# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Valuation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Valuation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The Most Miserable Public Offering: Over $60 Million Raised, Infinex's Public Sale Attracts Only $460,000 After 1 Day

Infinex, a prominent crypto project founded by Synthetix creator Kain Warwick, has experienced one of the most disappointing public token sales in recent memory. Despite raising over $65 million in earlier funding rounds from major VCs and industry figures, its public sale—launched in early 2026—attracted only $460,000 within the first 30 hours, less than 10% of its reduced $5 million goal. The project had already significantly lowered its valuation from $300 million to $100 million in response to weak market conditions. However, strict participation limits—capping contributions at $2,500 per address—and a one-year token lockup deterred wider interest. Even after removing the cap and adjusting allocation rules, participation remained low, with only 508 transactions totaling $1.34 million by the following day. Infinex aims to offer a unified DeFi interface with perpetual contracts, cross-chain bridging, and simplified key management. But its failed sale highlights deeper structural issues in the current market: declining risk appetite, reduced on-chain activity, and growing investor skepticism toward long lockups and high valuations. This case may signal challenges for other upcoming token launches in a cooling market.

marsbit01/06 05:38

The Most Miserable Public Offering: Over $60 Million Raised, Infinex's Public Sale Attracts Only $460,000 After 1 Day

marsbit01/06 05:38

Six Major Crypto IPOs to Watch in 2026

The crypto industry is poised for a significant wave of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in 2026, following a strong 2025 that saw $3.4 billion raised. The upcoming listings are characterized by companies with a strong focus on risk management, compliance, and infrastructure that bridges traditional finance with on-chain markets. Key potential IPOs to watch include: 1. **Kraken**: The US-based exchange, which filed confidentially with the SEC, is targeting a first-half 2026 listing. With a $20 billion valuation and a "compliance-first" strategy, it's seen as a major, diversified contender. 2. **Consensys**: The infrastructure giant behind MetaMask and Infura is working with major banks on a mid-2026 IPO. Its valuation is around $7 billion, offering pure-play software exposure. 3. **BitGo**: Backed by Goldman Sachs, this custody specialist aims for a Q1 2026 listing. Its growth is driven by institutional services, and it appeals to investors seeking infrastructure without direct trading volatility. 4. **Animoca Brands**: The Web3 gaming and metaverse investor plans a Nasdaq listing via a SPAC merger, testing investor appetite for digital property rights with a targeted $6 billion valuation. 5. **Ledger**: The hardware wallet maker is positioning itself as a full-stack self-custody platform. Benefiting from a renewed focus on security, it aims to be the "Apple of crypto security." 6. **Bithumb**: The South Korean exchange is planning a late-2025 listing on its domestic exchange, marking a comeback and serving as a key proxy for robust Asian retail crypto demand. This wave signals a maturation of the crypto sector, with public markets offering exposure to its critical infrastructure and compliant operators.

marsbit01/06 01:58

marsbit01/06 01:58

Trillion-Dollar IPO Myth Set to Unfold in 2026, but 'Small Unicorns' Have Already Crashed

In 2025, the tech IPO market experienced a stark contrast: while most newly listed tech companies saw significant stock declines, with over two-thirds falling below their offering price and a median drop of 9%, a handful of giants like SpaceX and OpenAI are preparing for record-breaking IPOs in 2026. SpaceX is targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation with a $300 billion raise, while OpenAI aims for a $1 trillion IPO. This divergence reflects a major shift in investor sentiment—public markets now prioritize profitability and sustainable unit economics over growth narratives. Companies like Navan and Figma faced steep declines post-IPO due to high valuations and weak financial metrics, leading many firms to delay listings. The IPO landscape has fundamentally changed, with only the most dominant, must-have companies likely to succeed.

marsbit01/06 01:39

Trillion-Dollar IPO Myth Set to Unfold in 2026, but 'Small Unicorns' Have Already Crashed

marsbit01/06 01:39

Dalio's Annual Analysis: AI is in the Early Stages of a Bubble, Beware of These Risks in 2026

In his annual reflection, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio analyzes key market dynamics of 2025, emphasizing that currency devaluation—not U.S. equities—was the year's dominant story. The dollar fell significantly against gold (39%), the euro (12%), and other major currencies, making gold the best-performing asset with a 65% return in dollar terms. U.S. stocks returned 18% in dollars but declined 28% when measured in gold. Dalio notes a major shift in asset allocation away from U.S. markets, with non-U.S. equities (especially in Europe, China, and emerging markets) outperforming U.S. stocks. He highlights stretched valuations, low expected equity returns (4.7%), and compressed risk premiums as warning signs. Political and geopolitical factors—including U.S. domestic policies, wealth inequality, and a shift toward unilateralism—drove market behavior, boosting gold demand and reducing appetite for dollar assets. Regarding AI, Dalio states it is in the "early stages of a bubble." He warns of debt refinancing risks, potential Fed easing inflating bubbles further, and stresses the importance of currency-hedged strategies. The interplay of monetary, political, geopolitical, and technological forces will continue shaping the macro landscape in line with his "Big Cycle" framework.

