# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Kalshi

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Kalshi", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Kalshi Traders are Bearish on Bitcoin, Will BTC Price Stand the Test?

Kalshi traders express a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, predicting a potential drop to $64,000 or even $60,000 by the end of 2026 if macroeconomic conditions worsen. Currently trading around $87,675, BTC has declined 1.74% in 24 hours and remains 30.45% below its October 2025 all-time high of $126,198. Despite this, some positive sentiment exists, such as Metaplanet raising $137 million to purchase more BTC, indicating a buy-the-dip mentality. Key factors testing BTC’s price include competition from safe-haven assets like gold and silver, which recently hit record highs, and potential global uncertainty stemming from Trump’s international policies.

TheNewsCrypto01/29 12:08

Kalshi Traders are Bearish on Bitcoin, Will BTC Price Stand the Test?

TheNewsCrypto01/29 12:08

Coinbase Expands Prediction Markets to All 50 U.S. States

Coinbase has expanded its prediction markets feature to all 50 U.S. states, allowing nationwide event-based trading within its app. Developed in partnership with U.S.-based platform Kalshi, the feature enables users to trade yes-or-no contracts on events like sports, politics, entertainment, and economic developments such as Federal Reserve decisions. Pricing is based on supply and demand, reflecting market sentiment. Trades can be executed with USD or USD Coin, with low minimum amounts. While Kalshi currently provides contracts and liquidity, Coinbase plans to support additional providers in the future. The move is part of Coinbase's strategy to become a comprehensive financial platform within U.S. regulatory boundaries, despite some legal challenges Kalshi has faced regarding sports-related contracts in certain states.

TheNewsCrypto01/29 09:32

Coinbase Expands Prediction Markets to All 50 U.S. States

TheNewsCrypto01/29 09:32

Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Soars, Is It Still Time to Buy?

Kalshi, a leading US-regulated prediction market platform, has seen its pre-IPO stock price surge by 21.7% in the past 30 days, significantly outperforming major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. The prediction market sector is experiencing explosive growth, with total trading volume exceeding $50 billion in 2025. Kalshi reported a record $23.8 billion in annual trading volume for 2025, a 12x year-over-year increase, and is projected to reach a monthly trading volume of $9.1 billion in January 2026. The platform's rapid growth has attracted significant capital, including a $1 billion funding round led by Paradigm, valuing the company at $11 billion. Pre-IPO share prices for Kalshi vary across platforms, ranging from $307 on Nasdaq Private Market to $450 on crypto-native marketplaces. The article analyzes whether investing in Kalshi's pre-IPO shares remains a viable opportunity given its meteoric rise and market dominance.

marsbit01/29 08:57

Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Soars, Is It Still Time to Buy?

marsbit01/29 08:57

Kalshi's Pre-Market Stock Price Surges, Is It Still Time to Buy?

Kalshi, a leading US-regulated prediction market platform, has seen its pre-IPO stock price surge by 21.7% in the past 30 days, significantly outperforming major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. The prediction market sector is experiencing explosive growth, with total trading volume exceeding $50 billion in 2025. Kalshi reported a record $23.8 billion in annual trading volume for 2025, a 12x year-over-year increase, and is projected to reach a monthly trading volume of $9.1 billion in January 2026. Backed by major investors like Paradigm and Sequoia, Kalshi's valuation has soared to $11 billion. Pre-IPO share prices for Kalshi vary across platforms, ranging from $307 on Nasdaq Private Market to $450 on crypto-native platforms, reflecting high market interest. The article analyzes whether investing in Kalshi's pre-IPO market is still worthwhile given its rapid growth and dominant market position.

Odaily星球日报01/29 08:47

Kalshi's Pre-Market Stock Price Surges, Is It Still Time to Buy?

Odaily星球日报01/29 08:47

Prediction Market Leaders Are Frantically Competing for Top-Tier Sports IPs

Prediction market platforms are aggressively securing exclusive partnerships with major sports leagues, as seen in Polymarket's recent multi-year deal with Major League Soccer (MLS). This follows similar agreements with the NHL and UFC. While these "official exclusive prediction market" designations don’t legally prevent other platforms from offering markets on these leagues (due to the current ambiguous regulatory landscape for prediction markets compared to sports betting), they provide significant advantages. The core benefits include access to official, high-quality data for more accurate odds and faster settlements, brand authorization for marketing, and collaborative integrity monitoring to prevent market manipulation. With sports-related markets dominating trading volume on leading platforms like Kalshi (over 90%) and Polymarket (43%), competition for these lucrative partnerships is intensifying. This trend mirrors the established sports betting industry, where data and brand deals are crucial for service quality. While the top players battle for mainstream sports, data suggests emerging platforms may find opportunity in niche markets, such as crypto-native events, to differentiate themselves.

Odaily星球日报01/28 01:25

Prediction Market Leaders Are Frantically Competing for Top-Tier Sports IPs

Odaily星球日报01/28 01:25

Kalshi Bolsters U.S. Policy Engagement With New Washington, D.C. Office

Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction markets platform, has opened a new office in Washington, D.C. to strengthen its U.S. government relations and policy efforts. The company has appointed John Bivona as Head of Federal Government Relations and Blake Bee to lead its state policy agenda. This expansion comes as Kalshi faces regulatory challenges and litigation in several states, where its prediction markets are being scrutinized as potential unlicensed gambling. Despite these hurdles, Kalshi remains the world's largest prediction market by volume, reporting $6.58 billion in monthly trading. The new office aims to advance responsible financial innovation and engage with U.S. policymakers.

