China Launches Production of Chip Printing Machines: Why Experts Aren't Quick to Applaud

cryptonews.ruDipublikasikan tanggal 2026-07-28Terakhir diperbarui pada 2026-07-28

Abstrak

China has reportedly begun production of immersion DUV lithography machines, critical for manufacturing modern semiconductors. According to reports citing anonymous sources, the state-owned Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group plans to produce a limited number of these machines in 2026 and 2027, with initial deliveries intended for major Chinese chipmakers. However, industry experts and analysts express significant skepticism. They note the new equipment is far from matching the performance, reliability, and commercial viability of systems from the global leader, ASML. Key challenges identified include the difficulty of transitioning from limited production to high-volume manufacturing with consistent precision and yield over thousands of cycles. Analysts also caution that previous announcements of Chinese progress in this field have often failed to meet expectations. While the development is notable, experts suggest a more immediate risk to ASML could come from potential U.S. export restrictions rather than Chinese competition. The market consensus is that ASML's dominance in the lithography equipment segment remains secure for the foreseeable future. The true test for the Chinese machine will be whether it can achieve meaningful, scaled production by 2027 as claimed.

A state-owned company from Shanghai has begun production of immersion DUV lithography machines—equipment critical for the manufacture of modern semiconductors. This was reported on July 27, 2026, by the publication The Information, citing two anonymous sources familiar with the program. According to them, the company plans to produce about five such machines in 2026 and approximately 20 in 2027, with the first shipments intended for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), Hua Hong Semiconductor, and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).

The following day, July 28, Reuters revealed the manufacturer's name: it turned out to be a little-known state-owned entity, Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group, registered in August 2023 with a capital of 7 billion yuan. Reportedly, the company united development teams from several Chinese firms, including the startup Shanghai Yuliangsheng Technology, which tested a DUV machine prototype back in 2025, as well as specialists from Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment (SMEE).

Far from ASML's Level

A source familiar with the matter emphasized in a conversation with Reuters: Aishengna's machine will require additional testing and is still far from matching models by the Dutch company ASML—the world leader in lithography equipment manufacturing. Similar skepticism was expressed by JPMorgan Chase analysts, noting that producing a small number of deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines is significantly different from manufacturing equipment suitable for large-scale production. According to them, mass production depends much more heavily on yield rates, alignment accuracy, throughput, and reliability over thousands of wafer processing cycles.

Experts interviewed by the South China Morning Post took a similar position: the publication cited the opinion of Paul Triolo, a partner at DGA-Albright Stonebridge Group, who pointed out that producing machines of such complexity that are commercially viable and can operate 24/7 year-round is an extremely difficult task. William Bavington, an analyst at Jefferies, recalled that previous reports of China's progress in immersion DUV lithography later turned out to be unreliable and suggested waiting for confirmation of the current claims by independent sources. In the opinion of the analysts interviewed, ASML's dominance in the lithography equipment market is not yet under threat.

A More Realistic Risk for ASML—Not China

Experts interviewed by the South China Morning Post added that a more serious threat to ASML might come not from the progress of Chinese developers, but from the possible passage of the MATCH Act in the United States, which could restrict the company's sales and servicing of its equipment abroad.

The fate of the new equipment will depend on whether Aishengna's ability to establish truly mass production of machines, not just single prototypes, is confirmed. For now, market participants agree that ASML's position in this segment remains strong.

AI Opinion

From the perspective of macroeconomic connections, the course of events looks less dramatic than the headlines: in the second quarter, China accounted for only 14% of ASML's net sales, about €6.6 billion, while the company's shares reacted to the news with a decline. The region remains a notable but not decisive source of revenue for the Dutch giant.

A historical pattern suggests caution in assessing timelines. A prototype of a Chinese EUV machine in Shenzhen was already generating ultraviolet radiation back in 2025 but never moved to producing working chips, and the path from a laboratory sample to a mass-produced product in Chinese practice has traditionally stretched over years. Whether Aishengna's machine will be an exception to this rule or another long-term project will only be shown by the actual delivery volume in 2027.

Kripto yang Sedang Tren

Pertanyaan Terkait

QWhat specific type of equipment did the Chinese company begin producing, and what is its primary use?

