# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Gold

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Gold", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold? I've Compiled a Decade of the Most Accurate Gold Analysis

This analysis investigates whether compiling the most accurate historical predictions on gold prices from top analysts, institutions, and famed forecasters can unlock future price movements. After examining over a decade of data, the findings reveal that no single expert or entity consistently predicts gold prices accurately. Key observations include: - **Wall Street institutions** (e.g., LBMA, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan) often exhibit "lagging predictions," adjusting targets only after trends are established, frequently underestimating actual price moves. - **Prominent gold bulls** (e.g., Peter Schiff, Jim Rogers) persistently advocate for higher prices over long horizons but lack timing precision, leading to extended periods of underperformance. - **"Prophetic" forecasters** (e.g., Nouriel Roubini, Ben McMillan) have moments of accuracy but also significant misses or limited track records, undermining their reliability. The study notes a pattern similar to the 2011 gold peak: extreme bullish predictions often cluster near market tops, followed by sharp corrections. Current forecasts for gold range widely from $5,400 to $35,000, reflecting high disagreement even among experts. The conclusion is that there is no consistent "most accurate" predictor for gold prices. Relying on expert consensus or individual forecasts proves chaotic and unreliable. Instead, the author advocates for a strategy akin to Ray Dalio’s: avoiding precise price predictions, embracing uncertainty, and using portfolio allocation (e.g., 5-15% in gold) for long-term risk management.

marsbit04/02 12:42

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold? I've Compiled a Decade of the Most Accurate Gold Analysis

marsbit04/02 12:42

April 2 Market Summary: Trump's "Withdrawal from Iran in 2-3 Weeks" Speech Ignites Q2 Opening, Global Markets Await Tonight's 9 PM Statement

On April 2, markets continued their Q2 rally, driven by former President Trump’s announcement that U.S. troops would withdraw from Iran within "2-3 weeks," regardless of a formal agreement. This signaled a potential near-term end to the conflict, boosting risk sentiment. Stocks rose broadly: the Dow gained 0.48%, the S&P 500 rose 0.72%, and the Nasdaq advanced 1.16%. Energy stocks fell over 4% as WTI dropped below $100/barrel on ceasefire expectations. Tech stocks, including Intel, surged. SpaceX filed for a secret IPO, and OpenAI raised $122B at an $852B valuation. Gold rose 2.25% as lower oil eased inflation fears, supporting rate cut expectations. Bitcoin traded calmly between $67.8k–$68.5k, while Iran’s threat to target U.S. tech firms highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience narrative. Trump’s evening speech confirmed Iran’s ceasefire request, but markets await further developments, including key U.S. economic data and the April 6 deadline for potential strikes on Iranian infrastructure.

marsbit04/02 01:31

April 2 Market Summary: Trump's "Withdrawal from Iran in 2-3 Weeks" Speech Ignites Q2 Opening, Global Markets Await Tonight's 9 PM Statement

marsbit04/02 01:31

March 31 Market Summary: End of Q1, S&P Drops Over 7%, Writing the War Bill

March 31 Market Summary: End of Q1, S&P Down Over 7% as War Takes Its Toll U.S. stocks closed a difficult quarter, with the S&P 500 falling over 7% and moving close to correction territory. The Nasdaq and Dow Jones both entered corrections, a situation not seen since the Fed's aggressive 2022 rate-hike cycle. The market's internal structure was distorted, with energy and defense stocks gaining while tech and consumer stocks plummeted. The tech sector saw a "death cross" and its longest monthly losing streak since 2002. Oil prices remained a dominant story, with WTI crude closing at $102.88, up roughly 80% for the quarter, driven by continued Middle East supply disruptions. Gold fell sharply in March but still posted a positive return for the quarter. Bitcoin fell over 30% in Q1, making it the worst-performing major asset class. The crypto market faced persistent pressure from shifting liquidity expectations as the Fed's next move appeared to shift from potential rate cuts to possible hikes. The quarter's losses were largely concentrated in the 32 trading days following the U.S.-Israel strike on Iran. The market now looks to April 6, a deadline set by former President Trump regarding the Strait of Hormuz, with outcomes ranging from oil above $130 to a prolonged period of uncertainty.

marsbit03/31 01:40

March 31 Market Summary: End of Q1, S&P Drops Over 7%, Writing the War Bill

marsbit03/31 01:40

Gold beats Bitcoin in the ‘safe-asset’ debate once again: ‘Get out while you still can!’

