# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Fed

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Fed", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Amid Stock Market Highs, Bond and Oil Markets Are Still 'Casting Dissenting Votes'

The stock market has fully recovered its losses from the U.S.-Iran conflict, with the S&P 500 nearing all-time highs. However, bond and crude oil markets are signaling a different story. While equities are pricing in an optimistic scenario—low inflation, Fed rate cuts, contained costs, and conflict resolution—bond yields and oil prices suggest persistent inflation, limited Fed flexibility, and ongoing geopolitical risk. The 10-year Treasury yield has risen 30 basis points since the conflict began, reflecting inflation concerns rather than growth optimism. WTI crude is up 37%, indicating the market does not anticipate a near-term resolution to Middle East tensions. The 2-year yield, sensitive to Fed policy expectations, has increased 40 bps, challenging the narrative of imminent rate cuts. This divergence suggests the equity rally may be driven more by momentum than fundamentals. If upcoming inflation data exceeds expectations or geopolitical risks persist, stocks may need to correct downward to align with the realities reflected in bonds and oil. The author remains cautious, preferring to wait for clearer signals rather than chase a rally unsupported by key asset classes.

marsbit5 ч. назад

Amid Stock Market Highs, Bond and Oil Markets Are Still 'Casting Dissenting Votes'

marsbit5 ч. назад

The Other Side of the Stock Market Rally: Energy Restructuring, Bitcoin Squeeze, and Market Mismatch

The article examines the complex and seemingly contradictory signals in global markets, where rising equities, falling oil prices, and cooling inflation expectations coexist with unresolved structural tensions. In digital assets, a major corporate strategy added nearly $1 billion in Bitcoin, increasing its holdings significantly, while Bitcoin's price action is seen as less important than the persistent negative funding rates, indicating a crowded short position that could lead to a sharp upward repricing. The global oil trade is rapidly rewiring, with the U.S. Gulf Coast becoming a key supplier to Europe and Asia amid Middle East disruptions. However, the article warns that such supply shocks can lead to permanent demand destruction as consumers and governments adapt. U.S. equities rose on optimism over potential geopolitical de-escalation and softer PPI data, led by tech stocks like NVIDIA. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains a wait-and-see stance on rates. Geopolitically, U.S.-Iran negotiations are ongoing alongside a maritime blockade, which has disrupted energy infrastructure and supply chains. Finally, the push for supply chain reshoring, particularly in critical minerals and defense, is accelerating but faces significant execution challenges related to permitting, financing, and labor, moving the issue from cost to one of strategic necessity.

marsbit6 ч. назад

The Other Side of the Stock Market Rally: Energy Restructuring, Bitcoin Squeeze, and Market Mismatch

marsbit6 ч. назад

Crypto, AI Investments Surface In Fed Chair Nominee’s Financial Disclosure

Amidst key regulatory vacancies at the SEC and CFTC, Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh disclosed over $100 million in assets, including investments in crypto firms (Compound, Dapper Labs, Kinetic) and AI companies (Delphi, Conversion, among others). His largest holding is the $50+ million Juggernaut Fund. The disclosure did not value his crypto/AI holdings, raising questions about potential conflicts of interest as the Fed’s rate decisions directly impact these sectors. With Jerome Powell’s term ending May 15, Warsh’s Senate confirmation process is advancing rapidly.

bitcoinist16 ч. назад

Crypto, AI Investments Surface In Fed Chair Nominee’s Financial Disclosure

bitcoinist16 ч. назад

BitMart Research Institute's Weekly Hotspot Analysis: U.S.-Iran Détente Coupled with Fed's Hawkish Pivot, Crypto Market Follows Suit in Rebound and Bottoming