AThe Chinese company began producing immersion DUV (Deep Ultraviolet) lithography machines, which are equipment critically important for manufacturing modern semiconductors.

QWhich Chinese companies are slated to receive the first batch of these domestically produced machines?

AThe first batch of machines is planned to be supplied to Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), Hua Hong Semiconductor, and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).

QAccording to analysts and experts cited in the article, what are the main reasons for skepticism regarding China's new lithography machines?

AExperts are skeptical because the machines still require extensive testing, are far from matching the standards of market leader ASML, and face significant challenges in achieving the reliability, precision, and high-volume production throughput necessary for commercial viability.

QWhat potential threat to ASML, mentioned by experts, is considered more serious than the progress of Chinese developers?

AA more serious potential threat to ASML is the possible enactment of the MATCH Act in the United States, which could restrict the company's sales and servicing of its equipment overseas.

QWhat historical precedent does the article mention to caution against over-optimism about China's rapid progress in lithography?

AThe article mentions that a prototype of a Chinese EUV machine in Shenzhen generated ultraviolet light in 2025 but never progressed to producing working chips. It highlights that the path from a lab prototype to a mass-market product has traditionally taken years in China's experience.

Bacaan Terkait

Serahkan Pada Kurva, Jangan Lawan Siklus: Tinjauan Investasi Kripto 10 Tahun Sang Master Analisis Makro Raoul Pal

**Ringkasan: Pelajaran 10 Tahun Investasi Crypto dari Raoul Pal** Raoul Pal, pendiri Real Vision, membagikan pelajaran berharga dari 13 tahun pengalamannya di dunia cryptocurrency. Ia mengakui kesalahan terbesarnya: terlalu sering melakukan trading dan tidak "diam memegang" (HODL) asetnya. Jika sejak awal ia membeli Bitcoin seharga $200 dan tidak menjualnya, portofolionya bisa bernilai sekitar $100 juta hari ini. Pelajaran utamanya: "Jauhkan lensa, hilangkan kebisingan, tahanlah." Pal membedakan dua kategori besar aset crypto: 1. **Bitcoin sebagai "Brankas"**: Bitcoin adalah penyimpan nilai digital yang murni, mirip dengan emas, dengan pasokan terbatas 21 juta koin. Potensi pasarnya adalah bagian dari kolam tabungan global yang mencari perlindungan nilai (sekitar $35 triliun, setara dengan emas). 2. **Platform Kontrak Cerdas sebagai "Rel" Ekonomi**: Ethereum, Solana, dan Sui adalah lapisan infrastruktur. Mereka bukan sekadar mata uang, melainkan jaringan yang akan menjadi tulang punggung untuk ekonomi mesin masa depan (The Exponential Age), tempat miliaran agen AI bertransaksi. Potensi pasarnya jauh lebih besar, karena pada akhirnya dapat mendukung nilai dari aset global seperti real estat, utang, dan ekuitas (bernilai ratusan triliun dolar). Meskipun saat ini sentimen pasar suram dan siklus bisnis terasa lambat, Pal yakin bahwa fondasi investasi tetap kuat. Siklus bisnis telah berubah menjadi ekspansi, yang secara historis mendukung aset berisiko seperti crypto. Kunci suksesnya bukanlah memprediksi waktu pasar, tetapi memahami aset yang dipegang, meyakini adopsi jaringan yang tak terhindarkan, dan bertahan melalui koreksi harga yang berkala (seringkali hingga 50%). Nasihat terakhirnya: Kuasai brankas (Bitcoin), kuasai rel (platform kontrak cerdas), dan biarkan kurva eksponensial yang bekerja—jangan melawannya.

marsbit56m yang lalu

Serahkan Pada Kurva, Jangan Lawan Siklus: Tinjauan Investasi Kripto 10 Tahun Sang Master Analisis Makro Raoul Pal

marsbit56m yang lalu

Apakah Malam Ini Bunga Akan Naik? Ekonom Bilang Tidak, Pasar Beri Probabilitas 30%