The ongoing debate between Gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets continues, with recent developments favoring gold. While Bitcoin initially outperformed gold during U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions in early March 2026—even nearing $74,000—it has since lost momentum, struggling to maintain levels above $67,000. The XAU/BTC chart shows green candles on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating gold's current outperformance, though the bounce remains minimal and lacks clear trend reversal signals, with RSI in overbought territory. The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold stands at -0.47, reflecting opposing price movements. On-chain analysis reinforces Bitcoin's perception as a riskier asset compared to gold, a view echoed by critic Peter Schiff. Market cap rankings further highlight gold’s dominance, placing first while Bitcoin ranks 12th. At press time, Bitcoin traded around $67,258 and gold at $4,536. Despite Bitcoin briefly acting as a safe haven during gold’s worst five-day drop since 1983, the market remains divided heading into Q2 2026. The key takeaway is that both assets exhibit strength under different conditions, with no consensus yet on the true safe-haven asset.

ambcrypto03/30 11:09

Gold beats Bitcoin in the ‘safe-asset’ debate once again: ‘Get out while you still can!’

ambcrypto03/30 11:09

BIT Research: Escalating Geopolitical Conflicts, Why is Bitcoin Starting to Outperform Traditional Assets?

The market is undergoing a macro repricing phase dominated by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly related to Iran, which is increasing uncertainty around energy supply, inflation, and global growth. While initial market expectations leaned toward looser policy, rising conflict risks are prompting a reassessment of rate cut timelines and a potential shift toward more hawkish policies. In the initial phase, rising oil prices drove inflation expectations higher, tightening financial conditions and pressuring risk assets, including Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin demonstrated relative resilience due to its prior price correction, which limited passive selling pressure. Unlike gold, Bitcoin has no physical carry cost, giving it a comparative advantage in a high real-rate environment. As the shock persists, the narrative is transitioning from inflation concerns to growth worries, with weakening industrial metals like copper reflecting dampened demand. If the situation continues, a third policy response phase may emerge, where governments and central banks intervene with fiscal support or liquidity measures. At this stage, market focus would shift from inflation to liquidity expectations, historically a supportive environment for Bitcoin as a non-sovereign asset. Additionally, structural shifts in global capital flows—such as resource-exporting nations diversifying away from U.S. assets amid reserve neutrality concerns—are tightening global liquidity and raising long-term rates. Bitcoin’s performance is increasingly tied to both risk sentiment and its sensitivity to liquidity cycles. Once policy easing expectations rise, Bitcoin may strengthen further relative to traditional assets, which face dual pressure from rates and growth. The key for investors is to monitor the transition in macro narrative: from oil-driven inflation to growth constraints, and eventually to policy-led liquidity. Bitcoin, having already undergone significant adjustment, is positioned to show relative outperformance as the market shifts toward liquidity-driven pricing.

marsbit03/30 05:51

BIT Research: Escalating Geopolitical Conflicts, Why is Bitcoin Starting to Outperform Traditional Assets?

marsbit03/30 05:51

US-Iran War: Why Did Turkey Sell Off 58.4 Tons of Gold in Two Weeks?

Turkish Central Bank sold approximately 58.4 tons of gold, worth over $8 billion, within two weeks in March 2026, as a response to a severe financial crisis triggered by the U.S.-Israel military operation against Iran. The conflict led to Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to surge over 40% and cutting off natural gas supplies to Turkey, which relies heavily on energy imports. This resulted in a plunging Turkish lira, massive foreign capital flight, and rapid depletion of foreign reserves. To defend the currency and meet urgent dollar demands, Turkey utilized gold swaps—temporarily exchanging gold for dollars with agreements to repurchase later—rather than outright sales, to avoid market panic and preserve long-term reserves. The move highlights Turkey's vulnerability to energy shocks and its strategic use of gold reserves for liquidity during crises. If the conflict persists, further gold sales may be necessary, adding downward pressure on global gold prices.

