# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Inflation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Inflation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Why Did the War Safe-Haven Logic Suddenly Fail? Gold Fell, but Bitcoin Rose

In a surprising turn of events, the conventional "safe haven" logic during wartime appears to have broken down. When the US and Israel launched a military strike against Iran on February 28, gold—traditionally a go-to asset during crises—briefly spiked but then fell by nearly 10% over two weeks, dropping to around $5,020. Meanwhile, Bitcoin surged over 20%, rebounding from $63,000 to above $75,000, outperforming gold, the S&P 500, and Nasdaq. The divergence stems from differing underlying mechanisms. Gold was suppressed by rising inflation expectations triggered by the conflict. Soaring oil prices—due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—led markets to anticipate prolonged high interest rates from the Fed, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Additionally, central banks potentially reducing gold reserves further weakened its support. Bitcoin’s rally, however, was driven by multiple factors: a technical rebound after a 50% drop from its peak, its 24/7 trading availability (allowing it to absorb panic selling and buying when traditional markets were closed), strong inflows into US Bitcoin ETFs, and its practical portability during conflict—enabling easy cross-border value transfer via memorized seed phrases, unlike physical gold. The episode highlights that gold’s safe-haven status isn’t unconditional—it falters when war-induced inflation keeps rates high. Bitcoin, while not yet a proven safe haven, demonstrated unique structural advantages in a crisis. The outcome challenges simplistic narratives and suggests "hedging risk" now depends on whether one is mitigating immediate dangers or betting on future monetary shifts.

比推03/17 12:32

Why Did the War Safe-Haven Logic Suddenly Fail? Gold Fell, but Bitcoin Rose

比推03/17 12:32

Argentina court orders nationwide block of Polymarket over gambling

An Argentine court has ordered a nationwide block of the crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket, citing unauthorized gambling operations. The ruling, issued by a Buenos Aires court on March 11, instructed the national communications regulator ENACOM to restrict access to the platform and its variants across the country. The investigation was initiated following a complaint by the Buenos Aires City Lottery (LOTBA), which raised concerns over insufficient identity and age verification, potentially allowing minors to gamble. The court also directed Apple and Google to remove Polymarket’s mobile apps in Argentina. This action follows earlier scrutiny of the platform, particularly regarding its inflation prediction markets, which closely mirrored official data and sparked insider trading concerns. Similar restrictions have been implemented in other countries, including Colombia in Latin America.

cointelegraph03/17 11:12

Argentina court orders nationwide block of Polymarket over gambling

cointelegraph03/17 11:12

Crypto Market Shows Gains as US Diesel and Gasoline Prices Rise

The crypto market has gained value amid rising US diesel and gasoline prices, with BTC and ETH leading the uptrend. The collective crypto market cap rose 0.89%, while BTC gained 0.59% and ETH 2.12% in 24 hours. Broader gains were also seen in gold and silver. Market movements are influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, which affects oil flow. Rising fuel prices—diesel exceeding $5 per gallon and gasoline at $3.76—are putting pressure on manufacturing and consumers. Uncertainty remains due to upcoming inflation data and potential rate cuts, underscoring the need for cautious investment.

TheNewsCrypto03/17 06:52

Crypto Market Shows Gains as US Diesel and Gasoline Prices Rise

TheNewsCrypto03/17 06:52

The Two Weeks When the King of Safe Havens Failed, Bitcoin Quietly Outperformed Everything

The article analyzes the divergent performance of gold and Bitcoin during a two-week period following a military strike by the US and Israel on Iran. Contrary to traditional expectations, gold, often seen as a safe-haven asset, dropped by nearly 10% from its peak, while Bitcoin surged over 20% from its low, outperforming gold, the S&P 500, and Nasdaq. Gold’s decline is attributed to rising oil prices due to the conflict, which heightened inflation expectations and reduced the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, leading to outflows. Additionally, potential profit-taking by central banks and logistical challenges in moving physical gold during wartime weakened its appeal. Bitcoin’s rise is explained by a combination of factors: technical oversold rebound, 24/7 trading availability during market closures, renewed inflows (e.g., U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw significant inflows while gold ETFs experienced outflows), and its portability advantage in conflict zones, as evidenced by a 700% surge in crypto outflows from Iran. However, Bitcoin’s performance does not fully establish it as a traditional safe haven; it instead functions as a highly liquid, portable asset that absorbs shocks when other markets are closed. The article concludes that the concept of "safe haven" is evolving—gold struggles when inflation and利率 constraints dominate, while Bitcoin benefits from structural and situational advantages, though its identity remains complex and context-dependent.

marsbit03/17 06:34

The Two Weeks When the King of Safe Havens Failed, Bitcoin Quietly Outperformed Everything

marsbit03/17 06:34

Bitcoin in the Flames of War: Reviewing Past Geopolitical Conflicts, Which Stage Is the Crypto Market In Now?

