Ethereum beats Bitcoin in July – How long can ETH stay ahead?

Ambcrypto发布于2025-07-17更新于2025-07-18

文章摘要

The ETH/BTC rebound from key support is promising. However, Ethereum must break past the 0.038 BTC resistance to confirm a lasting trend shift. Until then, this recovery holds potential, but needs more conviction.

Key Takeaways


Ethereum surged 34.75% in July, outperforming Bitcoin amid rising ETF inflows and falling BTC dominance. The ETH/BTC ratio rebounded 26%, signaling a potential altcoin-led trend shift favoring Ethereum.

After over a year of decline, the ETH/BTC ratio has rebounded sharply from a multi-year support zone between 0.015 and 0.020 BTC, rising nearly 26% to 0.029 BTC, at press time. 


This region previously served as a major accumulation zone during past cycles, including early 2019 and 2020. The bounce suggests a possible shift in Ethereum’s [ETH] relative strength after lagging Bitcoin for months. 

With Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin in price, attracting higher ETF inflows, and benefiting from falling Bitcoin [BTC] dominance, this reversal may be the early stages of a structural trend change in ETH’s favor.

Source: TradingView


Why did Ethereum leave Bitcoin behind in July’s price race?


According to CoinMarketCap data, Ethereum rallied by 34.75% over the past month to $3,456.61, significantly outperforming Bitcoin, which rose 11.75% to $118,615.53. 


Notably, Bitcoin touched a new all-time high above $122K, but its momentum has slowed. In contrast, Ethereum’s sharper gain reflects renewed investor optimism. 


The divergence suggests growing confidence in Ethereum’s upside potential, especially amid increasing interest in altcoins. 


Therefore, ETH’s dominant performance may signal a shift in capital allocation as traders look beyond Bitcoin for higher returns.


Are ETFs fueling Ethereum’s surge as inflows accelerate?


Ethereum ETFs have seen notable growth in July, with net inflows of 79,674 ETH, equivalent to over $256 million. iShares’ Ethereum ETF alone accumulated 55,984 ETH worth $180.27 million, according to Lookonchain.


Although Bitcoin ETFs also posted sizable net inflows of 3,412 BTC (~$404 million), Ethereum’s relative growth in ETF demand stands out. 


These inflows signal rising institutional confidence in Ethereum’s long-term utility and value proposition. Consequently, they may be a key driver behind ETH’s stronger performance in recent weeks.

Source: X/Lookonchain


Is Bitcoin dominance breakdown signaling an altcoin season?


Bitcoin dominance has sharply declined from 66.04% to 62.47%, a drop of 5.43%, breaking below an ascending trendline that supported BTC.D since late 2023. 


The daily RSI reading has plunged to 18.02, indicating extreme oversold conditions. Historically, similar breaks have accompanied altcoin rallies, particularly among large caps like Ethereum. 


This decline in dominance, paired with ETH’s ETF traction and price strength, suggests a capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins.


Therefore, the market may be entering a new altcoin-led phase, with Ethereum at the forefront.

Source: TradingView


Conclusively, Ethereum’s strong July performance, coupled with rising ETF interest and falling Bitcoin dominance, has given bulls fresh hope. 


The ETH/BTC rebound from key support is promising. However, Ethereum must break past the 0.038 BTC resistance to confirm a lasting trend shift. Until then, this recovery holds potential, but needs more conviction.

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