# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Inflation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Inflation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Is Bitcoin’s price at risk of $58K after U.S 10-year yields near 5%, oil-driven inflation

Bitcoin's recent rally to $76,000 has reversed amid shifting macroeconomic conditions. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is consolidating near a bullish flag pattern, with a potential breakout toward 5%—a level last seen in 2023. Higher yields could trigger capital outflows from risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially driving its price down to the $58,632–$55,302 demand zone. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded outflows of $296 million over the past week, reversing previous inflows, indicating a risk-off sentiment among institutional investors. Surging oil prices, with Brent crude near $106, are stoking inflation concerns and reducing the likelihood of near-term monetary easing. These factors suggest Bitcoin remains sensitive to broader macro liquidity conditions rather than acting as a reliable inflation hedge in the short term.

ambcrypto03/29 04:12

Is Bitcoin’s price at risk of $58K after U.S 10-year yields near 5%, oil-driven inflation

ambcrypto03/29 04:12

Bitcoin At Risk? Odds Tilt Toward Drop Below $66K This April

Options traders are pricing in over a 50% probability that Bitcoin remains below $66,000 by late April, reflecting a sharp shift in sentiment. The 30-day delta skew surged to 15%, indicating heightened demand for downside protection. Bitcoin fell 7.5% to $65,500 on Friday, liquidating over $200 million in long positions and rendering most call options worthless ahead of a major expiry. The selloff was driven by geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices surpassing $100, and climbing bond yields, which pressured risk assets broadly. Bitcoin has underperformed the S&P 500 by 20% this year. With macro pressure mounting and traders avoiding weekend exposure, the near-term outlook remains bearish.

bitcoinist03/28 21:01

Bitcoin At Risk? Odds Tilt Toward Drop Below $66K This April

bitcoinist03/28 21:01

Bitcoin Decline Signals Structural Weakness As Liquidity, Macro Conditions Worsen – Details

A recent analysis by XWIN Research Japan indicates Bitcoin is exhibiting structural weakness due to deteriorating liquidity and adverse macroeconomic conditions. Trading volume has significantly declined for months, resulting in low market liquidity that amplifies the impact of news and short-term flows. This is compounded by a drop in active addresses, signaling weak demand and hindering recovery. While some on-chain metrics have slightly improved, they are insufficient to confirm a trend reversal. Macroeconomic pressures, particularly rising oil prices from the US-Israel-Iran conflict, have increased inflation expectations. This has led to anticipations of interest rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, causing simultaneous sell-offs in bonds, equities, gold, and cryptocurrencies—deviating from traditional risk-off behavior. Unless liquidity and on-chain activity show definite recovery, Bitcoin's price is expected to decline further in the near term. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $65,981, down 4.01% over the past day.

bitcoinist03/28 15:01

Bitcoin Decline Signals Structural Weakness As Liquidity, Macro Conditions Worsen – Details

bitcoinist03/28 15:01

Bitcoin down 25% in Q1 – Is crypto’s correction turning bearish?

Bitcoin fell 25% in Q1 2025, raising concerns that the market correction may be turning bearish. The broader financial landscape has shifted significantly due to the ongoing Iran conflict, with oil surging over 50% and Treasury yields rising 13%. In contrast, crypto’s 0.5% drop appeared muted initially, but underlying pressures are mounting. The Federal Reserve is no longer pricing in cuts until late 2027, with a 51% chance of a hike by March 2027, as rising energy prices could push CPI inflation toward 3.5%. This challenges crypto’s role as an inflation hedge. On-chain data shows panic selling, with 21,700 BTC sold at a loss in 24 hours, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index is nearing "extreme fear." Weak institutional demand and defensive capital rotation suggest this is more than a routine pullback and could signal the beginning of a broader bear market.

ambcrypto03/28 10:05

Bitcoin down 25% in Q1 – Is crypto’s correction turning bearish?

ambcrypto03/28 10:05

Zoomex Launches Earning Initiative as Inflation Drives Shift Toward Capital Efficiency in Crypto Markets

Rising inflation and interest rate uncertainty are driving a shift toward capital efficiency in crypto markets, prompting Zoomex to launch a new user initiative focused on its earning products. The platform highlights that idle capital has become a key concern, as traders increasingly look beyond market timing to keep assets productive across varying conditions. Zoomex addresses this with a multi-layer capital deployment system integrating trading, automated strategies, and yield generation within a single interface—eliminating the need to transfer funds across platforms. The approach also extends to real-world use via the Zoomex Card, enabling seamless spending of digital assets. This reflects a broader industry evolution where platforms are now evaluated on capital utilization, yield accessibility, and strategic flexibility, not just trade execution. Zoomex’s campaign aims to simplify user onboarding into yield-generating tools as macro uncertainty makes capital efficiency central to investment decisions.

