# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

Bitcoin remains trapped in a structurally fragile range, with rising unrealized losses, elevated realized losses, and significant profit-taking by long-term holders. Despite persistent selling pressure, patient demand has anchored the price above the Realized Price (~$81.3K). A reclaim of the $95K level (0.75 cost basis quantile) and the Short-Term Holder cost basis (~$102.7K) is possible if seller exhaustion emerges. Off-chain conditions remain weak, with negative ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and muted speculative interest in futures markets. Options markets show a defensive stance, with traders accumulating short-term implied volatility and demanding downside protection ahead of the FOMC meeting. Market stability relies on patient buyers absorbing sales, but the path forward depends on whether liquidity improves and sellers retreat, or if time-driven bearish pressure persists. Post-FOMC, implied volatility is expected to decay into year-end barring a hawkish surprise.

深潮12/11 22:37

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

深潮12/11 22:37

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

Following Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest After FOMC Following the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin's price demonstrated the instability of leverage in the current market cycle, fluctuating between $92,000 and $89,500. This volatility liquidated billions in open positions on major derivatives markets. Despite the extreme swings, capital continued flowing into high-conviction crypto projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer-2 solution combining Solana-level transaction speeds with Bitcoin's security. U.S. traders added over $38 million in new Bitcoin exposure ahead of key macroeconomic data. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with analysts viewing the $90,000 level as a critical psychological and structural support. A sustained break above $92,000 could open a path toward the $100,000–$110,000 resistance range. Post-FOMC, the market saw a healthy reset with open interest dropping and funding rates normalizing. U.S. institutional flows via ETFs remained strong, indicating long-term investor confidence. Analysts from Bernstein project a potential long-term move to $200,000, while others like Matrixport forecast a mid-cycle consolidation around $120,000–$150,000. Concurrently, Bitcoin Hyper is gaining attention as an ambitious L2 project, having raised over $29 million in its presale. It aims to solve Bitcoin's scalability issues by enabling seamless cross-chain movement with instant, low-fee transactions. Its architecture and staking rewards position it as a high-beta play on Bitcoin's adoption, attracting capital shifting from speculative altcoins to core infrastructure projects.

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

Based on historical data from 2025, Bitcoin's (BTC) price action around FOMC meetings reveals a distinct pattern: the market often prices in macroeconomic expectations in advance, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" dynamic. Despite the actual policy decisions, BTC typically experiences selling pressure post-announcement, even during rate-cut cycles. Key findings show that BTC declined after most FOMC events in 2025, with the sharpest seven-day drops (-6.9% and -8%) occurring after the two 25-basis-point rate cuts in September and October. In contrast, meetings with unchanged rates resulted in mixed performance, ranging from +6.92% to -4.58%. This counterintuitive reaction is attributed to structural market dynamics rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. Before FOMC meetings, especially in July, September, and October, significant capital inflows and leveraged long positions were observed, leading to reduced spot liquidity. This over-leveraging often meant that any "hawkish" momentum was already priced in, leaving the market vulnerable to a sell-off once the actual decision was announced. Analysts note that FOMC events act more as market reset points than directional catalysts. When policy outcomes are highly anticipated, pre-meeting volatility compresses, and post-announcement volatility expands, creating predictable short-term dislocations. The data suggests that traders should prepare for heightened volatility, with potential retests of key support levels, such as $88,000, following the typical post-FOMC decline.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

In his latest address, Federal Reserve Chair Powell highlighted a noticeable cooling in the U.S. labor market, marked by slower hiring and reduced layoffs, declining challenges in recruitment, and diminished household expectations for job opportunities. The unemployment rate has risen to approximately 4.4%, with employment gains significantly weaker than at the start of the year. This slowdown stems partly from reduced labor supply—due to decreased immigration and lower participation rates—but also reflects weakening labor demand itself. On inflation, core PCE remains at 2.8% year-on-year, above the long-term 2% target. While goods inflation has edged up due to tariffs, service inflation continues to moderate. Although overall inflation has declined substantially from its 2022 peak, it has not yet reached a level that fully assures the Fed. The FOMC responded by cutting rates by 25 basis points and initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain ample reserves and ensure effective policy transmission. Powell emphasized that, with rising employment risks and persistently elevated inflation, there is no "risk-free" policy path. The Fed must carefully balance its dual mandate constraints. He noted that interest rates are nearing a neutral range, and future policy decisions will be data-dependent, avoiding preset directions and instead being assessed meeting by meeting based on economic conditions and risks.

marsbit12/11 04:02

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

marsbit12/11 04:02

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third consecutive time in 2024, lowering the target range to 3.50%-3.75%. The decision revealed the largest internal dissent in six years, with three officials opposing the move. The updated dot plot continues to project only one more rate cut in 2025, signaling a significant slowdown in the pace of easing. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current policy stance allows the Fed to be patient and data-dependent, noting that no one is assuming the next move will be a hike. Simultaneously, the Fed announced it would begin purchasing short-term Treasury bills to maintain ample reserves in the banking system, with an initial $40 billion in purchases planned for the next month. Powell stressed that these operations are for reserve management purposes and do not represent a change in monetary policy stance. The economic projections were slightly revised, with upgrades to GDP growth and minor downgrades to inflation expectations. The labor market is showing signs of cooling, with the unemployment rate rising and job growth slowing.

