Bitcoin Price In The Final Stage Of Bull Cycle — When Is The Peak?

bitcoinist发布于2025-11-02更新于2025-11-02

文章摘要

The Bitcoin price struggles continued over the past week, reflecting the largely pessimistic sentiment in the digital asset market in...

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The Bitcoin price struggles continued over the past week, reflecting the largely pessimistic sentiment in the digital asset market in the month of October. The premier cryptocurrency dropped beneath the psychological $110,000 level despite the interest rate cut decision by the United States Federal Reserve on Wednesday, October 29.

The tame reaction of the Bitcoin price—and other large-cap assets—has raised concerns about the viability of the crypto market in the current cycle. Nevertheless, a prominent blockchain firm CEO has predicted that, although the bull cycle might be coming to an end, the market leader might just be days away from a new all-time high price.

BTC Could Peak Between $143,000 – $146,000: CEO

In an October 31st post on the X platform, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson revealed that the price of Bitcoin could run up to a new all-time high in the short term. The crypto expert put the potential cycle peak for the flagship cryptocurrency at a price between $143,000 and $146,000.

This evaluation revolves around the Max Intersect SMA Model (the blue line), which has accurately identified the price peaks of previous BTC cycles. Wedson’s analysis expects the Bitcoin price to soon reach a new all-time high (and the cycle peak), as the cycle is currently in its final stage (the distribution phase).

Bitcoin price

Source: @joao_wedson on X

According to the Alphractal CEO, the Bitcoin Smart Model price (the blue line) recently jumped from around $60,000 and now stands at $62,664. Wedson noted that once this Smart Model price gets close to the $68,000 region, that could represent the exact day of a new all-time high for the Bitcoin price.

Furthermore, Wedson highlighted the current sideways movement of the Bitcoin price as a result of the market hunting for liquidity up and down during the current distribution phase. “Now, many are afraid to sell, confident we’ll shoot straight to $250K — which, historically, is the classic signature of a distribution phase,” the crypto founder said.

Ultimately, Wedson warned that the bear market could arrive sooner than expected; hence, investors should approach the market with caution.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $110,120, reflecting a mere 0.1% increase in the past 24 hours. While the premier cryptocurrency seems to be recovering fairly, the last day’s slight jump is not enough to cover the past week’s loss. According to data from CoinGecko, the market leader is down by over 1% in the last seven days.

Bitcoin price

The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Opeyemi Sule is a passionate crypto enthusiast, a proficient content writer, and a journalist at Bitcoinist. Opeyemi creates unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies. Opeyemi enjoys reading poetry, chatting about politics, and listening to music, in addition to his strong interest in cryptocurrency.

你可能也喜欢

大模型头部玩家吸干一级市场

全球大模型赛道正经历一场“清场前夜”般的融资狂潮。2026年5月,仅中国市场就有Kimi、DeepSeek和阶跃星辰三家公司获得总计超70亿美元融资。同时,OpenAI、Anthropic和SpaceX等海外巨头预计年内上市,合计估值超3万亿美元。资本正以前所未有的速度和规模向极少数头部玩家集中,行业淘汰率已超90%。 这股热潮的背后是行业逻辑的根本转变。焦点已从比拼模型“智商”转向比拼大规模、低成本生产Token的能力,即“Token工厂经济学”。随着智能体(Agent)的爆发,单任务消耗的Token量激增,使得算力、电力和HBM内存等资源成为关键瓶颈与核心成本。大模型竞争已成为“软件+云计算+重资产”的混合体竞赛。 行业的未来决胜点集中在三个方面:一是商业化变现成为头等大事,市场关注点从“接近AGI”转向实现盈利;二是算力成本控制成为终极KPI,模型能力逐渐“商品化”,产业链整合与客户关系变得至关重要;三是智能体应用爆发,ToB(提升生产效率)与ToC(占领用户心智)路径开始分化。 当前,投资人面临的是对头部玩家的“终局押注”。在模型日益同质化的背景下,真正的决胜因素在于如何将技术转化为可持续的付费服务、将算力投入转化为可验证的商业产出,并最终建立健康、盈利的公司。

marsbit10分钟前

大模型头部玩家吸干一级市场

marsbit10分钟前

AI 巨无霸排队上市,会是美股「最后的狂欢」吗?