TheNewsCrypto01/27 09:56

Kalshi Bolsters U.S. Policy Engagement With New Washington, D.C. Office

TheNewsCrypto01/27 09:56

As Prediction Markets Enter the 'High Trading Volume Era': The Structural Divergence of Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion

The prediction market is undergoing a significant transformation, shifting from a niche information-based experiment to a mature trading ecosystem characterized by event contracts, high-frequency participation, and sustained liquidity. This analysis focuses on three leading platforms—Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion—each representing a distinct evolutionary path. Kalshi is driving a structural shift by integrating sports-based contracts, which offer high frequency, emotional engagement, and rapid settlement. This approach transforms prediction markets into a form of entertainment, boosting trading volume through increased capital turnover rather than just user growth. Polymarket thrives on high-volatility topics—politics, macroeconomics, and technology—that resonate with social media trends. It functions as a decentralized sentiment futures market, where trading is often driven by opinion shifts and emotional reactions rather than pure information advantage. Opinion, still in a growth phase, relies heavily on incentives and product design to attract users. Its challenge lies in transitioning from incentive-driven volume to organic user retention and sustained trading depth across multiple events. The prediction market is no longer a singular concept but is diverging into specialized infrastructures. The key questions moving forward are whether trading volume can translate into stable liquidity, whether prices remain meaningful, and whether user engagement stems from genuine demand rather than short-term incentives. The market’s future will be determined by which model best balances high-frequency participation with accurate pricing.

marsbit01/21 11:36

As Prediction Markets Enter the 'High Trading Volume Era': The Structural Divergence of Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion

marsbit01/21 11:36

Between Bans and Surges: Global Prediction Markets Become the New Battleground for 'Institutional-Grade Information Warfare'

Between Ban and Boom: Global Prediction Markets Emerge as a New Battleground for "Institutional-Grade Information Warfare" Prediction markets, once a niche domain, are now breaking into mainstream finance. Hedge funds and crypto whales are increasingly monitoring platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi alongside traditional indices. These markets, which allow users to bet on event outcomes, saw a single-day trading volume exceeding $700 million, signaling a transformation into a significant, institution-grade sector. The core driver is the demand to price and hedge against macro uncertainty—such as election results or geopolitical conflicts—where traditional derivatives fall short. This institutional adoption is underscored by Polymarket's data partnership with Dow Jones, integrating its odds into terminals like The Wall Street Journal. However, rapid growth has triggered a global regulatory crackdown. European nations, including Hungary and Portugal, have banned Polymarket for operating as an unlicensed gambling site. Even in the U.S., Kalshi faces state-level restrictions. A highly suspicious trade—turning $32 into $400k by accurately predicting the ousting of Venezuela's president—highlighted risks of insider trading and political sensitivity, intensifying regulatory scrutiny. The central conflict is a fundamental legal classification: are these markets financial instruments for information aggregation or simply a new form of gambling? This dichotomy is creating a fragmented global landscape. The future will likely be a bifurcated system: compliant, restricted platforms like Kalshi serving institutions, and decentralized, broader markets like Polymarket operating in regulatory gray zones. While prediction markets are becoming embedded in risk management models, participants face sharply rising and jurisdiction-dependent legal risks. The ultimate survivors may be the "regulation-friendly" versions, marking another disruptive financial innovation's transition into the mainstream.

marsbit01/21 11:02

Between Bans and Surges: Global Prediction Markets Become the New Battleground for 'Institutional-Grade Information Warfare'

marsbit01/21 11:02

Delphi Digital: Three Major Trends in Prediction Markets

Delphi Digital outlines three key trends shaping the future of prediction markets, now a $600M+ sector. Major players like CME Group, Coinbase, and Robinhood are entering, while incumbents Polymarket and Kalshi aggressively expand. Polymarket focuses on CFTC-compliant crypto-native infrastructure, U.S. re-entry, and Web2 partnerships. Kalshi leverages regulatory advantages and orderbook liquidity for global growth. Layer 1 and Layer 2 networks now have economic incentives to capture prediction market activity. Verticalized markets for specific user groups will outperform generic platforms. Three predictions are highlighted: 1. **Perpetual-ized Options**: Prediction markets simplify options into binary, expiry-free formats (e.g., “Will BTC close above $150K on June 30?”), boosting accessibility. 2. **Native On-Chain Risk Markets**: These will provide DeFi-native insurance (e.g., short-term markets to hedge stETH depegging risks). 3. **Unbundling**: The stack will split to serve different users—professional tools (aggregators, advanced analytics) and social-first interfaces for mass adoption. AI agents may soon dominate arbitrage, pushing innovation toward new mechanisms like impact markets, sentiment prediction, virtual sports, futarchy, and coordination markets. Prediction markets are evolving into foundational infrastructure for options, insurance, and governance.

链捕手01/19 15:30

Delphi Digital: Three Major Trends in Prediction Markets