# Bài viết Liên quan Bots

Trung tâm Tin tức HTX cung cấp những bài viết mới nhất và phân tích chuyên sâu về "Bots", bao gồm xu hướng thị trường, cập nhật dự án, phát triển công nghệ và chính sách quản lý trong ngành tiền kỹ thuật số.

Polymarket: 84% of Traders Are Losing Money, 0.033% of People Take the Majority of Profits

A recent analysis of 2.5 million Polymarket wallet addresses by on-chain researcher Andrey Sergeenkov reveals that 84.1% of traders are losing money, with only 16% achieving any profit. A mere 2% of addresses have accumulated over $1,000 in profits, while just 0.033% (840 addresses) have earned more than $100,000. The study, which improved on prior methodologies by accounting for token splits and mergers, shows a significant increase in unprofitable traders compared to a previous 70% estimate. Profit concentration is extreme: only 1.25% of addresses make over $1,000 monthly, 0.26% earn above $5,000, and just 0.13% surpass $10,000. Most high-earning addresses are short-lived, with 53% of top traders active for only one month. Research indicates that automated strategies—such as arbitrage bots and high-frequency trading systems—dominate profits, exploiting public on-chain data and speed advantages that manual retail traders lack. Despite Polymarket’s accuracy in prediction (94% a month before outcomes), the platform exhibits a stark wealth disparity, raising questions about its function as an information aggregator versus a zero-sum game favoring sophisticated players.

marsbit04/08 03:49

Polymarket: 84% of Traders Are Losing Money, 0.033% of People Take the Majority of Profits

marsbit04/08 03:49

DeFi stops the liquidation leak: Protocols reclaim billions lost to MEV bots

DeFi protocols are addressing a major inefficiency by reclaiming billions in value that was previously extracted by MEV bots during liquidations. For years, these bots profited from liquidation events, draining value from users and weakening protocol sustainability. With over $2 billion in liquidatable positions on Ethereum alone, protocols like Aave are now implementing new mechanisms such as Smoothing Varying Rate (SVR) to internalize this value. Aave has already recaptured $16.7 million in MEV on Ethereum and is expanding SVR to Arbitrum and Base. This shift turns liquidations into controlled revenue channels, strengthening protocol economics and sustainability. While Aave’s revenue has increased—reaching a $76 million annual run rate—long-term growth remains dependent on sustained market activity and volatility.

ambcrypto03/30 01:02

DeFi stops the liquidation leak: Protocols reclaim billions lost to MEV bots

ambcrypto03/30 01:02

Coinbase or Stripe? The Gatekeeper's Deciding Vote

The debate between x402 and MPP protocols is a misdirection; the true battleground lies in which company—Coinbase or Stripe—will partner with Cloudflare to issue the NET Dollar stable币, a decision that will determine the dominant standard for machine payments on the internet. Cloudflare, which handles ~20% of global web traffic, is central to addressing the surge in AI bot requests that have overwhelmed websites (e.g., Wikipedia saw a 50% traffic increase, and DiscoverLife faced near-paralysis from crawlers). Its "Pay to Crawl" system, which uses HTTP 402 responses to charge bots for access, requires a stablecoin for payments. While Cloudflare co-founded the x402 foundation with Coinbase, it hasn’t finalized the issuer for NET Dollar. Stripe’s recent launch of MPP (Machine Payment Protocol)—a competing but compatible standard—intensifies the race. If Coinbase issues NET Dollar, x402 will likely become the default; if Stripe wins, MPP gains immense leverage. Cloudflare’s choice will shape how machines pay for access across the internet, making its partnership decision more critical than technical debates between protocols.

marsbit03/23 10:31

Coinbase or Stripe? The Gatekeeper's Deciding Vote

marsbit03/23 10:31

X Tightens Promotion Rules: Is the Wild West Era of Crypto Twitter Marketing Over?

