# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Strategy

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Strategy", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

BTC Medium-Term Trend Weakens, Short-Term Volatility Fails to Mask Directional Risks | Guest Analysis

This analysis by Odaily's guest analyst Conaldo examines Bitcoin's (BTC) current market stance, highlighting a weakening medium-term trend and short-term consolidation with directional risks. The core view is that BTC is in a corrective phase after breaking its long-term bullish trend line (since late 2022) and is now constrained by both this and a descending trend line from the October 2025 high. Until a significant volume-backed breakout occurs above these key levels, any price rises should be considered rebounds within a bearish structure. Last week's prediction of a shift to a consolidation pattern was accurate, with price oscillating in the $87.5K–$89K zone. The analyst successfully executed four short-term trades based on a quant model, yielding a 2.14% return. Technical analysis using weekly and daily charts (incorporating momentum and sentiment quant models) indicates BTC remains in a bearish market on both timeframes, with weak buying momentum and neutral sentiment, suggesting continued consolidation and downside risk. For the upcoming week (Dec 22–28), the market is expected to see wide-range fluctuations. The key area to watch is $89.5K–$91K. A breakdown could lead to deeper correction, while holding could allow for a limited rebound. Specific short-term trading plans (A and B) are outlined for both scenarios, involving 30% short positions with precise entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. Key macro events this week include reduced holiday liquidity, potential Fed chair nomination news, US Q3 GDP and PCE data, and BoJ communications, all of which could impact market volatility. The analyst emphasizes strict risk management, including moving stop-losses to breakeven after a 1% profit. All views are for informational purposes only; DYOR.

marsbit12/22 07:06

BTC Medium-Term Trend Weakens, Short-Term Volatility Fails to Mask Directional Risks | Guest Analysis

marsbit12/22 07:06

BTC Medium-Term Trend Weakens, Short-Term Volatility Fails to Mask Directional Risks | Invited Analysis

BTC Mid-Term Trend Weakens, Short-Term Volatility Masks Directional Risks | Guest Analysis Analyst Conaldo reviews Bitcoin market performance from Dec 15-21, noting that BTC entered a predicted consolidation phase, oscillating within the $87.5K–$89K range. The mid-term outlook remains bearish, with the long-term bullish trend line (since late 2022) and the recent descending trend line (from the Oct 2025 high) converging. A breakout above this dual resistance is needed to shift the bearish structure. Last week, four short trades were executed based on quantitative models, yielding a 2.14% return. Key supports were held around $84.5K, closely aligning with predictions. Technical analysis (weekly and daily charts) indicates BTC remains in a bear market. Momentum indicators linger below zero, and sentiment metrics are neutral, suggesting continued weakness and potential downside risk. For the week of Dec 22-28, BTC is expected to trade in a wide range. Critical resistance lies at $89.5K–$91K. A breakdown could deepen corrections, while holding may lead to limited rebounds. Key supports are at $86.5K–$87.5K and $83.5K–$84.5K. Trading strategies maintain 65% mid-term short positions and 30% short-term tactical shorts based on range breaks, with strict stop-losses and profit-taking rules. Macro factors include reduced holiday liquidity, potential Fed chair nomination announcements, U.S. Q3 GDP revisions, and BoJ policy cues, which may influence market volatility. Investors are advised to exercise caution amid low-liquidity swings.

Odaily星球日报12/22 06:40

BTC Medium-Term Trend Weakens, Short-Term Volatility Fails to Mask Directional Risks | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报12/22 06:40

Michael Saylor Admits His ‘Big Mistake’ on Bitcoin, Says Price Falling After Strategy’s $2B Purchase Is ‘Good Thing’

Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy, stated that Bitcoin's lack of price increase following the company's recent $2 billion purchase is a sign of market maturity, not weakness. He views this stability as positive, indicating Bitcoin's resilience to manipulation and its evolution into a global capital network rather than a speculative asset. Saylor admitted his past skepticism about Bitcoin was a "big mistake," referencing his 2013 comment that Bitcoin's "days are numbered." He remains highly bullish, expecting Bitcoin to appreciate 30% annually for the next 20 years, and emphasized its advantages over traditional assets due to its lack of employees, management, or counterparty risk. MicroStrategy now holds 671,268 Bitcoin, acquired at an average price of $74,972 each.

ccn.com12/19 11:08

Michael Saylor Admits His ‘Big Mistake’ on Bitcoin, Says Price Falling After Strategy’s $2B Purchase Is ‘Good Thing’

ccn.com12/19 11:08

Farewell to 'Super Connector': Hong Kong's 'Global Hub' Ambition, What Is It Competing with Singapore and New York For?

