# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Interest Rates

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Interest Rates", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," is attributed to former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's potential nomination as the next chair. Following the announcement, Bitcoin fell to $78,214 (down 6.9% in 24 hours, 12.4% weekly), Ethereum to $2,415 (down 10.5% in 24 hours, 18.2% weekly), and other major altcoins like Solana also experienced significant double-digit losses. Warsh, known as a monetary policy hawk, has historically emphasized inflation vigilance and criticized post-2008 crisis stimulus measures. Markets reacted negatively due to expectations of tighter monetary policy, higher real interest rates, and reduced liquidity—conditions unfavorable for risk assets like crypto. This triggered over $1 billion in net outflows from US Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, initiating a cascade of liquidations that accelerated the sell-off. However, Warsh has also expressed constructive views on Bitcoin, calling it a valuable policy barometer and highlighting the US strategic interest in leading crypto development. His appointment requires Senate confirmation and, even if approved, he would only be one vote on the FOMC, which currently holds a cautious consensus on rate cuts. The market's reaction reflects a clash between the bearish narrative of tighter liquidity and a bullish perspective that considers Warsh's pro-innovation stance and political context. The key upcoming event is his Senate confirmation hearing, which will provide clearer signals on future monetary and regulatory policy.

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

Must-Watch Next Week｜White House to Convene Banks and Crypto Industry for CLARITY Talks; Strategy to Release Q4 Earnings (Feb 2-8)

Next week (February 2-8) features several key events in crypto, finance, and policy. The White House will host a meeting with banking and crypto industry executives on February 2 to advance the stalled CLARITY Act, focusing on stablecoin regulation. Trump Media & Tech Group sets February 2 as the record date for its digital token distribution. Uniswap launches its token auction feature on the web app, while Rainbow Wallet begins a CCA auction for its RNBW token. ZAMA Pre-TGE认购 and Aster’s airdrop Phase 6 also start on February 2. On February 3, Australia’s central bank will release its interest rate decision, and CoinList begins the public sale for AC’s new project Flying Tulip (FT). Stable Protocol upgrades on February 4, making USDT0 the native gas token. February 5 sees the Bank of England and European Central Bank announcing rate decisions. Strategy will report Q4 2025 earnings, and Rainbow may conduct its TGE. YO Protocol opens claims for its genesis airdrop. The US releases January non-farm payroll data on February 6. Additionally, Berachain faces a February 6 deadline for certain VC refund rights. No major events are scheduled for February 7-8.

marsbit02/01 02:56

Must-Watch Next Week｜White House to Convene Banks and Crypto Industry for CLARITY Talks; Strategy to Release Q4 Earnings (Feb 2-8)

marsbit02/01 02:56

Three Key Changes: Analyzing the Impact of New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh on the Crypto Market

Kevin Warsh's nomination as the new Federal Reserve Chair marks a potential shift in U.S. monetary policy, with significant implications for the crypto market. Warsh, a former Fed governor and critic of quantitative easing, advocates for a "limited central banking" approach, prioritizing price stability and financial system integrity over aggressive stimulus. His proposed policy mix—simultaneous interest rate cuts and balance sheet reduction—aims to ease government debt pressure while avoiding inflation resurgence. Warsh’s relationship with former President Trump, facilitated by family ties and shared critiques of the Powell-era Fed, adds a layer of political complexity. However, Warsh has historically emphasized Fed independence, creating tension between political expectations and his policy framework. For crypto markets, Warsh’s policies could bring short-term gains from rate cuts but long-term headwinds from sustained quantitative tightening (QT). This may reduce market liquidity, suppress asset valuations, and dampen volatility. Additionally, Warsh’s regulatory stance may accelerate crypto compliance, favoring established assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum while squeezing out riskier altcoins. The era of "policy-driven" crypto rallies may fade, giving way to fundamentals-based investing. Institutional adoption may grow, while retail speculation declines. Investors should focus on long-term value drivers—such as adoption cycles and technological upgrades—rather than short-term Fed policy shifts.

