# Price Analysis Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Price Analysis", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Analyzing how Bitcoin’s short-term holders and $64K-level can unlock market bulls

Bitcoin's price is struggling amid bearish sentiment, but key shifts among short-term holders (STHs) could signal a potential bullish turn. STHs, who purchased BTC in the last month at an average cost basis of $85,450, are currently at a 19% unrealized loss. Historically, a 25% or greater loss often marks a market bottom, suggesting Bitcoin may need to decline another 6% to around $64,000 to trigger a rebound. At this level, STH selling typically subsides, reducing supply pressure. Meanwhile, approximately 300,000 BTC (worth ~$27 billion) have recently moved from STHs to long-term holders (LTHs), who are less likely to sell during downturns, thereby supporting price stability. Additionally, exchange reserves have slightly declined from 2.46 million to 2.45 million BTC, indicating a tightening supply. A sustained reduction in reserves could further limit downside risk and lay the foundation for a potential rally.

ambcrypto04/08 06:02

Analyzing how Bitcoin’s short-term holders and $64K-level can unlock market bulls

ambcrypto04/08 06:02

XRP Premium FVG Could Pull Price Higher In The Short Term, But There’s A Problem

The XRP price has been in a persistent downtrend, down over 50% from its 2025 peak. A pseudonymous analyst notes the formation of a premium Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as a short-term pull higher. However, this upward move is expected to be a corrective bounce to rebalance inefficiencies and sweep Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL). After this, the price is likely to reverse and continue its bearish trend, targeting lower Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). A sustained breakout above the premium FVG would be needed to signal a shift to a bullish structure, but a bearish continuation is currently viewed as more probable.

bitcoinist04/06 12:53

XRP Premium FVG Could Pull Price Higher In The Short Term, But There’s A Problem

bitcoinist04/06 12:53

If Dogecoin Breaks Through This Sell Wall, Expect A Pump

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been in a prolonged downtrend, but analysts suggest a potential major price surge if it breaks through a key sell wall around $0.09. Crypto analyst CW notes that if DOGE strongly surpasses this level, it could trigger a bullish reversal with a potential rally toward $1.12—a gain of over 1,144%. The coin has been trading in a descending channel since September 2025, and a breakout could mark the end of its bearish trend. Another expert, Osemka, also suggests an upward move is more likely than a breakdown. As of now, DOGE remains around $0.091, still below key resistance levels.

bitcoinist04/04 03:32

If Dogecoin Breaks Through This Sell Wall, Expect A Pump

bitcoinist04/04 03:32

Bitcoin Could Print A Three Black Crows Pattern This Quarter, And The Target Is Low

Bitcoin concluded the first quarter bearishly, suggesting the cryptocurrency may not have reached its bottom. Analyst Ming highlights that this signals bearish control, with further declines possible. The key level to watch is $58,900; a break below could form a Three Black Crows pattern—historically bearish and potentially leading to over a 30% drop. Conversely, holding above this level might push Bitcoin back to the $71,300–$74,400 range. However, even in that scenario, a bearish retest remains likely before any further downward movement.

bitcoinist04/03 13:33

Bitcoin Could Print A Three Black Crows Pattern This Quarter, And The Target Is Low

bitcoinist04/03 13:33

Bitcoin Under Pressure As Selling Pressure Refuses To Ease In Sideways Market Conditions

Bitcoin's price has been trading sideways between $64,000 and $70,000, but significant selling pressure persists beneath the surface. According to CryptoQuant, this selling is driven primarily by large holders (whales) rather than retail investors. Whale holdings have turned net negative, marking one of the most aggressive distribution cycles on record. Mid-tier and dolphin investors are also accumulating at a declining pace. U.S. demand remains weak, with Coinbase Premium in negative territory. Despite the bearish pressure, a bounce toward $71,500–$81,200 is possible if macroeconomic risks, such as the U.S.-Iran dispute, ease.

bitcoinist04/02 23:32

Bitcoin Under Pressure As Selling Pressure Refuses To Ease In Sideways Market Conditions

bitcoinist04/02 23:32

Ethereum Vs. Solana Vs. XRP: Which Coin Has Held Up Better?