Bitcoin in the Crossfire: A Review of Geopolitical Conflicts and the Crypto Market's Current Phase The article examines Bitcoin's price behavior during four major geopolitical conflicts, analyzing its evolving role as a risk or safe-haven asset. Following a joint U.S.-Israel military strike on Iran in February 2026, Bitcoin plunged 6% in 45 minutes, erasing $128 billion from the crypto market. This initial panic sell-off was attributed to crypto's 24/7 market absorbing pressure while traditional markets were closed. The analysis compares this event to three past conflicts: * **Russia-Ukraine (2022):** An initial 8% crash was followed by a 27% surge within a month, driven by demand from citizens in both countries seeking financial alternatives. However, this geopolitical premium was later erased by macro bearish trends. * **Israel-Gaza (2023):** The market was largely indifferent, with Bitcoin falling only 0.3% on the first day. Its price was soon dominated by internal catalysts like ETF approval expectations, showing regional conflicts had minimal lasting impact. * **India-Pakistan (2025):** A brief, shallow dip was quickly reversed after a ceasefire was announced, leaving almost no trace on the Bitcoin chart. The article concludes that geopolitical events now leave only temporary marks on Bitcoin's price unless they fundamentally disrupt global macro conditions, particularly energy supplies and monetary policy. The key variable for the Iran conflict is the price of oil. If the Strait of Hormuz is not blocked and oil prices stabilize, the war's impact on Bitcoin is expected to fade quickly, following the historical pattern of sharp decline, rebound, and digestion. The current market is seen as being in the digestion phase.

Odaily星球日报03/17 06:21

Bitcoin in the Flames of War: Reviewing Past Geopolitical Conflicts, Which Stage Is the Crypto Market In Now?

Odaily星球日报03/17 06:21

International Oil Prices Open Higher Then Turn Lower, WTI Falls Over 1% Intraday, South Korean Stocks Briefly Rise Over 1%, US Stock Futures Advance

International oil prices opened higher but turned lower, with WTI crude falling over 1% to around $97.63 per barrel after initially surging more than 3%. Brent crude also retreated to near $103 after an early jump. Asian equities rose, with South Korea’s KOSPI gaining up to 1.4%, and U.S. stock futures advanced nearly 0.5%. The moves come amid easing Middle East tensions after two Indian-flagged vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz, and U.S. President Trump stated that Iran is ready to negotiate a ceasefire, though a deal has not yet been reached. U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, with the 10-year near 4.26%, erasing earlier yearly gains. The market continues to monitor geopolitical risks and central bank policy decisions amid ongoing inflation concerns.

华尔街日报03/16 07:13

International Oil Prices Open Higher Then Turn Lower, WTI Falls Over 1% Intraday, South Korean Stocks Briefly Rise Over 1%, US Stock Futures Advance

华尔街日报03/16 07:13

Here’s Bitcoin’s Fate If The Strait Of Hormuz Remains Unsettled – Details

Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, could significantly impact Bitcoin and global markets. The Strait handles 20% of the world’s oil supply, and its disruption may lead to rising oil prices, higher inflation, and subsequent central bank interest rate hikes. In such conditions, investors tend to favor fiat currencies over volatile assets like Bitcoin, which is often viewed as a risk asset rather than a safe haven during geopolitical stress. If the Strait remains closed, Bitcoin may initially experience outflows. However, the long-term impact depends on broader financial factors, including global liquidity, policy responses, and market leverage. Traders should monitor derivative indicators like Open Interest and Funding Rates to assess market risk. Bitcoin currently trades around $71,600.

bitcoinist03/15 16:02

Here’s Bitcoin’s Fate If The Strait Of Hormuz Remains Unsettled – Details

bitcoinist03/15 16:02

$100K Bitcoin? Prediction Market Odds Climb To 40%

Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant reversal with $53 million in daily inflows, pushing monthly totals past $1.16 billion after months of outflows. Bitcoin’s price rose to around $70,850, with technical indicators turning bullish. Prediction markets now assign a 40-50% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by 2027. Geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns have fueled interest in Bitcoin as a potential safe-haven asset, despite outflows from gold and stock ETFs. Technically, Bitcoin is testing key support levels, with $70,000 being crucial for maintaining bullish momentum toward higher psychological targets.

bitcoinist03/15 01:01

$100K Bitcoin? Prediction Market Odds Climb To 40%

bitcoinist03/15 01:01

Has Elon Musk Completely Abandoned Dogecoin? Here’s The Last Time He Tweeted About It

Elon Musk, a key figure behind Dogecoin's massive 36,000% rally in 2021, has significantly reduced his public engagement with the meme cryptocurrency. His last direct tweet about Dogecoin was over a year ago, in November 2024, where he defended its flat inflation mechanism as a feature rather than a flaw. Although Musk still subtly endorses Dogecoin by liking and reposting related content, his direct mentions have ceased. Furthermore, the recent launch of X Money (formerly Twitter) shows no integration of Dogecoin, despite earlier hopes. The payment feature, along with previous initiatives like Tip Jar, supports only Bitcoin and Ethereum, signaling a shift away from Dogecoin in Musk’s ventures.

bitcoinist03/13 15:01

Has Elon Musk Completely Abandoned Dogecoin? Here’s The Last Time He Tweeted About It