# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Stablecoins

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Stablecoins", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Under the squeeze between giants Tether and Circle, how can foreign exchange stablecoins break through?

In the face of dominance by Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC), new entrants in the stablecoin space face significant challenges competing directly, especially in the foreign exchange (FX) market. A more viable and efficient path forward is the adoption of synthetic foreign exchange (Forex) built atop existing USD stablecoin rails. The rise of stablecoin neo-banks represents the next major growth area for mass crypto adoption, with FX becoming a core component. However, replicating the vast liquidity, distribution channels, and network effects of USDT/USDC is extremely difficult for new FX stablecoin issuers. The total market cap of all FX stablecoins is a fraction (roughly 1/700th) of USD stablecoins, leading to issues like poor liquidity, peg instability, limited acceptance, and complex compliance hurdles. Instead of issuing spot FX stablecoins, the article advocates for a model inspired by traditional finance's non-deliverable forwards (NDFs). Users would continue to hold underlying USDT/USDC, while their account balances are displayed and economically settled in their preferred local currency through MtM (Mark-to-Market) NDF structures. This approach leverages the deep liquidity and infrastructure of USD stablecoins while providing synthetic forex exposure. Key advantages include strong peg stability via oracles, retained access to USD stablecoin yields and liquidity, high capital efficiency, and easy scalability to new currencies. Primary use cases for this on-chain NDF forex include: 1. Neo-banks, custodians, and wallets offering multi-currency accounts to attract international users and increase deposits. 2. Forex carry trade strategies, potentially offering more stable and scalable yields compared to crypto-native products like Ethena. 3. Global corporate payments, allowing businesses to receive payments in local currencies while hedging forex risk on-chain, similar to services offered by Stripe in traditional finance. This synthetic forex model presents a pragmatic solution to overcome the network effects of incumbents and unlock the next wave of stablecoin utility for global consumers and businesses.

marsbit05/24 00:30

Under the squeeze between giants Tether and Circle, how can foreign exchange stablecoins break through?

marsbit05/24 00:30

Why Haven't Forex Stablecoins Taken Off?

Why FX Stablecoins Never Took Off: A Path Forward via Synthetic FX Despite the explosive growth of stablecoin-powered digital banking, which has seen ~$6B in VC investment and a 24x surge in crypto card spending in under a year, a major limitation persists: these banks are essentially dollar-only accounts. This leaves 95-99% of global accounts, which are denominated in non-USD currencies, underserved. Attempts to create native foreign currency (FX) stablecoins (like EURC) have largely failed, with total FX stablecoin TVL at ~$600M compared to $400B for USD stablecoins—a 700x gap. These FX tokens face critical challenges: fragile pegs due to low liquidity, limited exchange/FinTech acceptance, poor on/off-ramps, complex regional compliance, and a chicken-and-egg adoption problem. The article argues that the solution lies not in competing with entrenched USD stablecoin networks (USDT/USDC), but in adopting a synthetic FX model inspired by traditional finance. Specifically, it advocates for Mark-to-Market Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs)—cash-settled FX derivatives that allow users to maintain underlying USD stablecoin holdings while having their account balance and P&L denominated in a foreign currency. This approach offers key advantages: strong oracle-based pegs, retention of deep USD stablecoin liquidity and yield, superior on/off-ramps, scalability to any currency with a reliable feed, and capital efficiency. It mirrors how modern institutional FX markets operate. Primary use cases for on-chain NDFs include: 1. **Digital Banks/Wallets:** Enabling multi-currency accounts for international users without leaving the USD stablecoin ecosystem, boosting deposits and retention. 2. **FX Carry Trade Vaults:** Offering access to sovereign interest rate differentials (e.g., earning yield on BRL) in a more stable and scalable format than crypto-native products like Ethena. 3. **Global Enterprise Payments:** Allowing merchants to receive payments in local currency equivalents while settling in USD stablecoins, similar to services offered by Stripe for fiat. The conclusion is that synthetic FX, not native FX stablecoins, is the viable path to integrating foreign exchange into the growing stablecoin digital banking landscape, potentially unlocking the next phase of institutional DeFi and multi-trillion-dollar global adoption.

链捕手05/23 04:02

Why Haven't Forex Stablecoins Taken Off?

链捕手05/23 04:02

Weekly Editor's Picks (0509-0515)

