# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Liquidity

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Liquidity", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Are Altcoins Soaring? Is the Bull Market Back?

Recent days have seen significant volatility in altcoins while Bitcoin remained relatively stable. Some low-market-cap tokens, with circulations under $20 million, surged by several hundred percent within days—without fundamental improvements, ecosystem breakthroughs, or new institutional inflows. This is not a true altseason. The Altseason Index stands at 34, and Bitcoin dominance is at 58.5%, indicating the market is still in a "Bitcoin season." The altcoin market cap has shrunk by ~40% since its peak in December 2024, falling to around $700 billion. This severe decline has made it cheaper for large holders to accumulate significant portions of circulating supply, enabling price manipulation. A case in point is SIREN, where a single entity allegedly controlled up to 88% of the circulating supply. Such concentration allows a small group to dictate price movements. Additionally, deeply negative funding rates (as low as -0.3% every 8 hours, annualized to -328%) force short sellers to pay high fees, accelerating liquidations and further fueling upward price spikes. On-chain activity, like a 97% weekly increase in BSC DEX volume, suggests excitement, but it is largely driven by existing capital, not new inflows. Institutional flows into altcoin ETFs (like those for Solana and XRP) have been weak or negative, indicating caution rather than rotation into altcoins. This rally is a signal of structural fragility, not broad bullish momentum. Until Bitcoin dominance falls significantly and new capital enters the altcoin space, these pumps are echoes of manipulation—not the return of a true bull market.

marsbit04/17 06:24

Are Altcoins Soaring? Is the Bull Market Back?

marsbit04/17 06:24

Institutional Adoption of Prediction Markets Stuck at the Third Stage

Prediction markets are transitioning from niche platforms focused on elections and sports to mainstream financial tools, as highlighted at Kalshi Research's inaugural conference. While sports still dominate trading volume (around 80%), non-sports categories like macroeconomics, politics, and entertainment are growing faster, signaling a shift from entertainment-based trading to information and risk management tools. Institutions, including Wall Street firms, are increasingly using prediction markets for data reference (Stage 1 adoption), with some progressing to system integration (Stage 2). However, full-scale trading (Stage 3) is limited due to the lack of margin trading, requiring full collateral for positions—a barrier for leverage-dependent entities. Kalshi is working with regulators to introduce margin mechanisms. Key insights from participants like Goldman Sachs and CNBC emphasize the value of real-time pricing for events (e.g., Fed decisions, tariffs), providing benchmarks previously unavailable. The path to maturity mirrors historical financial instruments like options, with expectations that prediction markets will become institutional staples within five years. Political leaders, including Trump and Schumer, now cite Kalshi odds, underscoring its growing influence. The platform rewards domain expertise over traditional finance backgrounds, attracting diverse participants from fields like music and poker. Ultimately, prediction markets are evolving into critical infrastructure for pricing uncertainty.

marsbit04/17 02:27

Institutional Adoption of Prediction Markets Stuck at the Third Stage

marsbit04/17 02:27

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