TheNewsCrypto03/27 12:09

Zoomex Launches Earning Initiative as Inflation Drives Shift Toward Capital Efficiency in Crypto Markets

TheNewsCrypto03/27 12:09

Stop Focusing Only on Oil Prices, the Bond Market Is the Real Barometer

The bond market, not oil prices, has become the primary driver of global financial conditions amid the ongoing Iran war. Over the past 27 days, the US 10-year Treasury yield has surged 50 basis points to 4.42%, shifting market expectations from multiple 2026 rate cuts to potential hikes. This rapid rise reflects renewed inflation fears, with 12-month expectations hitting 5.2%, while the labor market shows persistent weakness—over 1 million jobs were revised away for 2025. Historical "Policy Shift Zone" of 4.50%-4.70% for the 10-year yield is critical; breaching it likely triggers government intervention, as seen in past crises. Recent signals, including delayed strikes and peace talks," suggest such moves may be imminent. While oil remains elevated near $100/barrel, bond volatility now dictates equity pressures and policy responses. The administration’s market sensitivity implies interventions to prevent economic deterioration, likely leading to conflict de-escalation within weeks, not months. Despite short-term turbulence, the AI revolution continues accelerating. Monitor bonds—they’re setting the risk boundary.

marsbit03/27 06:55

Stop Focusing Only on Oil Prices, the Bond Market Is the Real Barometer

marsbit03/27 06:55

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

Market Summary March 27: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Fuels Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Extension Wall Street saw significant losses with the Dow falling 469 points (-1.01%), the S&P 500 dropping 1.74% (its worst day in two months), and the Nasdaq plunging 2.38%, officially entering correction territory—down over 10% from its October high. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned markets were "too optimistic," citing inflation risks that could force renewed rate hikes. The OECD added pressure by raising its 2026 U.S. inflation forecast to 4.2%, far above the Fed’s own projection. Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude surpassing $107/barrel and WTI near $93, as Iran’s foreign minister rejected direct negotiations with the U.S., dimming hopes for a near-term ceasefire. Gold fell 4%, on track for its worst monthly loss since 2008, pressured by rising yields, a strong dollar, and shifting rate expectations. Bitcoin dropped 3.4% to around $68,837, breaking below $70,000. After hours, Trump delayed the deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6, citing ongoing negotiations. Futures and crypto briefly rebounded on the news, but skepticism remains high as the market awaits Iran’s response. The extended deadline offers a reprieve but intensifies pressure for a resolution.

marsbit03/27 01:49

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

marsbit03/27 01:49

‘Oil prices infect everything’ – Can Bitcoin still weather this storm?

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are experiencing prolonged uncertainty, driven by macroeconomic pressures and heightened geopolitical tensions in West Asia. Oil prices have become a central source of volatility, influencing inflation and interest rate expectations, which in turn pressure risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin has shown resilience, maintaining a range between $65,000 and $76,000 without significant declines since the conflict escalated. Analysts attribute this stability to the crypto market’s maturation, including the presence of spot ETFs, corporate treasury purchases, and institutional involvement. However, spot Bitcoin accumulation remains relatively low at $4.99 billion over the past 60 days, indicating tepid demand. The market’s to face headwinds, with the key risk being whether oil-driven inflation forces the Federal Reserve to maintain or raise interest rates, potentially putting further pressure on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

ambcrypto03/26 11:52

‘Oil prices infect everything’ – Can Bitcoin still weather this storm?

ambcrypto03/26 11:52

The Economy Enters a New Cycle: How Should Ordinary People Prepare?

"Economy Enters a New Cycle: How Should Ordinary People Prepare? Amidst accelerating AI, geopolitical conflicts, and a high-interest-rate cycle, the global economy faces a potential systemic crisis. This article outlines key risks: rising sovereign debt (e.S. debt exceeds $39 trillion), energy price shocks acting as a 'hidden tax', and AI-driven deflationary pressures that could trigger defaults in a highly leveraged system. Early warning signs include plummeting consumer confidence, abnormal bond markets, and rising personal financial stress. The guide for individuals focuses on building anti-fragility: 1. **Financial Defense**: Build a 3-6 month emergency fund, eliminate high-interest debt, and avoid variable-rate loans. 2. **Career Protection**: Upskill with AI-relevant abilities, start a side hustle, and avoid impulsive job changes. 3. **Investment Strategy**: Ignore short-term noise; long-term investing in diversified assets (e.g., S&P 500) remains key. Consider opportunistic buys during panic sell-offs. 4. **Personal Preparation**: Invest in health, optimize taxes, and develop layered skills—from income-generating abilities (coding, sales) to macroeconomic literacy. Ultimately, resilience comes from proactive action, not prediction. The gap between success and failure lies in execution, not awareness."

marsbit03/26 08:18

The Economy Enters a New Cycle: How Should Ordinary People Prepare?

marsbit03/26 08:18

Wall Street Collectively Pessimistic About 2026: Could an Oil Crisis Trigger an Economic Recession?

In late March, multiple major financial institutions—Moody's Analytics, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, and EY-Parthenon—raised their 12-month recession probability forecasts for the U.S. to over 30%. Moody’s gave the highest estimate at 48.6%, followed by EY-Parthenon at 40%, J.P. Morgan at 35%, and Goldman Sachs at 30%. A key common factor is the sharp rise in oil prices, with Brent crude surpassing $100 per barrel in early March—the first time in four years—due to supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transit route. Historical data indicates that four out of the five major oil price shocks since the 1970s led to economic recessions. Although the current price increase of around 80% is the smallest among them, the scale of supply disruption is described by the IEA as the largest since the 1970s energy crises. J.P. Morgan estimates that every sustained 10% increase in oil prices reduces U.S. GDP growth by 15–20 basis points. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, outlined two extreme outcomes: either geopolitical resolution leads to oil prices falling to $40 and global growth, or prolonged conflict keeps prices above $100—possibly near $150—triggering a global recession. He ruled out a 2008-style systemic financial meltdown, citing stronger bank buffers. Beyond oil, declining consumer confidence and weak employment data are amplifying concerns. The convergence of pessimistic forecasts from different methodological approaches may itself influence economic behavior, potentially becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy as businesses and consumers become more cautious.

marsbit03/26 03:05

Wall Street Collectively Pessimistic About 2026: Could an Oil Crisis Trigger an Economic Recession?