Hong Kong is re-evaluating its role as a "super-connector" between China and global markets, facing intense competition from rivals like Singapore and New York. Despite strong market data—including a 120% surge in average daily turnover and a 709% jump in IPO fundraising in early 2025—a strategic shift is underway. The Hong Kong Financial Development Council’s report advocates transitioning from a passive gateway to an active "global capital hub," emphasizing a new "4Is" framework: Issuers, Investors, Intermediaries, and Instruments. Key challenges include diversifying issuers beyond China, attracting long-term "patient capital," deepening bond and derivatives markets, and accelerating digital infrastructure upgrades like T+1 settlement and tokenization. The report highlights the need for regulatory reforms, such as easing dual-class share rules, to compete for next-gen tech listings. However, Hong Kong must navigate geopolitical tensions, market liquidity issues, and balancing innovation with stability to succeed in this transformation.

marsbit12/19 08:53

Farewell to 'Super Connector': Hong Kong's 'Global Hub' Ambition, What Is It Competing with Singapore and New York For?

marsbit12/19 08:53

Coinbase pushes ‘everything exchange’ strategy with stock trading – Details

Coinbase has expanded into stock trading for U.S. users, allowing them to buy and sell equities using USDC within its app. This move integrates traditional stocks with crypto under one account, wallet, and transaction history. The rollout is part of Coinbase’s broader strategy to become a multi-asset platform, reducing reliance on crypto trading and competing with brokerages like Robinhood. The company also plans to offer event-based contracts and tokenized stocks for 24/7 trading. Despite regulatory uncertainties around event contracts, Coinbase aims to simplify portfolio management and diversify its product offerings beyond cryptocurrency.

ambcrypto12/18 17:02

Coinbase pushes ‘everything exchange’ strategy with stock trading – Details

ambcrypto12/18 17:02

Bitfinex Launches Zero-Fee Trading, Leveraging Long-Term Profitability to Accelerate Global Crypto Asset Adoption

Bitfinex, a leading global cryptocurrency exchange, has announced a major update to its fee structure, eliminating all trading fees for spot, margin, perpetual swaps, tokenized securities, and OTC trades for both makers and takers. The move is positioned as a long-term strategic shift, not a short-term promotion, and is made possible by the platform's sustained profitability and robust financial management since its founding in 2012. By removing fees, Bitfinex aims to set a new industry benchmark, improve market liquidity, and significantly lower the barrier to entry for users engaging with crypto assets. The exchange believes this will attract new users while rewarding existing ones, reinforcing its position as a cost-effective platform. With over 250 spot trading pairs and 60+ perpetual contracts, Bitfinex emphasizes its commitment to advancing financial freedom and accessibility through its mature technology and diverse business structure.

深潮12/18 09:25

Bitfinex Launches Zero-Fee Trading, Leveraging Long-Term Profitability to Accelerate Global Crypto Asset Adoption

深潮12/18 09:25

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

Crypto markets face a critical juncture in late 2025. Bitcoin hovers near $90,000, with the Fear & Greed Index at 25 (Extreme Fear) and short-term holder capitulation at historic highs. The December FOMC meeting delivered an expected 25bps rate cut but adopted a hawkish tone, projecting only one more cut in 2026, causing a brief BTC sell-off. However, the Fed also initiated a $40B/month Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) plan, a form of "stealth QE" injecting liquidity. Key themes emerge: - **Macro Impact**: Hawkish guidance creates short-term pressure, but ending QT and launching RMP set the stage for a 2026 liquidity surge, historically bullish for crypto. - **Institutional Shift**: 2025 marked a pivot to institutional dominance. While BTC remains core, portfolios are diversifying into ETH, Solana, stablecoins, and tokenized real-world assets (RWA). Pension and sovereign wealth funds are increasing exposure. - **Historical Pattern & On-Chain Data**: A potential "Santa Low-Chinese New Year Rally" pattern is anticipated due to seasonal liquidity shifts. On-chain metrics signal a likely bottom: massive STH capitulation, declining exchange reserves, and valuation indicators (MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple) in historic buy zones. The confluence of extreme fear, strong underlying accumulation signals, and impending macro liquidity shifts presents a strategic entry point for long-term investors, framing the current pullback as a mid-cycle correction within a broader upward trend.

