# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Analysis

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Analysis", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May Bring Directional Decision The crypto market is currently in a critical transition phase. After months of a downtrend, Bitcoin has seen a minor rebound, retesting a key support level it had previously lost. However, the overall foundation for recovery remains fragile. Mounting macro pressures, weakening liquidity, and upcoming key policy events are shifting market pricing logic. Historically, Bitcoin has tested this key support range three times since October 2025. A break below the $65,000–$66,000 level could trigger another accelerated decline. While April is seasonally considered a stronger month, historical performance is mixed. This cycle, the market is driven more by liquidity conditions, macro catalysts, and shifting investor positioning rather than simple seasonal patterns. Factors like rising oil prices boosting inflation expectations and a stronger dollar are historically negative for Bitcoin. The market's rhythm in April will be crucial: thin liquidity and heightened volatility early in the month, followed by a focus on macro data and policy expectations mid-month, with a potential for clearer direction only after the FOMC meeting toward the month's end. The baseline scenario suggests continued weakness in the first half of April. If key support holds, a potential rebound is more likely to gain momentum in the latter part of the month as tax-related selling pressures subside and policy expectations stabilize. Investors are advised to focus on liquidity and macro variables rather than seasonal patterns, managing risk while awaiting clearer signals for a sustained recovery.

marsbit04/04 11:08

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

marsbit04/04 11:08

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

The article investigates whether assembling the most historically accurate gold price forecasters could unlock future price movements. The author analyzes three groups: top Wall Street institutions (e.g., LBMA, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan), prominent gold bulls (e.g., Peter Schiff, Jim Rickards), and analysts famed for precise calls (e.g., Nouriel Roubini, Ben McMillan). The findings reveal significant flaws. Institutions consistently exhibit "lagging predictions," adjusting forecasts too slowly and underestimating bull market magnitudes. Pundits perpetually predict extreme price targets (e.g., $35,000) without precise timing, often being early or wrong. Even "prophetic" forecasters have mixed records; Roubini missed the entire 2009-2012 bull market, and Ray Dalio has a history of erroneous crisis predictions. The analysis notes that the current environment mirrors 2011, where extreme predictions clustered near the market top. Today, forecasts from the same experts range wildly from $5,400 to $35,000. The conclusion is that no consistently accurate forecaster exists. Predictions are often right by chance, not skill. The author ultimately rejects seeking a "wealth password" and instead advocates for a Dalio-inspired approach: avoiding precise price predictions, acknowledging uncertainty, and using portfolio allocation (e.g., 5-15% in gold) for long-term risk management.

marsbit04/03 10:26

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

marsbit04/03 10:26

MSX Q1 Review and Q2 Outlook: Securing the Main Trends in U.S. Stocks, A Methodology for Precise Stock Selection

MSX Q1 Review & Q2 Outlook: Capturing the U.S. Stock Market Trends and a Precision Stock Selection Methodology In Q1 2026, the crypto market performed poorly, with Bitcoin falling about 23%, marking its worst quarterly start since 2018. In contrast, the U.S. stock market, despite significant drops in the "Magnificent Seven," still saw profitable opportunities in rapidly rotating hot sectors. The decentralized RWA trading platform MSX listed 39 new U.S. stock tokenized assets, covering five main themes: aerospace/defense, energy/resources, AI hardware, optical communications, and regional allocation tools. Among these, 38 achieved positive returns, with an average gain of 37.6%. Four stocks more than doubled, all concentrated in AI hardware and optical communications. MSX's stock selection framework focuses on identifying companies with clear industrial trends, tangible order flows, and earnings validation, rather than speculative narratives. The platform avoids high-risk bets on large-cap reversals, instead targeting small and mid-cap stocks benefiting from real capital expenditure and supply chain expansion. In Q1, the five main themes were identified through continuous tracking of corporate earnings, capex guidance, and capital flow dynamics—not macro forecasts alone. AI hardware and optical communications were confirmed as systemic opportunities based on actual order transfers and infrastructure demand from big tech's expanding data centers. Although aerospace/defense and regional tools had modest gains, they provided portfolio diversification and non-correlated hedges, enhancing structural resilience. MSX's listing节奏 was dynamically adjusted based on market signals and industrial data rather than pre-set schedules. Looking ahead, Q2 may see a continuation of the AI narrative but with increased selectivity. Aerospace and undervalued software/SaaS sectors present new opportunities. MSX emphasizes a balanced approach: maintaining core exposure to high-conviction AI infrastructure plays while incorporating defensive assets like energy and tools to navigate macro uncertainties, including interest rate paths and geopolitical risks. The platform aims to help users, especially those from crypto backgrounds, build robust, multi-asset strategies through education and thematic investing tools.

Odaily星球日报04/03 06:07

MSX Q1 Review and Q2 Outlook: Securing the Main Trends in U.S. Stocks, A Methodology for Precise Stock Selection

Odaily星球日报04/03 06:07

活动图片