X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, is systematically tightening its rules on promotional content and automated activity, particularly targeting the crypto community. Over the past five months, it has implemented six major policy changes. These include removing 1.7 million spam bots, banning "InfoFi" applications that reward users for posting, cracking down on accounts using automation/AI, and introducing a mandatory "Paid Promotion" disclosure label for sponsored content. It has specifically prohibited undisclosed ads for prediction markets and restricted automated API replies. These actions dismantle key, previously free, marketing channels for crypto: incentivized posting, undisclosed influencer promotions, and automated engagement. Consequently, user acquisition costs are expected to rise as organic reach diminishes. The platform is simultaneously favoring paid advertising, having relaxed its policies for crypto ads in many regions. This shift forces a recalibration of the crypto influencer economy, moving from hidden endorsements to transparent, performance-based advertising. While this may lead to a cleaner information environment for users, it signals the end of an era of unregulated "wild" marketing on the platform, making visibility a paid privilege.

marsbit02/25 08:41

X Tightens Promotion Rules: Is the Wild West Era of Crypto Twitter Marketing Over?

marsbit02/25 08:41

AI-memecoin SIREN surges 97% – Assessing if bot-driven demand can lead to…

SIREN, an AI-themed memecoin on BNB Chain, surged 97% weekly with a 27% gain in 24 hours, reaching a daily trading volume of $17 million. However, on-chain data from Nansen indicated significant bot involvement, including one wallet accumulating over $100,000 in SIREN within two hours, suggesting artificial demand rather than organic retail interest. Despite the price breaking market structure and flipping the $0.25 resistance to support, Open Interest remained below its February peak, signaling limited conviction from derivatives traders. A rising wedge pattern on lower timeframes and weakening bullish momentum point to a potential pullback. The $0.26–$0.28 range is identified as a critical liquidity zone, where a break could trigger a short or long squeeze, amplifying gains or losses. Caution is advised due to bot dominance and emerging reversal signals.

ambcrypto02/22 16:02

AI-memecoin SIREN surges 97% – Assessing if bot-driven demand can lead to…

ambcrypto02/22 16:02

The 15-Minute Win-Lose Game: A Million Transaction Records Unveil the 'Folded World' of Bitcoin Prediction Markets

A data analysis of Bitcoin's 15-minute price prediction markets reveals a stark reality dominated by algorithmic trading bots. Over a three-day period encompassing 291 markets, 1.05 million transactions totaling $17 million were recorded. While 17,254 unique addresses participated, the vast majority were retail users treating it like a "lottery," with an almost even split between winners and losers. The key finding is the market's domination by a tiny minority: just 247 algorithm-driven addresses (3.6% of users) executed over 60% of all trades. These bots generated a collective profit of approximately $284,000, while human traders, overall, lost $154,000. Bots also boasted a significantly higher win rate of 65.5% compared to 51.5% for humans. The analysis further debunked the assumption that pure speed guarantees success. The most profitable bot, which earned $54,531, had a high win rate of 72% but was selective, participating in 61% of markets. In contrast, hyper-frequency bots trading over 50 times per hour often had negative returns due to gas fees and intense competition. For human traders, the data suggests a path to success lies in low-frequency, high-conviction trading, where the win rate can reach 55%. However, humans consistently fail at risk management, often holding onto losing positions too long and exiting winners too early, leading to a poor risk-reward ratio. The market is ultimately a hierarchy: top algorithms harvest inferior bots, which in turn harvest undisciplined human traders.

marsbit02/05 06:38

The 15-Minute Win-Lose Game: A Million Transaction Records Unveil the 'Folded World' of Bitcoin Prediction Markets

marsbit02/05 06:38

OpenAI May Integrate Iris Verification: WLD Surges 20% in a Single Day, Receiving the Strongest Endorsement?

