Bitcoin Vs. The S&P: How The Stock Market Predicts The BTC Bottom Before the Rally

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-05-27Last updated on 2026-05-27

Abstract

Analyst Chain Mind correlates Bitcoin's bottom with the S&P 500's performance, noting BTC has historically not bottomed before the stock market. With the S&P 500 still reaching new all-time highs without a significant retrace, Chain Mind argues Bitcoin's final low is likely not yet in. He suggests the S&P is showing classic topping signals, implying a market dump is imminent, which would precede a BTC bottom. Further analysis points to Bitcoin potentially forming a Head-and-Shoulders topping pattern on charts. Analyst Colin notes a break below the pattern's neckline could target $65,000 or lower. Chain Mind also observes a weekly Head-and-Shoulders, expecting a dump to mark a final bottom around $50,000. Currently, Bitcoin trades around $75,500, down over 24 hours.

Crypto analyst Chain Mind has drawn a correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, noting how the latter could determine the BTC bottom. Based on analysis, the leading crypto has yet to find a bottom, with the stock market still making new highs.

Bitcoin Yet To Bottom With The S&P 500 Still Reach New Highs

In an X post, Chain Mind stated that Bitcoin has never bottomed before the S&P 500 does. He further noted that each BTC bear market ended exactly when the stock market made its final retrace, as in the 2015, 2018, and 2022 cycles. The analyst added that BTC is repeating the same structure again. Meanwhile, he noted that the stock market hasn’t printed its final retrace yet, which means that BTC hasn’t bottomed.

The S&P 500 continues to reach new all-time highs (ATHs), climbing above $7,500 this week, and has yet to see a significant retrace despite the U.S.-Iran war. As such, the Bitcoin bottom may not be in. However, Chain Mind suggested that BTC may soon bottom, with a potential retrace for the stock market on the horizon.

In another X post, Chain Mind stated that the S&P 500 is showing a classic top signal, including a broadening pattern, a parabolic arc, and a fake breakout. He noted that history shows this exact setup before every major top, as this setup appeared during the Dotcom bubble and the financial crisis in 2008. The analyst added that the macro confirms this, with the Buffett Indicator at historical highs, suggesting a dump is imminent. In line with this, he declared that the stock market won’t reach $9,000 as some have predicted.

BTC May Be Forming A Topping Pattern

In an X post, crypto analyst Colin stated that he sees the current Bitcoin price action as a potential Head-and-Shoulders topping pattern. He noted that BTC will have to break below the neckline to confirm this bearish pattern. The analyst added that if that happens, the downside target will be $65,000, and that it could even drop lower due to a potential breakdown of the yellow channel, with the target being as low as $61,000. As such, he believes that this is something to keep an eye on.

Source: Chart from Colin on X

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Chain Mind revealed that Bitcoin has just printed a Head-and-Shoulders pattern on the 1-week chart. He noted that the cycle structure has played out exactly as expected, with a first peak, a cycle high, a final rebound, and now a dump. He added that BTC has gotten the final rejection to dump and will mark the final bottom at around $50,000.

Related Reading: Everyone Is Calling For Lower Bitcoin Price: Why This Is The Perfect Time To Go Parabolic

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $75,500, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

BTC trading at $75,934 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

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Related Questions

QWhat correlation has crypto analyst Chain Mind drawn between Bitcoin and the S&P 500?

AChain Mind has drawn a correlation noting that Bitcoin has never bottomed before the S&P 500 does, and that each BTC bear market ended exactly when the stock market made its final retrace.

QAccording to Chain Mind's analysis, has Bitcoin found its bottom yet? Why or why not?

AAccording to Chain Mind's analysis, Bitcoin has not found its bottom yet. He states this is because the S&P 500 continues to reach new all-time highs and has not printed its final retrace, a condition historically linked to Bitcoin's bottoming process.

QWhat specific pattern does analyst Colin suggest Bitcoin may be forming on its price chart?

AAnalyst Colin suggests that Bitcoin's current price action may be forming a Head-and-Shoulders topping pattern.

QAccording to Chain Mind's second X post, what signals is the S&P 500 showing that suggest a classic top?

AChain Mind states the S&P 500 is showing a classic top signal, including a broadening pattern, a parabolic arc, and a fake breakout. He also mentions the Buffett Indicator is at historical highs, suggesting a dump is imminent.

QWhat potential downside price targets for Bitcoin are mentioned if the Head-and-Shoulders pattern is confirmed?

AIf the Head-and-Shoulders pattern is confirmed by breaking below the neckline, the mentioned downside targets are $65,000, and potentially as low as $61,000 due to a breakdown of the yellow channel.

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