# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Fed on the Eve of Change: Wall Street Prepares for an Interest Rate Battle Without 'Powell'

Investors are preparing for a potentially transformed Federal Reserve in the coming year as former President Trump signals his intention to select a new chair who aligns with his agenda, including aggressive rate cuts. While markets show limited immediate concern over the Fed’s independence, analysts warn that a less independent Fed could threaten economic stability and increase market volatility. Key risks include potential yield curve steepening, as long-term rates may rise on inflation fears if cuts are overly aggressive, and increased uncertainty from a more divided Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Trump could influence the Fed’s appointing loyalists to vacant board seats, potentially shifting policy momentum. However, consensus may emerge if economic data supports further easing. The new chair’s communication style—emphasizing economic rationale over political alignment—could also mitigate market anxiety. Current expectations for rate cuts in early 2025 remain intact, with equities showing optimism toward sectors like banks and industrials.

marsbit12/29 12:24

Fed on the Eve of Change: Wall Street Prepares for an Interest Rate Battle Without 'Powell'

marsbit12/29 12:24

Silver soars, inflation looms: Is Bitcoin bracing for a flash crash?

Silver's surge to a record $79/oz, with its RSI in extreme overbought territory, signals a broad overextension in legacy assets. This has led to a compelling case for capital to rotate back into Bitcoin, which has been trading sideways. However, Elon Musk notes silver's key industrial utility, making its rally a genuine inflation risk. With input costs rising across sectors, broader inflationary pressures could prevent further Fed rate cuts, keeping November's inflation of 2.7% well above target. This macro stress puts markets in risk-off mode. While Bitcoin could see a bull rally from capital rotation, its sensitivity to macro shifts and the approaching FOMC meeting elevate the potential for another flash crash.

ambcrypto12/28 23:01

Silver soars, inflation looms: Is Bitcoin bracing for a flash crash?

ambcrypto12/28 23:01

Year-End Critical Moment: What the FOMC Decision Means for the Crypto Market

Amid a critical year-end period, Bitcoin hovers around $90,000 with the crypto fear and greed index hitting 25 (extreme fear). The December FOMC meeting delivered an expected 25-basis-point rate cut but adopted a hawkish tone, projecting only one more cut in 2026, causing a brief dip below $90k. However, the Fed also initiated a Reserve Management Purchase (RMP) plan, injecting $40 billion monthly in Treasury liquidity—a form of "stealth QE" that may reshape 2026 market dynamics. On-chain data shows significant capitulation among short-term holders, with realized losses near historic highs, while exchange reserves decline sharply, suggesting accumulation by long-term investors. Seasonal patterns like the "Christmas low-Lunar New Year rally" and increasing institutional adoption—shifting from pure Bitcoin exposure to ETH, altcoins, and tokenized assets—support a potential rebound. Despite short-term volatility and macro uncertainty, indicators like MVRV Z-Score and RHODL Ratio signal a buying opportunity. The convergence of cyclical patterns, improving liquidity, and structural institutional participation frames the current pullback as a mid-cycle adjustment rather than a bear market, offering a strategic entry point for 2026 positioning.

比推12/18 08:24

Year-End Critical Moment: What the FOMC Decision Means for the Crypto Market

比推12/18 08:24

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

Crypto markets face a critical juncture in late 2025. Bitcoin hovers near $90,000, with the Fear & Greed Index at 25 (Extreme Fear) and short-term holder capitulation at historic highs. The December FOMC meeting delivered an expected 25bps rate cut but adopted a hawkish tone, projecting only one more cut in 2026, causing a brief BTC sell-off. However, the Fed also initiated a $40B/month Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) plan, a form of "stealth QE" injecting liquidity. Key themes emerge: - **Macro Impact**: Hawkish guidance creates short-term pressure, but ending QT and launching RMP set the stage for a 2026 liquidity surge, historically bullish for crypto. - **Institutional Shift**: 2025 marked a pivot to institutional dominance. While BTC remains core, portfolios are diversifying into ETH, Solana, stablecoins, and tokenized real-world assets (RWA). Pension and sovereign wealth funds are increasing exposure. - **Historical Pattern & On-Chain Data**: A potential "Santa Low-Chinese New Year Rally" pattern is anticipated due to seasonal liquidity shifts. On-chain metrics signal a likely bottom: massive STH capitulation, declining exchange reserves, and valuation indicators (MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple) in historic buy zones. The confluence of extreme fear, strong underlying accumulation signals, and impending macro liquidity shifts presents a strategic entry point for long-term investors, framing the current pullback as a mid-cycle correction within a broader upward trend.

marsbit12/18 07:13

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

marsbit12/18 07:13

Glassnode: Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Big Fluctuations Coming?

Bitcoin remains trapped in a structurally fragile range, pressured by rising unrealized losses, elevated realized losses, and significant profit-taking by long-term holders. Despite persistent selling pressure, patient demand has anchored the price above the Realized Price (~$81.3K), though reclaiming the Short-Term Holder cost basis (~$102.7K) remains a key resistance level. On-chain metrics show increased capitulation from recent buyers and sustained distribution by long-term investors. Off-chain conditions are weak, with negative ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and muted speculative interest in futures markets. Options traders are pricing in near-term volatility, accumulating downside protection ahead of the FOMC meeting. The market’s direction hinges on whether liquidity improves and selling pressure subsides, or if the current time-driven bearish pressure persists. Post-FOMC, implied volatility is expected to decay into year-end barring a hawkish surprise.

marsbit12/12 09:25

Glassnode: Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Big Fluctuations Coming?