Pasar berjangka dana federal telah meningkatkan taruhan menjelang keputusan FOMC Juli, dengan probabilitas kenaikan suku bunga 25 bps sekitar 30%, meskipun survei terhadap 104 ekonom menunjukkan semua memperkirakan suku bunga akan dipertahankan. Ketegangan ini berpusat pada bagaimana ketua Fed baru, Kevin Warsh, akan menanggapi guncangan harga minyak akibat ketegangan Timur Tengah. Pasar membayar premi untuk lindung nilai terhadap risiko ekor hawkish, bukan karena yakin akan kenaikan suku bunga, tetapi untuk mengantisipasi dua kemungkinan: kenaikan langsung atau sinyal kuat yang membuka peluang kenaikan pada bulan September. Perbedaan antara lembaga seperti BofA dan Citi terletak pada bobot yang diberikan pada kenaikan harga minyak dalam reaksi Fed - apakah dianggap sebagai gangguan pasokan sementara atau risiko inflasi sekunder yang memerlukan respons tegas. Kedatangan ketua baru memperlebar distribusi harga jalur suku bunga karena pasar belum terbiasa dengan gaya komunikasi Warsh. Hasilnya, pasar aset akan sangat sensitif terhadap nada pernyataan dan konferensi pers. Skenario yang paling tidak nyaman bagi aset berisiko bukanlah kenaikan suku bunga malam ini, melainkan kombinasi dari harga minyak yang tinggi, dolar yang kuat, dan ketidakmauan Fed untuk mengecualikan kenaikan suku bunga di masa depan. Fokus utama akan bergeser ke kemungkinan pembukaan jendela kenaikan suku bunga pada bulan September. Respons Yen Jepang dan aset berisiko akan menjadi pengukur tekanan eksternal, menguji apakah pasar mulai menerima jalur suku bunga yang lebih tinggi dan lebih lama.

marsbit1j yang lalu

Apakah Malam Ini Bunga Akan Naik? Ekonom Bilang Tidak, Pasar Beri Probabilitas 30%

marsbit1j yang lalu

Trading

Spot

Artikel Populer

Cara Membeli CHIP

Selamat datang di HTX.com! Kami telah membuat pembelian USD.AI (CHIP) menjadi mudah dan nyaman. Ikuti panduan langkah demi langkah kami untuk memulai perjalanan kripto Anda.Langkah 1: Buat Akun HTX AndaGunakan alamat email atau nomor ponsel Anda untuk mendaftar akun gratis di HTX. Rasakan perjalanan pendaftaran yang mudah dan buka semua fitur.Dapatkan Akun SayaLangkah 2: Buka Beli Kripto, lalu Pilih Metode Pembayaran AndaKartu Kredit/Debit: Gunakan Visa atau Mastercard Anda untuk membeli USD.AI (CHIP) secara instan.Saldo: Gunakan dana dari saldo akun HTX Anda untuk melakukan trading dengan lancar.Pihak Ketiga: Kami telah menambahkan metode pembayaran populer seperti Google Pay dan Apple Pay untuk meningkatkan kenyamanan.P2P: Lakukan trading langsung dengan pengguna lain di HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Kami menawarkan layanan yang dibuat khusus dan kurs yang kompetitif bagi para trader.Langkah 3: Simpan USD.AI (CHIP) AndaSetelah melakukan pembelian, simpan USD.AI (CHIP) di akun HTX Anda. Selain itu, Anda dapat mengirimkannya ke tempat lain melalui transfer blockchain atau menggunakannya untuk memperdagangkan mata uang kripto lainnya.Langkah 4: Lakukan trading USD.AI (CHIP)Lakukan trading USD.AI (CHIP) dengan mudah di pasar spot HTX. Cukup akses akun Anda, pilih pasangan perdagangan, jalankan trading, lalu pantau secara real-time. Kami menawarkan pengalaman yang ramah pengguna baik untuk pemula maupun trader berpengalaman.

547 Total TayanganDipublikasikan pada 2026.04.21Diperbarui pada 2026.06.02

Cara Membeli CHIP

Diskusi

Selamat datang di Komunitas HTX. Di sini, Anda bisa terus mendapatkan informasi terbaru tentang perkembangan platform terkini dan mendapatkan akses ke wawasan pasar profesional. Pendapat pengguna mengenai harga CHIP (CHIP) disajikan di bawah ini.

活动图片