# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Fed

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Fed", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Dialogue with Fundstrat Research Director: After Accurately Predicting the Plunge, Bitcoin's $115,000 Target Remains Unchanged, Hyperliquid Aims for $100

In a recent interview, Fundstrat's Head of Crypto Research Sean Farrell maintains a cautious short-term outlook on crypto markets despite his unchanged long-term Bitcoin target of $115,000 by year-end. He accurately predicted the February crash, citing extreme positioning, miner selling, and low cash reserves. Farrell describes the current environment as a "trader's market," advising caution and holding dry powder. He highlights risks from private credit stress, potential lack of follow-through buying after large institutional purchases (like MicroStrategy's), and geopolitical uncertainty. Farrell remains highly bullish on Hyperliquid (HYPE), with a $100 price target. He notes its low 90-day correlation (0.4) to Bitcoin and its massive growth in perpetual futures volume for assets like gold and oil, seeing it as a key portfolio diversifier. Key catalysts for a more bullish stance would be a market capitulation event, a break above key moving averages, or positive regulatory developments, though the Clarity Act's passage faces significant banking lobby opposition. For the upcoming Fed meeting, he advises watching for any shift in the dot plot pushing rate cuts to 2027, which would negatively impact risk assets.

marsbit03/20 05:19

Dialogue with Fundstrat Research Director: After Accurately Predicting the Plunge, Bitcoin's $115,000 Target Remains Unchanged, Hyperliquid Aims for $100

marsbit03/20 05:19

Crypto could rally in Q2: But tensions rise, as do real-world risks

Based on historical trends, there is potential for a bullish Q2 in the crypto market, as seen in 2025 when the total market cap surged 23.4% and Bitcoin gained 30% following a Q1 correction. This year's 20% Q1 drop has already been exceeded, indicating the market's ability to rebound quickly. However, currently down 18%, faces rising real-world risks. Geopolitical tensions, such as the West Asia crisis, and hotter-than-expected inflation data have triggered risk-off sentiment, causing significant sell-offs. Additionally, political uncertainty, including a high probability of a U.S. presidential impeachment, reflects broader economic weaknesses. These macro factors are increasingly influencing crypto, making a strong Q2 rally far less certain than before.

ambcrypto03/20 02:02

Crypto could rally in Q2: But tensions rise, as do real-world risks

ambcrypto03/20 02:02

Crypto market extends losses as Bitcoin struggles below $70K after Fed-driven sell-off

The crypto market extended losses on 19 March, with total market capitalization declining 1.70% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin fell 2.9% and struggled to hold above the key $70,000 level, trading near $69,254. Other major cryptocurrencies also declined, including Ethereum (-3.2%), XRP (-1.0%), Solana (-1.5%), and BNB (-1.7%). The sell-off was driven by the Federal Reserve's signal that persistent inflation risks may delay interest rate cuts, leading to tighter liquidity and reduced risk appetite. While the pace of decline has slowed, indicating potential consolidation, Bitcoin's failure to reclaim $70,000 and its pattern of lower highs suggest a short-term downtrend remains intact. A sustained move below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and keep market sentiment fragile.

ambcrypto03/19 15:58

Crypto market extends losses as Bitcoin struggles below $70K after Fed-driven sell-off

ambcrypto03/19 15:58

Bitcoin Bear Market ‘Lines Up’ With 2022, Analyst Warns Of Next Stop At $45,000 And $35,000

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced significant declines, with BTC dropping roughly 5% to around $71,240. Analyst Crypto Con warns that the current downturn may mirror the 2022 bear market, with potential further retracements toward $45,000 or even $35,000, citing historical cycle patterns and technical indicators. The Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates and its updated inflation forecast contributed to a cautious market tone. Expert Kyle Chassé emphasized that Bitcoin’s near-term direction depends on the Fed’s interpretation of recent oil price shocks and key technical levels: holding $70,000 is critical, while a break could lead to a test of $67,000. Institutional ETF flows and low volatility also signal potential renewed market movement.

bitcoinist03/19 10:51

Bitcoin Bear Market ‘Lines Up’ With 2022, Analyst Warns Of Next Stop At $45,000 And $35,000

bitcoinist03/19 10:51

Hawkish Signals Tighten | Rewire Morning News Brief

Fed keeps rates unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, but signals a more hawkish stance. The dot plot shows a 7:7 split among members, with no cuts expected in 2026 by one group. Powell states inflation progress is less than hoped, raising the forecast to 2.7%. He also refuses to leave before a renovation probe concludes, amid political pressure. NVIDIA’s GTC outlines an AI empire: unveiling the Groq 3 LPX inference platform, Vera CPU, and next-gen Feynman architecture. It announces over 1 million GPUs deployed on AWS. 150 retired judges support Anthropic in a legal battle against the Pentagon, which accuses the firm of "hostile" negotiations. The case may set boundaries on AI firms imposing conditions on government use. Oil prices dip to $95.50 but analysts warn of a potential spike to $200 if the Iran conflict persists. Eleven involved nations control over half of global oil and gas output. PPI rises 0.7% in February, double expectations, underscoring persistent inflation.

marsbit03/19 06:22

Hawkish Signals Tighten | Rewire Morning News Brief

marsbit03/19 06:22

After Doubling, How Much More 'War Dividend' Can Circle Consume?

Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has seen its stock price more than double in weeks, a surge driven by geopolitical instability rather than its core product—a dollar-pegged stablecoin. The company's primary revenue comes from interest earned on the U.S. Treasury reserves backing USDC. Rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer, partly due to global conflicts, have boosted this income stream, attracting investor demand. A short squeeze following a strong Q4 2025 earnings report further accelerated the rally. However, the company faces structural challenges: a significant portion of its revenue is shared with Coinbase under a fixed agreement, impacting profitability. While Circle is expanding into payment infrastructure, AI micro-transactions, and tokenized assets, interest income remains its financial backbone. The current valuation reflects two narratives: one of Circle as a future global payments infrastructure, and another as a leveraged bet on sustained high interest rates. The key question for investors is whether they are betting on long-term utility or a macroeconomic trend that may reverse when the Fed eventually cuts rates.

marsbit03/19 06:18

After Doubling, How Much More 'War Dividend' Can Circle Consume?

marsbit03/19 06:18

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

Crypto markets slide after Fed decision as Powell warns inflation risks persist

Crypto markets declined sharply following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, driven by Chair Jerome Powell's cautious tone on inflation. Bitcoin fell over 5%, Ethereum dropped more than 6%, and other major cryptocurrencies like XRP, Solana, and BNB also posted significant losses. Powell emphasized that inflation remains elevated, with PCE at 2.8% and core inflation at 3.0%, both above the Fed’s 2% target. He reinforced a data-dependent approach, indicating rate cuts are not imminent. This strengthened the "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative, which negatively impacts risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The broad sell-off underscores crypto’s continued sensitivity to macroeconomic signals and U.S. monetary policy expectations. Markets are likely remain volatile and reactive to incoming economic data and geopolitical developments.

ambcrypto03/18 22:02

Crypto markets slide after Fed decision as Powell warns inflation risks persist