# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Hawkish

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Hawkish", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady in its first policy decision of 2026, with markets pricing in a near-100% probability of no change. While this outcome is largely anticipated, the focus has shifted to future policy direction and the potential announcement of a new Fed Chair by former President Trump. Key uncertainties remain regarding the pace of potential rate cuts in 2026. Although the Fed began a rate-cutting cycle in late 2025 due to a softening labor market, persistent inflation at 2.8%—above the 2% target—has led to a more cautious stance. The composition of the voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has also shifted, with two new "hawkish" regional bank presidents joining, which may influence future decisions. Chair Powell’s post-meeting remarks will be closely watched for signals on the duration of the pause and the likelihood of further easing. Simultaneously, Trump has indicated he may soon nominate a new Fed Chair, with candidates narrowed down to four individuals. Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income and a proponent of lower rates, is currently the betting favorite. Trump may choose to announce his nominee around the time of the FOMC meeting to shift market attention away from any potentially hawkish signals from Powell and instead emphasize a more dovish long-term outlook. The timing and choice of nominee could significantly influence market sentiment and expectations for monetary policy.

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third consecutive time in 2024, lowering the target range to 3.50%-3.75%. The decision revealed the largest internal dissent in six years, with three officials opposing the move. The updated dot plot continues to project only one more rate cut in 2025, signaling a significant slowdown in the pace of easing. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current policy stance allows the Fed to be patient and data-dependent, noting that no one is assuming the next move will be a hike. Simultaneously, the Fed announced it would begin purchasing short-term Treasury bills to maintain ample reserves in the banking system, with an initial $40 billion in purchases planned for the next month. Powell stressed that these operations are for reserve management purposes and do not represent a change in monetary policy stance. The economic projections were slightly revised, with upgrades to GDP growth and minor downgrades to inflation expectations. The labor market is showing signs of cooling, with the unemployment rate rising and job growth slowing.

深潮12/11 02:51

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

深潮12/11 02:51

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 11, 2025, triggering a brief Bitcoin surge to $94,476, followed by a sharp reversal to $91,384. The initial rally was driven by algorithmic misinterpretation of a headline announcing the Fed’s $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases, mistakenly seen as quantitative easing (QE). In reality, these were short-term Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) aimed at maintaining banking system liquidity, not stimulating risk assets. The market downturn accelerated as traders digested the Fed’s hawkish undertones: upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth (from 1.8% to 2.3%) and lower unemployment projections signaled economic strength, reducing the urgency for further rate cuts. This "no-landing" scenario weakened Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge or safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Fed’s internal division—with three dissenting votes reflecting stark policy disagreements—highlighted unprecedented uncertainty about future monetary policy. Despite the rate cut, real interest rates remained restrictive due to persistent inflation. The episode underscored that Bitcoin can no longer rely solely on Fed-driven liquidity narratives and may face continued pressure as markets repricing risk amid economic resilience and policy ambiguity.

marsbit12/11 01:25

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern

marsbit12/11 01:25

The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?

The Federal Reserve faces its most significant internal division in recent years as Chair Jerome Powell navigates a deeply split FOMC ahead of a key policy meeting. While a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected, the challenge lies in post-meeting communication. Powell is likely to adopt a "hawkish cut" strategy—lowering rates while avoiding strong signals about future easing, particularly for January. He will emphasize data dependency and may signal that rates are approaching neutral to reassure hawkish members concerned about persistent inflation. The decision is complicated by a government shutdown delaying key economic data and external political pressure. Regardless of the outcome, high uncertainty and market volatility are expected to persist, with future policy moves contingent on labor market conditions and inflation data.

marsbit12/08 04:38

The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?