WLD, the token of Worldcoin, surged over 18% in 24 hours, reaching around $0.65, following a Forbes report that OpenAI is developing a new social networking application that may integrate iris-scanning technology similar to Worldcoin’s Orb for user verification. The move aims to combat bot proliferation and ensure "proof of personhood" in online spaces. OpenAI, which is reportedly in talks to raise up to $60 billion from investors including NVIDIA, Amazon, and Microsoft, seeks reliable identity authentication to maintain platform integrity amid rising AI-generated fake accounts. Worldcoin’s zero-knowledge proof technology allows verification without exposing personal data, already serving 15 million users. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI and co-founder of Worldcoin, has long emphasized equitable distribution of benefits from AI growth. A partnership could embed WLD tokens into OpenAI’s ecosystem, enabling rewards for verified users and creating new revenue streams. Despite privacy concerns and regulatory scrutiny in regions like Europe, collaboration with OpenAI accelerate Worldcoin’s transition from speculation to real-world utility. Recent upgrades to World ID 4.0 enhance privacy and recoverability, strengthening its case as a foundational digital identity layer. However, WLD remains significantly below its all-time high, with investors advised to consider market risks.

marsbit01/29 04:37

OpenAI May Integrate Iris Verification: WLD Surges 20% in a Single Day, Receiving the Strongest Endorsement?

marsbit01/29 04:37

Prediction Markets Are Not 'Truth Machines': A Detailed Analysis of Seven Structural Inefficiencies

Prediction markets are increasingly used to forecast events like elections and economic indicators by aggregating dispersed information into probabilistic prices through a trading mechanism. While often effective and sometimes outperforming polls or experts, these markets face structural inefficiencies beyond surface-level issues like regulation or liquidity. Key hidden limitations include: 1) Lack of "dumb money" from retail participants, reducing liquidity and efficiency; 2) Persistent mispricing and arbitrage opportunities, with over $39.5M in profits on platforms like Polymarket since 2024; 3) Dominance of algorithmic traders creating unfair advantages; 4) Self-reinforcing feedback loops where prices detach from reality; 5) Vulnerability to misinformation, as seen in the 2020 U.S. election; 6) Allowed insider trading under certain regulatory frameworks; and 7) Low liquidity in niche markets, enabling manipulation. These inefficiencies undermine accuracy and fairness, necessitating architectural improvements, such as parallel settlement systems like FastSet, to enable faster, more reliable predictions.

marsbit01/27 07:14

Prediction Markets Are Not 'Truth Machines': A Detailed Analysis of Seven Structural Inefficiencies

marsbit01/27 07:14

From 100% Rebate to 20%: The Game Theory Behind Polymarket's Fee Adjustment

Polymarket recently adjusted its fee structure for 15-minute cryptocurrency prediction markets, moving from a 100% fee rebate to a 20% rebate for market makers. This change aims to combat "latency arbitrage" bots that exploited tiny time delays between exchange price updates and Polymarket’s price adjustments, harming market makers and reducing liquidity. Initially, full rebates were introduced to incentivize market makers to stay despite bot activity. After data showed a significant drop in fee volume—indicating reduced bot activity—the platform reduced rebates to 20% for a trial period. This reflects an ongoing effort to balance fairness among market makers, automated traders, and regular users. The article also references ongoing "money printer" strategies used by some successful traders and emphasizes Polymarket’s role in providing a competitive, strategy-driven environment.

marsbit01/14 13:33

From 100% Rebate to 20%: The Game Theory Behind Polymarket's Fee Adjustment

marsbit01/14 13:33

X Rolls Out Smart Cashtags to Cut Crypto Spam and Ticker Confusion

X is introducing a new feature called Smart Cashtags to reduce cryptocurrency ticker confusion and spam on its platform. The tool will allow users to link cashtags like $BTC to verified token identities or contract addresses, providing access to charts and information directly from posts. This aims to address issues where scam coins mimic legitimate cryptocurrencies and improve clarity in crypto discussions. The rollout, planned as early as next month, comes amid regulatory pressure in Europe, including a recent €120 million fine for Digital Services Act violations. Additionally, Elon Musk has promised to open-source X’s ranking algorithms to increase transparency. Crypto users have criticized the platform for bot dominance and engagement farming, which Smart Cashtags may partially mitigate by reducing ticker exploitation.

TheNewsCrypto01/12 13:46

X Rolls Out Smart Cashtags to Cut Crypto Spam and Ticker Confusion