比推01/05 21:48

Dalio's Annual Analysis: AI is in the Early Stages of a Bubble, Beware of These Risks in 2026

比推01/05 21:48

Financing Weekly Report | 4 Public Financing Events, RWA Fixed Income Market Haven Completes Seed Round at $30 Million Valuation, Candaq and Others Participate

Financing Weekly Report: 4 Public Funding Events, Haven's $30M Valuation Seed Round Leads the Week According to PANews statistics, there were 4 blockchain funding events from December 29, 2025, to January 4, 2026, with a total disclosed value of over $42.6 million. Key highlights include: * **DeFi:** RWA fixed-income market Haven completed a seed round at a $30 million valuation with participation from Candaq, Apus Capital, and others. It offers on-chain access to U.S. Treasury products. * **Web3 & AI:** AIAV, a platform merging AI and Web3, raised $4 million from investors including Animoca Brands. It focuses on decentralized AI model training and multi-character interactions. * **Other Web3 Apps:** Cryptocurrency rewards platform SocialGood Inc. raised approximately $5.63 million in its Series B round. Additionally, MMA (a mixed martial arts company) secured $3 million in a private round, with Donald Trump Jr. participating, to build a Web3 platform. The report also noted two significant AI-sector deals (Meta's multi-billion dollar acquisition of Manus and Moonshot AI's $500 million Series C at a $4.3 billion valuation) that were excluded from the main statistics.

marsbit01/05 03:20

Financing Weekly Report | 4 Public Financing Events, RWA Fixed Income Market Haven Completes Seed Round at $30 Million Valuation, Candaq and Others Participate

marsbit01/05 03:20

Messari 2026 Crypto Theses: Why Speculation Is No Longer Enough (Part 1)

Messari's 2026 Crypto Theses argues that the crypto market is shifting from pure speculation to systemic integration. The report highlights several key trends: Layer 1 blockchains face a valuation trap, as most new L1s with high fully diluted valuations lack fundamental revenue and cannot justify their "monetary premium." Only a few, like Solana and Base, possess real ecosystem gravity. Chain abstraction emerges as a critical strategy, aiming to make blockchain a seamless backend infrastructure where users don’t need to know which chain they're using. The rise of the agent economy suggests that by 2026, most on-chain activity could be driven by AI agents conducting autonomous economic activities, shifting focus from user interfaces to APIs and composable smart contracts. Equity perpetuals represent a new frontier in derivatives, offering synthetic exposure to traditional equities without actual ownership, contrasting with tokenized stocks. Finally, DePIN is highlighted as the sector most likely to generate significant verified revenue, driven by real demand for decentralized infrastructure, particularly in AI compute. The report emphasizes that while these trends indicate maturation, market dynamics remain influenced by liquidity and narrative, not just fundamentals.

比推01/02 17:24

Messari 2026 Crypto Theses: Why Speculation Is No Longer Enough (Part 1)

比推01/02 17:24

Messari 2026 Crypto Thesis: Why Speculation Is No Longer Enough (Part 1)

Messari's 2026 Crypto Thesis argues that the market is shifting from pure speculation to systemic integration. The report highlights several key trends: First, it identifies a valuation trap in new Layer 1 blockchains. Many VC-backed L1s with high fully diluted valuations lack fundamental revenue, as token issuance far exceeds gas fee income. The market is expected to strip away the "monetary premium" of these tokens, with only a few ecosystems like Solana and Base maintaining real traction. Second, chain abstraction is emerging as a critical strategy, where blockchains become backend infrastructure. Users interact without needing to know which chain they're on, shifting competitive advantage from execution speed to control over user flow and liquidity. Third, the rise of an agent economy is predicted, with AI agents potentially driving up to 80% of on-chain transactions by 2026. This emphasizes the importance of APIs and machine-readable financial primitives over user-facing interfaces. Fourth, equity perpetuals (e.g., on Hyperliquid) are gaining traction as synthetic derivatives for global stock exposure, offering a more scalable alternative to tokenized stocks. Finally, DePIN is highlighted as the sector most likely to generate hundreds of millions in verifiable revenue by 2026, driven by real demand for AI compute resources rather than speculative hardware deployment. The report underscores that while fundamentals are becoming more critical, market narratives and liquidity flows remain key drivers of returns.

marsbit01/02 13:41

Messari 2026 Crypto Thesis: Why Speculation Is No Longer Enough (Part 1)

marsbit01/02 13:41

Under the Curse of TGE Peaking, Which Tokens Defied the Trend and Rose?