深潮12/11 02:51

A Less 'Hawkish' 'Hawkish Rate Cut' and Balance Sheet Expansion Buying Bonds That 'Is Not QE'

深潮12/11 02:51

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 11, 2025, triggering a brief Bitcoin surge to $94,476, followed by a sharp reversal to $91,384. The initial rally was driven by algorithmic misinterpretation of a headline announcing the Fed’s $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases, mistakenly seen as quantitative easing (QE). In reality, these were short-term Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) aimed at maintaining banking system liquidity, not stimulating risk assets. The market downturn accelerated as traders digested the Fed’s hawkish undertones: upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth (from 1.8% to 2.3%) and lower unemployment projections signaled economic strength, reducing the urgency for further rate cuts. This "no-landing" scenario weakened Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge or safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Fed’s internal division—with three dissenting votes reflecting stark policy disagreements—highlighted unprecedented uncertainty about future monetary policy. Despite the rate cut, real interest rates remained restrictive due to persistent inflation. The episode underscored that Bitcoin can no longer rely solely on Fed-driven liquidity narratives and may face continued pressure as markets repricing risk amid economic resilience and policy ambiguity.

marsbit12/11 01:25

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern

marsbit12/11 01:25

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

The Federal Reserve approved a 25-basis-point rate cut amid internal divisions, but Bitcoin remains stuck below $100,000 due to structural weaknesses and persistent selling pressure. Despite a pre-FOMC rally to $94,000, the "hawkish" tone of the rate cut and concerns over inflation and economic slowdown limited upward momentum. According to Glassnode, BTC is trapped in a fragile range between $81,300 and $102,700, with unrealized losses rising and realized losses hitting $555 million daily—levels last seen during the FTX collapse. Long-term holders are realizing over $1 billion in profits daily, while new buyers face capitulation. The rally has been driven by spot demand rather than leveraged speculation, but sustained growth may require renewed derivatives activity. The Fed's rate cut is unlikely to provide significant short-term bullish momentum for Bitcoin.

marsbit12/10 20:08

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

marsbit12/10 20:08

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on 10 December, shifting its policy stance toward easing amid rising employment risks and moderating inflation. The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range to 3.50–3.75%, emphasizing growing uncertainty and increased downside risks to the labor market. While inflation remains elevated, the Fed signaled that recession concerns now outweigh price pressures. The rate cut is expected to lower funding costs, weaken the dollar, and boost risk assets like Bitcoin. Crypto markets may benefit from improved liquidity if this marks the start of a sustained easing cycle. Further guidance from Chair Powell and upcoming economic data will determine the policy trajectory.

ambcrypto12/10 19:33

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

ambcrypto12/10 19:33

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

The Federal Reserve lowered the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%-3.75% on December 10, 2025, marking the third consecutive rate cut. The decision was approved by a 9-3 vote. The policy statement removed the description of unemployment as "low," and the latest dot plot maintained the projection of an additional 25 basis point rate cut in 2026. Additionally, the Fed will purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills over 30 days starting December 12 to maintain ample reserve levels. The policy stance reflects concerns over moderating economic activity, a rise in unemployment, and inflation that remains elevated. The committee emphasized its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a 2% inflation target, noting increased downside risks to employment. Voting against the decision were Stephen Miran, who preferred a 50 basis point cut, and Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid, who favored no change. The Board also unanimously approved a reduction in the primary credit rate to 3.75%.

比推12/10 19:28

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

比推12/10 19:28

Key Bitcoin (BTC) Price Levels to Watch Ahead of the Final FOMC Meeting of 2025

The 2025 final FOMC meeting is approaching, with Bitcoin (BTC) showing continued volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Market expectations, as per Polymarket, indicate a 96% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. However, any potential bullish momentum from the rate cut may already be priced in. Key BTC price levels to monitor include the $94,000 resistance, which has repeatedly capped upward moves. A break above this level could target the psychological $100,000 barrier, though this area may trigger selling pressure similar to February's market behavior. Further resistance is seen at the 200-day simple moving average near $108,000. On the downside, critical support lies at $91,500. A break below this level could lead to a test of the $87,500 area, and potentially the $84,000 low from November 21st, which would erase the gains of the past three weeks. The $93,000 to $96,000 range shows significant liquidity concentration, indicating a potential zone for price volatility. Market participants are closely watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting commentary for any shifts in tone, which could trigger further market movements. The overall market direction will likely be determined by the FOMC meeting outcome and subsequent market reaction.

cointelegraph_中文12/10 11:42

Key Bitcoin (BTC) Price Levels to Watch Ahead of the Final FOMC Meeting of 2025

cointelegraph_中文12/10 11:42

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