# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Trump

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Trump", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Predicting 'When Will Trump End the War'? Here Are the Five Key Points

Based on a Barclays Capital analysis, the article outlines five key factors that will determine the end of the Iran war and its critical impact on global energy markets. Since the conflict began on February 26, 2026, oil prices have surged, with Brent crude up 44%. The war's duration will dictate if oil prices return to a base case of $85/barrel or surpass $110. The five catalysts are: 1. **Military Objectives:** The US aims to destroy Iran's missile capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz. The timeline remains uncertain as Iran retains some offensive capacity. 2. **Congressional Funding:** The War Powers Act sets a hard deadline of May 31, 2026, for ending hostilities without congressional authorization, which is unlikely to be granted. 3. **US Casualties:** Rising casualties could further erode the war's already fragile public support, currently at a 41% approval rating. 4. **Gasoline Prices:** The key political threshold is the national average of $5/gallon, a peak seen under President Biden. Exceeding it would increase pressure to end the war. 5. **Trump's Personal Decision:** The President could unilaterally declare victory and end the conflict, but this timing is highly unpredictable. Barclays concludes that the risk to oil prices is skewed to the upside, as current market reactions are less panicked than in previous crises, and the situation reflects a genuine physical supply disruption.

marsbit03/27 07:45

Predicting 'When Will Trump End the War'? Here Are the Five Key Points

marsbit03/27 07:45

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

Market Summary March 27: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Fuels Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Extension Wall Street saw significant losses with the Dow falling 469 points (-1.01%), the S&P 500 dropping 1.74% (its worst day in two months), and the Nasdaq plunging 2.38%, officially entering correction territory—down over 10% from its October high. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned markets were "too optimistic," citing inflation risks that could force renewed rate hikes. The OECD added pressure by raising its 2026 U.S. inflation forecast to 4.2%, far above the Fed’s own projection. Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude surpassing $107/barrel and WTI near $93, as Iran’s foreign minister rejected direct negotiations with the U.S., dimming hopes for a near-term ceasefire. Gold fell 4%, on track for its worst monthly loss since 2008, pressured by rising yields, a strong dollar, and shifting rate expectations. Bitcoin dropped 3.4% to around $68,837, breaking below $70,000. After hours, Trump delayed the deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6, citing ongoing negotiations. Futures and crypto briefly rebounded on the news, but skepticism remains high as the market awaits Iran’s response. The extended deadline offers a reprieve but intensifies pressure for a resolution.

marsbit03/27 01:49

March 27 Market Summary: Nasdaq Enters Correction, Lagarde Ignites Global Rate Hike Expectations, Trump Grants Another Lifeline with Post-Market Extension

marsbit03/27 01:49

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

Summary: On March 23, Trump announced a 5-day suspension of planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing "productive dialogue" and "major consensus." However, Iran’s parliament speaker denied any direct talks. This marks the 7th time since 2018 that Trump has threatened Iran but only fully followed through twice—withdrawing from the JCPOA in 2018 and launching "Epic Fury" in February 2026. Brent crude fell 10.92% to around $100 after the delay announcement, reflecting market skepticism. Three scenarios post-deadline are possible: a temporary freeze agreement (oil at $80–90), extended talks (oil at $95–110), or resumed strikes with Hormuz blockade (oil up to $150+). Trump’s demands go far beyond the 2015 nuclear deal, including zero uranium enrichment and halting missile development. Current indirect mediation via Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan lacks the structure of past multilateral talks. If talks fail, Trump’s options include strikes on power plants or Kharg Island (handling 90% of Iran’s exports), tariffs on nations trading with Iran, and cyber operations. Iran can counter by blocking the Strait of Hormuz (20% of global oil transit) for months and using its remaining missiles. Both sides face a credibility trap—military escalation risks oil price spikes, while repeated delays weaken threat credibility. The 5-day window is part of an ongoing high-stakes cycle.

比推03/24 12:49

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

比推03/24 12:49

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