# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Wall Street

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Wall Street", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Ethereum Overlooked by Wall Street

Ethereum experienced a significant "fundamental vs. price divergence" in 2025. Despite achieving major technical upgrades like Pectra and Fusaka, which enhanced scalability, and seeing explosive Layer 2 growth with Base chain's success, ETH's price dropped nearly 40% from its all-time high of $4900 to around $2900. A key reason was the Dencun upgrade (EIP-4844), which drastically reduced L2 transaction costs but collapsed fee revenue and ETH burning. This ended Ethereum's deflationary "ultrasound money" narrative, turning it into a mildly inflationary asset. While L2s like Base generated substantial revenue, they were seen as both a threat to L1 value capture and a source of long-term monetary premium for ETH. Ethereum faced intense competition, losing ground in areas like PayFi and DePIN to Solana, but maintained dominance in RWA (e.g., BlackRock's $2B BUIDL fund) and stablecoins. Wall Street remained cautious, with ETH ETF inflows ($9.8B) lagging behind Bitcoin's ($21.8B) due to the exclusion of staking rewards, making it less attractive as a yield-bearing asset. Potential catalysts for a turnaround include: the approval of staking-enabled ETFs, RWA expansion, a future surge in Blob demand, improved L2 interoperability, and upcoming upgrades like Glamsterdam and Verkle Trees aimed at enhancing scalability and decentralization. Ethereum is undergoing a painful transition from a retail-friendly platform to global financial infrastructure, sacrificing short-term gains for long-term, institutional-grade scalability and security.

marsbit01/02 08:28

Ethereum Overlooked by Wall Street

marsbit01/02 08:28

From Left-Hand to Right-Hand Related-Party Transactions to Infiltrating Wall Street and the White House: What Power Game Is Tether Playing?

Recent reports reveal Tether's complex internal transactions and growing political ties, raising questions about its corporate governance and influence. Tether’s subsidiary Northern Data sold its bitcoin mining unit, Peak Mining, for $200 million to entities controlled by Tether’s own executives—co-founder Giancarlo Devasini and CEO Paolo Ardoino. This “left-hand-to-right-hand” deal, structured through loosely regulated markets, avoided disclosure as a related-party transaction. The timing coincided with Rumble’s $760 million acquisition plan for Northern Data. Tether, which holds 48% of Rumble, appears to have stripped high-volatility mining assets to present Northern Data as a pure AI cloud provider, likely boosting its valuation. A €610 million loan from Tether to Northern Data was reconfigured in the deal—partly converted into Rumble shares and partly into a new loan backed by Northern Data’s assets. Tether also has deep ties with Wall Street and U.S. politics. Cantor Fitzgerald’s CEO Howard Lutnick, now U.S. Secretary of Commerce, previously backed Tether’s reserves and negotiated a $600 million convertible note deal—a move criticized as a conflict of interest. Despite Lutnick’s assurances of stricter oversight, concerns remain about Tether’s influence. With an estimated $15 billion profit at a 99% margin this year, Tether is expanding into AI, media, and even sports. Critics question whether its profits serve the crypto ecosystem or a closed wealth cycle for its executives. Through strategic deals and political connections, Tether is building an empire that merges financial power with regulatory influence.

marsbit12/24 12:46

From Left-Hand to Right-Hand Related-Party Transactions to Infiltrating Wall Street and the White House: What Power Game Is Tether Playing?

marsbit12/24 12:46

Kalshi's First Research Report Released: How Collective Intelligence Outperforms Wall Street Think Tanks in Predicting CPI

Kalshi Research's inaugural report demonstrates that prediction markets consistently outperform Wall Street consensus forecasts in predicting the U.S. year-over-year CPI inflation rate. The study, covering over 25 monthly CPI releases from February 2023 to mid-2025, shows Kalshi’s market-implied forecasts had a 40.1% lower mean absolute error (MAE) than consensus predictions across all environments. The advantage was most pronounced during economic "shocks." For large surprises (over 0.2 percentage points), Kalshi's forecasts were 50% more accurate a week before the data release, improving to 60% more accurate the day before. For medium surprises (0.1-0.2 percentage points), the advantage was similarly 50%, rising to 56.2% closer to the release. Crucially, a divergence of over 0.1 percentage points between the market forecast and consensus served as a strong signal, with an 81.2% probability that a shock would occur. When the two forecasts disagreed, the market prediction was more accurate 75% of the time. The report attributes this "Shock Alpha" to three factors: the "wisdom of crowds" aggregating diverse information, superior incentive structures that reward accuracy over conformity, and more efficient information synthesis, even with the same public data. This suggests prediction markets provide a valuable, differentiated signal for investors and policymakers, especially during periods of high uncertainty.

Odaily星球日报12/24 04:00

Kalshi's First Research Report Released: How Collective Intelligence Outperforms Wall Street Think Tanks in Predicting CPI

Odaily星球日报12/24 04:00

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