a16z: In Defense of Stablecoins

a16z发布于2022-08-11更新于2022-08-11

文章摘要

Algorithmic stablecoins present a unique opportunity to make all sorts of assets productive and drive digital commerce around the globe.

This op-ed originally appeared as “In defence of stablecoins” on the Financial Times’s website on Monday, August 8, 2022, and in the newspaper’s print edition on Tuesday, August 9, 2022.

Crypto critics are using the collapse of dollar-pegged virtual currency Terra as ammunition to attack stablecoins and the crypto industry as a whole.

Lost in the conversation is, however, the root cause of the turmoil. A better understanding of what went wrong — and why — could help protect consumers while safeguarding innovation.

It’s important first to clarify terms. A stablecoin is cryptocurrency whose price is nominally “pegged” to a stable asset such as the U.S. dollar. People commonly blame the recent blow-up on so-called “algorithmic stablecoins,” which are typically programmed to automatically incentivize the creation and destruction of coins to maintain the price peg.

The attack on them is off the mark. Putting aside that TerraUSD should never have been considered a “stablecoin,” the real issue here has little to do with computer code and everything to do with a concept as old as finance itself: collateralization, or the use of assets to underpin value.

It is a crucial point that policymakers across the world need to consider as they draft legislation to prevent future Terra-like collapses. If legislators believe algorithms are to blame, they risk enacting counter-productive, innovation-stifling regulations. Poorly designed laws could disrupt markets, encourage regulatory arbitrage, and diminish Western democracies’ influence in the rising, decentralized internet economy known as web3.

The promise of decentralized finance — DeFi — rests largely on the breakthrough ability of blockchains to execute transparent, algorithmic contracts with instant finality.

Amid the recent market volatility, the vast majority of “decentralized” stablecoins backed by blockchain assets such as bitcoin and ether performed superbly, handling extreme price fluctuations and unprecedented redemptions without fail. Generally speaking, algorithms aren’t the issue with modern stablecoins. Instead, essentially all risk now arises from their collateral design.

The riskiest stablecoins are readily apparent: they are significantly under-collateralized (less than $1 of collateral is required to mint $1 of stablecoin), and they rely on “endogenous” collateral (collateral created by the issuer such as governance tokens that give holders voting powers on a blockchain’s rules and procedures).

Endogenous collateral enables dangerous, explosive growth: when an issuer’s governance token appreciates, users can mint many more stablecoins. That sounds fine until one considers the flipside: When the price declines — as is practically guaranteed during a bank run — cascading collateral liquidations to meet redemptions trigger a death spiral. See TerraUSD as an example.

Regulation is necessary to prevent similar breakdowns, but overly restrictive rules are not. The truth is enforcement actions under existing securities laws and anti-fraud statutes could have curtailed the proliferation of nearly every failed stablecoin to date.

Even so, additional, targeted regulation could be beneficial. While it is difficult to pinpoint exactly where regulators should establish collateralization requirements, it’s clear that without guardrails, stablecoin issuers may once again take on unreasonable amounts of risk.

Well-tailored rulemaking could support the crypto ecosystem and protect consumers. Wholesale changes — such as prohibiting the use of algorithms and digital assets as collateral altogether — would place an enormous burden on the burgeoning DeFi industry, disrupt digital asset markets, and hinder web3 innovation.

This is because stablecoins can, indeed, be stable if they manage their collateral properly. For “centralized” stablecoins backed by real-world assets, the liquidity and transparency of reserves may be low, so collateral should include less volatile assets like cash, treasuries, and bonds. Regulators can establish parameters regarding these types of collateral and require regular audits.

For “decentralized” stablecoins, the almost exclusive use of blockchain assets such as bitcoin or ether as collateral has trade-offs. Digital assets, while often volatile, are also highly liquid and can be transparently and algorithmically managed. Liquidity can happen nearly instantaneously, enabling much more efficient systems. As a result, decentralized stablecoins could, ultimately, be more resilient than centralized ones.

Algorithmic stablecoins present a unique opportunity to make all sorts of assets productive and drive digital commerce around the globe. Placing guardrails around their collateral could help unlock that potential.

你可能也喜欢

灰度抄底指南:利用现金流评估加密货币价值

本文探讨了在加密货币市场下跌背景下,如何利用现金流评估加密资产价值,并以去中心化借贷协议Aave为例进行深入分析。 核心观点认为,并非所有加密资产都适用相同估值方法。像比特币这类“类商品资产”依赖稀缺性和共识,而许多DeFi代币等“现金流资产”则与协议业务活动绑定,可通过分析协议收入、利润及代币价值捕获机制来估值。 报告指出,DeFi已成为能产生持续真实收入的赛道。Aave作为头部借贷协议,财务数据透明,拥有多元收入来源和雄厚国库。通过现金流折现(DCF)分析和与传统金融科技公司(市盈率约20-25倍)对比,灰度研究部认为AAVE代币当前合理估值区间为80-100美元(现价约75美元)。报告还预测,在监管明确化等利好情景下,其一年内价值可能升至约175美元。 文章强调,代币价值捕获机制至关重要,即协议如何将利润回馈给代币持有者(如回购、分红)。Aave通过治理演进,正加强协议经济与代币价值的绑定。同时,DAO的法律地位与监管政策(如《CLARITY法案》)仍是影响估值的关键不确定因素。 最后,报告认为市场正趋于成熟,资金从炒作项目流向具备实质收入、清晰商业模式和基本面的资产。投资者应关注如Aave、Uniswap等真正创造现金流的协议,运用基本面分析发现投资机会。

marsbit16分钟前

灰度抄底指南:利用现金流评估加密货币价值

marsbit16分钟前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片