Is Bitcoin Price The Key to Mining Stock Success? On-Chain Analysis Exposes True Impact

bitcoinist发布于2024-09-12更新于2024-09-13

文章摘要

Bitcoin is trading around $57,500 after a volatile session sparked by the release of the CPI data. Amid the market...

Bitcoin is trading around $57,500 after a volatile session sparked by the release of the CPI data. Amid the market turbulence, CryptoQuant’s on-chain and macro researcher Axel Adler shared an interesting observation about Bitcoin and mining stocks. 

According to Adler, a strong correlation exists between the Bitcoin price and the public miners’ stock index, as highlighted in a CryptoQuant chart. This suggests that any movements in Bitcoin price could directly affect the value of mining stocks. 

As investors maintain high expectations for Bitcoin’s performance in the coming months, the price of BTC will likely play a crucial role in determining the fate of both mining companies and BTC-related stocks. With market sentiment fluctuating, the relationship between Bitcoin and mining stocks remains a key factor for investors to monitor.

Bitcoin Miners Waiting For A Bounce

After weeks of extreme fear, volatility, and uncertainty, Bitcoin (BTC) is regaining momentum, and investors are increasingly optimistic about future gains. This renewed confidence is especially strong among Bitcoin miners, particularly those tied to public miner stocks, whose performance is closely linked to Bitcoin price movements.

A detailed report from CryptoQuant’s on-chain and macro analyst, Axel Adler, highlights how mining company stocks’ growth heavily depends on Bitcoin price action. This relationship became especially noticeable during the bull run of 2021-2022 when both BTC and miner stocks soared in tandem. 

Bitcoin Price and Public Miners Stocks correlation. | Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Price and Public Miners Stocks correlation. | Source: Axel Adler on X CryptoQuant Chart

While this correlation has generated renewed interest in miner stocks, it also raises concerns for analysts. Bitcoin price has not yet confirmed a clear uptrend or recovery since the market’s downturn in March, which leaves miners in a cautious position.

Miners have reacted by gradually reducing their BTC holdings, a sign of caution amid potential price concerns. On-chain data shows that miner balances have steadily declined since the beginning of September.

Glassnode data reveals a gradual decrease in Bitcoin held by miners since September 2, with the total miner balance currently standing at around 1.8 million BTC, valued at approximately $99 billion at current prices.

If this selling pressure from miners continues, it could significantly impact Bitcoin price in the short term, as increased supply from miners selling their coins tends to put downward pressure on prices. 

On the other hand, other market factors, such as positive regulatory news or increased institutional adoption, could provide a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin, lifting both BTC and miner stocks. Ultimately, how these factors play out will determine whether Bitcoin and related equities can sustain the current momentum or face further challenges ahead.

Bitcoin Price Action Details

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $58,219 after experiencing a volatile day yesterday. The price has surged over 10% since September 6 and is now testing a crucial resistance level.

If this resistance is broken, it could signal further price appreciation. BTC is just 1.26% away from the 4-hour 200 exponential moving average (EMA) at $58,758, a key technical indicator that has acted as resistance since early August.

Bitcoin price trading below the 4H 200 EMA.
Bitcoin price trading below the 4H 200 EMA. | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

A short-term trend change would likely occur if BTC breaks this resistance and successfully tests it as support. For bulls to gain strong momentum, the price must surpass $60,000, a significant psychological level seen as a turning point by many investors.

However, if BTC fails to close above these critical levels in the coming weeks, a deeper correction could follow, with the potential for lower prices as the next logical scenario in the current market environment.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

热门币种推荐

你可能也喜欢

世界模型概念入门:一个从心理学烧到 AI 主战场的故事

世界模型是当前AI领域的热门概念,旨在让机器像人类一样,在行动前通过“脑内沙盘”预演和推演未来。其核心思想可追溯至1943年心理学家Kenneth Craik提出的“心智模型”,以及AI先驱Marvin Minsky的“框架理论”。2018年,David Ha与Jürgen Schmidhuber的论文将这一概念带入深度学习主流。 当前,学界和产业界对世界模型的定义尚未统一。Yann LeCun强调其应理解物理规律,提出JEPA架构;李飞飞则基于POMDP框架,将世界模型分为渲染器、模拟器和规划器三类;清华大学FIB-Lab将其功能归纳为“理解世界”与“预测未来”。OpenAI的Sora、Google DeepMind的Genie 3、英伟达的Cosmos等大厂产品,分别从视频生成、3D交互、物理仿真等角度切入。 技术路线主要分为三类:一是“画画”路线,即生成式视频模型,视觉逼真但物理一致性弱;二是“心算”路线,预测抽象表征,效率高但可解释性差;三是“搭积木”路线,生成精确的三维环境,可控但泛化能力有限。发展趋势是三者融合,并向World Action Model(WAM)演进,实现状态预测与动作生成的联合学习。 产业链已形成基础支撑层、技术平台层和场景应用层三层结构,在自动驾驶、具身智能等领域应用广泛。尽管概念尚未统一,但这反映了技术早期的多元探索,最终目标都是让机器拥有可推演、可泛化的内部世界模型,以实现更安全、高效和通用的智能行为。

marsbit26分钟前

世界模型概念入门:一个从心理学烧到 AI 主战场的故事

marsbit26分钟前

交易

现货

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

2025年5月22日,比特币价格正式突破11万美元大关,创下历史新高。在政策面、宏观经济、资金面与投资者结构共同作用下,一场结构性牛市浪潮正在展开。而此轮上涨背后的核心驱动,是美国《GENIUS稳定币法案》的实质性进展以及多项利好的叠加。本文将从政策端突破、宏观环境转向、链上与ETF资金结构、交易行为演化,以及重点受益赛道五大维度,全面解析此轮BTC再创新高的深层逻辑,并前瞻下半年市场的潜在趋势。

1.7k人学过发布于 2025.05.22更新于 2025.05.22

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对BTC(BTC)币价的意见。

活动图片