Amid the prevailing trend of tokens peaking at their Token Generation Event (TGE) and declining thereafter in 2025, a few exceptions managed to sustain price increases post-launch. Tokens like ASTER, FOLKS, AVICI, and SENTIS demonstrated resilience, driven by genuine buying support rather than temporary spikes. Key factors contributing to their success include fair token distribution (e.g., AVICI with 0% team allocation, SENTIS with activity-based emissions), reasonable initial valuations that allowed for market re-rating, observable product usage or adoption (such as Aster’s Perp volume and Avici’s real-world spending), transparent and linear unlock schedules, and strategic exchange listings that amplified rather than dictated performance. These tokens highlight a market shift towards valuing structural integrity—healthy circulation, fair launches, and tangible utility—over mere narrative potential, emphasizing survival through sound tokenomics and adoption in an increasingly competitive landscape.

比推12/31 14:42

Under the Curse of TGE Peaking, Which Tokens Defied the Trend and Rose?

比推12/31 14:42

What are the characteristics and commonalities of tokens that have performed well after TGE in 2025?

In 2025, most tokens experienced significant price declines shortly after their Token Generation Event (TGE), but a few—such as ASTER, FOLKS, AVICI, and SENTIS—managed to sustain price increases. These tokens shared several key characteristics that contributed to their relative success: 1. **Token Distribution Over Hype**: Successful projects avoided large internal liquidity at TGE. Examples include AVICI (0% team allocation) and SENTIS (activity-based emissions). 2. **Reasonable Valuation**: Tokens launched at fair valuations, rather than during peak hype, allowed room for market reappreciation. AVICI, for instance, launched with a low FDV despite having a functional product. 3. Demonstrable Utility: Projects like ASTER (Perp DEX volume), FOLKS (lending scale), and AVICI (real-world card spending) showed observable usage rather than just promising future utility. 4. **Controlled Unlock Structures**: Linear and transparent token unlock schedules (e.g., SENTIS’s participation-based emissions) were better received than cliff-style unlocks. 5. **Exchange Listings as Accelerators, Not Foundations**: While major exchange support helped, it wasn’t sufficient alone. Strong fundamentals determined long-term performance. The market in 2025 shifted from rewarding potential to valuing structure: healthy circulation, fair distribution, real adoption, and predictable unlocks. Tokens that prioritized these elements demonstrated resilience post-TGE.

Odaily星球日报12/31 00:47

What are the characteristics and commonalities of tokens that have performed well after TGE in 2025?

Odaily星球日报12/31 00:47

9-Month Valuation Leap: The Capital Logic Behind Manus' Multi-Billion Dollar Acquisition

Meta has acquired AI startup Manus for several billion dollars, marking its third-largest acquisition after WhatsApp and Scale AI. Founded by Xiao Hong, a graduate of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Manus launched its product in March and was acquired just nine months later. The company, which began in Wuhan, initially faced criticism for being a "shell" product built on existing AI models rather than developing its own. A pivotal move occurred in July when Manus relocated from China to Singapore, downsizing from 120 to 40 core employees to facilitate the acquisition amid geopolitical complexities. The deal was negotiated in just 10 days, reflecting Meta's urgency to strengthen its AI product portfolio against competitors like OpenAI and Google. Manus had achieved $125 million in annual recurring revenue with a global subscription-based user base, presenting Meta with a validated business model. Investors, including Sequoia China, Tencent, and ZhenFund, saw returns of tens of times on their initial investments. Xiao Hong will now serve as a VP at Meta, reporting directly to Mark Zuckerberg. The acquisition underscores a broader trend of Chinese entrepreneurs achieving global success, though often through strategic relocations to navigate regulatory challenges.

比推12/30 04:48

9-Month Valuation Leap: The Capital Logic Behind Manus' Multi-Billion Dollar Acquisition