The article compares the performance of Ethereum, Solana, and XRP following the recent bull run and subsequent market decline. It finds that Ethereum has held its value the best, with a 59% decline from its 2025 peak, closely mirroring Bitcoin's performance. XRP, which failed to reach a new all-time high during the rally, is down over 65% from its peak and 37% year-to-date. Despite rallying the strongest and hitting multiple peaks, Solana has suffered the most, declining over 71% from its all-time high and crashing below $100. The data concludes Ethereum is the most resilient, followed by XRP, with Solana performing the worst.

bitcoinist04/01 18:02

Ethereum Vs. Solana Vs. XRP: Which Coin Has Held Up Better?

bitcoinist04/01 18:02

Analyzing if FET can hold its make-or-break level or drop to $0.20

FET is trading near a critical support level of $0.2270 after declining over 8%, with analysts warning of a potential further drop to $0.20 or even $0.1737 if this level breaks. Short-term bearish sentiment is reinforced by derivatives data, showing stronger short positions and a descending triangle pattern on the chart. However, the long-term outlook may still be bullish, as the top 100 wallet addresses increased their holdings by 2.04% in the past week, suggesting accumulation. The Average Directional Index (ADX) indicates weak momentum, meaning the asset may struggle before any significant downward move.

ambcrypto03/31 22:03

Analyzing if FET can hold its make-or-break level or drop to $0.20

ambcrypto03/31 22:03

Bitcoin Is Trapped In A Range, But Here’s What The Fundamental Index Is Saying

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $70,000 level but remains trapped in a narrow trading range. Despite the seemingly stable price action, underlying on-chain data suggests a lack of organic strength. The Bitcoin Fundamental Index continues to trend lower and remains below the strengthening zone, indicating that the current consolidation may not be healthy. A sustained medium-term recovery appears increasingly dependent on external catalysts like flow, short covering, or a reversal in the index, rather than genuine momentum. Additionally, large Bitcoin investors have become notably quiet. Whale activity has dropped to multi-month lows, with both $100,000+ and $1 million+ daily transfers hitting their lowest levels since late 2023 and 2024, respectively. This suggests that major stakeholders are adopting a cautious, wait-and-see approach amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, placing them in a similar position to retail investors.

bitcoinist03/26 05:02

Bitcoin Is Trapped In A Range, But Here’s What The Fundamental Index Is Saying

bitcoinist03/26 05:02

Shiba Inu’s bear run can continue for another 7 months – Here’s why

The top memecoins, including Shiba Inu (SHIB), have shown minimal price movement recently, with SHIB down 0.51% over the past week. Despite potential short-term rallies, long-term holder sentiment remains bearish due to two key metrics. The percent of SHIB's circulating supply in profit is at a meager 3.07%, near historical bear market lows. Additionally, the MVRV ratio is significantly below its all-time mean, indicating extreme deviation similar to the 2022 bear market. If these trends repeat, the bear run could persist until September 2026. Even potential positive developments are unlikely to reverse the prevailing pessimistic outlook and bearish price structure.

ambcrypto03/22 08:12

Shiba Inu’s bear run can continue for another 7 months – Here’s why

ambcrypto03/22 08:12

Ethereum sees $18mln exchange inflows – Here’s what happens next with ETH

Ethereum faces a critical juncture around $2,000 after $18.47M in exchange inflows from entities like Ethena and B2C2. While these deposits often signal liquidity preparation rather than immediate selling, they introduce potential supply pressure. Price action is consolidating between key support at $1,800 and resistance at $2,261. Despite the bearish structure, derivatives traders on Binance maintain a strongly bullish bias with a 2.80 long/short ratio. Dense liquidation clusters near $1,991, totaling $32M, create a volatility trigger zone. The next directional move depends on whether ETH holds $1,800 support or breaks out above $2,261 resistance.

ambcrypto03/09 18:01

Ethereum sees $18mln exchange inflows – Here’s what happens next with ETH