marsbit01/31 10:45

Three Key Changes: Analyzing the Impact of New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh on the Crypto Market

marsbit01/31 10:45

Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, crypto markets react to potential policy shift

President Trump has nominated former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, effective upon Powell's term expiration in May 2026, pending Senate confirmation. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011, is known for his views on monetary policy and financial stability. Markets reacted immediately, with Bitcoin falling around 2% to near $81,000–$82,000, gold dropping roughly 5%, and equities declining amid expectations of a more hawkish stance. Analysts suggest a Warsh-led Fed may resist rapid rate cuts or balance sheet expansion, potentially leading to tighter liquidity and higher risk premiums for crypto and other risk assets. The confirmation process and ongoing policy uncertainty are likely to continue influencing market sentiment.

ambcrypto01/30 17:17

Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, crypto markets react to potential policy shift

ambcrypto01/30 17:17

Bitcoin Volatility Alert: Trump Expected To Tap Kevin Warsh As Fed Chair Today

President Trump is expected to nominate former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, an event anticipated to impact rate expectations and increase Bitcoin and crypto market volatility. Prediction markets show a 93% probability for Warsh's selection, indicating a potential leak-driven surge. Market analysts describe a Warsh-led Fed as tactically dovish for rate cuts but structurally hawkish on inflation and balance sheet reduction, aiming to lower asset prices while cutting rates—a reversal of the "wealth effect." Warsh has previously expressed a non-hostile view of Bitcoin, calling it a "good policeman for policy" rather than a threat to the dollar. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $82,695.

bitcoinist01/30 16:32

Bitcoin Volatility Alert: Trump Expected To Tap Kevin Warsh As Fed Chair Today

bitcoinist01/30 16:32

Kevin Warsh: Inflation is a 'Choice', I View Bitcoin as an Important Asset

Kevin Warsh, former Federal Reserve Governor during the 2008 financial crisis, argues that inflation is a deliberate "choice" made by policymakers, not an unavoidable phenomenon. In a discussion with Peter Robinson, Warsh criticizes the Fed for failing its core mandate of ensuring price stability, blaming recent high inflation on the central bank's actions rather than external factors like supply chains or geopolitical events. He emphasizes that the Fed possesses the tools to control inflation but has instead enabled excessive government spending and expanded its role beyond its original purpose. Reflecting on his time at the Fed, Warsh supported the aggressive liquidity measures during the 2008 crisis as necessary to restore market function but opposed later rounds of quantitative easing (QE), which he believed created a "free lunch" mentality and blurred the lines between monetary and fiscal policy. He expresses concern over the Fed’s bloated balance sheet, now around $7 trillion, and argues that reducing it would help lower inflation and interest rates. Warsh also discusses Bitcoin, which he views not as a threat to the dollar but as an important asset that holds policymakers accountable. He believes the U.S. can overcome its fiscal challenges through higher economic growth and productivity, particularly driven by AI, and calls for a return to the Fed’s original mission: to act sparingly and only in genuine emergencies.

marsbit01/30 09:17

Kevin Warsh: Inflation is a 'Choice', I View Bitcoin as an Important Asset

marsbit01/30 09:17

Bitcoin Falls After Fed Pauses Meeting, While Gold Performs Strongly Amid Rising Risks

The Federal Reserve's decision to pause rate cuts and maintain the federal funds target rate between 3.50% and 3.75% reinforced a cautious monetary policy stance, dampening market expectations for near-term easing. This led to a divergence in asset performance: gold prices strengthened as investors sought safe-haven assets amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty, including geopolitical tensions and potential U.S. government shutdown risks. In contrast, Bitcoin declined slightly, reflecting its sensitivity to liquidity conditions and risk appetite. The reaction underscores gold’s role as a defensive asset during periods of policy uncertainty, while Bitcoin behaved more like a risk-sensitive speculative asset. Broader macro risks continue to favor caution, with gold expected to outperform in the short term.