BitMart Research Weekly Analysis: U.S.-Iran De-escalation and Fed’s Hawkish Turn Drive Crypto Market Rebound and Bottom-Building Macro Overview: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran show signs of easing, supporting a rebound in risk assets including equities and oil. U.S. stocks, particularly in AI-related sectors, rebounded strongly. The latest FOMC minutes revealed a more hawkish tone, with “rate hikes” entering discussions, though the majority of members remain focused on labor market conditions. March CPI rose due to energy prices, but core CPI was softer. Sustained high oil prices may push supercore inflation higher in the coming months, potentially influencing Fed policy. Crypto Market Performance: BTC and ETH followed the upward trend in equities, supported by improved risk sentiment and expectations around crypto regulatory clarity (e.g., Clarity Act). However, some long-term indicators suggest the market may still be in a bear phase or experiencing bottom consolidation. The $60,000 level is seen as a key support for BTC. Altcoins lack fundamental drivers and remain highly volatile with strong manipulative tendencies, making BTC and ETH more reliable for strategic allocation. Trading and Fund Flows: Spot trading volume remains low, but active buying interest is noticeable. Perpetual swap funding rates are negative, indicating short dominance, while options markets show no significant rise in fear. Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows, including a single-day inflow of $421 million. MicroStrategy accelerated its BTC accumulation, adding nearly 14,000 BTC recently. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

marsbit2 дня назад 03:29

BitMart Research Institute's Weekly Hotspot Analysis: U.S.-Iran Détente Coupled with Fed's Hawkish Pivot, Crypto Market Follows Suit in Rebound and Bottoming

marsbit2 дня назад 03:29

Interest Rates May Not Be Cut This Year

The article discusses how a war in the Persian Gulf, leading to Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, has driven up oil prices, with Brent crude surging from $70 to over $118 per barrel. This energy shock has pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices above $4 per gallon, contributing significantly to inflation. The CPI rose to 3.3% in March, the largest monthly increase since June 2022, with energy costs affecting broader sectors like food and logistics. As a result, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in 2026 has diminished. Market predictions now show a high probability of zero rate cuts, compared to pre-war expectations of multiple cuts. The Fed faces a dilemma between addressing inflation risks and supporting the economy. Politically, the situation poses challenges for President Trump and the Republican Party, as high inflation could impact the upcoming midterm elections. Trump's efforts to negotiate with Iran have stalled due to irreconcilable demands, and Iran's拖延 tactics may further strain U.S. economic and political stability. The article concludes that the prolonged conflict and sustained high oil prices could keep inflation elevated, delaying any monetary easing.

marsbit2 дня назад 02:03

Interest Rates May Not Be Cut This Year

marsbit2 дня назад 02:03

"New Fed News Agency": Regardless of Whether a Ceasefire Agreement is Reached, the Outlook for Fed Rate Cuts Remains Bleak

Nick Timiraos, known as the "New Fed Whisperer," argues that a potential ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran would not brighten the Federal Reserve’s dimming prospects for interest rate cuts. Instead, it would replace one economic challenge with another: an energy shock that could prolong inflationary pressures without severely damaging demand, thereby keeping rates higher for longer. The Fed’s March meeting minutes revealed that officials were already cautious about cutting rates even before the conflict, as progress on inflation had stalled while the labor market remained stable. While a ceasefire might reduce the risk of a worst-case recession scenario, it could also leave underlying inflation pressures intact. Energy and commodity prices that rose during the conflict may not fully retreat, and financial conditions could loosen amid post-ceasefire optimism. The Fed is weighing dual risks: a sudden labor market downturn that would warrant rate cuts, and persistent above-target inflation that might require hikes. Although most officials still expect at least one cut this year, some have grown more hesitant. Even if the conflict ends quickly, supply chain "echo effects" and geopolitical vulnerabilities may keep inflation elevated, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious stance.

marsbit04/09 02:27

"New Fed News Agency": Regardless of Whether a Ceasefire Agreement is Reached, the Outlook for Fed Rate Cuts Remains Bleak

marsbit04/09 02:27

Why Robert Kiyosaki’s bullish Bitcoin thesis faces a crucial test this week

Robert Kiyosaki draws a historical parallel between the 2026 and 1974 cycles, when the U.S. dollar transitioned to a petrodollar. He argues that current macro pressures—rising oil prices, U.S. debt, inflation, and unemployment risks—strengthen the case for hard assets like Bitcoin and gold as hedges. This week is critical, with key data releases like the March CPI report likely to increase market volatility. Notably, capital flows are rotating from gold back into Bitcoin, a shift highlighted by Fidelity. This reversal, combined with ongoing liquidity injections by the Federal Reserve, may position Bitcoin for bullish price action. Kiyosaki’s thesis faces a test this week, as macro uncertainty could actually benefit BTC, making it a potential standout beneficiary in a volatile environment.