marsbit03/30 00:08

US-Iran War: Why Did Turkey Sell Off 58.4 Tons of Gold in Two Weeks?

marsbit03/30 00:08

Altcoins or metals? Here’s how investors are rotating amid rising risk

Amid rising macroeconomic volatility and declining risk appetite, investors are rotating capital away from Bitcoin, which faces selling pressure, and into select altcoins. Technical indicators show Bitcoin dominance encountering resistance at 60%, while the Altcoin Season Index has risen, suggesting accelerating altcoin rotation. However, the Bitcoin Risk Index mirrors 2022 patterns, indicating that altcoins remain highly vulnerable to BTC’s instability. If negative altcoin impulse exceeds 25%, broader corrective pressure may spread. Concurrently, investors are hedging risk by moving into hard assets like gold and silver, which have gained significantly. This deliberate shift into metals may continue to limit altcoin upside until Bitcoin stabilizes and overall risk conditions improve.

ambcrypto03/28 15:02

Altcoins or metals? Here’s how investors are rotating amid rising risk

ambcrypto03/28 15:02

The Gold-to-Bitcoin Rotation Narrative Is Back, Is This Good For the BTC Price?

Bitcoin's failure to hold above $70,000 has reignited discussions about a potential capital shift from gold to Bitcoin. According to analyst Darkfost, a clear rotation signal requires Bitcoin to trade above its 180-day moving average (currently $89,700) while gold remains below its own. Currently, both assets are below their respective moving averages, indicating a negative signal. While gold is correcting due to forced liquidations rather than fundamental weakness, Bitcoin is consolidating under pressure. The narrative of capital moving from gold to Bitcoin is circulating but lacks confirmation. For the rotation signal to turn positive, Bitcoin must reclaim $89,700 while gold stays below its average. Until then, the trade remains theoretical.

bitcoinist03/28 00:01

The Gold-to-Bitcoin Rotation Narrative Is Back, Is This Good For the BTC Price?

bitcoinist03/28 00:01

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

Market Summary March 27: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Fuels Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Extension Wall Street saw significant losses with the Dow falling 469 points (-1.01%), the S&P 500 dropping 1.74% (its worst day in two months), and the Nasdaq plunging 2.38%, officially entering correction territory—down over 10% from its October high. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned markets were "too optimistic," citing inflation risks that could force renewed rate hikes. The OECD added pressure by raising its 2026 U.S. inflation forecast to 4.2%, far above the Fed’s own projection. Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude surpassing $107/barrel and WTI near $93, as Iran’s foreign minister rejected direct negotiations with the U.S., dimming hopes for a near-term ceasefire. Gold fell 4%, on track for its worst monthly loss since 2008, pressured by rising yields, a strong dollar, and shifting rate expectations. Bitcoin dropped 3.4% to around $68,837, breaking below $70,000. After hours, Trump delayed the deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6, citing ongoing negotiations. Futures and crypto briefly rebounded on the news, but skepticism remains high as the market awaits Iran’s response. The extended deadline offers a reprieve but intensifies pressure for a resolution.

marsbit03/27 01:49

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

marsbit03/27 01:49

Recession fears rise as Bitcoin chops at $70K – Is an H2 rally forming?

Amid ongoing Middle East tensions and rising recession fears, Bitcoin continues to trade choppily around the $70,000 mark, reflecting broader market uncertainty. Analysts highlight concerns that prolonged conflict could drive oil prices higher, potentially crushing demand and pushing the economy into a recession. In response, traders are displaying mixed strategies: some are flocking to safe havens like Tether Gold (XAUT), which recently saw record-high perpetual volume on Binance, while long-term Bitcoin investors continue accumulating, with exchange outflows reducing reserves to multi-year lows. This accumulation suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, especially if interest rate cuts materialize in response to economic stress. Despite short-term volatility, the market appears to be positioning for potential gains in the second half of the year, leveraging fear as an opportunity for outsized returns.

ambcrypto03/26 16:01

Recession fears rise as Bitcoin chops at $70K – Is an H2 rally forming?