe rally was primarily driven by a bullish boost from short liquidations following President Trump's ceasefire announcement, as well as Ethena's plan to diversify its USDe reserve assets into non-crypto assets.

QWhy is Ethena planning to diversify its USDe reserve assets into non-crypto assets?

AThe diversification aims to boost Ethena's falling yield and improve market performance, as the crypto rout since October 2025 led to declining USDe supply and yield, leaving the protocol poorly positioned.

QWhat key resistance level is ENA struggling to break, according to the technical analysis?

AENA is struggling to break the $0.095-$0.10 resistance level, which has been a significant barrier despite recent high-volume rallies.

QWhat do the RSI and OBV indicators suggest about ENA's market trend?

AThe RSI is below the neutral 50 level, and the OBV is in a slump, indicating that the trend, selling pressure, and market structure are all in favor of sellers.

QWhat trading bias does the article recommend for ENA based on its current market structure?

AThe article recommends maintaining a bearish bias and taking profits from the bounce, as the swing structure remains bearish unless ENA convincingly breaks and holds above $0.095.

你可能也喜欢

UNI 四年后 100 美元,渣打的预测会成真吗?

据报道,渣打银行发布研究报告,预测Uniswap治理代币UNI在2030年末目标价可达100美元。其核心逻辑是,随着全球代币化资产规模快速增长(预计2030年达数万亿美元),将有大量资产流入DeFi市场寻求流动性,而Uniswap作为头部去中心化交易协议,有望承接相关交易并获取手续费收入。 然而,这一预测面临多重挑战。目前,机构级代币化产品(如贝莱德的BUIDL基金)虽利用DeFi技术进行交易结算,但普遍采用严格的准入控制和白名单机制,资产主要在封闭体系内流通,并未完全开放给无权限的DeFi流动性池。这凸显了当前行业的核心矛盾:机构既需要链上技术的效率,又希望保持对发行、分销和结算环节的管控。 此外,UNI代币本身仍缺乏直接的价值捕获机制。尽管社区已通过手续费分配和销毁等升级提案,但其价值实现依赖于未来协议交易规模的实际增长、手续费收入的提升以及与机构合作的深化。 综上,渣打的乐观预测建立在代币化资产能大规模进入开放式DeFi市场的假设上。现实发展路径更可能是一种混合模式:机构在可控前提下利用DeFi基础设施。因此,Uniswap能否成为代币化流动性的核心枢纽,取决于行业准入壁垒能否降低、跨平台互操作性是否改善。渣打的报告本身也表明,传统金融机构已开始认可DeFi在资产代币化浪潮中的潜在角色。

Foresight News14分钟前

UNI 四年后 100 美元,渣打的预测会成真吗?

Foresight News14分钟前

Odaily编辑部茶话会(6月17日)

Odaily编辑部茶话会内容摘要(6月17日) 本次茶话会中,编辑部成员分享了近期的市场观察与操作思路。 **Azuma** 近期小幅加仓了BTC和美股HOOD,并在预测市场参与世界杯。他关注到Hyperliquid生态的代币HYPE近期表现虽好,但其高价格可能阻碍了基于HIP-3构建更多自定义市场的生态扩展,目前该生态有被单一项目trade.xyz主导的趋势。 **Suzz** 分享了对投资心态的看法,强调市场机会永续,无需为错过某次行情而焦虑。他提醒要避免“后视镜思维”,认为提升认知、把握当下自己能力范围内的机会更为重要。 **golem** 分析了SpaceX收购AI编程工具Cursor母公司的事件,指出马斯克用SpaceX股票支付收购款的方式可能成本较低。他猜测,为了在股权交割时维持公司高估值,“马斯克利益集团”或有动力在短期内稳定SpaceX的股价,而目前其股价主要由散户情绪推动。 **Wenser** 分享了个人的交易关注点:BTC看涨但计划在6.8-6.9万美元区间试空;看好SpaceX长期走势;继续关注世界杯赛事,看好法国等强队;认为日韩股市强势,并看好Anthropic的IPO前景,建议可关注AI“卖铲子”类的防御型投资。 **秦晓峰** 近期在56美元左右买入HYPE并于70美元卖出,长期看好50-60美元支撑区间。理由是Hyperliquid在传统资产上链交易中占据红利,其平台绝大部分手续费收入用于回购HYPE,形成了增长飞轮;同时HYPE现货ETF获得了显著的传统资金流入。此外,他认为当前ETH价格已被低估,出现了加密投资者失望而传统投资者如华尔街持续看好的分化局面。

Odaily星球日报25分钟前

Odaily编辑部茶话会(6月17日)

Odaily星球日报25分钟前

迈克尔·塞勒拒绝比特币数字资产堆栈中的协议收益

迈克尔·塞勒再次明确区分了比特币与能产生收益的加密系统,主张比特币应保持为纯粹的数字资本,而收益应通过在其基础之上构建的金融产品来创造。他在六月提出的“数字资产堆栈”框架中,将比特币置于底层作为数字资本,其上各层分别对应数字信贷、数字货币、数字回报和数字股权。他认为,比特币无需协议级质押或原生收益来证明其价值。 塞勒的立场与其一贯观点一致:比特币的价值源于其稀缺性、中立性和抗稀释性,添加协议级收益会引入风险,损害其核心用途。他主张,收益应通过建立在比特币之上的资本市场结构(如比特币抵押贷款、结构化债务、优先股权或类似其公司MicroStrategy这样的上市公司载体)来产生。 这一观点不仅吸引了比特币纯粹主义者,因为它保持了比特币的简洁性,也为资本市场创造了将比特币波动性、抵押价值和资产负债表风险转化为可投资工具的空间。对于交易者而言,这场争论影响着比特币相对于其他加密资产的估值方式。以太坊等权益证明网络常以原生收益为竞争点,而塞勒认为比特币根本不应在此领域竞争。 争论持续的关键在于,投资者日益根据收益、流动性和抵押效用比较加密资产。比特币在稀缺性上占优,但其本身不向持有者支付收益。塞勒的方案是保持比特币不变,而让公司、贷方和结构化产品来创造收益层。批评者则认为这会通过杠杆和公司载体引入新的风险。随着机构比特币产品日益复杂,这种张力很可能持续存在。

bitcoinist1小时前

迈克尔·塞勒拒绝比特币数字资产堆栈中的协议收益

bitcoinist1小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片