# Сопутствующие статьи по теме ETF

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "ETF", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

The author, Alex Xu, explains his decision to significantly reduce his Bitcoin holdings (from full to ~30% of his portfolio) during the current bull cycle, citing a lowered long-term outlook for BTC's price appreciation in the next cycle. He outlines six key reasons for this reduced expectation: 1. **Diminished Growth Drivers:** The narrative of exponential user adoption has largely played out with institutional ETF adoption. The next major growth phase—adoption by sovereign national reserves or central banks—seems unlikely in the near future. 2. **Personal Opportunity Cost:** More attractive investment opportunities have emerged in other assets, such as undervalued companies. 3. **Industry-Wide Contraction:** The broader crypto industry is struggling, with most Web3 business models (SocialFi, GameFi, DePIN) failing. This overall萧条 (depression) reduces the fundamental demand and consensus for Bitcoin. 4. **Strain on Major Buyer:** MicroStrategy, a major corporate buyer of BTC, faces rising financing expenses for its debt, which could slow its purchasing rate and create significant marginal pressure on the market. 5. **Increased Competition from Gold:** The emergence of "tokenized gold" has closed the functional gap (portability, divisibility) between physical gold and Bitcoin, offering a strong competitor in the non-sovereign store-of-value space. 6. **Security Budget Concerns:** The block reward halving continues to exacerbate the long-standing issue of funding Bitcoin's network security, with new fee source explorations like Ordinals and L2s largely failing. The author's decision to hold a significant (though reduced) position reflects a cautious, not bearish, outlook. He remains open to increasing his exposure if the fundamental reasons for his skepticism change or if new positive catalysts emerge.

marsbit04/27 02:41

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

marsbit04/27 02:41

Transcending Cycles, Defining the Future: BIT Hosts Global Asset Strategy Sharing Session in Hong Kong, Exploring New Paradigms of Web3 and Traditional Markets

Amid a shifting global macroeconomic landscape, BIT, a global digital asset financial services group, hosted the "Global Asset Strategy Forum" in Hong Kong on April 22, 2026, under the theme "Transcending Cycles, Defining the Future." The event brought together industry leaders from financial institutions, crypto platforms, and professional service firms to explore new paradigms in Web3 and traditional markets. Key discussions centered on cross-market investment opportunities, regulatory pathways for compliant stablecoins, and the role of precious metals like gold and silver in the digital economy. BIT Founding Partner Cynthia Wu highlighted the institutionalization of the digital asset sector, noting its evolution from early retail-driven speculation to a phase marked by clearer regulation, the approval of spot ETFs, and the rise of Real-World Assets (RWA). She emphasized RWA’s role in bridging the gap between traditional finance and digital assets. Speakers observed a structural "reversal" between Web3 and traditional markets: Web3 is becoming more rational and profit-oriented, while traditional markets, especially U.S. equities driven by AI, are attracting concentrated capital and attention. The U.S. "Goldilocks" economic environment and AI commercialization were noted as key factors supporting risk assets. In stablecoin discussions, panelists emphasized the importance of regulatory compliance, asset-backed reserves, and transparency, noting that algorithmic stablecoins remain uncertain from a regulatory perspective. For RWA, gold was discussed as a macro-sensitive asset, with its value closely tied to interest rates, dollar strength, and geopolitical factors. The forum concluded that the digital asset industry is transitioning from narrative-driven growth to structure-driven, cross-market integration, with a focus on institutional participation and trust-based financial infrastructure. Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

marsbit04/24 13:29

Transcending Cycles, Defining the Future: BIT Hosts Global Asset Strategy Sharing Session in Hong Kong, Exploring New Paradigms of Web3 and Traditional Markets

marsbit04/24 13:29

Bitwise: Bullish on Bitcoin's Performance in the Second Half of the Year, AI and Regulation Will Spark a New Altcoin Season

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and Research Lead Ryan Rasmussen express strong bullish sentiment on Bitcoin's long-term prospects, suggesting that its $1 million price target may be too conservative. They argue Bitcoin serves a dual role: as digital gold and a potential global settlement asset, especially amid declining trust in traditional monetary systems. Despite a weak Q1 2026 where nearly all crypto assets and prices saw double-digit declines, the analysts remain optimistic due to strong forward-looking catalysts, including institutional adoption via Bitcoin ETFs from major firms like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Geopolitical instability, such as Iran’s mention of using Bitcoin for international payments, increases the value of Bitcoin’s “out-of-the-money call option” as a non-political, global settlement currency. This enhances its appeal beyond a mere store of value. . Additionally, Hougan highlights that a clearer regulatory token framework under current SEC leadership, combined with AI efficiency gains and high-performance blockchains, could fuel a new “altseason” by late 2026. This may lead to a wave of legitimate, value-capturing token projects, unlike the earlier ICO boom. . Bitwise also announced an Avalanche ETF, citing its unique architecture and rapid growth in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, which has surged 10x to nearly $30 billion in two years. The firm believes Layer 1 blockchains are still early in their growth cycle, with significant potential ahead.

marsbit04/24 05:37

Bitwise: Bullish on Bitcoin's Performance in the Second Half of the Year, AI and Regulation Will Spark a New Altcoin Season

marsbit04/24 05:37

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