# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

"There is no panic in the market." What will happen to Bitcoin this week

"Bitcoin has lost about 2% over the past week, trading around $63.5k, largely stuck within a $62k-$65k range. Experts note that while the macroeconomic environment has softened slightly, removing pressure for aggressive Fed tightening, this alone is insufficient to push prices higher. The key sentiment indicator remains capital flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw a net outflow of about $389 million last week. Other headwinds include sustained selling by corporate holder MicroStrategy (which has paused but not resumed buying) and a lack of US regulatory progress. Altcoins also performed weakly, with the market remaining highly selective. For Bitcoin, key support is seen at $61k-$62k, while a sustained move above $66k-$67k is needed to shift the momentum. In the near term, the primary scenario is a continuation of sideways movement with high volatility within a $60k-$66k range. A break above $64k-$65k could trigger a test of $67k, but a move toward $68k-$70k would require consistent ETF inflows, a calm macro backdrop, and dovish Fed signals. A failure to hold above $62k could see a quick test of $60k, with a sharp external deterioration potentially pushing prices to $58k-$59k, though this is currently viewed as a risk rather than the base case. Overall, there is no market panic, but also no clear catalysts for a sustained rally."

cryptonews.ru08/17 17:55

"There is no panic in the market." What will happen to Bitcoin this week

cryptonews.ru08/17 17:55

The Calm Before the Storm in the Bitcoin World: Two Analytics Firms Warn and Report on Critical Levels!

Two major crypto analysis firms have issued warnings about Bitcoin's current state, describing it as a period of calm before a potential storm. While Bitcoin has traded sideways between $60,000 and $65,000 for some time, both companies highlight critical price levels that could determine its next major move. Singapore-based QCP Capital notes that despite recent pressure, including geopolitical risks, high oil prices, and market uncertainty, BTC has held within its recent range, with $62,500-$63,000 forming a key lower boundary. The firm points out that Ethereum trading around $1,900 further signals low volatility and a lack of bullish sentiment. QCP states the market outlook lacks clear direction and is now focused on upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data, including the FOMC minutes, PCE inflation figures, the Jackson Hole symposium, and the next Fed meeting, which will be pivotal for BTC's breakout from this range. German analysis firm Makrovision Research observes that Bitcoin has been consolidating for weeks within a narrowing range, with resistance at $65,500 and support between $61,000-$62,000. They warn that as price compresses closer to these critical levels, a decisive breakout is imminent. A break above $65,500 could open a path toward $71,500, while a drop below $61,000 could trigger a test of new lows. The firm notes a significant drop in volatility, signaling that a sharp and significant price movement in either direction is approaching soon. *This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ru08/17 16:06

The Calm Before the Storm in the Bitcoin World: Two Analytics Firms Warn and Report on Critical Levels!

cryptonews.ru08/17 16:06

Will the Fed Pave the Way for Bitcoin? Goldman Sachs Makes Important Statement About the Fed and BTC!

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius believes the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September is very low. This assessment is based on recent weak U.S. economic data, including slowing retail sales, a softening labor market, and decelerating inflation. Hatzius argues that these factors make a rate hike difficult and that markets are currently overestimating the Fed's hawkish trajectory. For Bitcoin, which has been trading sideways, this potential shift in Fed policy could be positive. A less aggressive Fed stance would likely improve overall market liquidity and risk appetite, creating a more favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, Hatzius's statement is not a direct bullish price prediction for BTC; it links the cryptocurrency's prospects to broader macroeconomic liquidity conditions. Current market pricing, via the CME FedWatch Tool, aligns with this view, showing only about a 30.6% chance of a September rate hike and a 69.4% probability of rates holding steady.

cryptonews.ru08/17 14:10

Will the Fed Pave the Way for Bitcoin? Goldman Sachs Makes Important Statement About the Fed and BTC!

