Anxiety of quantum risk to Bitcoin is weighing on its price: Execs

cointelegraph发布于2025-12-19更新于2025-12-19

文章摘要

Quantum computing risks are creating anxiety among Bitcoin investors and affecting its price, according to industry executives. While Blockstream co-founder Adam Down argues the threat is decades away and that the network’s core security doesn’t solely rely on encryption, others like Nic Carter of Castle Island Ventures warn that developer denial is “extremely bearish.” Craig Warmke of the Bitcoin Policy Institute adds that perceived quantum risk is slowing capital inflow and driving diversification. Both emphasize the need for contingency plans to reassure holders, even if the actual threat remains distant. Critics also note that traditional targets would likely be compromised long before Bitcoin.

The response from Bitcoin developers on the risk of quantum computing to the cryptocurrency is weighing down its price and affecting capital flow, crypto industry executives have argued.

Adam Back, a cypherpunk the and co-founder of Bitcoin infrastructure company Blockstream argued in a series of X posts on Thursday that it is good for Bitcoin (BTC) to be “quantum ready,” but it won’t be a threat for the next few decades, as the technology is still “ridiculously early,” and has research and development issues.

He predicts there will be no risks in the next ten years and even if some parts of Bitcoin’s encryption were broken, it does not rely on encryption for its core security model and “it’s not going to result in Bitcoin being stolen on the network.”

Source: Adam Back

Quantum computing continues to be debated as a potential threat to the crypto industry, as more advanced computers that could break encryption have been theorized as having the capability to reveal user keys and expose sensitive data.

Investors concerned about quantum risk

Nic Carter, a partner at venture capital firm Castle Island Ventures, said in response to Back, that it’s “extremely bearish” that many influential developers “flatly deny that there’s any quantum risk.”

“The discrepancy between capital and developers on this issue is massive. Capital is concerned and looking for a solution. Devs are mainly in complete denial. Inability to even acknowledge quantum risk is already weighing on the price.”

Craig Warmke, a fellow at the think tank, the Bitcoin Policy Institute, agreed, adding that quantum risk is slowing the flow of capital into Bitcoin and pushing larger holders to diversify.

“When non-technical people express concerns, they sometimes use technically incorrect language,” he said, adding it was “frustrating to see technical people dismiss concerns” rather than address the topic of “reduced holdings from perceived quantum risk.”

Source: Craig Warmke

Contingency plans should be in place

Along with the technology being years away from being a threat, critics also argue that banking giants and other traditional targets will be cracked long before Bitcoin.

Related: Bitcoiners push for quantum-resistant BIP-360 upgrade as debate heats up

Carter maintains that companies and even countries are raising significant funds to build quantum computers, and artificial intelligence is helping accelerate the development.

Meanwhile, Warmke said the best way forward, whether or not the risk is real, is to convince people the risk is near zero and help provide contingency plans in case it’s not.

“The only way forward is to develop and converge on contingency plans, just in case, so that people feel more comfortable holding Bitcoin,” he added.

Magazine: Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

热门币种推荐

相关问答

QWhat is the main concern that crypto executives say is weighing on Bitcoin's price?

ACrypto executives argue that anxiety over the potential risk of quantum computing to Bitcoin is weighing down its price and affecting capital flow.

QAccording to Adam Back, when does he predict quantum computing will become a threat to Bitcoin?

AAdam Back predicts there will be no quantum computing risks to Bitcoin for the next ten years, and it won't be a threat for the next few decades due to the technology being 'ridiculously early'.

QWhat is Nic Carter's view on how developers are handling the quantum risk discussion?

ANic Carter finds it 'extremely bearish' that many influential developers 'flatly deny that there's any quantum risk,' creating a massive discrepancy between capital concerns and developer attitudes.

QHow does Craig Warmke say quantum risk is affecting investor behavior?

ACraig Warmke states that quantum risk is slowing the flow of capital into Bitcoin and pushing larger holders to diversify their holdings due to perceived risks.

QWhat solution does Craig Warmke propose to address quantum computing concerns?

ACraig Warmke proposes that the best way forward is to develop and converge on contingency plans for quantum risk to make people feel more comfortable holding Bitcoin, whether the threat is real or not.

你可能也喜欢

加州理工用AI攻克量子化学60年难题,1块显卡做完7800块的活

加州理工学院Anima Anandkumar团队利用人工智能攻克了量子化学领域存在60年的计算瓶颈。他们开发的AI模型“Kohn-Sham FNO”将密度泛函理论(DFT)的计算复杂度从传统的立方级降低至近线性级,实现了革命性突破。 传统DFT计算随体系增大,计算量呈立方增长,难以模拟大分子体系。该团队创新性地采用傅里叶神经算子,在DFT的迭代求解流程中替代了最耗时的核心计算步骤,而非直接预测最终结果。这种“思维链”式的分步迭代方法保证了计算的稳定性和外推能力,即使模型输出有误,后续迭代也能纠正,并能在超出能力范围时通过发散发出警报。 该模型仅用8504个结构进行训练,便能同时处理分子和固体材料,覆盖元素周期表前五行元素,展现出优异的泛化能力。在外推至训练集未见的大型药物分子时,其误差远低于直接预测模型。 实际验证中,该模型在单块NVIDIA B300 GPU上成功完成了包含8250个原子(82500个价电子)的金属缺陷模拟,计算完美收敛。相比之下,2019年一项对类似规模体系的全量DFT计算动用了约7800块GPU。实测计算缩放指数为1.03(近线性),而传统方法为3.37(立方级),意味着体系越大,效率优势越显著。 这项研究标志着AI开始替代物理计算中最耗时的重复运算部分。团队已基于此创立公司,并计划进一步完善模型以覆盖完整能量计算流程,未来在药物研发、电池材料设计等领域具有巨大应用潜力。

marsbit39分钟前

加州理工用AI攻克量子化学60年难题,1块显卡做完7800块的活

marsbit39分钟前

交易

现货

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

2025年5月22日,比特币价格正式突破11万美元大关,创下历史新高。在政策面、宏观经济、资金面与投资者结构共同作用下,一场结构性牛市浪潮正在展开。而此轮上涨背后的核心驱动,是美国《GENIUS稳定币法案》的实质性进展以及多项利好的叠加。本文将从政策端突破、宏观环境转向、链上与ETF资金结构、交易行为演化,以及重点受益赛道五大维度,全面解析此轮BTC再创新高的深层逻辑,并前瞻下半年市场的潜在趋势。

2.0k人学过发布于 2025.05.22更新于 2025.05.22

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对BTC(BTC)币价的意见。

活动图片