ambcrypto04/06 09:10

Why Robert Kiyosaki’s bullish Bitcoin thesis faces a crucial test this week

ambcrypto04/06 09:10

Fed Governor Calls For Strong Stablecoin Oversight As CLARITY Act’s Final Text Gets Delayed

In a speech, Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr called for strong regulatory oversight of stablecoins, citing potential risks to financial stability. He acknowledged that the proposed GENIUS Act provides needed clarity but emphasized that implementation by regulators is crucial. Barr highlighted stablecoins' use cases in crypto trading, remittances, and treasury management but warned of risks like insufficient reserve safeguards and illicit finance. He urged measures including tight control of reserves, capital requirements, and anti-money laundering controls. This comes as the final text of the related CLARITY Act, a major crypto market structure bill, faces a delay. A compromise text is no longer expected this week, with a markup anticipated later in the month. The delay is attributed to concerns that early release could give opponents time to stall the bill. A key point of contention has been a proposed prohibition on offering yield on stablecoin balances, a measure aimed at addressing banking industry worries but facing strong opposition from crypto firms like Coinbase.

bitcoinist04/02 14:32

Fed Governor Calls For Strong Stablecoin Oversight As CLARITY Act’s Final Text Gets Delayed

bitcoinist04/02 14:32

Fed warns of ‘long, painful history’ – Why stablecoin oversight is urgent

Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr has called for strict stablecoin oversight, citing risks to financial stability and a surge in illicit use. Chainalysis data shows stablecoins now account for 84% of illegal crypto activity, up from 15% in 2020, often facilitating terrorism financing and sanctions evasion. Barr warned that unregulated private money historically caused bank runs, emphasizing the need for tight reserve asset controls, supervision, and liquidity requirements. While illicit activity remains below 1% of all crypto transactions, regulators are advancing the GENIUS Act, aiming for finalized rules by mid-2026. Meanwhile, non-USD stablecoins are growing rapidly, and Asian markets—which drive over 60% of global stablecoin activity—may restrict USD-based options, potentially reshaping the $315 billion market.

ambcrypto04/01 11:09

Fed warns of ‘long, painful history’ – Why stablecoin oversight is urgent

ambcrypto04/01 11:09

95-Year-Old Buffett Said 7 Things: Now Is Not the Time to Bottom-Fish, Nuclear Weapons Will Eventually Be Used

Warren Buffett, at 95 and recently stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, remains actively involved, still going to the office daily and consulting on investments, though he defers final decisions to his successor, Greg Abel. He admitted selling Apple stock too early but still holds a significant stake, emphasizing he would buy more only if the price drops sufficiently, not at current levels. Despite recent market declines, he remains calm, recalling far steeper drops in Berkshire’s history. Buffett criticized the Fed’s 2% inflation target, advocating for zero inflation to preserve savings value, and praised Chair Powell’s crisis management. He announced the return of his charity lunch, now alongside Stephen Curry and his wife, with proceeds split between Glide Foundation and the Currys' charity. He addressed his severed contact with Bill Gates post-Epstein files release, avoiding commentary due to potential legal implications. On global threats, he expressed grave concern over nuclear proliferation, especially involving Iran and North Korea, stating nuclear use is inevitable within centuries as more nations acquire them. Throughout, Buffett focused forward, avoiding nostalgia, still engaged with future economic and geopolitical shifts.

marsbit04/01 06:28

95-Year-Old Buffett Said 7 Things: Now Is Not the Time to Bottom-Fish, Nuclear Weapons Will Eventually Be Used

marsbit04/01 06:28

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