Weekly Editor's Picks (0509-0515): A Weekly Digest to Filter Noise This weekly digest curates deep analysis often lost in fast information flows. Key highlights: * **Macro:** A new "NACHO" (Not A Chance Hormuz Opens) trade emerges on Wall Street, betting on a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, shifting focus from political rhetoric to fundamental oil market data. * **Investment & Startups:** * Justin Sun discusses his long-term investment theses, highlighting future opportunities in embodied AI, drones, spatial computing, and space exploration. * Anthropic and OpenAI's crackdown on unauthorized stock transfers disrupts the pre-IPO token market, prompting a re-evaluation of its boundaries. * Bitwise analyzes massive capital inflows into new, compliant blockchains like Arc, Canton, and Tempo, tailored for stablecoins and asset tokenization. * A skeptical view questions HYPE's potential for further price appreciation, citing high fully diluted valuation, unlocking token supply, and unclear new buyer demographics. * **AI:** The "Semiconductor Century" report outlines the 2026 AI investment landscape, identifying key players (Nvidia, TSMC, ASML) and catalysts across the semiconductor supply chain, from design to manufacturing. * **Policy & Stablecoins:** The potential CLARITY Act is analyzed for its impact on DeFi. It could trigger massive institutional capital inflows and redirect stablecoin yields, benefiting structured, compliant DeFi protocols like Pendle, Morpho, and Centrifuge. * **CeFi & DeFi:** New tokens like sato and FLOOD, built on Uniswap v4's "Hook" mechanism, are gaining traction. Meanwhile, following the Kelp DAO exploit, Chainlink's CCIP is gaining market share from LayerZero in the cross-chain sector. * **Ethereum:** Grayscale suggests Ethereum's staking reward model needs reform to address issues like reduced fee burns from L2s and potentially excessive ETH lock-up, proposing a reward curve with a cap to benefit ETH's long-term value. * **Weekly Recap:** Summarizes key events including Trump's China visit, new Fed leadership, CLARITY Act progress, notable price movements (ZEC, TON), strong corporate earnings (Circle, Gemini), and institutional Bitcoin accumulation.

marsbit05/16 02:40

Weekly Editor's Picks (0509-0515)

marsbit05/16 02:40

Wall Street Capital Enters ARC, Circle Sparks a System-Level Competition for Stablecoins

Wall Street Capital Enters the ARC Arena as Circle Launches a System-Level Battle for Stablecoin Dominance On May 11, Circle successfully raised $222 million in a pre-sale funding round for its new blockchain and native token, ARC, giving the network a fully diluted valuation of $3 billion. The investor lineup, featuring Wall Street giants like BlackRock and Intercontinental Exchange alongside top-tier venture capital firms such as a16z and ARK Invest, signaled a collective strategic bet on future financial infrastructure. This move marks Circle's significant evolution from a stablecoin issuer (notably USDC) to a designer of financial systems. While USDC operates on external blockchains like Ethereum, making Circle dependent on their performance, ARC aims to create a dedicated infrastructure for the circulation, payment, and clearing of stablecoins. This would integrate currency issuance and circulation into one system, potentially shifting Circle's business model from asset management to infrastructure provision. The convergence of traditional finance and crypto-native capital in this funding round underscores a broader industry shift: stablecoins are transitioning from being mere trading tools to becoming core components of financial infrastructure. By controlling both the issuance (via USDC) and the流通 pathway (via ARC), Circle could establish a closed-loop system from issuance to settlement. If successful, this infrastructure could optimize costs, lower barriers for institutional adoption, and promote standardization in on-chain finance. Ultimately, it has the potential to challenge traditional systems like SWIFT in areas such as cross-border payments, representing a possible step toward the重构 of global financial infrastructure.

marsbit05/13 14:54

Wall Street Capital Enters ARC, Circle Sparks a System-Level Competition for Stablecoins

marsbit05/13 14:54

Circle's Three-Dimensional Valuation Framework: Where Is the Bottom, Where Is the Top

"Circle's 3D Valuation Framework: Where is the Bottom, Where is the Top?" - Article Summary The article analyzes Circle's valuation following its Q1 2026 earnings. While its core business generates substantial interest income from USDC reserves ($6.53B in Q1, up 17% YoY), this revenue is highly sensitive to interest rates and shared significantly with Coinbase. The author proposes a three-dimensional valuation framework: 1. **Interest Business (The Floor):** Valued like a bank (8-15x P/E) on net interest income after Coinbase's share. This provides a conservative valuation baseline. 2. **Payment & Platform Business (The Inflection Point):** Includes CPN (Circle Payments Network) and "Other Revenue" (transaction, integration services). This high-growth segment, not shared with Coinbase, is valued on a platform/network model (higher P/S multiples), similar to Visa/Mastercard. It represents Circle's shift beyond pure interest income. 3. **Arc Network & ARC Token (The Future / Optionality):** Arc is an institutional-focused, EVM-compatible L1 blockchain where USDC is the native gas token. A $222M ARC token pre-sale at a $3B FDV attracted major traditional finance players (BlackRock, Apollo, ICE). While Circle holds 25% of ARC tokens, their value is separate from CRCL equity. This dimension represents the long-term, high-upside bet on Circle becoming an "economic operating system." Current market cap (~$30B) prices in significant future growth beyond the sum-of-the-parts valuation derived from current earnings. The investment thesis hinges on believing in Circle's transition from a "stablecoin issuer" to a broader financial infrastructure and network platform. Key variables for the future include USDC adoption growth, CPN network effects, Arc's success, and potential renegotiation of the Coinbase revenue-sharing agreement.

marsbit05/13 13:56

Circle's Three-Dimensional Valuation Framework: Where Is the Bottom, Where Is the Top

marsbit05/13 13:56

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