marsbit12/18 07:13

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

marsbit12/18 07:13

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

In a significant market move, investment firm Strategy purchased over 10,000 BTC (worth approximately $900 million) in a single week, reinforcing its position as one of the world’s largest Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC valued at over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation has raised questions about Bitcoin’s actual available supply. Although 19.96 million BTC (95% of the total 21 million cap) have been mined, the truly liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is held long-term without movement, and around 20% is likely permanently lost. Additionally, exchange reserves have dropped to multi-year lows, reducing immediately tradable supply. Key institutional players include 153 companies with non-zero BTC balances—29 of which are public firms holding 1.082 million BTC. Strategy alone accounts for 671,000 BTC (62% of corporate holdings). Bitcoin ETFs hold about 1.311 million BTC, led by BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale. Governments hold approximately 615,000 BTC, with the U.S. and China as top holders. Around 3.409 million BTC haven’t moved in over a decade, with at least 2.14 million considered permanently inaccessible due to lost keys—including an estimated 1 million BTC possibly owned by Satoshi Nakamoto. With rising institutional demand and shrinking liquid supply, the market is experiencing structural tightening, potentially driving future price dynamics as available BTC becomes scarcer.

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much is Left to Buy on the Market?

In the past week, the publicly traded company MicroStrategy (referred to as "Strategy" in the text) purchased over 10,000 BTC, valued at more than $900 million, reinforcing its position as one of the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC worth over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation occurs despite a declining Bitcoin price and the company's mNAV falling below 1. This buying spree raises a critical question: how much Bitcoin is truly available for purchase on the market? While 19.96 million BTC have been mined (95% of the total 21 million cap), the actual liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is considered "dormant," and around 20% is presumed permanently lost. Furthermore, institutional holdings from corporations, ETFs, and national funds are rapidly absorbing available supply, withdrawing it from active circulation. Exchange balances have also plummeted to multi-year lows, standing at approximately 2.49 million BTC, indicating a sharp contraction in immediately sellable "float." Key data points on illiquid supply: * Long-term holders control ~14.35 million BTC (over 70% of supply). * 153 corporations hold Bitcoin, with 29 public companies holding 108.2K BTC. MicroStrategy alone holds 671K BTC, 62% of the corporate total. * Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold ~1.31 million BTC. * National governments hold ~615,000 BTC. * An estimated 2.14 million BTC (including ~1.08 million from 2009) are likely permanently lost due to lost private keys. The combination of massive institutional demand and a structurally shrinking liquid supply is creating a scenario of increasing scarcity, potentially signaling a major shift in market dynamics.

marsbit12/17 13:36

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much Is Left to Buy on the Market?

Strategy, a major long-term Bitcoin holder, has significantly increased its BTC holdings by over 10,000 BTC (worth $900 million) in a single week, despite a declining market and its mNAV falling below 1. This brings its total holdings to approximately 671,000 BTC, valued at over $50 billion, reinforcing its position as one of the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holders. This aggressive accumulation raises questions about the actual available supply of Bitcoin on the market. While 19.96 million BTC have been mined (95% of the total 21 million cap), the truly liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is held long-term in "dormant" wallets, and around 20% is presumed permanently lost. Furthermore, institutional ownership from public companies, ETFs, and national funds is rapidly growing, and exchange balances have hit multi-year lows, indicating a shrinking pool of immediately sellable "float." Key data points on illiquid supply: - Long-term holders possess ~14.35 million BTC (over 70% of circulating supply). - 153 corporations hold BTC, with 29 public companies accounting for 1.082 million BTC. Strategy alone holds 671,000 BTC, representing 62% of that corporate total. - Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold ~1.311 million BTC, led by BlackRock (777,000 BTC) and Fidelity (202,000 BTC). - Governments hold ~615,000 BTC, with the U.S. (325,000 BTC) and China (190,000 BTC, per Glassnode) as the largest holders. - ~3.409 million BTC haven't moved in over a decade, with at least ~2.14 million BTC (including ~1 million attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto) considered permanently lost. With only ~2.49 million BTC left on exchanges (a multi-year low), the report concludes that the available supply is structurally shrinking as institutional buying pressure intensifies and long-term holders continue to accumulate, potentially leading to a significant shift in market dynamics.

Odaily星球日报12/17 13:25