一场史无前例的AI巨头IPO盛宴正在成形。OpenAI、Anthropic与SpaceX竞相冲刺公开市场,合计估值目标高达数万亿美元,有望重塑美股格局。其中,OpenAI计划最早于今年9月上市,目标估值超1万亿美元并募资约600亿美元,或创史上最大IPO纪录。 然而,光鲜估值之下,财务底色截然不同。Anthropic预计第二季度营收将翻倍至109亿美元,并首次实现季度运营盈利,其成功主要依赖企业客户。而OpenAI一季度营收57亿美元,调整后运营利润率为-122%,深陷亏损,主要收入来自消费级订阅,面临巨大的免费用户服务成本压力,预计最早2029年才能实现正向现金流。 这场上市潮将引发巨大的市场“虹吸效应”。由于IPO初期流通股比例低,而指数基金追踪资产规模庞大,被动投资者可能被迫高位接盘,并抛售现有科技巨头股票以腾挪资金。据测算,仅SpaceX上市就可能引发近千亿美元的资金腾挪。 有分析指出,此次IPO潮本质上是早期投资者将风险大规模转嫁给公开市场散户及机构投资者的“套现行动”。市场将面临关键抉择:是相信已找到盈利模式的Anthropic,还是愿意再给OpenAI数年时间和巨额资金去探索盈利可能。这场盛宴的结果,将成为决定风险资产走向的重大变量,究竟是新一轮周期的起点,还是狂欢的尾声。

marsbit18分钟前

AI 巨无霸排队上市,会是美股「最后的狂欢」吗?

marsbit18分钟前

美联储112年最富主席来了:凯文·沃什正在重写规则

2026年5月22日,凯文·沃什正式就任美联储主席,成为该机构112年历史上最富有的主席。沃什出身华尔街,缺乏传统央行官员的学术背景,主张“缩表+降息”的另类政策组合,意图重塑美联储的货币政策规则与决策机制。 沃什的核心逻辑在于,他认为美联储庞大的资产负债表(约6.7万亿美元)相当于隐性宽松,限制了利率工具的效果。他希望通过缩表来为降息创造空间。然而,当前美国财政持续扩张,大量发债,若美联储同时缩表,可能导致长端利率失控,这使得其缩表主张面临现实阻碍。 因此,沃什可能的改革重点将转向货币政策框架本身,包括改革利率决策的点阵图和经济预测摘要发布机制、减少前瞻性指引、收紧官员发言纪律等,以改变美联储与市场沟通的方式和决策逻辑。 在美联储独立性问题上,沃什表态称货币政策独立至关重要,但他也认为政治人物表达利率看法不构成对操作独立性的威胁,姿态较前任鲍威尔更为灵活。 对于市场影响,分析认为:1) 美债市场波动性可能维持高位,长端利率易上难下;2) 美元长期信用面临结构性压力,“去美元化”在资产抛售、储备减持和贸易结算三个层面持续演进;3) 石油美元体系出现裂痕,人民币在部分石油贸易结算中占比显著提升。在此环境下,投资者或需考虑资产配置的分散化,黄金和人民币资产的重要性可能上升。

链捕手32分钟前

美联储112年最富主席来了:凯文·沃什正在重写规则

链捕手32分钟前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

2025年5月22日,比特币价格正式突破11万美元大关,创下历史新高。在政策面、宏观经济、资金面与投资者结构共同作用下,一场结构性牛市浪潮正在展开。而此轮上涨背后的核心驱动,是美国《GENIUS稳定币法案》的实质性进展以及多项利好的叠加。本文将从政策端突破、宏观环境转向、链上与ETF资金结构、交易行为演化,以及重点受益赛道五大维度,全面解析此轮BTC再创新高的深层逻辑,并前瞻下半年市场的潜在趋势。

1.6k人学过发布于 2025.05.22更新于 2025.05.22

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对BTC(BTC)币价的意见。

活动图片