marsbit12/12 09:25

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin (BTC) Unlikely to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

According to prediction markets, Bitcoin (BTC) is unlikely to surpass the $100,000 mark before the end of the year. Data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi shows the probability of BTC reaching this milestone by January 1st is only around 30-34%. This bearish sentiment follows a significant weakening of bullish momentum since Bitcoin's price crash on October 10th. Several factors are suppressing short-term price recovery, including growing macroeconomic uncertainty and a notable slowdown in Bitcoin purchases by large corporate buyers, such as MicroStrategy. Data from Capriole Investments indicates that the daily rate of corporate BTC acquisitions has been consistently declining, suggesting institutional investors may be experiencing fatigue. Technically, BTC is currently facing resistance around the $ $94,000 level. Analysts note that the price is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern. A breakout above $ $94,589 could potentially push the price toward the $ $98,000 to $ $100,000 liquidity zone, though this is seen as a challenging hurdle in the short term.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:18

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin (BTC) Unlikely to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:18

Fed Regional Presidents Secure Rare 'Unanimous Reappointment', Crypto-Friendly Faction Holds Key Positions, 2025 Monetary Policy Tone Initially Set

The Federal Reserve Board unanimously approved the reappointment of 11 regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents for five-year terms, effective March 1 next year. The only exception is the Atlanta Fed president, who previously announced his retirement. This rare unanimous decision, which includes support from all three Trump-appointed governors, resolves a key uncertainty regarding the future composition of the Fed’s monetary policy committee. The reappointments follow comprehensive evaluations by regional boards and come amid speculation that the process could have been contentious due to efforts by Trump-appointed officials to push for major changes at the central bank. The regional Fed presidents, selected by local boards but requiring approval from the Washington-based Board of Governors, hold significant operational responsibilities and rotating voting rights on the Federal Open Market Committee. Their terms are set to expire in early 2026. Meanwhile, markets await the White House's announcement of a successor to Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May 2025, with Trump’s close economic adviser Kevin Hassett seen as a likely candidate.

marsbit12/12 02:45

Fed Regional Presidents Secure Rare 'Unanimous Reappointment', Crypto-Friendly Faction Holds Key Positions, 2025 Monetary Policy Tone Initially Set

marsbit12/12 02:45

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

Bitcoin remains trapped in a structurally fragile range, with rising unrealized losses, elevated realized losses, and significant profit-taking by long-term holders. Despite persistent selling pressure, patient demand has anchored the price above the Realized Price (~$81.3K). A reclaim of the $95K level (0.75 cost basis quantile) and the Short-Term Holder cost basis (~$102.7K) is possible if seller exhaustion emerges. Off-chain conditions remain weak, with negative ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and muted speculative interest in futures markets. Options markets show a defensive stance, with traders accumulating short-term implied volatility and demanding downside protection ahead of the FOMC meeting. Market stability relies on patient buyers absorbing sales, but the path forward depends on whether liquidity improves and sellers retreat, or if time-driven bearish pressure persists. Post-FOMC, implied volatility is expected to decay into year-end barring a hawkish surprise.

深潮12/11 22:37

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

深潮12/11 22:37

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

Following Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest After FOMC Following the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin's price demonstrated the instability of leverage in the current market cycle, fluctuating between $92,000 and $89,500. This volatility liquidated billions in open positions on major derivatives markets. Despite the extreme swings, capital continued flowing into high-conviction crypto projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer-2 solution combining Solana-level transaction speeds with Bitcoin's security. U.S. traders added over $38 million in new Bitcoin exposure ahead of key macroeconomic data. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with analysts viewing the $90,000 level as a critical psychological and structural support. A sustained break above $92,000 could open a path toward the $100,000–$110,000 resistance range. Post-FOMC, the market saw a healthy reset with open interest dropping and funding rates normalizing. U.S. institutional flows via ETFs remained strong, indicating long-term investor confidence. Analysts from Bernstein project a potential long-term move to $200,000, while others like Matrixport forecast a mid-cycle consolidation around $120,000–$150,000. Concurrently, Bitcoin Hyper is gaining attention as an ambitious L2 project, having raised over $29 million in its presale. It aims to solve Bitcoin's scalability issues by enabling seamless cross-chain movement with instant, low-fee transactions. Its architecture and staking rewards position it as a high-beta play on Bitcoin's adoption, attracting capital shifting from speculative altcoins to core infrastructure projects.

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

Based on historical data from 2025, Bitcoin's (BTC) price action around FOMC meetings reveals a distinct pattern: the market often prices in macroeconomic expectations in advance, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" dynamic. Despite the actual policy decisions, BTC typically experiences selling pressure post-announcement, even during rate-cut cycles. Key findings show that BTC declined after most FOMC events in 2025, with the sharpest seven-day drops (-6.9% and -8%) occurring after the two 25-basis-point rate cuts in September and October. In contrast, meetings with unchanged rates resulted in mixed performance, ranging from +6.92% to -4.58%. This counterintuitive reaction is attributed to structural market dynamics rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. Before FOMC meetings, especially in July, September, and October, significant capital inflows and leveraged long positions were observed, leading to reduced spot liquidity. This over-leveraging often meant that any "hawkish" momentum was already priced in, leaving the market vulnerable to a sell-off once the actual decision was announced. Analysts note that FOMC events act more as market reset points than directional catalysts. When policy outcomes are highly anticipated, pre-meeting volatility compresses, and post-announcement volatility expands, creating predictable short-term dislocations. The data suggests that traders should prepare for heightened volatility, with potential retests of key support levels, such as $88,000, following the typical post-FOMC decline.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends