# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Prediction

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Prediction", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Odaily Interview with Bitwise: BTC Could Reach $95,000 Range by Year-End

Odaily interviewed Ryan Rasmussen, research lead at Bitwise Asset Management, which manages around $15 billion in assets and is a major issuer of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs. Rasmussen discussed Bitcoin's price outlook, predicting it could reach around $95,000 by year-end—a roughly 40% increase from current levels—driven by accelerating institutional adoption. He emphasized that institutional allocation is the primary long-term driver of Bitcoin’s price, noting that many global institutional investors are still in early stages of exposure, with new allocations typically starting at 2-3% and growing to around 5% over time. Rasmussen believes the market is near a bottom and may trade sideways in the near term due to macro uncertainty, but expects significant institutional inflows via ETFs in the second half of the year. The interview highlighted a major shift in market dynamics: early retail investors are taking profits, while long-term focused institutions are accumulating positions. This transition, he argued, is structurally positive for crypto markets. Rasmussen also addressed Bitcoin’s role in portfolios as a diversifier with low correlation to traditional assets and discussed Bitwise’s expanding presence in Asia, where interest from family offices and private banks is growing rapidly. He noted that Asian markets are more forward-looking in crypto adoption compared to the U.S. and Europe.

Odaily星球日报03/27 03:13

Odaily Interview with Bitwise: BTC Could Reach $95,000 Range by Year-End

Odaily星球日报03/27 03:13

Dialogue with Robinhood VP: A Large Number of Users Buy the Dip, AI is Just a Tool

In a podcast interview, Robinhood's VP of Crypto and GM of International, Johann Kerbrat, discussed key trends and company strategies. He noted that during recent market volatility, many users bought the dip, highlighting Bitcoin's resilience and the advantage of 24/7 crypto trading. Robinhood is expanding its 24x5 equity trading to better serve global users and news-driven activity. The platform integrates stocks, crypto, options, futures, and prediction markets, allowing users to cross-utilize assets and create complex strategies, including hedging. Kerbrat emphasized accessibility and education over judging products. AI is heavily utilized internally for code generation, compliance, and market summaries (e.g., Cortex feature), accelerating development and personalization for international expansion. Robinhood is building an Ethereum L2 chain to enhance real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, aiming for instant settlement and 24/7 trading, currently testing with 2000 tokenized stocks in the EU under MiCA regulations. The recent Bitstamp acquisition expands institutional services like liquidity provision and white-label crypto solutions. Stablecoin usage on Robinhood is primarily for on/off-ramping and institutional settlements. The company joined the Global Dollar Network (USDG) to share stablecoin yields with users. Kerbrat sees AI as a tool to enhance, not replace, jobs, and highlights new family banking products for financial education and wealth transfer. Competition with rivals like Coinbase benefits consumers through lower fees.

marsbit03/26 07:53

Dialogue with Robinhood VP: A Large Number of Users Buy the Dip, AI is Just a Tool

marsbit03/26 07:53

The 4 Truths and Fee Traps Behind Polymarket's LP Market Making Incentives

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has recently shifted its focus to incentivizing liquidity providers (LPs) to address its core issue of low liquidity. While most markets remain free, it now charges a taker fee on specific markets like crypto price movements and select sports events. This fee, highest near 50% probability, funds new LP reward programs. There are two primary reward systems: one pays LPs when their limit orders are executed (maker rewards), and another rewards simply for placing orders within a set spread to provide liquidity, even if they don't get filled. A third mechanism allows anyone to sponsor additional incentives for specific markets. A positive view argues this structure values genuine liquidity over mere trading volume, making fees earned and rewards received a potential key, anti-sybil metric for a future POLY token airdrop. It rewards users who improve market depth and stability. A contrasting, negative view claims the LP program is a "trap." Critics argue that professional market makers avoid it due to insider trading risks and that most LPs are actually losing money due to hidden "LP wear and tear" (impermanent loss), only participating based on speculation of a valuable airdrop. They warn that if Polymarket expands fees to fund these unsustainable rewards, it could lose its competitive edge of zero fees and better odds compared to traditional sportsbooks. Proposed solutions include a fixed fee only on profits, using a native POLY pool for liquidity, or charging for premium products like parlays instead of core markets.

marsbit03/22 04:10

The 4 Truths and Fee Traps Behind Polymarket's LP Market Making Incentives

marsbit03/22 04:10

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