cryptonews.ru08/17 14:10

Peter Schiff believes Michael Saylor may sell even more Bitcoin

Peter Schiff believes that Michael Saylor may need to sell even more Bitcoin. He argues that if Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, aims to return its STRZ preferred shares to a $100 target (currently trading below $95), it will require further sales of Bitcoin and MSTR stock. To support its share buyback program, MicroStrategy recently sold 1,637 BTC for $102 million and 6.59 million MSTR shares for $653.1 million, boosting its dollar reserves to $4.65 billion. Schiff contends that continued selling of these assets to prop up STRZ shares will add downward pressure on Bitcoin's price, causing it to underperform gold. He links Bitcoin's current weakness—trading around $62,000—to gold's recent strength, with prices surpassing $4,300. Schiff predicts further gold appreciation will intensify pressure on Bitcoin. However, he acknowledges that weak U.S. labor market data has fueled expectations of Federal Reserve policy easing, which could provide a positive boost to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

cryptonews.ru08/15 12:49

Peter Schiff believes Michael Saylor may sell even more Bitcoin

cryptonews.ru08/15 12:49

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Talk is Cheap

This monthly market analysis extends its timeline to incorporate critical July comments from the Fed Chair, noting that bond markets have already priced in perceived policy shortcomings. The report observes a growing divergence: equity markets, after some deleveraging, continue a "trust-based" rally, while bond and currency markets signal persistent distrust. Precious metals bottoming suggests a central bank consensus that the era of "competitive currency devaluation" is ending, with verbal interventions losing power. Looking forward to Q3-Q4, the analysis remains bullish on supply-constrained global resources like copper and power, as well as gold, which prices ongoing monetary失信. It argues that digital assets are unlikely to see major outperformance until excess liquidity is released and AI growth rates are fully priced. Key market views include: 1. Commodities like gold remain primary liquidity absorbers over Bitcoin, with recent consolidation seen as healthy. 2. The bull trend for RMB-denominated assets (e.g., STAR 50 Index) is firmly established. 3. Key resource country indices and currencies are near inflection points, with spot copper already at new highs. The report suggests resource equities, particularly in China's market, are at the end of their consolidation phase, offering attractive valuations with embedded optionality on rising metal prices. It highlights the predictive significance of recent US-Japan FX interventions and Treasury-Fed dynamics, suggesting a shift towards less communication and data management to maintain stability. A long position in resource assets is presented as a positive expected-value strategy over a multi-year horizon.

marsbit08/15 05:21

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Talk is Cheap

marsbit08/15 05:21

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: When 'Currency Race to the Bottom' Becomes the Norm, How Should One Choose Safe-Haven Assets?

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: With "currency devaluation competition" becoming the norm, how should one choose safe-haven assets? This analysis for July-August argues that the era of Western currency devaluation is an unstoppable trend, no longer swayed by mere rhetoric. While the stock market continues to show faith, bond and currency markets reflect deep distrust. Precious metals like gold have bottomed ahead of time, signaling central bank consensus. Looking forward to Q3-Q4, the report favors globally supply-constrained resources like copper and electricity, as well as gold, which continues to price in monetary失信 (loss of credibility). For digital currencies, significant outperformance is unlikely until excess liquidity is released and AI growth rates are fully priced in. Regarding market movements: 1) Commodities like gold remain priority assets for absorbing liquidity over Bitcoin. 2) The bullish trend for RMB-denominated assets (e.g., STAR 50 Index) remains intact. 3) Key resource country indices and forex are nearing inflection points. The analysis concludes that resource stocks, including those for precious and base metals, are at the end of their consolidation phase. Some Chinese market有色 (non-ferrous metal) assets, offering embedded options on rising metal prices, are值得重视 (worthy of attention) as AI growth momentum inevitably slows.

marsbit08/15 02:55

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: When 'Currency Race to the Bottom' Becomes the Norm, How Should One Choose Safe-Haven Assets?

marsbit08/15 02:55

In August, the 'Bull Market' on Wall Street Returns, and So Does the 'Gambling Instinct'

Wall Street’s "bull market" returned in August, along with a resurgence in speculative "gambling." U.S. stocks rebounded strongly, with the S&P 500 hitting a new record high. Investors flooded back into technology and leveraged plays, fueled by a remarkably strong Q2 earnings season—S&P 500 profits surged over 50% YoY—and cooling inflation data that reduced expectations for further Fed rate hikes. Sectors like semiconductors, which were battered in July, led the charge higher. Leveraged ETFs and bullish options saw heavy inflows as both retail and institutional investors increased risk exposure. However, analysts warn that the rally leaves little room for error. Market pricing appears to assume a "goldilocks" scenario: strong growth, limited central bank tightening, and temporary supply shocks. Yet contradictory signals are emerging: oil prices are spiking, long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, and the yield curve is steepening—suggesting bond markets are not convinced inflation is truly defeated. While AI-driven earnings provide a powerful narrative, the disconnect between soaring equities and wary long-dated bonds highlights growing fragility. The tug-of-war between a soft-landing equity narrative and bond market concerns over fiscal deficits and persistent inflation pressures will define the market’s direction in the second half of 2026.

