# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Hawkish

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Hawkish", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

When Is The Next FOMC Meeting And What Are The Expectations For Crypto?

The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for April 29, 2026, and is expected to result in no change to the current interest rate of 3.5-3.75%. According to the FedWatch Tool, there is a 99.5% probability rates will remain unchanged, a 0.5% chance of a hike, and a 0% chance of a cut. Consequently, the crypto market is anticipated to see little to no significant movement following the announcement. Historically, FOMC decisions heavily influence crypto: hawkish stances (rate hikes) often cause market declines, while dovish stances (rate cuts) typically trigger rallies. A neutral decision, like the one expected, usually allows the market to continue its existing trend without major disruption.

bitcoinist04/25 13:31

When Is The Next FOMC Meeting And What Are The Expectations For Crypto?

bitcoinist04/25 13:31

Will the Fed Still Cut Interest Rates? Tonight's Data Is Crucial

The core debate surrounding the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts is intensifying amid geopolitical conflict and rebounding inflation. The key question is whether high energy prices will cause persistent inflation or weaken consumer demand enough to force the Fed to cut rates. Citigroup presents a bullish case for cuts, arguing that oil supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz are temporary and will not lead to lasting inflationary pressure. They point to receding bond yields and oil prices as evidence the market is pricing in a short-lived shock. Citi's data also shows tightening financial conditions, a stabilizing labor market, and healthy tax returns, supporting their view that the path to lower rates remains open. Conversely, Deutsche Bank offers a starkly contrasting, more hawkish outlook. They argue the Fed's current policy is already neutral and expect rates to remain unchanged indefinitely. Their view is based on stalled disinflation progress and a shift toward more hawkish rhetoric from key Fed officials like Waller, who cited risks from prolonged Middle East conflict and tariffs. Other officials, including Williams and Hammack, signaled rates would likely stay on hold for a "considerable time." The market pricing has shifted dramatically, now forecasting zero cuts in 2026. The imminent release of the March retail sales "control group" data is highlighted as a critical test. This metric, which excludes gas station sales, will reveal if high gasoline prices are eroding consumer spending in other areas. A weak reading could support the case for imminent rate cuts, while a strong one would bolster the argument for the Fed to hold steady. This data is pivotal for determining the near-term policy path.

marsbit04/21 02:47

Will the Fed Still Cut Interest Rates? Tonight's Data Is Crucial

marsbit04/21 02:47

Is the U.S. Stock Market Also at Risk of a Crash Tonight?

U.S. markets face heightened risk as Nasdaq futures drop nearly 1% and the S&P 500 retreats from highs, with VIX rising to 17.44. Technical analysis shows Nasdaq breaking a key upward trendline, potentially signaling a larger downtrend. Political uncertainty surrounds Trump’s potential Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh, named in Epstein files, raising fears of hawkish policies and abrupt monetary tightening. Commodities saw a sharp sell-off, with gold down 12% and silver crashing 36%, triggering margin calls and cross-market contagion. Asian equities fell, and Bitcoin dropped below $75k. Economic vulnerabilities include rising Treasury yields, potential recession signals, and cracks in the AI-driven tech rally. Geopolitical tensions—such as potential U.S.-Iran conflict—and stagflation risks echo the 1979 crisis, suggesting possible aggressive Fed action and a major market correction. Investors are advised to prepare for increased volatility.

marsbit02/02 08:53

Is the U.S. Stock Market Also at Risk of a Crash Tonight?

marsbit02/02 08:53

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," was triggered by former President Donald Trump's announcement nominating Kevin Warsh, a known monetary policy hawk, as the next Federal Reserve Chair. This news caused significant sell-offs, with Bitcoin dropping over 13% from ~$90,400 to $78,214, and Ethereum and Solana falling over 18% in a week. Key reasons include expectations of tighter monetary policy under Warsh, leading to reduced liquidity and higher real interest rates, which negatively impact risk-sensitive assets like crypto. This triggered massive outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (~$1 billion in a day), initiating a cascade of leveraged liquidations. However, Warsh's views on Bitcoin are nuanced; he has called it a valuable policy barometer and acknowledged its role in U.S. competitiveness. His actual influence remains limited as Fed policy is set by the broader FOMC, which is already cautious about rate cuts. The market's reaction blends fear of monetary tightening with uncertainty over his confirmation, which faces Senate hurdles. The outcome of his confirmation hearings will be critical for future crypto market trends.

marsbit02/02 00:09

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

marsbit02/02 00:09

Tiger Research: Liquidity Vacuum Drives Sharp Sell-off, Why Hasn't Bitcoin Rebounded?

Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline from $87,000 to $81,000 on January 29, driven by a combination of weak tech earnings and speculation around a potential hawkish Fed chair appointment. The drop was exacerbated by thin liquidity in both spot and futures markets, amplifying the impact of external shocks. Key support at the active realized price of $87,000 was broken, triggering further selling. Despite short-term bearish sentiment, the medium to long-term outlook remains positive due to expected gradual monetary easing and supportive regulatory developments, including potential institutional adoption. Bitcoin's current weakness is viewed as a liquidity-driven correction rather than a fundamental breakdown.

marsbit02/01 11:49

Tiger Research: Liquidity Vacuum Drives Sharp Sell-off, Why Hasn't Bitcoin Rebounded?

marsbit02/01 11:49

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," is attributed to former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's potential nomination as the next chair. Following the announcement, Bitcoin fell to $78,214 (down 6.9% in 24 hours, 12.4% weekly), Ethereum to $2,415 (down 10.5% in 24 hours, 18.2% weekly), and other major altcoins like Solana also experienced significant double-digit losses. Warsh, known as a monetary policy hawk, has historically emphasized inflation vigilance and criticized post-2008 crisis stimulus measures. Markets reacted negatively due to expectations of tighter monetary policy, higher real interest rates, and reduced liquidity—conditions unfavorable for risk assets like crypto. This triggered over $1 billion in net outflows from US Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, initiating a cascade of liquidations that accelerated the sell-off. However, Warsh has also expressed constructive views on Bitcoin, calling it a valuable policy barometer and highlighting the US strategic interest in leading crypto development. His appointment requires Senate confirmation and, even if approved, he would only be one vote on the FOMC, which currently holds a cautious consensus on rate cuts. The market's reaction reflects a clash between the bearish narrative of tighter liquidity and a bullish perspective that considers Warsh's pro-innovation stance and political context. The key upcoming event is his Senate confirmation hearing, which will provide clearer signals on future monetary and regulatory policy.

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

Gold and Silver Experience 'Black Friday' as the Dollar Stages a Dramatic Comeback!

Gold and silver experienced a historic crash on January 30, 2026, with silver plunging over 30% in its largest single-day drop ever, and gold fell more than 9%, marking its worst decline since the early 1980s. Meanwhile, the US dollar surged nearly 0.9%, its biggest gain since July of the previous year. The sell-off was triggered by the news that former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, known for his hawkish stance, was nominated as the next Fed chair. This eased market concerns about the Fed's politicization and led to a rapid unwinding of dollar short positions. The precious metals market, already in extreme overbought territory with silver up 63% and gold 20% year-to-date, faced a liquidity crisis, accelerated by forced liquidations and profit-taking. Commodity currencies like the AUD and CHF were hit hard. Analysts are divided on whether this is a correction within a bull market or a sign of a broader reversal, with factors like geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts under the new Fed leadership being key to watch.

比推01/31 01:54

Gold and Silver Experience 'Black Friday' as the Dollar Stages a Dramatic Comeback!

比推01/31 01:54

Gold and Silver Plummet in Epic Crash! What Happened?

Gold and silver experienced a historic plunge after reaching record highs, triggered by reports that former President Trump would nominate Kevin Warsh—a known hawk—as Federal Reserve Chair. This shift in Fed leadership expectations spurred a sharp dollar rally, dampening appeal for dollar-denominated metals. Spot gold fell over 13% intraday, its largest drop since the 1980s, while silver plummeted more than 35%, its worst decline on record. Industrial metals like copper also retreated. The sell-off exposed extreme market fragility, with overbought conditions, crowded long positions, and high leverage accelerating the decline. Technical indicators like gamma squeezes and RSI levels had previously signaled overheating. Despite the crash, both metals ended January with significant monthly gains. Mining stocks and ETFs suffered heavy losses. Analysts suggest the correction was overdue and may present buying opportunities, though volatility is expected to remain high.

marsbit01/31 01:43

Gold and Silver Plummet in Epic Crash! What Happened?

marsbit01/31 01:43

Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Dogecoin, And XRP Price Are Crashing This Week

Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and XRP prices have crashed this week, with Bitcoin hitting new 2026 lows below $82,000. The decline is attributed to several macroeconomic factors, including new Trump tariffs on countries like South Korea and Canada, which are creating market uncertainty and affecting dollar liquidity. JPMorgan analysts note that China is responding by selling U.S. treasuries and buying gold, weakening the U.S. dollar. However, Bitcoin is currently being treated as a risk asset rather than a dollar hedge, leading to its decline alongside other cryptocurrencies. Additionally, rising U.S.-Iran tensions and a hawkish Federal Reserve—which held rates and signaled no near-term cuts—are further constrained liquidity and fueled bearish sentiment.

bitcoinist01/31 01:32

Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Dogecoin, And XRP Price Are Crashing This Week

bitcoinist01/31 01:32

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