marsbit01/29 08:16

Bitcoin Falls After Fed Pauses Meeting, While Gold Performs Strongly Amid Rising Risks

marsbit01/29 08:16

VIX–Bitcoin Correlation Re-Emerges Amid Political And Monetary Uncertainty

Bitcoin is struggling to break above $90,000 amid heightened macro uncertainty and risk aversion. Market participants are focused on external signals rather than crypto-specific catalysts, with the Fed expected to hold interest rates steady. The VIX at 16.89 indicates moderate market stress, while the weakening US dollar adds another layer of uncertainty, partly linked to political factors. Capital is rotating toward safe havens like gold and silver, but Bitcoin remains caught between macro caution and a lack of directional catalysts. The VIX–BTC risk correlation has re-emerged as a key framework, acting as a stress indicator that has historically signaled local Bitcoin bottoms. Although not a timing tool, it highlights how traditional market volatility influences crypto inflection points. With rate cuts not expected until March or September at the earliest, Bitcoin continues to trade in sync with U.S.-driven stress, leaving the market in a fragile and reactive state.

bitcoinist01/29 07:02

VIX–Bitcoin Correlation Re-Emerges Amid Political And Monetary Uncertainty

bitcoinist01/29 07:02

January 29 Market Summary: Fed Holds Rates as Expected, Storage Sector Continues Bull Run

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Removes "Labor Market Weakness" Language On January 29, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, as expected. A key change in the policy statement was the removal of the phrase citing "greater risks from labor market weakness than from accelerating inflation," signaling a more balanced view between employment and inflation goals. Chair Powell indicated rates are "well positioned" and that the Fed is in a wait-and-see mode, with the next rate cut not expected until June or September. U.S. stocks were mixed. The S&P 500 rose 0.41% to a record high near 7000, while the Dow fell. The storage sector continued its historic bull run, with stocks like SanDisk and Micron hitting new highs, driven by intense AI data center demand causing an industry-wide supply crunch and price increases. Gold broke above $5,250/oz, marking a 20% monthly gain. Silver experienced high volatility, soaring to $115.8 before paring gains to close nearly flat after regulators raised margin requirements and funds suspended creations, highlighting speculative excess. Cryptocurrencies saw consolidation; Bitcoin traded around $89,273. The perpetual futures platform Hyperliquid (HYPE) was a standout, surging 17% on regulatory optimism. The market is balancing two narratives: political risks fueling metals and AI demand driving tech. Key risks include overheated silver prices, potential gold corrections, stretched valuations in AI-related stocks, and uncertainty over the next Fed Chair's policy direction.

marsbit01/29 01:47

January 29 Market Summary: Fed Holds Rates as Expected, Storage Sector Continues Bull Run

marsbit01/29 01:47

After the Fed Hits the Brakes, the Market Experiences 'Icy and Fiery Extremes'!

The Federal Reserve paused its rate-cutting cycle in its first 2026 meeting, keeping the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, a move widely anticipated by the market. However, two dissenting votes highlighted internal divisions. The central bank signaled a shift from active policy adjustment to a more cautious, data-dependent stance. Gold emerged as the standout performer, surging past $5,500/oz with a 10% weekly gain, driven by persistent inflation, geopolitical risks, and easing real-rate pressures. In contrast, other major assets—including U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin—showed limited movement, reflecting market uncertainty. Attention is now turning to potential leadership changes at the Fed, with market-based predictions favoring Rick Rieder (34%), Kevin Warsh (28%), and Christopher Waller (20%) as top contenders to shape future policy. Bitcoin faces caution as on-chain data indicates a rising share of supply in loss, suggesting structural softening though not yet full bearish momentum. The market remains in a wait-and-see mode, balancing macro uncertainty against evolving cycle signals.

比推01/29 00:30

After the Fed Hits the Brakes, the Market Experiences 'Icy and Fiery Extremes'!