marsbit08/15 01:46

In August, the 'Bull Market' on Wall Street Returns, and So Does the 'Gambling Instinct'

marsbit08/15 01:46

85% of the Cryptocurrency Market's Bear Cycle is Already Behind — DeFi Report

According to DeFi Report, the price action of Bitcoin and altcoins strongly resembles previous periods of market bottom formation. Trading volumes in both spot and futures markets have fallen to their lowest levels since late 2019. Additional negative pressure is coming from Bitcoin miners selling their holdings, with some repurposing their energy infrastructure for artificial intelligence. Broader risk assets are also facing headwinds from the rise in 30-year US Treasury yields above 5.2% (a 20-year high) and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. However, experts note a 15% rise in gold prices amid persistent inflation risks, indicating investor demand for safe-haven assets. DeFi Report suggests that a further increase in global liquidity could drive some of this capital into Bitcoin, boosting its price. Earlier analysis from Wintermute also pointed to signs of the crypto bear phase concluding, as major cryptocurrencies have shown resilience despite economic turbulence. The report concludes that approximately 85% of the crypto bear market cycle is now behind us.

cryptonews.ru08/14 11:26

85% of the Cryptocurrency Market's Bear Cycle is Already Behind — DeFi Report

cryptonews.ru08/14 11:26

Gold Sachs Issues Statement on Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decisions! 'In September...'

Goldman Sachs analyst Robert Kaplan stated that the Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates unchanged in July was "absolutely correct." He emphasized that policymakers should analyze incoming data with transparency leading up to the September meeting, avoiding rigid policy guidance due to the growing complexity of inflation factors. Kaplan highlighted that various forces currently exert both upward and downward pressure on inflation. While significant AI infrastructure investment, tariffs, labor supply constraints, and rising oil prices could increase inflationary pressure, the application of AI could also boost productivity, lower costs, and accelerate disinflation. Therefore, the Fed must assess economic developments comprehensively. He also commented on Fed Chair Warsh's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, suggesting that a clear explanation of the July rate decision would help markets better understand the Fed's policy approach. Kaplan added that the recent rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields is primarily driven by structural supply-demand imbalances from persistent U.S. budget deficits, not directly by Fed policy.

cryptonews.ru08/14 06:06

Gold Sachs Issues Statement on Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decisions! 'In September...'

cryptonews.ru08/14 06:06

U.S. Stock Market Trend (August 14th): Cooling PPI Pushes S&P to New High, Rotation into Storage and Software Takes Over

U.S. Market Trend (Aug 14): PPI Cooldown Lifts S&P 500 to Record High, Rotation into Storage and Software Stocks. The S&P 500 hit a record closing high of 7798.99, rising 0.65%, after July's cooler-than-expected PPI data eased inflation and rate hike fears. The Nasdaq gained 0.81%, and the Dow rose 0.13%. The VIX increased 5.05% to 14.94. Key drivers included: 1) PPI cooling to 4.7% annually, lowering Treasury yields and market expectations for Fed rate hikes, though Fed officials displayed internal policy分歧. 2) A major rally in storage chip stocks, led by Sandisk's ~13% surge after announcing ambitious long-term growth and margin targets. 3) Strength in software/AI application stocks, fueled by M&A speculation, notably a rumored buyout of Workday. 4) Tesla leading the "Magnificent Seven" with a 3.5%+ gain. In contrast, Chinese ADRs underperformed, with the Golden Dragon Index falling 1.84%. 5) Oil prices fell over 2% on profit-taking, while gold declined despite the inflation data. Market focus shifts to the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment index and further Fed commentary to determine if the rally can sustain its momentum post the record high.

marsbit08/14 01:35

U.S. Stock Market Trend (August 14th): Cooling PPI Pushes S&P to New High, Rotation into Storage and Software Takes Over